The brief recovery seen earlier in the week quickly faded, highlighting how fragile market confidence remains.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the index had been sitting at 20 on Friday, a level classified as “fear.” While still negative, it represented a slightly more stable sentiment compared to the deeper panic levels seen earlier in the year.

However, that stabilization proved short-lived.

The index briefly climbed to 25 on Wednesday, suggesting a modest improvement in sentiment. But as geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel and Iran intensified again, risk appetite among investors weakened and the indicator slipped back into extreme fear territory.

Market Confidence Still Shaken by Macro Risks

Investor sentiment in the crypto market has been fragile for months, largely due to a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical developments.

Earlier in February, the index plunged to 5, marking its lowest level of the year. That drop came amid a broader downturn in digital assets and a series of headwinds affecting global financial markets.

Several macro factors contributed to the deterioration in sentiment:

Uncertainty surrounding global interest rate policies, tightening liquidity conditions, rising US government debt levels and escalating geopolitical tensions all played a role in weakening investor confidence.

These pressures continue to shape risk appetite across financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

The October 2025 Crash Still Haunts the Market

The turning point for market sentiment traces back to the major crypto crash in October 2025.

During that sell-off, the price of Bitcoin dropped by more than 50% from its all-time high before staging a limited recovery. The crash wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars in value from the broader altcoin market and triggered a prolonged downturn across digital assets.

While Bitcoin has managed to stabilize somewhat since then, the broader market has struggled to regain momentum.

Altcoins, in particular, remain under heavy pressure.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, about 38% of altcoins are currently trading near their all-time low prices, a situation he described as even more severe than the conditions seen after the FTX collapse.

Liquidity Drain Hits Altcoins the Hardest

The sharp price decline across the crypto market has also been accompanied by a major drop in trading activity.

Overall crypto trading volumes have fallen by roughly 50%, signaling weaker liquidity and reduced participation from investors.

This environment tends to affect altcoins more severely. In the typical liquidity cycle of the crypto market, capital flows first into Bitcoin, then into large-cap altcoins, and finally into smaller speculative tokens. When risk appetite fades, that flow reverses quickly.

Darkfost noted that this dynamic explains why the altcoin sector is suffering the most.

“Altcoins remain the last sector of the crypto market where liquidity typically flows,” he said, adding that the ongoing geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic deterioration over the past several months make the current situation unsurprising.

Social Sentiment Toward Altcoins Hits Two-Year Low

Market psychology is also visible in social media and search data.

According to crypto analytics platform Santiment, mentions of “altcoins” across social media platforms have dropped to their lowest level in two years. This decline suggests that retail interest in speculative crypto assets has significantly cooled.

Search trends reveal a similar pattern.

Data from Google Trends shows that worldwide searches for the phrase “Bitcoin going to zero” reached their highest level since 2022 in February 2026.

Historically, spikes in such pessimistic search queries often appear during periods of extremely weak investor confidence.

For now, the broader picture remains clear: liquidity is thin, risk appetite is fading and investor sentiment in the crypto market continues to hover deep inside the fear zone.

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The first response was not panic selling. It was hesitation.

This distinction matters. Because when macro risk rises but price does not break, it reveals something deeper about market positioning.

Initial Price Reaction After Tariff Announcement

The Trump administration moved forward with the tariff decision using an alternative legal framework after its previous emergency economic authority was limited by the Supreme Court of the United States. The new tariffs were implemented under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974. This structure places certain limitations on scope and duration.

The market understood that detail quickly. Bitcoin continued to trade within the $68,000 range following the announcement. There was no sharp downside break. At the same time, no aggressive upside expansion appeared either. Price compressed and held its equilibrium zone.

Sometimes, this kind of non-reaction reflects weakness. Other times, it suggests the market was already positioned defensively.

Recent price behavior shows that $68,000 has become a short-term balance level. The area has functioned as both support and stabilization over recent sessions.

The key observation is simple: macro pressure increased, but this level held.

In previous macro shocks, Bitcoin reacted much faster. That reflex is missing now. This opens two possibilities. Positioning may already be lighter. Or participants may be waiting for clearer signals before committing capital.

For now, direction remains unresolved. Ethereum reflected a similar structure. Price held near $1,977 without triggering a cascade of liquidations. This suggests excessive leverage may have already been reduced in recent weeks.

The broader altcoin market also remained relatively stable. The Total3 index, which tracks crypto market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined less than 1%. Total valuation held near $713 billion.

That restraint matters.

Because historically, altcoins showed much greater fragility during macro-driven risk events. This time, selling pressure remained limited. The market appears cautious, not broken.

Macro Risk Is Rising, But Panic Is Absent

Tariffs often trigger cascading macro effects. Inflation expectations shift. Currency strength adjusts. Liquidity assumptions change. Risk assets usually respond quickly.

But that pattern has not fully emerged here.

Derivatives data shows declining trading volume across several platforms. Open interest remains largely flat. Traders are not aggressively expanding exposure.

The market is watching. Not reacting.

This phase often precedes larger directional moves. Quiet periods rarely last forever.

Critical Level Holds, But Balance May Not Last

The $68,000 region continues to serve as a key technical zone. Its stability reflects a market that has not yet lost structural balance.

However, equilibrium zones rarely persist indefinitely. Price typically resolves in one direction or the other. Extended sideways compression tends to precede expansion.

Especially when macro uncertainty remains elevated.

Market Data Signals Ongoing Repositioning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin continues trading between $67,800 and $68,200. Volatility remained subdued during both Asian and European sessions. Funding rates across derivatives markets hovered near neutral.

This pattern reflects consolidation, not resolution. The next decisive move will likely define the medium-term trend.

Technical Structure Highlights Key Resistance at $72,000

After rebounding from $60,000, BTC attempted to reclaim the $72,000 level but failed to hold above it. Price retraced toward the $65,000 area. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin continues to hold its intermediate support zone.

However, repeated tests of support can weaken structural integrity over time.

The $72,000 level now stands as the key resistance barrier. A confirmed break and sustained hold above that region could reduce selling pressure significantly. Technical projections suggest that such a breakout may open a path toward the $86,700–$89,950 range.

Until then, broader trend uncertainty remains intact.

Market Holds Structural Support Despite Tariff Shock

The fact that Bitcoin remained near $68,000 following the tariff announcement signals underlying structural stability. Despite rising macroeconomic pressure, price has not entered disorderly decline.

Liquidity conditions and macroeconomic developments will likely determine the next directional phase.

For now, the market remains in transition. And these transition phases often prove decisive.

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Social Sentiment Drops as Ethereum Fades From Conversation

ETH has gradually slipped out of daily crypto discussions. Social platforms show fewer mentions, lower engagement, and a noticeable decline in speculative enthusiasm. Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan notes that this type of silence rarely appears during strong downtrends.

Instead, it often surfaces when markets grow tired rather than fearful. Ethereum’s current sentiment suggests indifference more than panic. Historically, this distinction has mattered. Deep sell-offs tend to end with noise, not quiet.

Quinlivan argues that ETH’s downside momentum appears limited at current levels. The lack of aggressive bearish sentiment may be reducing the probability of another sharp leg lower.

Why ETH 2025 Setup Keeps Coming Up Again

In early 2025, Ethereum traded near yearly lows while investor confidence eroded. Social sentiment metrics reflected growing doubt about ETH’s relevance and future growth. That period ended quietly before price action changed direction.

Within months, ETH recovered nearly 70%, eventually revisiting its 2021 all-time highs. Santiment’s current sentiment curve resembles that same phase of disinterest rather than outright rejection.

The key difference now is perception. Ethereum is no longer being questioned as a network. It is largely accepted as the second-largest crypto asset, even if excitement has temporarily cooled.

Network Growth Tells a Different Story

While price and sentiment remain subdued, Ethereum’s network activity is moving in the opposite direction. On-chain growth metrics show rising participation, particularly around staking-related activity.

Why can Ethereum’s network grow while price stagnates?

Because long-term participants tend to focus on infrastructure and yield when short-term traders step aside.

This divergence between sentiment and fundamentals has historically preceded volatility. When engagement increases quietly, markets often react late.

Market Still Playing Defense Outside Bitcoin

Broader crypto sentiment remains cautious. Capital continues to concentrate around Bitcoin, while altcoins struggle to attract sustained inflows. The Altcoin Season Index reinforces this defensive positioning.

Ethereum sits in an uncomfortable middle ground. It is trusted but temporarily uninspiring. Past cycles suggest that such positioning rarely lasts indefinitely.

When sentiment becomes too quiet while fundamentals stay active, price reactions tend to surprise rather than confirm expectations.

For now, Ethereum remains in waiting mode—but history suggests that prolonged silence rarely stays unresolved.

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Social Media Sentiment for XRP Turns Bullish

On-chain metrics and social analytics point to a noticeable improvement in how XRP is being discussed across major platforms. According to data shared by Santiment, the number of bullish comments recorded this week ranks as the seventh-highest level seen throughout the year. While XRP has moved within a $1.99 to $2.17 range recently, engagement levels remain elevated and closely aligned with price action.

“XRP’s bulls and bears continue to battle, and the asset is holding the $2.00 level for now. Sentiment across social media is generally bullish.”

Retail traders appear increasingly optimistic, particularly on Telegram, X, and crypto-focused forums. This behavior suggests continued accumulation even as price movement remains relatively stable. At the same time, LSI trend indicators show XRP returning to broader market conversations after a quieter period.

Continuous Inflows Into XRP ETFs Signal Institutional Demand

ETF activity provides an even stronger confirmation of sustained interest. Data from SoSoValue shows that spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded more than $20.1 million in net inflows on Friday. This extended the positive inflow streak to 19 consecutive trading days. Cumulative inflows have now reached nearly $974.5 million, while total assets under management stand close to $1.18 billion.

Recent ETF flow behavior highlights several important dynamics:

• Most daily inflows are coming from U.S.-based ETF products

• Net outflows remain absent, even during lower-volume sessions

• Demand has stabilized following the strong inflow surge seen in November

This pattern suggests that XRP is increasingly being treated as a longer-term allocation within institutional portfolios rather than a short-term trade.

Ripple Builds Momentum Toward Year-End

Momentum on the Ripple side is also reinforcing XRP’s outlook. The company recently received approval for a U.S. national trust bank charter, marking a meaningful step forward in regulatory alignment. Around the same period, Ripple completed a $500 million funding round, supporting a valuation of approximately $40 billion.

Ripple’s continued expansion into stablecoins and financial infrastructure is broadening XRP’s potential use cases. When combined with strengthening social sentiment and sustained ETF inflows, these developments point to a more institutionally driven narrative emerging as the year draws to a close.

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The historical impact of such shutdowns remains in investors’ minds. During a similar period in 2019, Bitcoin dropped by 16% before rallying nearly 300% within five months after the government reopened. This time, the decline has been more limited, yet uncertainty persists.

Bitcoin Price Holds Near $101K Support

Bitcoin is trading at $102,341, hovering above the key $101,477 support zone. However, bearish momentum remains as weak market conditions persist. Losing this critical level could trigger a drop toward $100,000. On the other hand, a successful rebound from support may lift BTC back toward $105,000, signaling renewed strength.

On November 12, 2025, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $278 million in net outflows, while Ethereum ETFs saw $93 million exit. These figures suggest institutional investors are remaining cautious, which may extend short-term downside pressure on crypto prices.

According to analysts, the crypto market could see short-term relief once Washington reopens. JLabs Digital analyst Ben Lilly noted that expectations for rate cuts and potential liquidity injections from the Treasury General Account (TGA) could “create a strong tailwind for digital assets.”

Altcoins Under Pressure

Altcoins are sending mixed signals as selling pressure builds. The total crypto market cap is hovering just below the $3.43 trillion resistance. If investor confidence strengthens, the market could rebound toward $3.49 trillion. However, as long as cautious sentiment dominates, selling pressure is likely to persist.

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, interest rate expectations, and weak risk appetite are fueling market uncertainty. While Bitcoin attempts to hold above its key support, altcoins continue to struggle under bearish sentiment.

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What is Grayscale GSOL?

Its basic logic is essentially the same as a spot ETF. In other words, investors do not need to directly purchase Solana, nor deal with various security risks, wallet management, or storage issues. Instead, they can invest in a product that mirrors Solana’s price movements. However, this product is not yet a fully approved spot ETF. Grayscale has already initiated the process to convert this trust into a spot ETF.

The Solana Ecosystem is Growing

Solana, with its high-performance transaction capacity and low-cost infrastructure, stands out as an ideal blockchain network for staking-focused investment products. The launch of GSOL is seen as an important step in Solana’s institutional adoption journey.

The staking mechanism within the network allows investors to earn passive income while strengthening the blockchain’s security and transaction validation. This makes Solana not only attractive for individual investors but also a compelling option for ETF-based professional funds.

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What is the CMC Crypto Alt Season Index?

The CMC Crypto Alt Season Index is a real-time indicator used to determine whether the current cryptocurrency market is in an altcoin-dominated season. It measures the performance of the top 100 altcoins against Bitcoin over the past 90 days.

• Bitcoin Season: Period when Bitcoin dominates the market

• Altcoin Season: Period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin

Current and Historical Values

• Current Value (Oct 12, 2025): 34

• Yesterday: 33

• Last Week Average: 59

• Last Month Average: 68

• Yearly High (Dec 4, 2024): 87 (Altcoin Season)

• Yearly Low (Apr 26, 2025): 12 (Bitcoin Season)

The index shows that approximately 34 out of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap have performed better than Bitcoin in terms of price growth over the past 90 days.

Altcoin Investment Strategies

A low Alt Season Index provides important signals for investors:

1. Portfolio Balance: Reassess Bitcoin and altcoin allocations

2. Risk Management: Consider smaller investments in altcoins

3. Project Fundamentals: Analyze use cases, teams, and roadmaps before investing

Conclusion

The CMC Crypto Alt Season Index dropping to 34 indicates that the market has shifted to Bitcoin Season. Investors should act cautiously and adjust their strategies according to market trends.

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Shibarium Bridge Flash Loan Attack Details 

On September 14, the Shibarium cross-chain bridge became the target of a sophisticated flash loan attack. The hacker borrowed 4.6 million BONE tokens and gained control of 10 out of 12 validator signing keys, achieving a two-thirds majority. Using this power, the attacker attempted to withdraw approximately 224.57 ETH and 92.6 billion SHIB. 

Shiba Inu developers acted quickly to suspend staking and unstaking functions, locking the BONE tokens and removing majority control from the attacker. In addition, the hacker held about $700,000 worth of KNINE tokens from the K9 Finance DAO project. The K9 Finance DAO denylisted the attacker’s address to prevent KNINE token liquidation. LEASH, ROAR, TREAT, BAD, and SHIFU coins were also affected but have not been moved or sold. 

UPDATE 13/09/25

What we know so far about the recent incident

How the exploit was executed:

• The attacker used funds from the bridge hack in the same block as the attack to acquire 4.6M BONE to temporarily gain validator voting power, attempting to do it in one… https://t.co/4Ft1VMxeBv

— Shib (@Shibtoken) September 13, 2025

Developer Actions and Security Measures 

The Shiba Inu team secured investor funds by transferring them from proxy contracts to a multisig cold storage wallet. They collaborated with security firms Hexens, Seal911, and PeckShield to conduct a thorough investigation. The developers confirmed that the 4.6 million BONE tokens remain locked, and all validator assets are secure. They continue monitoring and freezing attacker-linked funds while preparing a full incident report. 

Market Impact and Token Performance 

Despite the attack, BONE token surged by 40% while SHIB gained over 8%. These movements reflect investor confidence following the team’s rapid intervention. The Shibarium attack highlights DeFi ecosystem risks, but Shiba Inu’s swift measures ensured all funds stayed safe. 

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The Altcoin Season Index currently stands at 51. The index must surpass 75 to confirm a true altcoin season. At that level, 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin. For now, this signal remains distant. 

Open interest across major #altcoins has surged to an all-time high of $47B. This concentration of leverage elevates reflexivity, amplifying both upside and downside price reactions and increasing fragility in market structure. pic.twitter.com/GwJp8dsjBp

— glassnode (@glassnode) August 13, 2025

Ethereum Has Yet to Take the Lead 

Bitcoin’s market dominance fell from 65% to 58.9% over the past month. This drop indicates capital is shifting from BTC to altcoins. However, Ethereum is not leading this rotation. ETH dominance remains below 15%, far from its 2024 peak of 22.5%. The ETH/BTC pair continues sideways, with no strong breakout yet. 

Ethereum accounts for $23.6 billion of the total open interest. Solana follows with $7.4 billion, and XRP ranks third with $3.9 billion. Popular assets like AVAX, DOGE, LINK, and BNB complete the list. High leverage can trigger severe liquidations if prices fall, so investors are staying cautious. 

Google Trends data shows a rise in “Altcoin Season” searches over the past week. However, interest is still below the 2021 peak. In 2025, the larger number of altcoins means even more interest is needed to reach similar sentiment levels. Market excitement is building, but a confirmed altcoin season signal has not yet appeared. 

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Ethereum’s surge past the $4,000 mark has significantly impacted Bitcoin’s dominance, which has fallen to 59.1%. According to CoinMarketCap, Ethereum’s market share has risen to 13%, while altcoins combined now hold 28% of the total market. A month ago, Bitcoin’s share stood at 63.9%, Ethereum at 9.7%, and other cryptocurrencies at 26.4%. 

Schiff stated that if forced to choose between the two, he would pick Bitcoin, while clarifying that he has no personal interest in owning either asset. 

Ethereum and Altcoins Gain Ground as BTC Weakens 

Market data shows Bitcoin dominance has dropped by 4.91 percentage points in the last month, while Ethereum gained 3.34 points. Altcoins collectively rose by 1.57 points in the same period, signaling a capital rotation from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies. 

Bitcoin’s highest dominance level in 2025 was 65.1% on June 27, while its lowest in the past year was 53.9% in December 2024. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading near the upper range of its yearly performance. 

Ethereum’s bullish momentum has been fueled by increased whale transactions and heightened derivatives market activity. Rising trading volumes and open interest have reinforced short-term price strength, enabling ETH to outperform BTC in recent days. 

Despite this shift, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and the preferred choice among institutional investors. Strong demand from spot BTC ETFs and corporate treasuries continues to support its position at prices above $100,000. 

In conclusion, while Ethereum and altcoins are gaining market share, Bitcoin still holds the lead. The next moves in dominance will likely depend on macroeconomic factors, institutional participation, and whether Ethereum can sustain its current rally. 

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