Especially the inflation data to be released in the US, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision, and tensions in the Middle East are among the topics closely followed by investors. How will Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies react?

Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision

The most important development of the week will be the Fed’s monetary policy meeting. Markets are focused not only on the central bank’s decision regarding interest rates but also on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s statements.

Expectations in the futures market indicate that the Fed will not make any changes to interest rates at this meeting. According to current forecasts, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is quite high.

Nevertheless, investors will closely monitor Powell’s assessments, particularly regarding the impact of developments related to Iran on energy prices and inflation. Concerns that rising energy prices could increase inflationary pressure have already weakened rate cut expectations.

Inflation Data and Economic Indicators

The Producer Price Index (PPI) data for February, to be released on Wednesday, also holds critical importance for the markets. This data can provide important signals about inflation trends as it reflects changes in production costs.

Analysts state that the PPI data is not expected to have a strong enough impact to change the Fed’s current tight monetary policy stance. Nevertheless, every new inflation indicator continues to influence rate expectations.

Later in the week, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and January new home sales data will be released. These indicators can provide additional clues about the overall health of the US economy.

Bitcoin Solid Stance: Middle East Tensions

In addition to economic developments, geopolitical risks are also on the markets’ agenda. Over the weekend, it was reported that the US carried out an attack on Iran’s Harg Island region, which is critical for the country’s oil industry.

Following this development, oil prices rose again, reaching approximately $100 per barrel. The increase in energy prices is seen as an important factor that could affect global inflation expectations.

On the other hand, US President Donald Trump is expected to announce the formation of a joint naval security coalition with certain countries to escort ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

The fact that all these developments are occurring within the same week is creating an environment of increased uncertainty in financial markets. Therefore, both upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments are evaluated as likely to lead to higher short-term fluctuations in the crypto markets.

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Global investors are now monitoring two key factors simultaneously: the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Wednesday and growing energy risks around the Strait of Hormuz. At this point, market behavior is sitting on a particularly sensitive equilibrium.

Why Gold Prices Remain Stable

Gold has remained resilient despite waning expectations for rate cuts, supported by a weaker dollar and declining U.S. Treasury yields. These factors offset inflationary pressure from high energy prices, keeping gold above $5,000.

Earlier on Monday, gold experienced a roughly 1% drop. However, losses were quickly recovered as the dollar weakened. Spot gold rose 0.1% to $5,020 per ounce.

Meanwhile, April U.S. gold futures fell 0.7% to $5,024 per ounce, showing that the market is still searching for direction. The key driver here is actually a threefold balance: the dollar, Treasury yields, and energy prices.

When the dollar weakens, dollar-denominated commodities such as gold become cheaper for holders of other currencies, stimulating global demand.

Additionally, falling 10-year U.S. Treasury yields provide support for gold, as non-yielding assets like gold and silver become more attractive when yields decline.

Oil Remains Above $100

The Middle East conflict is directly affecting energy markets. As tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran enter the third week, oil remains above $100 per barrel.

This situation not only impacts energy markets but also affects global inflation expectations. High oil prices increase transportation and production costs, thereby strengthening inflationary pressure.

Gold is generally seen as a hedge against inflation. However, if inflation rises and central banks are forced to maintain high rates, real yields could increase, limiting gold’s upside.

According to OCBC strategist Christopher Wong, high energy prices may make the Fed more cautious about rate cuts. Essentially, the market is caught between two forces: geopolitical and inflation risks on one side, and the possibility of higher rates on the other.

Market Waiting Ahead of Fed Decision

The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting concludes on Wednesday.

The market expects policy rates to remain unchanged, but investors are watching the Fed’s messaging closely.

If Fed officials signal that energy-driven inflation remains a concern, expectations for rate cuts could be further delayed.

Even if rates remain unchanged, changes in communication could swiftly shift market balance.

Meanwhile, the interplay of Treasury yields, the dollar index, and commodity prices is currently delicate. Small announcements can trigger significant price movements.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis and Energy Diplomacy

Geopolitical tensions remain high. Developments around the Strait of Hormuz are critical for global energy security.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced that his administration has held talks with seven countries to secure the Strait.

This move is not only military but also a signal of new energy diplomacy in the Gulf. Trump also threatened increased attacks on Iran’s main oil export terminal at Kharg Island, while stating that no peace agreement is currently on the table.

He emphasized that countries heavily reliant on Gulf oil bear responsibility for protecting the Strait.

This underscores that global energy supply is both an economic and security matter.

Other Precious Metals Gain

The cautious balance in gold has also extended to other precious metals.

Spot silver rose 0.1% to $80.62 per ounce. Platinum increased 1.8% to $2,060, while palladium climbed 1.6% to $1,576 per ounce.

Currently, the market is pricing three risk factors simultaneously: energy prices, geopolitical tensions, and Fed policy.

The coming days will reveal which direction this threefold equation pushes gold prices, as global market balance—risk premiums and real yields—is being recalculated in real time.

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Monday

The week begins with important developments in both technology and crypto markets.

The NVIDIA GTC AI conference will officially begin. The event is widely regarded as one of the most important gatherings in the artificial intelligence industry. New announcements related to AI chips, data center technologies, and developer tools are expected throughout the conference.

In the crypto sector, Neutron will release a network update affecting the NTRN token ecosystem.

Another notable development involves FLOW, which will be delisted from South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Upbit and Bithumb.

Wednesday

Wednesday stands out as the most critical day of the week due to several macroeconomic announcements.

The Eurozone annual inflation rate (CPI) will be released at 13:00. Market expectations point to 1.9%, unchanged from the previous figure.

Later in the day, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) will be announced at 15:30, with the previous reading at 2.9%.

The most closely watched event, however, will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, scheduled for 21:00. Market consensus expects the policy rate to remain at 3.75%, unchanged from the previous level.

Following the decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will answer questions from the press during a scheduled conference at 21:30.

Thursday

Thursday’s agenda will be dominated by geopolitical and diplomatic developments.

The European Council summit will take place, where European leaders are expected to discuss regional security, economic policies, and ongoing geopolitical issues.

On the same day, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will meet U.S. President Donald Trump for the second time. The meeting is expected to address trade relations and strategic cooperation between the two countries.

Friday

The week concludes with the beginning of Eid al-Fitr, marking the end of the holy month of Ramadan.

The holiday period may lead to lower trading activity across several regional markets, particularly in Muslim-majority countries. Reduced liquidity during holiday periods can sometimes lead to increased volatility in crypto markets.

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Over the past week, Bitcoin gained more than 4%, demonstrating resilience even as global uncertainty increased. Although the asset experienced a modest decline over the last 24 hours, it continues to trade above the levels seen before the latest escalation in the conflict.

Crypto Market Ends the Week in Positive Territory

Despite rising geopolitical risks, the broader cryptocurrency market posted gains throughout the week. Several major digital assets recorded notable increases during the same period.

Ether climbed roughly 5.5%, reaching around $2,090. Dogecoin advanced by about 5%, while Solana rose approximately 4% to trade near $88. BNB also recorded a weekly gain of around 4.5%, reaching roughly $655.

For Bitcoin, however, the key technical hurdle remains the resistance zone between $73,000 and $74,000. Over the past two weeks, the asset has tested this range multiple times but has yet to achieve a decisive breakout.

Markets Are Adapting to War-Related Headlines

In the early stages of the conflict, financial markets reacted sharply to each new development due to uncertainty surrounding potential risks. Over time, however, traders appear to have developed a clearer framework for pricing geopolitical events.

A pattern has gradually emerged: military escalation tends to push oil prices higher, leading to short-term volatility in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Yet after the initial reaction, markets have repeatedly stabilized.

This suggests that investors are increasingly treating war-related news as temporary shocks rather than long-term market disruptors.

Oil Supply Risks and the Strait of Hormuz

Another factor contributing to market uncertainty is the risk to global oil supply. The U.S. strike on Kharg Island has raised concerns about further disruptions in energy markets.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump stated that oil infrastructure had been spared for the time being but warned that the situation could change if Iran attempted to block the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes.

Iran, in turn, warned that attacks on energy facilities could trigger retaliatory actions against U.S.-linked assets in the region. According to energy analysts, the current situation already represents one of the largest oil supply disruptions in modern history.

Focus Shifts to the Upcoming Federal Reserve Meeting

While geopolitical developments remain a key factor, financial markets are also closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for March 17–18.

Oil prices remaining above $100 per barrel, combined with ongoing global uncertainty, have revived concerns about stagflation. Market data currently indicates a strong expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep its policy rate unchanged within the 3.5%–3.75% range.

However, the economic projections and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may prove more influential than the decision itself. Any indication that interest rate hikes could return to the policy agenda may put pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

For now, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain levels above $70,000 highlights the market’s resilience. Still, global developments continue to carry the potential to trigger new waves of volatility across the crypto sector.

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This setup is optimized for stablecoins, DeFi, and real-time financial transactions, EVM-compatible, delivering sub-second block times and instant finality with deterministic execution to minimize error in financial operations.

Why Neura Matters

Neura’s ecosystem stablecoin, $USN, is backed by a diversified reserve of GENIUS-Act compliant yield-bearing stablecoins. Operating on Neura’s sovereign infrastructure, $USN provides:

• Deterministic settlement (instant settlement)

• Liquidity aggregation

• Gasless transfers

• Compliance and auditability

Instead of inflationary token emissions, revenues from the infrastructure itself—RPCfi, MEV, and OEV mechanisms—convert network usage into sustainable liquidity and yield, rewarding users, developers, and validators.

Key Differentiators

• Sovereign Infrastructure: Global bare-metal servers and private fiber for stablecoins & finance

• Unified Liquidity ($USN): Combines yield-bearing stablecoins into a single reserve-backed asset

• Gasless Stablecoin Transfers: $USN transfers settle instantly at zero cost

• Compliance by Design: Governance, geo-fencing, auditability, SOC 2 Type II, MACsec Layer 2 encryption

• Sustainable Revenue: RPCfi, OEV, MEV, and reserve yield are recycled into liquidity & network value

• Developer-First Environment: EVM-compatible, account abstraction, bundled transactions, multi-token gas support

Target Audiences

• Institutions & Enterprises:
  Banks, fintechs, and asset managers seeking low-latency, compliant, and auditable stablecoin rails. Real-time settlement and sustainable yield via $USN.
• Builders & Protocol Teams:
  DeFi developers and stablecoin projects creating high-frequency financial products. Integration with RPCfi yield, liquidity incentives, and composable infrastructure tools.
• Crypto & DeFi Natives:
  Users seeking low-cost, gasless, and reward-oriented interactions. Earn chain-owned liquidity and infrastructure rewards from network activity.

How Neura Works (Ecosystem Flywheel)

Neura operates a self-sustaining economic loop, eliminating the need for constant inflationary token issuance:

1. User Transactions: Users transact on the network

2. RPC Fees Captured: Infrastructure fees from transactions are collected

3. Liquidity Pools: Collected fees fund network liquidity pools (RPCfi model)

4. Sustainable Yield: Pools generate predictable yield without external token emissions

5. Ecosystem Growth: Yield and liquidity attract more projects and users, restarting the cycle

Neura Components

Sovereign Infrastructure: Global bare-metal validators, private fiber, and enterprise-grade consensus for sub-second finality and high throughput.

Architecture Highlights:

• QBFT Consensus: Byzantine fault-tolerant, fork-resistant, deterministic block finality

• Safe Multisig & Vault: Secure and auditable validator coordination and treasury operations

• Bridging Infrastructure: Bi-directional token flows with Ethereum; future expansion to SVM, Cosmos, MoveVM

• Performance-Tuned Validators: High-availability infrastructure, AI-native capabilities (on-chain inference, federated learning)

• Transparent Security & Progressive Decentralization: Monitoring, reporting, and phased validator set expansion

$USN and Stablecoin Architecture

• Full Reserve Model: 1:1 backed by diversified GENIUS-Act compliant stablecoins

• Gasless Transfers & Liquidity Aggregation

• Cross-Chain Access via Bridges

Tokenomics

• Native Gas Token: $USN

•  Assets: $ANKR and others for flexibility

• Value Capture: RPCfi, MEV, OEV, and reserve yield recycled into ecosystem incentives

• Gamified Rewards: Points, liquidity rewards, and developer incentives

RPCfi

• Converts RPC infrastructure spendings into on-chain yield

• Creates a compounding loop: usage → liquidity → ecosystem growth

• Aligns incentives for users, builders, and validators

Ecosystem & Partnerships

• Applications: Zotto, veDEX, Genera, Quantara, AlignMint, Anomaly, Privy, Biconomy, Algebra, Ankr, Tomo

• Features: Smart wallet, gasless transfers, AI-powered games, DeFi apps

Security Model

Neura employs a multi-layered security approach spanning physical infrastructure, consensus, validators, and governance:

• Physical & Network Security: Bare-metal validators, private fiber, edge filtering

• Auditing & Validation: Independent audits, formal verification, continuous monitoring, bug bounty programs

• Threat Mitigation: DDoS protection, safe upgrades, validator diversity

• Security Governance: Security Council, incident protocols, phased decentralization

Neuraverse: Gamified Testnet Experience

Neuraverse transforms standard testnet interactions—token claims, bridging, swapping—into a gamified experience, where users earn Neura Points while exploring:

• Map: Main navigation layer with interactive structures

• Faucet & Bridge: Claim tANKR tokens, bridge between Neura Testnet & Ethereum Sepolia

• Exchange (Zotto): Swap and liquidity pools for DeFi testing

• Leaderboard: Track points and ecosystem contributions

Project Links

• Website: neuraprotocol.io

• Documentation: docs.neuraprotocol.io

• Twitter/X: @Neura_io

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The proposal is considered to play a critical role in determining how major banks operating in the US will interact with Bitcoin and similar digital assets.

Fed Preparing to Publish New Basel Proposal

According to information from officials, the Fed is expected to publish a draft in the coming days explaining how banks should apply risk-weighting rules under the Basel Accords. This regulation will particularly cover large-scale American banks.

Following the publication of the proposal, an approximately 90-day public comment period will begin. During this period, financial institutions, industry representatives, and policy organizations will be able to submit their views and suggestions regarding the draft regulation to the authorities.

The Bitcoin Policy Institute is among the organizations planning to take an active role in this process. The institution’s goal is stated as ensuring that regulators adopt a more balanced and accurate framework when evaluating Bitcoin.

Basel Rules Classify Bitcoin as a High-Risk Asset

Under the current Basel regulations, Bitcoin is considered a very high-risk asset on banks’ balance sheets. Within this framework, a 1250% risk weight is applied to Bitcoin.

This ratio requires banks to hold significantly higher capital when taking any position related to Bitcoin or providing services connected to this asset. Compared to traditional financial assets, this represents a very heavy capital requirement.

Critics argue that this approach creates an effect that could limit banks’ activities in the Bitcoin sector. High capital obligations can cause many financial institutions to avoid offering crypto asset services.

A Critical Process for the Banking Sector

The draft regulation prepared by the Fed is seen as an important part of the ongoing discussions regarding the position of digital assets within the global banking system. Policymakers in the US have long been debating how crypto assets should be integrated into the traditional financial system.

Industry representatives believe that the final decision could be decisive in whether banks expand their services related to Bitcoin. If the regulations maintain the current risk approach, many banks are expected to continue keeping their distance from the crypto sector.

Conversely, if a more balanced risk assessment model is adopted, it could open the door for traditional financial institutions to engage more actively with the Bitcoin ecosystem. Therefore, the Fed’s proposal regarding the Basel application is being closely monitored by both the banking sector and the crypto market.

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His remarks suggest that progress in the Senate could move at a slower pace, prolonging the uncertainty surrounding comprehensive crypto regulation in the U.S.

Clarity Act Unlikely to Pass Committee Before April

According to comments from Senate leadership, the Clarity Act is not expected to move through the Senate Banking Committee in the immediate term. Thune stated that it would be difficult for the proposal to clear the committee before April.

The Clarity Act is widely viewed as an important effort to define how digital assets should be regulated within the U.S. financial system. The legislation aims to clarify the legal status of cryptocurrencies, outline the responsibilities of market participants, and establish a clearer division of regulatory authority among government agencies.

While the bill has made progress in the House of Representatives, discussions in the Senate remain ongoing, highlighting the complexity of building consensus around digital asset regulation.

Senate Approves Housing Bill With CBDC Restriction

In a separate development, the Senate recently approved a comprehensive housing bill that includes a provision restricting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

The legislation has now been sent to the House of Representatives for further consideration. The inclusion of the CBDC-related clause reflects the continuing political debate in the United States over whether the Federal Reserve should introduce a government-backed digital currency.

SAVE America Act Takes Legislative Priority

At the same time, another proposal has taken priority in the congressional agenda: the SAVE America Act. The Senate is expected to vote on the measure in the coming week.

The bill focuses on election procedures and would require individuals to provide official documentation proving citizenship when registering to vote. Former President Donald Trump has publicly supported the legislation and previously stated that he would not sign other bills until the measure is passed.

This prioritization of other legislative matters may also contribute to delays in advancing crypto-related regulation.

Ongoing Debate Over Stablecoins

Discussions surrounding digital asset regulation also extend to the stablecoin sector. One of the most debated issues involves whether stablecoin issuers should be allowed to offer yield-like returns to users.

Traditional banks argue that such practices could draw deposits away from the banking system while avoiding the regulatory requirements that banks must follow. On the other hand, some policymakers believe properly regulated stablecoins could actually strengthen the U.S. financial system.

Supporters of the latter view argue that compliant stablecoin frameworks may attract international capital into the American banking ecosystem rather than weakening it.

Regulatory Clarity Could Be a Major Catalyst

Despite uncertainty surrounding the legislative timeline, policy analysts generally agree that a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets could become a significant catalyst for the industry.

Clear rules may encourage greater participation from institutional investors and financial institutions that have so far remained cautious due to regulatory ambiguity. Increased institutional involvement could, in turn, bring more liquidity and long-term stability to the crypto market.

For now, the direction and timing of U.S. crypto regulation remain closely watched by both the digital asset industry and traditional financial institutions worldwide.

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The post Is Clarity Act Being Postponed? Here Are Possible Dates! appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The statement has attracted attention across global financial markets, as investors continue to speculate about the future direction of U.S. monetary policy and the potential impact on risk assets.

What Is Quantitative Easing?

Quantitative easing is a monetary policy tool typically used by central banks during periods of severe economic stress. Under this approach, a central bank purchases large quantities of government bonds and other financial assets from the market. The goal is to increase liquidity within the financial system, lower long-term interest rates, and stimulate economic activity.

The Federal Reserve has relied on QE in the past during major crises. Notably, the policy was widely used after the 2008 global financial crisis and again during the COVID-19 pandemic. These programs helped stabilize financial markets and supported economic recovery by injecting significant liquidity into the system.

Focus Remains on Policy Normalization

Bessent’s comments indicate that the U.S. economy is not currently facing the type of crisis that would require emergency monetary stimulus. As a result, the Federal Reserve appears to be maintaining its focus on policy normalization rather than returning to ultra-loose conditions.

At present, the Fed’s priorities remain centered on managing inflation and maintaining economic stability. Policymakers are attempting to ensure that inflation continues to moderate while keeping economic growth on a sustainable path.

This approach suggests that the central bank is likely to proceed cautiously, avoiding large-scale monetary stimulus unless economic conditions deteriorate significantly.

Implications for Financial Markets

The indication that QE is not on the near-term horizon carries important implications for financial markets. Historically, large liquidity injections from central banks have played a major role in fueling rallies across risk assets, including equities and cryptocurrencies.

However, the current outlook suggests that financial conditions could remain relatively tight compared to previous stimulus-driven cycles. Without the support of expansive liquidity programs, markets may experience a more restrained environment where fundamentals and macroeconomic data play a larger role in shaping price movements.

Outlook for Future Monetary Policy

While quantitative easing remains a powerful policy tool, Bessent’s remarks imply that its return would likely require a significant economic downturn or financial crisis. For now, policymakers appear committed to a more measured strategy focused on controlling inflation and maintaining macroeconomic stability.

As a result, expectations for an immediate return to large-scale monetary expansion remain limited, and global markets will continue to monitor economic data and central bank signals for clues about the next phase of policy.

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Rising geopolitical risks are complicating the picture further. Messages from Iran regarding the Hormuz Strait have heightened perceived energy risks. At this point, investors are closely watching both energy prices and today’s critical U.S. inflation data.

Oil Price Rally Pressures Gold

On Friday morning, spot gold traded around $5,112 per ounce, gaining roughly 0.7% intraday. April U.S. gold futures saw a slight decline, settling at $5,116.

The drop in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield could provide some support for non-yielding gold. Nevertheless, weekly performance shows more than a 1% decline. The key driver remains energy prices: the return of oil toward $100 raises expectations for renewed inflation pressure in the U.S. In market terms, as oil rises, the likelihood of Fed rate cuts gets delayed.

Hormuz Strait Tensions Ignite Energy Market

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated this week. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, said Tehran could use the strategic Hormuz Strait as leverage against the U.S. and Israel.

This statement triggered immediate reactions in the energy market. Attacks on Gulf oil tankers and stern warnings from Iran have undermined hopes that the conflict would ease quickly. Brent crude neared the $100 mark again, reviving global energy supply concerns and directly influencing inflation expectations.

Eyes on Fed Decision and PCE Inflation Data

Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump again called on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates. Market expectations, however, point elsewhere.

According to CME FedWatch, investors anticipate the Fed will keep rates in the 3.5–3.75% range at its two-day meeting ending March 18.

The main focus for markets is today’s release of the U.S. January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, this data could reshape expectations for the central bank’s interest rate path.

On the metals front, gains were modestly positive. Spot silver rose 1% to $84.59 per ounce. Platinum gained 1.2% to $2,157, while palladium increased 1.1% to $1,636 per ounce.

Energy prices saw a small pullback. The U.S. issued 30-day licenses allowing countries to purchase stranded Russian crude and petroleum products, slightly easing prices. Brent remained around $99.8, and WTI crude stayed near $95 per barrel.

Why Is Gold Falling?
Rising oil prices increase inflation risks, weakening expectations for a Fed rate cut. Higher interest rate expectations typically place downward pressure on gold prices.

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At this point, investors are wondering: Which direction will the Fed’s upcoming policy decisions push the market in the short term? The market seems to be pricing in possible scenarios already, but the outcomes are still unclear.

February CPI Data and Market Reaction

BLS data for February shows:

• Housing costs up 0.2%

• Food prices up 0.4%

• Energy costs up 0.6%

• Core CPI (excluding food and energy) up 0.2%

Stephen Coltman, macro head at 21Shares, said:

“Will the Fed ignore this temporary shock, or will it maintain a hawkish stance?”

Despite February CPI, crypto markets remained resilient. Total crypto market capitalization indicators, excluding Bitcoin, confirm this. BTC traded around $69,468 and ETH at $2,028.

What Does This Scenario Mean for Bitcoin?

Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, noted that Bitcoin is likely to remain within the $68,000–$74,000 range in the short term. However, the $75,000 resistance level is approaching, and surpassing it could signal a medium-term consolidation between $75,000 and $80,000.

Historical price data supports this scenario: after geopolitical shocks, BTC typically rebounds by 15% or more. This suggests potential price growth to the $77,000–$80,000 range, serving as a key indicator for investor expectations.

Oil Attacks and Stagflation Concerns

According to CME FedWatch, only 0.6% of investors expect a rate cut at the March 18 meeting. Following attacks on oil tankers in Iraqi waters, Brent crude surpassed $100 per barrel. A short-lived relief rally faded, and Bitcoin slipped below $70,000.

On-chain data indicates sustained selling pressure due to stagflation fears triggered by geopolitical tensions and declining short-term rate cut expectations. High oil prices complicate ignoring stagflation scenarios and make rate cuts less likely.

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