President Trump, in his State of the Union address, praised falling mortgage rates and claimed annual costs have dropped by around $5,000. Here, IMF data confirms that despite optimism, rates will remain elevated.

When will US inflation decline?

US inflation is expected to reach the Fed’s 2% target only by early 2027, restricting the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts in the near term.

How Budget Deficits Affect Markets

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the US current account deficit is projected at 3.5–4% of GDP in the short term. The fund emphasizes that fiscal consolidation, not tariffs alone, is the best way to reduce the budget gap.

Why does Trump’s low-rate optimism clash with reality? Structural spending and persistent deficits create a long-term rationale for high interest rates, meaning short-term mortgage declines do not resolve underlying issues.

Federal budget deficits of 7–8% and consolidated debt rising to 140% by 2031 increase instability risks for both the US and the global economy. Of course, short-term optimism exists, but the structural picture remains unchanged.

Trump’s Optimism vs Structural Reality

Trump framed low rates as solving the housing problem, citing the lowest mortgage costs in four years. However, IMF data tells a different story: inflation won’t hit the Fed’s target until 2027, and deficits are twice the administration’s own targets, reinforcing the case for long-term elevated rates.

Will the Fed cut rates?
Given structural risks and high deficits, rates are expected to stay elevated for an extended period, leaving little room for emergency cuts. The fund set 2026 growth at 2.4%, leaving no urgent reason for rate reductions. Short-term market optimism clashes with this structural reality.

Implications for Crypto

Effects on risky assets are clear. Sticky inflation and widening deficits reduce the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts, reinforcing caution in crypto markets. Short-term capital flow and trading volumes must shift before rates could fall rapidly.

In short, US inflation won’t meet the Fed target until 2027, while deficits and debt remain high. Trump’s low-rate expectations clash with reality, and structural risks dominate. Of course, data shifts could create short-term opportunities, but the macro picture keeps rates elevated for the foreseeable future.

US inflation won’t reach the Fed’s 2% target until 2027. IMF warns that persistent deficits and rising debt limit near-term rate cuts, keeping crypto markets cautious.

You can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates instantly.

The post IMF Warns: Fed Rates Stay High, Crypto at Risk appeared first on Coin Engineer.

When Crowds Throw in the Towel

Extreme pessimism on social media is often a precursor to a rebound. When fear spreads, prices tend to bottom out. Santiment recommends monitoring FUD waves closely. In the past, when Bitcoin dropped to $60,001, panic reached its peak. Immediately after, prices jumped 19% within 24 hours. Rising negative sentiment can actually signal a buying opportunity. Pay attention when the language shifts from “dip” to “crash,” as it usually shows retail investors are capitulating. When fear spreads on social media, it often signals that the crypto dip is approaching.

MVRV Ratio and On-Chain Insights

On-chain data shows that the MVRV ratio is crucial. This metric measures whether recent buyers are in profit or loss. When MVRV enters the “strongly undervalued” zone, new investors are underwater, often preceding a market rebound. Santiment views assets in this zone as potential opportunities. Mathematically, selling pressure has usually reached saturation. Still, this data does not guarantee outcomes; investors should act according to their risk tolerance.

“MVRV indicates that when assets reach the ‘strongly overvalued’ zone, heavy investment can be risky. On the other hand, when in the ‘strongly undervalued’ zone, opportunities become clearer. When recent buyers are at a loss, the market may signal a rebound.”

Strategy and Timeframes

The concept of a “dip” differs for each investor. Short-term traders may see a 1.7% drop as an opportunity, while most focus on weekly charts. Santiment advises relying on objective data rather than intuition. These insights clarify when fear-driven sell-offs may be ending. The bear market may still exert pressure, so each decision should align with strategic goals. Opportunity cost matters here.

Ultimately, the decision to buy or hold depends on your risk tolerance, strategy, and time horizon. The market is still under pressure, and the bear market could continue. When fear peaks without panic, that moment might be the right time to buy. But sensing it comes from human judgment as much as data; that’s where the subtle differences emerge.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post When to Buy Crypto Dip? Santiment Data appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Daily trading volume climbed to 134.7 billion dollars, reflecting strong activity across major assets. Bitcoin dominance remains at 57.1 percent while Ethereum holds 12.1 percent. For those searching for crypto news on Google, here is a complete breakdown of prices, on-chain trends and major headlines from the last 24 hours.

Why it matters? Because overall liquidity, sentiment recovery and rising trading activity create an early signal for market stabilization.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Rise as Altcoins Show Divergence

Bitcoin gained 1.14 percent and moved to 92,120 dollars. Its trading volume rose to 63.7 billion dollars, while market value increased to 1.83 trillion dollars. Ethereum followed with a 0.73 percent rise to 3,250 dollars and maintained strong liquidity with a daily volume of 27.8 billion dollars.

Altcoins showed significant divergence. Polkadot and XRP Ledger assets delivered positive performance while Cardano fell 4.69 percent, signaling weaker momentum.

Gainers and Losers of the Day

Zcash posted the strongest move of the day, climbing more than 16 percent to 459 dollars. JELLYJELLY jumped 33.77 percent, underscoring heightened volatility across smaller crypto market segments. Lombard and Yooldo also recorded notable increases in trading volume.

Sei decreased 6.68 percent and became the day’s biggest loser. ADA and TEL also remained in the negative zone. The stablecoin market rose 0.7 percent to 314.9 billion dollars, while daily volume jumped to 103.2 billion dollars. The DeFi sector declined 1.8 percent to 113.8 billion dollars, and TVL remained stable at 5.78 billion dollars.

ETF Inflows Strengthen as Macro Data Shapes Sentiment

Crypto ETFs continued to see strong inflows. A weekly total of 716 million dollars pushed the two-week figure to 1.8 billion dollars. Bitcoin, XRP and Chainlink products generated most of this activity. Assets under management grew 7.9 percent, supporting the view that institutional demand remains solid.

On the macro side, US jobless claims came in at 236,000, above expectations. The September trade deficit fell to 52.8 billion dollars. Jobless data may pressure risk assets while the trade figure helped limit short-term volatility.

Why it matters? Because ETF inflows, liquidity expansion and macro shifts collectively influence institutional allocation strategies.

FTX/Alameda’s SOL Transactions Continue

One of the most notable on-chain moves came from FTX/Alameda. The firm unstaked 194,800 SOL worth 25.5 million dollars and distributed the tokens to 26 wallets. Most transfers moved toward Coinbase and Binance. Since 2023, 9.56 million SOL has been unstaked while 4.07 million SOL remains locked.

JPMorgan Executes a Bond Issuance on Solana

On the institutional side, JPMorgan executed a 50 million dollar commercial bond issuance for Galaxy Digital using the Solana network. Coinbase and Franklin Templeton purchased the debt. Payments were settled in USDC, highlighting the rapid expansion of blockchain-based securities infrastructure.

Additionally, x402’s V2 upgrade introduced improved identity features, a dynamic receiver system, expanded fiat support and a modular SDK, signaling a more advanced Web3 payment layer.

Why it matters? Because tokenization approvals, ETF inflows and Solana-based bond issuance reflect an accelerating merge between crypto and traditional finance.

Do Kwon Receives 15-Year Sentence for Terra Collapse

The toughest headline of the day came from the Terra case. The court sentenced Do Kwon to 15 years in prison for misleading investors, manipulating the ecosystem and hiding the faulty stablecoin design with external support. Court documents show investor losses above 40 billion dollars.

SEC Approves DTCC’s Tokenization Plan

Regulatory developments also intensified. The SEC approved DTCC’s plan to launch its asset tokenization service by the end of 2026. This marks a major step toward integrating traditional finance with regulated blockchain networks.

Stay tuned to our daily briefings as we continue delivering every key crypto market metric, major headline and real-time market signal in one place.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Crypto Market Today: Key Moves, On-Chain Flows and ETF Data appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin and Long-Term Technical Levels

Bitcoin has dropped below its 365-day moving average (around $102,000), losing a key support level. This technical breakdown historically aligns with the onset of bear markets.

• Price action below the 365-day MA

• Risk signal compared to historical cycles

• Pressure on investor confidence

Additionally, BTC approaching the 6–12 month UTXO cost basis indicates mid-term market stress. This development calls for investors to watch closely for potential bear market risks or a bullish market rebound.

Market Sentiment and RSI Indicators

The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 10, signaling extreme fear. Similar levels in the past preceded short-term bear trends or mid-cycle corrections.

RSI readings show most crypto assets in oversold territory. BTC and major altcoins have an average RSI of 43, reminiscent of mid-cycle corrections seen in May–July 2021 and August 2023.

On the other hand, some altcoins and short-term BTC movements hint at a possible bullish market recovery.

MACD and Market Momentum Analysis

The market-wide normalized MACD averages 0.02, reflecting weak bullish momentum. About 58% of assets still show positive momentum.

Bitcoin remains in negative MACD territory, while altcoins show a mixed picture. This indicates the market is still in a mid-cycle breakdown, with both bear and bull market possibilities present.

Critical Criteria for Bear and Bull Markets

Certain technical indicators are crucial to confirm a definitive bear or bull phase:

• BTC remaining below the 365-day MA for 4–6 weeks → Bear market confirmation

• Long-term holders selling over 1M BTC in 60 days → Bear pressure

• MACD flipping entirely negative or positive across the market → Bear or bull momentum

These conditions are not fully met yet, so the market remains in a high-risk transitional phase.

While the crypto market has not officially entered a bear market, it is experiencing mid-cycle stress. BTC and altcoins are under technical pressure, and investors should monitor both bear market pressures and potential bullish recoveries carefully.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Crypto Market: Bear or Bull? Latest Market Analysis appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The recent spike in USDT.D signals that investors are shifting funds from risky assets to stablecoins, creating a potential inflection point for Bitcoin and altcoins.

Resistance Level and Technical Outlook

USDT dominance is nearing a descending long-term trend line, historically acting as a resistance zone. A rejection at this level could indicate that Bitcoin has reached or is close to a market bottom. Conversely, breaking this resistance could trigger further outflows from risky assets, deepening price corrections across cryptocurrencies.

Technical analysts are closely monitoring the head-and-shoulders pattern and trading volume. These indicators are critical to gauge investor sentiment and anticipate potential short-term volatility.

Implications for Bitcoin and Altcoins

When USDT.D rises, it shows that investors are moving into cash and stablecoins, signaling risk aversion. Conversely, a drop in USDT.D often leads funds back into risky assets, with Bitcoin typically leading the recovery followed by altcoins.

Therefore, USDT dominance is a key liquidity indicator for the entire crypto market. If the resistance holds, smaller-cap altcoins could outperform, while a decisive breakout may trigger a short-term sell-off, especially among lower-cap assets.

Investors should prioritize risk management and monitor USDT.D alongside Bitcoin price movements. Confirming a sustainable recovery requires additional signals, such as declining trading volume or clear reversal candlesticks.

Also, in the comment section, you can freely share your comments and opinions about the topic. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on Telegram, YouTube and Twitter for the latest news and updates

The post USDT Dominance Faces Key Resistance: Turning Point for Bitcoin and Altcoins appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The crypto market started October with impressive gains, but the second half of the week saw a rapid fall. Bitcoin dropped to $111,000, while Ethereum and altcoins also entered a downtrend.

Meanwhile, China announced “special tariffs” on US-owned or operated vessels, escalating tensions further. The US responded by imposing tariffs on Chinese imports, including furniture and kitchen cabinets, reducing investor appetite for risk.

Investor Outflows and ETF Sales Accelerate

The tension quickly affected financial markets. On October 13, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $429 million in net outflows, while Bitcoin ETFs saw $327 million leaving the market. In total, $756 million exited, dropping the crypto market cap by 4% to $3.75 trillion.

Analysts noted that this sell-off marked the return of fear in the market. Glassnode data shows funding rates in derivatives markets have fallen to their lowest since the 2022 bear market.

Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index moved into the “Fear” zone, signaling cautious investor sentiment.

Key investor signals to watch:

• Bitcoin tests $111,000 support.

• Ethereum ETFs see three consecutive days of outflows.

• Derivatives funding rates decline.

• A Trump Insider Whale increases short positions.

Trump Insider Whale Back in Action

The famous “Trump Insider Whale,” who previously made over $200 million in profits during last week’s market crash, has taken new action. The whale opened $340 million in new short positions, intensifying market fear.
Previously, the investor held $700 million in BTC and $350 million in ETH short positions. This move indicates a potential new price correction approaching.

According to Santiment analysts, the outcome of ongoing US-China trade talks will determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further declines. However, some experts argue the current sell-off may be a temporary correction, as historically similar waves often create new buying opportunities in crypto markets.

Conclusion: Fear Rises, Opportunities May Emerge

The crypto market remains uncertain amid US-China trade tensions. Analysts suggest short-term losses could lead to long-term recovery opportunities.
Investors are advised to closely follow market analysis, monitor ETF and altcoin trends, and strengthen risk management strategies.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Why Is the Crypto Market Falling? Bitcoin & Ethereum Impacted appeared first on Coin Engineer.

According to Hyperliquid block explorer Hypurrscan, the whale’s BTC position is valued at $496 million with 10x leverage. The trade was opened at $111,831 per Bitcoin, with a liquidation price of $124,270. The position initially started at $163 million and was later increased by more than double.

High-Risk Moves in Bitcoin and Ether

Last week, the whale executed a total of $900 million in short positions on BTC and Ether. This aggressive move sparked significant speculation among crypto investors. Additionally, the whale first drew attention two months ago with $11 billion worth of BTC.

Interestingly, the whale opened its position just before U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs. This timing fueled community speculation that the short trade may have been based on insider information.

Speculations About the Whale’s Identity

The owner of the wallet has not been officially verified. However, blockchain researchers suggested a possible link to Garrett Jin, former CEO of the now-defunct crypto exchange BitForex. Crypto analyst Eye claimed that Binance CEO shared the topic on X because of Jin, though other researchers believe it might involve someone close to him.

Jin addressed the rumors, stating:

• “@cz_binance, thank you for sharing my personal information. But I need to clarify that I have no connection with the Trump family. This is not insider trading.”

• “I have no connection with the Trump family or Donald Trump Jr.; this is not insider information trading.”

• “The funds are not mine but belong to my clients. We manage the nodes and provide internal insights for them.”

While these statements partially calm the speculation, volatility in the crypto market continues.

Summary of the Whale’s Position

• Trade Type: Bitcoin short

• Leverage: 10x

• Initial Amount: $163 million → later increased to $496 million

• Liquidation Price: $124,270 per BTC

• Market Impact: Short-term volatility on Bitcoin, Ether, and other crypto assets

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Hyperliquid Whale Doubles Bitcoin Short, Denies Insider Info appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Global crypto investment products are managed by major asset managers including BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares, and 21Shares. These products saw a record weekly trading volume of $53 billion, while daily turnover reached $15.3 billion.

U.S. and European Funds Lead Inflows

U.S.-based digital asset products generated a net inflow of $3.01 billion, maintaining their dominance. Swiss and German funds also performed well, with $132 million and $53.5 million in inflows respectively. Meanwhile, products in Sweden, Brazil, and Hong Kong experienced outflows.

Bitcoin-based funds led weekly inflows with $2.67 billion, bringing year-to-date inflows to a record $30.2 billion. During Friday’s price correction, daily trading volumes hit $10.4 billion, but inflows were only $0.39 million.

Ethereum products saw a weekly gain of $338.3 million, taking year-to-date inflows to approximately $14 billion. However, Friday recorded a $172 million outflow, marking the largest among all digital assets, indicating investors viewed Ethereum as the most vulnerable asset during the correction. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs generated $488.2 million in weekly gains but lost $174.9 million on Friday.

Upcoming ETF Launches and Market Outlook

Anticipation is rising for upcoming U.S. SOL and XRP ETF launches. However, current ETPs saw inflows of $93.3 million and $61.6 million respectively, reflecting a cautious investor approach.

CoinShares data highlights continued high liquidity and institutional interest in digital assets. Despite the historic liquidation event, sustained net inflows into crypto investment products suggest growing confidence in the market.

Key Weekly Highlights:

• Cryptocurrency investment products: $3.17B inflow

• Year-to-date: $48.7B inflow

• Bitcoin funds: $2.67B inflow

• Ethereum products: $338.3M inflow

• Daily trading volume: $15.3B

Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our Telegram, YouTube and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Historic Crypto Crash? Investors Still Pour $3.17B Inflows appeared first on Coin Engineer.

TRON Attracts Strong Capital Inflows

TRON (TRX) supports multiple stablecoins including USDT, USDC, and USDD, attracting users seeking low-cost and fast fund transfers. Its daily transfer volume and active usage across DeFi platforms contribute to a total stablecoin market capitalization exceeding $80 billion. Fast transactions and low fees make TRON a reliable choice for both liquidity and user trust.

Key features:

• Multi-stablecoin support (USDT, USDC, USDD)

• Near-instant transactions with low fees

• Extensive DeFi integration

• Strong user trust and growing market capitalization

These advantages make TRON a preferred platform for both investors and developers. High transaction volume also helps the network remain competitive in a rapidly evolving market.

PLASMA Sees Nearly $1B Outflow

Despite offering zero transaction fees, PLASMA recorded a $996 million outflow, largely due to its reliance on USDT alone. Analysts point to limited token support and a smaller ecosystem as factors behind the capital loss. Without broader usage and expansion, PLASMA may struggle to compete with larger networks like TRON.

While PLASMA provides fast and free transfers, a more comprehensive ecosystem and broader token support are necessary to maintain competitiveness. This indicates that stablecoin networks must adapt quickly to user preferences and market trends.

Stablecoin Flows as Market Signals

The recent fund movements between TRON and PLASMA illustrate how quickly market sentiment can change. TRON’s inflows reflect strong user confidence and liquidity, whereas PLASMA’s outflows highlight the importance of infrastructure and ecosystem support. These trends will continue shaping the development and competition of stablecoin networks in the coming months.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post TRON Gains $1.1B, PLASMA Sees $996M Outflow appeared first on Coin Engineer.

What is the CMC Crypto Alt Season Index?

The CMC Crypto Alt Season Index is a real-time indicator used to determine whether the current cryptocurrency market is in an altcoin-dominated season. It measures the performance of the top 100 altcoins against Bitcoin over the past 90 days.

• Bitcoin Season: Period when Bitcoin dominates the market

• Altcoin Season: Period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin

Current and Historical Values

• Current Value (Oct 12, 2025): 34

• Yesterday: 33

• Last Week Average: 59

• Last Month Average: 68

• Yearly High (Dec 4, 2024): 87 (Altcoin Season)

• Yearly Low (Apr 26, 2025): 12 (Bitcoin Season)

The index shows that approximately 34 out of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap have performed better than Bitcoin in terms of price growth over the past 90 days.

Altcoin Investment Strategies

A low Alt Season Index provides important signals for investors:

1. Portfolio Balance: Reassess Bitcoin and altcoin allocations

2. Risk Management: Consider smaller investments in altcoins

3. Project Fundamentals: Analyze use cases, teams, and roadmaps before investing

Conclusion

The CMC Crypto Alt Season Index dropping to 34 indicates that the market has shifted to Bitcoin Season. Investors should act cautiously and adjust their strategies according to market trends.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Crypto Alt Season Index Falls to 34: Bitcoin Season Begins appeared first on Coin Engineer.