At first glance, it looks like a routine adjustment. In reality, the move is simple: trim the inflated Bitcoin portion and redirect part of that capital into Ether. Classic portfolio rebalancing.

Bitcoin Shrinks, ETH Walks In

The 13F filing with the SEC is clear. Harvard’s investment arm cut its position in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust by roughly 21%. Share count fell from 6.81 million to 5.35 million. By quarter-end, that Bitcoin ETF stake was valued at $265.8 million.

In the same filing, a new line appeared: iShares Ethereum Trust.

Harvard acquired 3.87 million shares, creating a fresh Ether exposure worth about $86.8 million. This marked the endowment’s first publicly disclosed move into Ethereum.

Across both assets, the disclosed crypto exposure now totals $352.6 million. Bitcoin stepped back slightly, but it did not leave the stage. In fact, it remains Harvard’s largest publicly reported holding.

A small but telling detail: as of Dec. 31, the Bitcoin ETF position exceeded Harvard’s stakes in Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon individually. Most people missed that.

The Timing Matters: A Volatile Quarter, an Uneasy Market

These changes landed during a turbulent stretch for crypto.

Bitcoin peaked near $126,000 in October 2025 before sliding to $88,429 by year-end. Ether dropped roughly 28% over the same period. Prices today sit much lower, but in hindsight Harvard’s move reads like risk distribution.

Reduce some Bitcoin. Add Ethereum in a controlled way. Straightforward portfolio math. Still, for an Ivy League endowment, it’s far from ordinary.

Academic Concerns Begin to Surface

The shift sparked debate on campus. Student newspaper The Harvard Crimson brought the story into focus. Faculty reactions followed.

Andrew F. Siegel, emeritus finance professor at the University of Washington, called the Bitcoin investment “risky,” noting it was down about 22.8% year-to-date. He pointed again to crypto’s long-running “lack of intrinsic value” problem.

A similar tone came from **University of California, Los Angeles. UCLA professor Avanidhar Subrahmanyam said adding Ether only deepened his concerns. In his view, crypto remains an unproven asset class with unclear valuation frameworks. He added that his earlier skepticism toward Harvard’s Bitcoin exposure has been partially validated by subsequent performance.

So What Does This Actually Mean?

Harvard isn’t exiting Bitcoin. On the contrary, BTC remains its core crypto position. But bringing Ether into the mix suggests a shift toward a broader, multi-asset digital strategy.

Is this a small experiment, or the opening chapter of a longer playbook? For now, it’s hard to say.

One thing is certain: this isn’t just an ETF tweak. One of traditional finance’s most cautious institutions no longer wants all its digital exposure in a single basket.

And that raises the real question.

If Harvard is opening the door to Ether… which major fund walks through next?

Short recap

Harvard’s investment manager cut its Bitcoin ETF position by 21% while adding roughly $87 million in an Ethereum ETF. Bitcoin remains its largest disclosed holding. Academic criticism is growing. Quietly, the institutional crypto game keeps expanding.

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Bitcoin Derivatives and ETF Outflows Raise Confidence Concerns 

On Friday, Bitcoin fell to $114,013 and traded at $113,383. This decline triggered $200 million in liquidations of leveraged long positions, damaging trust in BTC derivatives markets. Moreover, prices have failed to hold above $120,000 for three consecutive weeks, leading to a loss of confidence among investors. 

Normally, monthly Bitcoin futures trade at a 5–10% premium over spot prices. The current 6% premium is the lowest in the past four weeks, indicating a decline in demand for leveraged bullish positions. While institutional interest remains high, market confidence is visibly lower. 

On July 31, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $115 million, ending a five-day streak of net inflows. This further impacted investor sentiment. Meanwhile, Strategy (MSTR) announced a $4.2 billion stock offering on Thursday, which could help prevent large-scale Bitcoin sales and stabilize the derivatives market. 

Bitcoin’s Correlation with Equities Increases 

Bitcoin is only 7% below its record high of $123,182 from mid-July. Meanwhile, gold prices remain steady around $3,350. Once viewed as digital gold, Bitcoin has recently shown a strong correlation with equities amid global trade tensions. This correlation has risen above 70% over the past three weeks. 

As a result, Bitcoin now behaves more like a high-risk tech stock rather than a safe-haven asset. Its market capitalization is comparable to that of Amazon and Google, highlighting the impact of U.S. tariff disputes and increased money supply on financial markets. 

Investors have shifted to cash and short-term Treasury bonds due to a weakening labor market. Demand for 1-year U.S. Treasury notes reached a three-month high, driven by revised employment data and an increase in July’s unemployment rate to 4.2%. 

BTC Options Between Neutral and Bearish Sentiment 

It’s possible to monitor whether Bitcoin whales and market makers are reducing their leveraged long positions via the options market. In bearish conditions, put options typically carry a 6% or higher premium over call options. Currently, this premium difference is around 5%. 

The delta skew of options has shifted from bullish to neutral-to-bearish since July 18. Additionally, the cost of protecting against a drop below the $114,000 support level has risen. This indicates decreasing confidence in Bitcoin’s ability to hold that level.

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The total crypto market cap dropped by $186 billion in just 24 hours. The current total stands at $3.35 trillion. This sudden drop has alarmed investors and triggered panic selling in the markets. 

Trump Crypto Market Effect

Two major reasons are behind this sharp market downturn. First, former President Donald Trump accused China of violating the U.S. trade agreement. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated that China had “completely violated” the deal. The statement caused global markets to wobble. Bitcoin briefly surged to $106,000 after the post but quickly dropped back to $103,000. 

The second reason is the decreased likelihood of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Yesterday’s positive PCE inflation data reduced expectations of a rate cut. According to Polymarket data, there’s only a 4% chance of a rate cut on June 18. This led investors to pull out from risky assets. 

Additionally, $12.1 billion worth of BTC and $2.13 billion worth of ETH options expired, causing sharp price movements in the market. 

Political uncertainty and macroeconomic developments are putting pressure on the crypto market. Investors should proceed cautiously. Market volatility is expected to continue in the near future. 

Sharp Declines in Altcoins 

Bitcoin’s drop negatively impacted the altcoin market as well. Ethereum (ETH) fell by 4.5%, approaching below $2,500, while XRP declined by 3.9% to $2.13. Major altcoins like Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Sui (SUI), Chainlink (LINK), and Avalanche (AVAX) saw losses ranging from 5% to 9%. 

Lower-cap altcoins suffered even steeper losses. Meanwhile, coins like Ethena (ENA), Injective (INJ), and PEPE recorded double-digit percentage drops. 

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 10% from its 2025 peak, dropping to 99.40. The decline accelerated with Donald Trump’s inauguration. Tariffs imposed on allied countries like Canada and Mexico sparked market concerns. As a result, reciprocal tariffs announced on “Independence Day” intensified selling pressure. However, Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating to AA1 on Friday, stripping it of its last Triple-A rating. Moody’s joined S&P Global in 2011 and Fitch in 2023 in lowering the rating. 

The House of Representatives passed the “Big Beautiful Bill” with a 215-214 vote. The bill extends the 2017 tax cuts, exempts overtime and tips from taxes, and removes millions from programs like Medicare. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the bill will add $3.8 trillion to the deficit over 10 years, increasing the US’s $36.2 trillion debt. The budget deficit is expected to reach 7% of GDP. Consequently, Trump’s tariffs and fiscal health concerns are pressuring the USD. 

DXY Technical Analysis and Market Dynamics 

In the DXY’s daily chart, bullish momentum has weakened. The RSI’s decline has slowed. Support is at 99.10, with resistances at 100 (21 DMA), 100.80 (23.6% Fibonacci), and 101.35 (50 DMA). Without a new trigger, the downward pace may slow. However, investors remain cautious due to fiscal and tariff uncertainties. The Senate’s approval process for the bill will influence the USD’s direction. 

Economic data has had limited impact on the DXY. Federal Reserve officials Susan Collins and Raphael Bostic indicated no rush to cut rates. Tuesday’s Conference Board consumer confidence report is critical. Recent data showed declining confidence due to labor market and inflation concerns. Still, markets are focused on debt growth and tariff effects. 

Trump’s tariffs have shaken global investors’ confidence in US assets. Moody’s downgrade heightened debt sustainability concerns. As a result, gold prices surged 23% due to safe-haven demand. The EUR strengthened against the USD, reaching 1.138. Investors are questioning US fiscal policies and debt burdens. Fears that tariffs could slow economic growth are fueling the DXY’s decline. Markets are watching the Senate’s stance on the bill and the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions. 

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE***

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• As of May 2025, the Bitcoin options market has reached $42.5 billion in open interest. 

Bitcoin (BTC) surpassed the $110,000 level in May 2025, reaching one of its all-time highs. According to Glassnode data, the “Accumulation Trend Score” metric rose to 1.0. This indicates that investors are in a buying trend. Both large and small wallet groups are accumulating BTC. This metric evaluates purchases within the last 15 days, excluding exchange and miner wallets. 

The rise in Bitcoin’s price is also supported by stablecoin regulations in the U.S. and institutional purchases. For example, MicroStrategy’s $765 million BTC investment shows continued institutional interest. Additionally, global economic uncertainties and inflation concerns are driving investors toward Bitcoin. In May, inflows to spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) accelerated. This week, there was over $2.5 billion in fund flows in markets where traders use excessive leverage. This development demonstrates institutional investors’ interest in Bitcoin while also providing balance against market volatility. 

According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) surpassed $80 billion as of May 23. This represents about a 30% increase since early May. This increase indicates that derivative traders are taking positions with leverage, expecting BTC prices to rise further. 

According to Deribit data, open interest in the Bitcoin options market reached $42.5 billion as of May 22. This is a record high for the options market. The highest open interests are in the call options expiring on June 27 with strike prices of $110,000, $120,000, and $300,000. The upward expectation is clear in the options markets as well. Demand for June call options at $200,000 and $300,000 strike prices is notable. This indicates that traders expect further BTC price increases. 

May Bitcoin options expire on May 30, while June options expire on June 27. On these dates, contracts will close, increasing market volume and price volatility. 

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE  

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Reasons for Bitcoin Price Crash 

Firstly, Bitcoin encountered technical resistance. Last week, BTC, which surpassed the high of $105,663, succumbed to heavy selling pressure. This led to a 4.23% price drop. CoinGlass data shows that $84.68 million of liquidations came from short positions, with $50.96 million from shorts. Additionally, Bitcoin’s volatility is at a 10-month low, making investors cautious. A bearish engulfing candlestick erased Sunday’s 3.23% gain. The critical support level stands out at $101,000. The volatility being at a 10-month low is keeping investors cautious. 

QCP Capital believes digital assets have more room for recovery. The expectation is particularly strengthened by Coinbase’s inclusion in the S&P 500 on May 19. Swissblock analysts observed that Bitcoin collected liquidity above the $104,000-$106,000 resistance range but failed to break out of this zone. Swissblock expects a decline if the price fails to hold the $101,500-$102,500 range. Based on historical on-chain volume and transaction data, analysts identify the $97,000-$98,500 range as a significant downside target. 

Altcoin Decline and Future Expectations 

Altcoins show high correlation with Bitcoin. Therefore, BTC’s crash hit ETH, XRP, and DOGE. Ethereum lost 8.76%, XRP 5.31%, and DOGE 9.11% in the last 13 hours. However, the overall outlook remains bullish. Bitcoin targets of $118,000 and $135,000 seem feasible. As a result, the $100,300 to $99,800 range should be watched as a support zone. Investors expect a slowdown in these levels. 

**NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE** 

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May 19, Monday 

• Coinbase was included in the S&P 500 index on May 19, 2025. 
• Eurozone annual inflation rate announced at 2.2%.
  (Expected: 2.2%, Previous: 2.2%) 

May 20, Tuesday 

• Pyth Network (PYTH) unlock event to take place.
  Unlocked amount: 2.13 billion tokens
  Value: $333.86 million
  Market cap ratio: 58.3% 

May 21, Wednesday 

• Solana (SOL) developer conference. New ecosystem projects or partnerships may support SOL price. 
• S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI Preliminary Data (May 2025). These figures will reflect economic activity in the US. Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise from 50.2 to 50.5, Services PMI from 50.8 to 51.0. 

May 22, Thursday 

• Bitcoin Pizza Day event. 
• Gala dinner hosted by US President Donald Trump, exclusively for the largest 220 $TRUMP coin holders. 
• 12:30 (UTC): US Unemployment Claims. (Expected: 227k, Previous: 229k). 

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 Altcoin ETF Approval Expectations Are Rising

Firms that already manage Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are now focusing on altcoins like Solana, XRP, and Cardano. Currently, the SEC has more than 72 altcoin ETF applications under review. Some of these still lack the necessary documentation. 

Although short-term delays are expected, the first altcoin ETF approvals are anticipated in the last quarter of 2025. However, SEC procedures can take time. Recent postponements include Franklin Templeton’s XRP and DOGE spot ETFs, as well as Ethereum staking ETFs. Five more applications have been delayed for further evaluation. 

Approval Timeline for ETFs Remains Uncertain

Among altcoin ETF applications, Solana and XRP stand out. There are currently 19 applications focused on XRP. However, they are at different stages in the approval process, and no clear timelines have been set. Despite recent delays, XRP continues to trade around $2.24. 

READ: Circle Has Rejected Ripple’s $5 Billion Purchase Offer! 

The likelihood of ETF approval is lower for more niche projects such as Polkadot and Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR). One of the biggest developments could be the inclusion of staking in ETF models. This could apply to assets like Ethereum and Solana. 

According to Polymarket predictions, the likelihood of approval remains low for the summer months. However, by the end of the year, the probability of Solana ETF approval is forecasted at 83%. While slightly below Bloomberg’s 90% projection, this figure is still considered strong. The market remains highly volatile, with current trading volumes reaching approximately $142,000. 

Cardano (ADA), Litecoin (LTC), and XRP also stand out with approval odds climbing up to 87%. While the ETF narrative is no longer as strong as it was during Ethereum’s approval process, investor interest remains. These funds could reignite recovery hopes for altcoins that have been trading at low levels for years. 

The impact of ETFs on crypto prices remains unpredictable. Both BTC and ETH experienced prolonged flat price action following their ETF launches. 

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Bitcoin Intraday Key Levels

The BTC/USD pair has gained 1.29% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $85,448. If Bitcoin (BTC) loses the $80,800 support level, the next key support is at $78,000. On the upside, the first resistance level is at $86,800, followed by $90,600.

Ethereum (ETH): The ETH/USDT pair has decreased by 0.34% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $2,229. Resistance levels for ETH are at $2,295, followed by $2,370. Support levels are at $2,150 and $2,050.

Internet Computer (ICP): The ICP/USDT pair has decreased by 1.11% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $6.44. Resistance levels for ICP are at $6.65, followed by $7.40. Support levels are at $6.12, with further support at $5.60 if the decline deepens.

Mina (MINA): The MINA/USDT pair has decreased by 1.52% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $0.31. Resistance levels for MINA are at $0.326, followed by $0.37. Support levels are at $0.293, with further support at $0.274 if the decline deepens.

Optimism (OP): The OP/USDT pair has decreased by 3.43% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $1.04. Resistance levels for OP are at $1.09, followed by $1.19. Support levels are at $0.96, with further support at $0.79 if the decline deepens.

Trending Coins

In the last 24 hours, the most trending coins in the crypto market include Sonic (prev. FTM) (S), Berachain (BERA), and Solana (SOL). The top gainers list features The Grays Currency (PTGC), Ket (KET), and Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT). Meanwhile, the top losers list includes Tokenize Xchange (TKX), Morpho (MORPHO), and AI Companions (AIC).

Bitcoin Liquidation Map

Looking at Bitcoin’s 12-hour liquidation map, the most notable liquidation on the upside is at the $86,780 level, with $35.68 million in liquidations. On the downside, the key liquidation level stands at $84,476, with $31.89 million in liquidations.

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Bitcoin Intraday Key Levels

The BTC/USD pair has lost 0.68% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $101,917. Bitcoin (BTC), if it moves up from here, the resistance level is $106,000. The support levels are $101,000 and $98,800.

Ethereum (ETH): The ETH/USDT pair has lost 1.80% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $3,240. The resistance levels for ETH are first at $3,360, followed by $3,520. The support levels are $3,190 and $3,020.

Aptos (APT): The APT/USDT pair has lost 5.13% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $7.40. The resistance levels for APT are first at $8.05, followed by $9. The support levels are $7.20, and if the decline deepens, the next support is at $6.80.

Drift Protocol (DRIFT): The DRIFT/USDT pair has lost 1.32% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $0.897. The resistance levels for DRIFT are first at $0.95, followed by $1.02. The support levels are $0.88, and if the decline deepens, the next support is at $0.84.

Worldcoin (WLD): The WLD/USDT pair has lost 2.46% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $1.7282. The resistance levels for WLD are first at $1.85, followed by $2.10. The support levels are $1.61, and if the decline deepens, the next support is at $1.54.

Trending Coins

In the last 24 hours, the most trending coins in the crypto market are Alpha (ALPHA), Neiro (NEIRO), and Official Trump (TRUMP). Among the top gainers, Qtum (QTUM), Murasaki (MURA), and AI Companions (AIC) lead the list. On the other hand, the biggest losers in the market include Newton Project (NEW), Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), and Toshi (TOSHI).

Bitcoin Liquidation Map

Looking at Bitcoin’s 12-hour liquidation map, the most notable liquidation on the upside is at $103,667 with $11.52 million. On the downside, the key liquidation level stands at $101,629 with $10.32 million.

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