“Crypto Policies Remain a Priority”

Kristin Smith stated that Trump has not changed his stance on cryptocurrencies and that work in this area continues within the White House. According to Smith, crypto regulation remains among the administration’s priority topics. She noted that teams at the White House are working on crypto policy on an almost daily basis, with David Sacks and Patrick Witt reportedly playing active roles in regulatory efforts.

Smith commented:

“Trump’s lack of public remarks on crypto does not mean his support has diminished. Serious and ongoing work is being carried out at the White House on this issue.”

She also drew attention to the “Genius Act,” previously signed by Trump. In addition, U.S. financial regulatory agencies are said to be preparing comprehensive frameworks for the crypto sector. Under the “Project Crypto” initiative launched by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), authorities aim to provide clearer rules for the industry within the scope of existing legal powers. This step is considered critical for institutionalizing crypto regulation in the United States.

Why Is Trump Silent?

According to Smith, Trump’s occasional decision not to address cryptocurrencies directly should not be interpreted as reduced support. Given the intensity of U.S. domestic politics, global geopolitical developments, and economic priorities, it is not always possible for the president to speak publicly about every issue. Therefore, the limited mention of crypto in recent public statements does not necessarily indicate that policy efforts have slowed. Smith emphasized that regulatory and strategic work regarding the future of the crypto sector remains active within the White House. Efforts to clarify the regulatory framework are seen as part of a broader strategy to reinforce the United States’ leadership position in the global crypto ecosystem.

Support Continues, but the Agenda Is Crowded

Although Trump’s recent reduction in public crypto commentary has raised questions within the community, official assessments suggest that the administration’s crypto policies remain in place. Ongoing regulatory initiatives by the SEC and CFTC, legislative efforts such as the Genius Act, and the active involvement of White House advisors all indicate that the U.S. continues to shape its crypto regulatory landscape. In the coming period, concrete regulatory steps in the United States may provide clearer insight into the Trump administration’s long-term approach to the crypto industry.

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Why Did the U.S. Government Enter a Partial Shutdown?

According to official statements, the U.S. Senate approved the H.R. 7148 spending bill with a 71–29 vote. The bill covers 11 out of 12 annual spending measures, providing funding for most federal agencies through September 2026. This step is intended as a temporary funding solution to allow the majority of government operations to continue without interruption. However, the House of Representatives went on recess without voting on the bill before the budget deadline. This caused some departments to miss necessary funding and led to a partial, rather than full, government shutdown. The situation is expected to remain uncertain until the House reconvenes.

At the center of the funding impasse are immigration policies. Democrats opposed giving the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) unlimited authority over deportations and did not approve full-year funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). To keep negotiations alive, Senate leaders and the White House agreed to remove DHS funding from the main package. The Office of Management and Budget announced that the House is not expected to reconvene until February 2, 2026, and the shutdown could last several days.

Which Agencies Are Affected by the Partial Shutdown?

Due to the funding delay, non-essential personnel at several departments—including Homeland Security, Labor, Education, State, and Justice—were furloughed or allowed to work only with limited responsibilities. This has slowed administrative processes, caused delays in approvals and applications, and temporarily disrupted some public services.

Critical functions such as national security, air traffic control, and emergency services continue to operate without interruption. Authorities emphasize that services directly affecting public safety are exempt from the shutdown. They warn that if the partial shutdown is prolonged, the impact on public services could become more pronounced and disruptions could increase.

Implications for Markets and Crypto

Historically, government shutdowns raise risk perception in markets. During the last full shutdown, Bitcoin lost approximately 10–12% of its value. In the current partial shutdown, Bitcoin has remained relatively stable around $83,000, with movement so far below 2%. However, historical data suggest that if the shutdown continues and political negotiations stall, Bitcoin volatility could increase by 5–10%. As a result, investors are closely monitoring the duration of the shutdown and the progress of negotiations in Washington.

Although the U.S. partial government shutdown has had a limited short-term impact on markets so far, uncertainty persists. If the shutdown is prolonged, volatility is likely to rise in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin investors, in particular, are advised to remain cautious regarding political developments and macroeconomic risks.

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Trump’s Tariffs and China’s Strategic Response

With Trump’s return to office, the U.S. sharply increased tariffs on goods imported from China. By January 2026, the average U.S. tariff on Chinese imports reached 29.3%. While theoretically aimed at weakening China’s export power and bringing production back to the U.S., in practice, Beijing has taken a more flexible, long-term strategic approach.

China has managed to preserve its global market share by shifting exports toward ASEAN countries and other regions, reducing its dependency on the U.S. market. According to JPMorgan, China’s actual exports are projected to grow about 8% in 2025, with its global export share rising to 15%. In contrast, exports to the U.S. have fallen below 10% of total exports, reflecting this structural shift.

A key factor behind China’s resilience is its strict and controlled management of the yuan. JPMorgan highlights that China maintains a low-volatility currency regime, keeping the yuan largely pegged to the U.S. dollar. Although the yuan has strengthened about 4% since its 2023 lows, this appreciation is carefully managed within a controlled band rather than left to free-market forces.

Chinese policymakers deliberately prevent rapid and sharp yuan appreciation to preserve export competitiveness and limit deflationary pressures on the economy. This strategic approach indirectly influences global dollar liquidity, shaping financial market balances and creating an important mechanism affecting Bitcoin’s macro environment.

How This Dynamic Affects Bitcoin

Macro-sensitive assets like Bitcoin are highly responsive to changes in dollar liquidity. During periods of increased uncertainty and risk aversion, dollar liquidity tightens, putting pressure on BTC. Conversely, easing tensions and expanding liquidity provide a supportive environment for Bitcoin. JPMorgan notes that China’s currency policy accelerates this process. During heightened U.S.-China trade tensions, stronger dollar-based cash flows often result in volatile but directional price movements in Bitcoin. For instance, BTC showed a similar reaction during the March–April period of the previous year when trade tensions escalated.

Aligning with Arthur Hayes’ Thesis

This scenario aligns with the long-held views of BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes. According to Hayes, tariffs and trade negotiations are largely political displays, while the true market drivers are currency policies, capital flows, and global liquidity management. In short, China’s response to Trump’s tariffs goes beyond export numbers. Managed yuan policies and global liquidity cycles quietly but effectively shape the macro environment in which Bitcoin trades. For crypto markets, this underscores the importance of monitoring liquidity and monetary policy dynamics over short-term headlines.

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Chip Deals Under Scrutiny

According to a report by Semafor, an independent inspector affiliated with the U.S. State Department has launched a preliminary review at the request of two Democratic senators regarding certain chip-related agreements overseen by David Sacks and Steve Witkoff in the UAE. The review is examining whether ethical standards were violated during the approval process that allowed the export of advanced U.S.-made technology chips to the UAE, as well as the criteria used in making these decisions.

Senators Elizabeth Warren and Elissa Slotkin emphasized that the agreements should be assessed not only from a commercial perspective but also in terms of national security and strategic interests. The senators called for a transparent and accountable review process, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest in the decision-making process.

“Crypto Ties May Have Influenced Decisions”

One of the most notable allegations raised by the two Democratic senators is that David Sacks and Steve Witkoff have crypto-related ties to the UAE. According to the senators, these relationships may have directly or indirectly influenced decisions regarding the export of advanced U.S. technology chips. This claim has intensified calls for a broader review that includes ethical and strategic considerations, not just economic ones.

As the cryptocurrency ecosystem increasingly becomes a strategic global domain, it has introduced new areas of debate in international relations. The intersection of digital assets, financial systems, and advanced technology has heightened demands for transparency and accountability in policymaking. As a result, decisions involving technology exports, chip manufacturing, and crypto-related interests are coming under closer political scrutiny in the U.S.

No Formal Investigation Yet

The Inspector General’s Office stated that no formal investigation has been launched at this stage, clarifying that the process remains a preliminary assessment. The purpose of this initial review is to determine whether the allegations are supported by concrete evidence. If sufficient findings suggesting ethical violations or conflicts of interest emerge, the case could be escalated into a full investigation.

These developments highlight how cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and advanced technology policies in the U.S. are now being evaluated not only through an economic lens, but also from political and ethical perspectives. The scrutiny of senior officials’ crypto-related connections suggests that similar investigations could become more frequent in the future. Experts note that such reviews may also signal how the U.S. intends to balance global technology leadership with its evolving regulatory approach toward crypto and digital assets.

Assessment

The calls for scrutiny into David Sacks and Steve Witkoff underscore a sensitive intersection of crypto affiliations, advanced chip exports, and public-sector ethics in the United States. The renewed focus on national security, conflicts of interest, and transparency further amplifies the political significance of the issue, indicating that crypto-linked policymaking will remain a contentious topic going forward.

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1. S. President Donald Trump’s pardon of Binance founder CZ,
2. BNB’s upcoming listings on Coinbase and Robinhood,
3. The potential technical breakout above the $1,100 resistance level.

The combination of these three factors has created strong psychological and technical momentum for BNB’s price.

Trump Pardons Binance Founder CZ

U.S. President Donald Trump has made a historic decision that sent ripples across the crypto world, officially pardoning Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao. Trump described the move as a correction of what he called “a politically motivated crackdown on crypto” under the Biden administration.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated:

“President Trump aims to restore fairness and support innovation in the digital finance sector. The pardon granted to CZ should be seen as a reflection of that vision.”

Trump’s decision is viewed not just as a personal pardon, but as the beginning of a renewed pro-crypto policy era. The markets reacted positively to the news — investor confidence rose, and BNB-related assets within the Binance ecosystem saw a sharp uptick shortly after the announcement.

Coinbase and Robinhood Announce BNB Listings

The positive sentiment sparked by Trump’s pardon of CZ was further amplified after two major U.S.-based platforms  Coinbase and Robinhood  announced plans to list Binance Coin (BNB).

Despite being a direct competitor to Binance, Coinbase’s decision to list BNB marks an unexpected strategic shift. Analysts interpret this move as an effort to expand BNB’s accessibility for U.S. investors and respond to the market’s growing demand. Meanwhile, Robinhood also confirmed BNB trading support, increasing interest among retail investors in the U.S.. With this listing, BNB becomes accessible not only to crypto enthusiasts but also to traditional finance users. Market observers suggest that having both major platforms onboard could significantly boost BNB’s demand and trading volume in the coming weeks.

BNB Rebounds from Strong Technical Support

Following a recent correction, BNB regained strength and continued its upward move around the $1,130 level. The cryptocurrency bounced sharply from the $1,050 support zone, which has aligned with its long-term ascending trendline maintained since the summer. This region acted as a solid accumulation area for buyers, allowing BNB to regain momentum and reaffirm its bullish trend. Technical analysts note that if this momentum persists, BNB could soon retest higher resistance zones, signaling a potential continuation of its uptrend.

At the same time, open interest levels in the futures market have increased, signaling renewed participation from both retail investors and institutional players. Typically, a rise in open interest is interpreted as a sign of improving market sentiment and a potential increase in volatility as more traders enter leveraged positions.

Analysts Set New Targets for BNB

Combining technical indicators and recent market developments, analysts maintain a short-term bullish outlook for BNB. Experts suggest that if the price holds above the $1,140 resistance level, the next target zone could be around $1,350. Some market analysts believe that a break above this level could trigger a new upward trend, potentially pushing BNB toward the $1,500 mark before the end of the year.

However, they also caution that for this move to be sustainable, market stability in major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum will be crucial. Continued strength in these leading cryptocurrencies would likely support BNB’s momentum and maintain investor confidence across the broader market.

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This demand stems from allegations that the Witkoff family is connected to a $2 billion investment from UAE-backed MGX, which was reportedly channeled into the USD1 stablecoin via Binance.

Conflict of Interest and Ethics Violation Allegations

Democratic Senators Elizabeth Warren and Jeff Merkley argue that Witkoff’s family business ties to the WLFI project during his tenure as Middle East envoy represent a serious conflict of interest. They claim that Witkoff violated federal ethics rules by failing to disclose his crypto investments and not divesting his holdings while in office.

“When a public official’s financial interests intersect so directly with the nation’s foreign affairs, it poses a serious ethical concern.”
— Senator Elizabeth Warren

According to the Democrats, Witkoff’s continued $120 million stake in WLF raises the risk of indirect influence over government decisions and creates national security concerns.

UAE Connections and Binance Transactions

According to allegations, the Witkoff family established close ties with UAE-based financial circles in early 2025, and Zach Witkoff, Steve Witkoff’s son, personally led negotiations between WLFI and Binance. During this process, a $2 billion investment from MGX, a UAE-backed firm, was reportedly secured through the USD1 stablecoin.

These transactions had previously been reviewed by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics, but the new Senate inquiry has brought the matter back into focus. Analysts warn that this renewed investigation could delay WLFI’s operations and directly impact its stablecoin projects.

“WLF’s relationship with Binance will be tested — not only in terms of investor transparency but also in defining the boundaries of foreign financial influence.”
— Congressional Advisor

GENIUS Act Debate Intensifies

The controversy emerges at a critical time, as Congress continues to debate the GENIUS Act, a bill designed to ease crypto regulations in the U.S.
Democrats fear that the Witkoff family and Trump’s inner circle could profit indirectly from foreign state-backed investments under the proposed legislation.

The vote on the GENIUS Act may now be delayed due to the ongoing ethics investigation. Experts warn that the situation could deepen political uncertainty surrounding crypto finance in the U.S. and undermine investor confidence.

“Unless ethical transparency is ensured in the crypto sector, political influences will continue to amplify market volatility.”
— Crypto Policy Analyst

Political Pressure Reflects on the Crypto Market

This development has once again raised political risk concerns in the crypto market. Trump’s pro-crypto stance, contrasted with investigations targeting his advisers, suggests that political scrutiny could directly affect market confidence and regulatory expectations.

Analysts note that the increased pressure from Democrats may lead to a tightening of the U.S. regulatory framework, creating uncertainty for crypto companies and investors alike.

Reassessing the Crypto–Politics Connection

The Senate Democrats’ demand that Steve Witkoff divest his $120 million stake and disclose his crypto holdings has reignited debate over the ethical risks of intertwining cryptocurrency and politics in the United States.

According to experts, the outcome of this investigation will not only determine the future of the WLFI project, but could also influence stablecoin market liquidity and the legislative trajectory of the GENIUS Act. As investors closely monitor the congressional hearings, transparency and ethical compliance are being emphasized as crucial for rebuilding trust in the crypto market.

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The conference agenda includes key topics such as stablecoins, tokenization, artificial intelligence, and the development of blockchain-based financial infrastructures. Industry giants such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, Fireblocks, Chainlink, ARK Invest, and BNY Mellon are among the participants.

The Fed Puts Financial Innovation on the Table

With this conference first announced in early September the Fed is bringing discussions about modernizing financial infrastructure and integrating crypto assets into payment systems to the forefront. During the October 21 event, participants will focus on exploring solutions to improve the security, transparency, and speed of payment systems.

The opening and closing sessions will be delivered by Fed Governor Christopher Waller, a well-known supporter of interest rate cuts and one of Donald Trump’s potential candidates for Fed Chair. According to the official schedule, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will not attend the event. The conference is expected to begin around 3:00 PM (local time).

Tokenization and Stablecoins Take Center Stage

The two main topics of the conference are tokenization and stablecoins. Participants will discuss how these digital assets can be regulated and securely integrated into existing financial systems. Additionally, under the tokenization theme, experts will explore the idea of representing securities or investment funds on-chain.

According to analysts, the Fed’s decision to hold these discussions publicly signals that clearer regulatory steps for crypto assets may be on the horizon. This process could enhance market stability for both institutional and retail investors.

Major Companies Take the Stage

Held at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, the event carries significant importance not only for the U.S. but for the global financial landscape.
Participants include leading institutions such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, ARK Invest, BNY Mellon, Fireblocks, Chainlink, Coinbase, and Paxos.

Prominent crypto figure Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, will also appear as a speaker. This high level of participation highlights how the boundaries between traditional finance and the crypto world are increasingly blurring, signaling a rapid acceleration of integration.

The Fed Shapes the Future of Crypto Finance

The Federal Reserve’s Payments Innovation Conference stands as a pivotal event that could shape the future of both traditional finance and the crypto sector.
With discussions focusing on stablecoins, tokenization, and artificial intelligence, the conference demonstrates that digital finance is now being taken seriously by major regulatory institutions.

The participation of industry giants like BlackRock, Chainlink, and BNY Mellon shows that this is not merely a discussion it marks the beginning of a transformative shift in global finance.

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However, Lummis indicated that the fundraising phase could become active in the coming weeks or months, signaling renewed momentum for the U.S. government’s plans to integrate Bitcoin into national reserves.

SBR Funding and Institutional Interest

On social media, Senator Lummis commented:

“Although regulatory processes are still moving slowly, thanks to President Trump, fundraising for the SBR could begin at any time.”

Her remarks followed a discussion in which ProCap BTC Investment Director Jeff Park spoke with Bitcoin advocate Anthony Pompliano about SBR’s potential. Park argued that investing $1 trillion from U.S. gold reserves into Bitcoin could be a low-risk move from an economic standpoint.

Lummis supported Park’s perspective, emphasizing the importance of the Bitcoin Act and the SBR framework. According to the senator, the fund would not only increase the government’s reserve diversification but also strengthen Bitcoin’s credibility within the national economy and financial system.

Fund Formation and Purchase Process of the SBR

Details on how the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) fund will be raised are still not fully clear. According to official information, the reserve will initially be created using Bitcoin seized by the Treasury Department. Later, new BTC purchases will be conducted in a budget-neutral manner, ensuring no additional burden on U.S. taxpayers.

The stages of the funding process are being closely monitored by investors and markets. Experts note that if the government begins direct Bitcoin acquisitions, this step could have a significant impact on both BTC price and institutional demand.

Even though seven months have passed since President Donald Trump signed the executive order to establish the SBR, the official structure of the reserve is still not finalized. However, many analysts expect the fund to become active soon and start official purchases.

Market Focus: Government Purchases

Analysts predict that if the SBR is implemented:

• Upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price could accelerate
• Institutional investors may increase their market participation
• The fund being managed by the Treasury could serve as a long-term stability signal for the markets

Expert Opinions and Expectations

Crypto analysts and investment professionals emphasize that the SBR would:

• Strengthen Bitcoin’s role in national reserves
• Increase acceptance of digital assets within the financial system

Senator Cynthia Lummis’ statements indicate that the SBR is not just a financial instrument but also reflects the U.S. government’s strategic approach to digital assets.

Once the fund becomes active, both institutional and retail investor interest in Bitcoin is expected to rise. This would be interpreted as a strong signal for increased liquidity and upward price movement in the BTC market.

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The upcoming economic data and altcoin events in the new week may be decisive for market direction. In particular, large-scale token launches, swaps, and buyback programs can cause sudden price fluctuations in the relevant assets. In addition, U.S. economic data and central bank decisions are among the key factors investors should watch carefully, as they will shape the macro trend of the crypto market.

September 29, Monday

• Monad (MONAD): A new token launch will take place. Monad is a project aiming to add innovative features to the blockchain ecosystem, and the token launch may attract attention among the community and investors.
• Ronin (RON): The Ronin Treasury plans to initiate an RON token buyback program. Such buyback programs generally support prices by limiting supply and can increase investor confidence.

September 30, Tuesday

• KAIA: The KAIA token swap conducted via FNSA ends. Swap operations offer a mechanism to replace old tokens with new ones, impacting liquidity and token distribution.
• FTX Compensation Payment: The next round of compensation payments from FTX will take place. Such payments may increase investor confidence and provide liquidity for FTX victims.
• Tokenized Capital Summit – Singapore: This event will serve as an important meeting point between blockchain projects, investors, and regulators, providing a critical opportunity for new partnerships and announcements.
• U.S. Senate Crypto Market Structure Bill: The Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee announced that the bill would be finalized before September 30. This could provide regulatory clarity for the market and encourage greater participation from institutional investors.

October 1, Wednesday

• Token2049 – Singapore: One of the world’s largest crypto events, Token2049 will allow projects to connect with investors and media. Announcements during the event could trigger short-term price movements in the market.
• 1inch (1INCH) Announcement – 07:15: The announcement by 1inch may provide information about protocol updates or new integrations, potentially affecting the token price.
• Eurozone CPI – 12:00: Expectation 2.2%, previous 2.0%. Inflation data could influence European Central Bank decisions and indirectly shape crypto market risk appetite.
• U.S. Senate Hearing on Crypto Taxation – 17:00: Taxation, especially in the U.S., can directly affect investor behavior and create short-term volatility in some altcoins.

October 2, Thursday

• SUI – SuiFest Launch: SuiFest will showcase innovations and community activities in the Sui ecosystem, potentially increasing token demand.
• AR – Asia Arweave Day: An event to raise awareness about the Arweave ecosystem and data storage solutions, which may boost token demand and project visibility.
• LTC – Deadline for Spot ETF Approval: The SEC is expected to decide on LTC Spot ETF approval. A green light could serve as a major price catalyst for LTC.
• OP – Superchain 16a Mainnet Upgrade: Optimism’s Layer-2 upgrade aims to improve transaction speed and security, supporting ecosystem growth.
• Level Protocol Closure and Final Profit Distribution: An important liquidity and earnings opportunity for token holders.
• U.S. Jobless Claims – 15:30: Expectation 229k, previous 218k. Employment data will give insight into the overall health of the U.S. economy and may influence market sentiment.

October 3, Friday

• U.S. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) – 15:30: Expectation 0.3%, previous 0.3%. Labor costs may affect inflation expectations.
• U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls – 15:30: Expectation 51k, previous 22k. Employment data is a key indicator of economic recovery and could shape investor confidence.
• U.S. Unemployment Rate – 15:30: Expectation 4.3%, previous 4.3%. The unemployment rate influences risk appetite and, therefore, the short-term moves of crypto assets.

October 5, Sunday

• BNB Chain Wallet Browser Extension Removal: Officially discontinued. Users will need to switch to new wallet solutions, which may affect short-term liquidity and transaction flows.

This busy week will be critical for investors in terms of both altcoin projects and macroeconomic data. Events such as token launches, swaps, and buyback programs can cause short-term price fluctuations, while economic data will determine the broader market trend. It is crucial for investors to closely monitor liquidity conditions, whale activity, and market sentiment.

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Current Policy and Changing Dynamics

Vanguard had previously banned brokerage clients from buying and selling spot crypto ETFs, labeling cryptocurrencies as a “highly volatile asset class.” However, significant regulatory changes have recently taken place in the U.S.:

• The SEC has adopted new general listing standards to speed up crypto ETF approvals.
• The Trump administration has taken a more flexible stance toward crypto.
• Index funds covering major crypto assets have received the green light.

These developments have prompted Vanguard to reconsider its previously conservative approach.

Vanguard’s Potential Strategy

According to a source familiar with the matter, Vanguard is not currently planning to launch its own crypto ETFs. Instead, the company is weighing whether to allow brokerage clients access to certain third-party crypto ETF products. However, it remains unclear which products would be offered or when a decision might be made.

“Vanguard is proceeding very methodically. They recognize that since 2024, market dynamics have shifted significantly,” the source said.

Growing Competition!

The company’s new CEO, Salim Ramji, previously spent 10 years at BlackRock and was one of the key figures behind the launch of BlackRock’s highly successful Bitcoin ETF, IBIT. Since January 2024, IBIT has seen over $60 billion in net inflows, bringing its total assets above $80 billion. This has sparked the question: “Will Ramji pursue a similar strategy at Vanguard?”

At the Morningstar Investment Conference last July, Ramji reiterated that Vanguard would not be launching its own crypto ETFs. However, he avoided giving a direct answer when asked about providing platform access to third-party crypto ETFs.

Assessment

Vanguard’s move is seen as a signal that the company may enter the crypto market cautiously, but gradually. If brokerage clients are given access to third-party crypto ETFs, it would not only increase investors’ portfolio diversification but also strengthen Vanguard’s competitive position. Nevertheless, it should be remembered that crypto assets inherently carry high risks.

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