Crypto Supercycle

Bernstein maintains its long-term thesis: the current crypto upswing may persist until 2027, despite a brief cooling period. The firm cites supportive U.S. policies, accelerating institutional adoption, and the market expanding beyond Bitcoin as key drivers. Analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra forecast a long and tiring cycle maintaining momentum until 2026, with a peak likely a year later.

Policy, Adoption, and Market Breadth

According to Bernstein, U.S. leadership is operating in mission-critical mode to establish the country as a crypto capital, creating a long runway for digital assets. In the next phase, the market will extend beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum, Solana, and DeFi tokens driving inflows to trading platforms and stablecoin issuers. The overall takeaway is a supercycle characterized by deep liquidity, policy clarity, and market breadth, inviting large investors to participate.

Stablecoins and Circle

Bernstein keeps Circle’s target price at $230. USDC supply is projected to rise from $68 billion in 2026 to $99 billion, and then to $173 billion in 2027. USDC is expected to serve as a liquidity backbone for DeFi, while bank and payment partnerships will offset interest rate sensitivity. Circle’s payment-focused Arc blockchain and increasing on-chain settlement share stand out as differentiating factors, ensuring inflows to platforms and issuers continue through 2027 as the market expands beyond Bitcoin.

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SEC Chairman Paul Atkins described this move as the beginning of a new era for crypto markets. According to Atkins, the change will lower costs and bring greater efficiency for ETF issuers and investors alike. 

Previously, only cash-based transactions were allowed. Now, authorized participants can use digital assets directly when creating or redeeming ETF shares. This shift reduces pressure on the market and allows for smoother, more cost-effective operations. 

What Does the New System Offer? Greater Efficiency in Crypto ETFs 

Jamie Selway, Director of the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets, said the in-kind mechanism provides flexibility and cost advantages for fund issuers. Additionally, funds can now operate without having to sell crypto assets, which helps minimize tax burdens. 

To recall, the SEC approved spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs back in 2024, but limited them to cash-based processes. Since then, the crypto industry has consistently called for in-kind options. 

Just last month, SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce acknowledged the demand during her speech at the Bitcoin Policy Institute conference. In short, this regulatory move marks a long-anticipated shift within the crypto sector. 

Meanwhile, recent developments in Congress have also accelerated this transition. Lawmakers passed three major crypto-related bills addressing market structure, stablecoin regulations, and opposition to a surveillance-driven central bank digital currency (CBDC). These legislative changes align with the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance. 

Growing Demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs 

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded over $6.6 billion in inflows across the last 12 trading days. According to Bitbo data, these funds now hold approximately 1.298 million BTC — valued at around $152.1 billion. 

On the Ethereum side, BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum ETF has gained attention for its rapid growth. The fund surpassed $10 billion in assets in just 251 days, becoming the third-fastest ETF to reach that milestone. 

In summary, with SEC approval of in-kind transactions, crypto ETFs enter a new chapter. This rule not only boosts efficiency but also supports broader regulatory reform across the digital asset landscape.

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Announced on May 12, the PREH Multifamily Fund focuses on vintage Class A multifamily properties in the top 20 fastest-growing markets across the United States. The fund is entirely digital-native, with compliant onboarding, reporting, capital calls, and potential secondary market transfers all managed via blockchain.

Part of a $750M Institutional Vehicle

The tokenized fund is part of a broader $750 million investment vehicle jointly developed by PREH and major institutional partners including Carlyle, DRA Advisors, Walton Street Capital, RPM, and KKR. Initially, $25 million of the fund will be tokenized on Chintai.

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PREH believes the tokenized structure addresses long-standing challenges in the private real estate market, such as low transparency and limited liquidity.

“Blockchain Offers Top-Tier Compliance and Efficiency”

PREH President Tejas Patel explained the choice of Chintai:

“We chose Chintai for their fully regulated, institutional-grade platform specifically designed for real-world asset tokenization. It enables us to uphold investor protection and compliance while gaining efficiency and access through blockchain.”

Founded in 2010, PREH has executed over $500 million in real estate transactions and manages a national portfolio of high-end multifamily properties.

Chintai, a tokenization-centric layer-1 blockchain, also powers ESG-focused initiatives like the R3 Sustainability Fund. Its native token, CHEX, trades at $0.24 with a market cap of $244 million, per CoinMarketCap.

Tokenization Gains Global Momentum

Real estate tokenization is accelerating globally, with adoption growing in North America, the UAE, and parts of Europe, where new regulatory frameworks are being developed.

One of the main drivers is its ability to eliminate the illiquidity discount that plagues traditional property investments.

Consulting firm Deloitte projects that $4 trillion in global real estate assets will be tokenized between 2030 and 2035, highlighting the scale of the shift underway.

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According to the company’s statement, Bitwise experienced 10x growth in client assets under management in 2024, reaching a total of $12 billion.

Growth in Crypto Asset Management

Bitwise remains active in the digital asset fund space, offering Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The company has also filed to offer XRP and Solana ETFs. In addition, it provides crypto index funds and other investment solutions focused on the Web3 ecosystem.

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Crypto asset management firms help investors with risk management, portfolio balancing, and performance tracking. Among Bitwise’s competitors are Galaxy Asset Management and Grayscale, while traditional financial giants like BlackRock have recently entered the crypto asset management space.

Market Expansion and Future Outlook

Crypto asset management firms have continued to grow during the bull market. In April 2024, Pantera Capital announced plans to raise $1 billion for a new crypto fund. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s portfolio saw 85% monthly growth in November 2024.

Market research suggests that the crypto asset management industry is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22%-25% between 2023 and 2030. Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing market, while North America remains the largest.

Factors driving this growth include regulatory clarity, the rise of DeFi, and increased institutional interest in digital assets.

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What is Binance Alpha and Why is it Important?

Binance Alpha is a pre-listing pool that evaluates cryptocurrency assets and highlights trustworthy projects before they are officially listed on exchanges. This system ensures that high-potential projects undergo a thorough review before being made available to investors, creating a safer market environment for both project owners and investors.

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$ONDO is a decentralized finance (DeFi) project that provides tokenized asset management solutions. By accelerating the digitalization of financial assets, ONDO offers investors broader opportunities within the DeFi sector.

$MORPHO is an innovative DeFi protocol that optimizes lending and borrowing processes. By providing efficient and high-yield financial services to users, MORPHO has become one of the standout projects in the DeFi ecosystem.

$AERO is a blockchain-based flight reservation platform aiming to revolutionize the aviation industry. AERO has great potential as it seeks to make travel experiences more efficient for users.

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$VIRTUAL is a platform focused on virtual reality and augmented reality-based projects. Offering innovative solutions in the entertainment and education sectors, $VIRTUAL aims to create new opportunities in the virtual world with cutting-edge technologies.

$KMNO is the token of Kamino Finance, a DeFi protocol aimed at optimizing decentralized financial transactions and establishing a strong presence in the DeFi space.

$GPS is the token of GoPlus, a platform offering blockchain-based security and data protection solutions. $GPS is designed to support the growth of the platform.

These listings not only pave the way for ONDO, MORPHO, AERO, VIRTUAL, KMNO, and GPS to potentially be listed on larger exchanges, but they also provide early investment opportunities for investors.

What Does Binance Alpha’s Pre-Listing System Mean for Investors?

By thoroughly evaluating projects before they enter major markets, Binance Alpha ensures that only high-quality and reliable assets are listed. This provides investors with an early-stage entry point into promising projects that have the potential for further market expansion.

Projects that pass through the pre-listing stage are often considered strong candidates for listing on major exchanges, making Binance Alpha a crucial gateway for investors looking for high-growth opportunities.

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MicroStrategy’s Growing Appeal

MicroStrategy, which allows companies and individuals hesitant to directly purchase Bitcoin to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market, is becoming increasingly popular. Recently, the company revealed it had purchased an additional $4.6 billion worth of Bitcoin, sparking further interest in its shares.

Notably, Vanguard, the world’s second-largest asset management company after BlackRock, is among the institutions now investing in MicroStrategy. Despite its previous stance on Bitcoin, Vanguard has acquired MSTR shares. The company manages $9 trillion in assets but had remained cautious about directly involving itself in Bitcoin or offering Bitcoin ETFs to its clients.

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In addition to Vanguard, major banks have also begun purchasing MSTR shares. Morgan Stanley, which had recently given its investment advisors permission to recommend Bitcoin spot ETFs to clients, bought 8 million shares, increasing its holdings by 500% compared to the previous quarter. Other financial giants, including Goldman Sachs (696,000 shares) and Bank of America (766,000 shares), have also added MSTR to their portfolios.

The Bigger Picture

While the total number of MSTR shares held by these institutions is relatively small compared to their overall portfolios (for example, Vanguard holds 800 million shares of Amazon), the trend signals growing institutional interest in Bitcoin exposure through a more traditional, indirect route. MicroStrategy’s stock price has also surged, with its market value now nearing $78 billion.

This shift in attitude towards MicroStrategy and its Bitcoin holdings suggests that even traditional financial institutions are starting to embrace the growing importance of cryptocurrencies in the investment landscape.

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Jesse Knutson, Head of Operations at Bitfinex Securities, stated that nimble institutions such as family offices are already at the forefront of this movement, and the growing crypto market is likely to influence the tokenization industry. The market for tokenized assets is anticipated to grow over 50 times by 2030.

Currently valued at $185 billion, the RWA tokenization market is still largely dominated by stablecoins, which make up over $170 billion of the total market as of October 2024. Securities and treasuries tokenized on-chain currently account for just $2.2 billion, indicating significant potential for growth.

Large financial institutions like BlackRock and UBS Asset Management are already piloting tokenization projects, signaling the increasing adoption of digital assets in the traditional financial world.

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Bridging the Gap Between Physical and Digital Assets

Tokenization offers several advantages over traditional asset ownership. It enhances liquidity by making assets more accessible to a wider range of investors. It also improves transparency and efficiency through the use of blockchain technology.

Ramon Recuero, co-founder and CEO of Kinto, highlighted the potential of RWAs to transform various industries. For instance, a baseball card collector could easily tokenize their prized possession, making it accessible to a global market and unlocking its full value.

A Multi-Trillion Dollar Opportunity

Recuero envisions a future where a vast array of assets, from government bonds to gold, are tokenized. This could lead to a massive shift in the global financial landscape, with trillions of dollars worth of assets migrating to blockchain platforms.

While acknowledging the challenges of predicting the exact timeline for such a transformation, Recuero emphasized the exponential growth potential of the RWA market. He compared it to the transition from paper shares to electronic shares, suggesting that tokenization is the next logical step in financial evolution.

Beyond the Hype

Despite the growing enthusiasm for RWAs, some critics argue that it’s just another passing trend in the volatile crypto market. Recuero counters this by emphasizing the intrinsic value of certain assets, such as US Treasuries, which can provide stability even during market downturns.

The Road Ahead

As the RWA market continues to mature, it’s essential to address challenges such as regulatory compliance, security, and interoperability. However, the potential benefits are immense, and industry leaders like Kinto are committed to driving this transformation forward.

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