The BTC/USD pair rose by 2.43% in the last 24 hours, reaching $109,500, with trading volume increasing by 20% to $56 billion. The main driver behind this rise is Bitcoin’s synchronized movement with the global M2 money supply. The M2 money supply has reached an all-time high of $55.48 trillion. 

Additionally, Coinglass data supports the upward trend. A 7.28% increase in open interest on BTC futures indicates a generally bullish market. 

Peter Brandt’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction: $140K Target in Sight 

The analyst emphasized Bitcoin is in a strong breakout pattern in a chart shared on the X platform. Brandt questioned, “Isn’t this bearish flag too obvious to fail?” According to Brandt, after this breakout, BTC is aiming first for $104,000, then $140,000. This outlook aligns with forecasts from major institutions like Standard Chartered and is supported by the Global M2 curve that Bitcoin has followed consistently since early 2024. 

Is this bear flag (yellow box) so obvious to everyone so as to not work?
Or is this chart about to drop off a cliff?
Just asking. CTB$ pic.twitter.com/x3c9ABwVx5

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) July 3, 2025

Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $90K Before Jackson Hole 

However, Maelstrom Fund CIO Arthur Hayes is more cautious. He believes June’s CPI data and July’s FOMC decision may tighten market liquidity. The restructuring of the Treasury General Account (TGA) could significantly withdraw liquidity from the market. 

Hayes stated, “The market will move sideways or slightly down until Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.” He highlighted a potential drop to the $90,000–$95,000 range for BTC. Preparing for this scenario, Maelstrom Fund sold illiquid altcoin positions and reduced Bitcoin exposure. 

FOMC and CPI Data to Decide Bitcoin’s Fate 

Ultimately, Bitcoin’s direction will largely depend on economic data and central bank decisions. If inflation falls below expectations, real yields remain low, attracting capital to non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Furthermore, if the Fed softens its hawkish stance and slows balance sheet reduction, it could trigger a new bull run. 

CPI data and the Fed’s tone will determine the strength of this move. The battle between bulls and bears will become clearer in the coming days. 

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Investors have once again focused on the possibility of a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This development boosted interest in digital assets. Ethereum showed a strong recovery, climbing above the $2,590 level, while Dogecoin reached $0.171, regaining the ground it had lost over the past month. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin traded at $109,200, recording a gain of over 3% on the day. It is now just 2% away from its all-time high of $111,814. 

Altcoin Rally Triggered by Ethereum and Dogecoin Surge 

The rise in the altcoin market wasn’t limited to prices alone. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, noted that investor interest is shifting towards Ethereum and other altcoins. According to Pandl, recently approved crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) have facilitated institutional capital flowing into the altcoin market. 

Increasing regulatory clarity and interest from traditional financial institutions are boosting confidence in crypto. Pandl stated that many tokens could see new highs in the second half of the year. 

Meanwhile, Ripple has applied for a national banking license with the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). The move is seen as an effort to expand crypto payment systems within a legal framework. 

Fed Rate Cut Expectations Revive Crypto Momentum 

Investors remain focused on potential moves from the central bank. Recent dovish remarks have raised hopes that the Fed may opt for rate cuts. This expectation has positively impacted not only crypto but also the stock markets. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes closed the day with slight gains. 

However, global economic uncertainties persist. While the new trade agreement signed by U.S. President Trump with Vietnam was positively received, no progress was made in negotiations with China. Additionally, geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine continue to dominate headlines. 

Meanwhile, inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs declined on Tuesday. The 15-day streak of positive inflows came to a halt, which analysts interpret as profit-taking. 

Joe DiPasquale, CEO of BitBull Capital, linked the rally to positive market sentiment. “Crypto typically gains strength through uncertainty and liquidity,” said DiPasquale, emphasizing that traders are ignoring macro risks and focusing on the possibility of looser monetary policy. 

In conclusion, investors continue to highlight the upward potential in the crypto market. 

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Red Box and $108,791 Resistance Are Key

On the 4-hour chart, BTC is approaching the critical $108,791 resistance level. This area, which aligns with the red box zone, is technically significant. If Bitcoin can secure a close above this zone, the potential for a new ATH (All-Time High) becomes a realistic scenario.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Recent consolidation phases have kept traders cautious, but a breakout here could signal a renewed bullish trend. Market volume and momentum are worth watching closely at this level.

Support Still Holding Well

On the downside, the $106,622 – $105,725 range remains a solid support area. It has continued to hold during recent pullbacks, showing buyer interest at those levels. Today’s upward movement was also strongly influenced by the breaking news that Israel has accepted a ceasefire—proving again how geopolitical factors can rapidly shift sentiment in the crypto market.

Right now, BTC is at a decision point. A breakout could mean new highs, while failure to breach the resistance might lead to another period of sideways movement.

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However, similar whale transactions have notably influenced market trends in recent weeks. This liquidity event is not isolated. Comparable Bitcoin liquidity incidents were observed in May and June as well. The sudden entrance of this large leveraged long position had an immediate and significant impact on the market. 

Notably, investors like James Wynn from Hyperliquid have previously made headlines with large leveraged positions. Such moves deeply affect market dynamics. Following this latest Bitcoin whale activity, the sustainability of the price increase is now under scrutiny. Traders are closely monitoring the situation. According to Coinglass data, liquidity in exchange order books is renewing upward. This development has sparked debates among traders about Bitcoin’s potential breakout from the current tight trading range. 

BREAKING: A Whale has just opened $241 million $BTC long position with 20x leverage. pic.twitter.com/6WcikRQySD

— Mr. WHALE (@MrWhaleREAL) June 20, 2025

Market Analysts’ Comments on Bitcoin’s Future 

Popular investor Daan Crypto Trades emphasized the importance of the current range. In an X post, he stated, “Many positions have formed on both sides within this range, and the liquidity location is clear.” He also highlighted the importance of $100,000 and $110,000 levels for June, noting that potential reactions at these levels should be watched. Another investor, Crypto Tony, suggested that for the short-term bullish scenario to continue, Bitcoin needs to remain above $104,500 until the weekly close. 

SOMEONE JUST WENT ALL-IN ON $BTC

$255,000,000 LONG

20x leverage at $104K

HE KNOWS SOMETHING! pic.twitter.com/BL88Mh1Cc0

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) June 20, 2025

The market’s reaction to this large leveraged position clearly shows its influence on Bitcoin’s price movements. The reasons behind the $255 million long position remain uncertain. However, the market’s immediate response and subsequent short position liquidations indicate a significant shift in market sentiment. Investors are now focused on whether this move will trigger a decisive breakout from the current trading range. 

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE 

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