This calm price action reflects the lingering uncertainty following the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged. The Fed’s cautious tone and focus on inflation are weighing on short-term investor sentiment.

Is Seasonal Strength for Bitcoin Kicking In?

Historically, June and July tend to be quieter months for the crypto market—and 2025 appears no different so far. Singapore-based QCP Capital noted that Bitcoin’s short-term implied volatility has dipped below 40%, effectively erasing the risk premium tied to recent geopolitical tensions.

Options markets are showing a tilt toward protective strategies, with put options trading at higher premiums than calls. This suggests investors are hedging against potential short-term pullbacks.

Bullish Structure Still Intact for Bitcoin

Joel Kruger, strategist at LMAX Group, highlighted that the broader technical picture remains favorable:

“Bitcoin continues to consolidate in a bullish manner. A breakout above resistance levels could trigger a move toward the $145,000 region.”

He also noted that Ethereum is showing signs of strength. A breakout above $2,900 could pave the way for a push toward $3,400.

Regulatory Progress Brings Institutional Confidence

In a positive development for the crypto space, the U.S. Senate passed a bill to regulate stablecoins, signaling a shift toward clearer legislation. This is seen as a key step toward greater institutional involvement.

“Globally, we’re witnessing regulatory momentum that could accelerate crypto adoption,” Kruger added.

Range-Bound in the Short Term, But Optimism Builds for H2

For now, Bitcoin is likely to remain range-bound between $102,000 and $108,000 due to end-of-month options expiries and systematic portfolio rebalancing.

Still, historical patterns suggest that the second half of the year tends to favor stronger performance in digital assets.

“The worst might be behind us,” said Kruger. “The next rally could catch a lot of investors off guard.”

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124,841 Investors Liquidated in the Last 24 Hours

In the last 24 hours, there has been significant movement in the cryptocurrency market. 124,841 investors were liquidated due to a massive liquidation wave, with the total liquidation amount surpassing $331.9 million.

This large-scale liquidation can be attributed to the sharp volatility and price fluctuations in the crypto market. Traders engaging in leveraged trading suffered significant losses due to sudden price declines, leading to inevitable liquidations. This serves as a cautionary reminder for investors to be more vigilant in managing risk.

What Is Liquidation and Why Is It Important?

Liquidation refers to the automatic closure of an investor’s position following a margin call. In leveraged trades, when the market moves unfavorably, positions can be liquidated. Given the high leverage ratios in the crypto market, sudden price movements can quickly lead to liquidations.

Increase in Liquidations in the Crypto Market

The liquidation wave in the last 24 hours is primarily linked to the sudden drop in the values of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, investors are often encouraged to use leverage for short-term gains, but this can also lead to significant losses.

These sudden and large liquidations often lead to increased volatility in the market, creating opportunities for traders. However, they can also pose significant risks for long-term investors.

What Investors Should Pay Attention To

Sudden market fluctuations, especially for those opening leveraged positions, can be highly dangerous. When trading in the cryptocurrency market, it is essential to implement proper risk management strategies and avoid excessive leverage.

Additionally, after liquidation waves, prices may continue to fluctuate, presenting new opportunities for investors. However, it’s crucial to remember that these opportunities come with inherent risks.

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Speculators sent over 80,000 BTC to exchanges at a loss as BTC/USD hit 15-week lows.

The latest data from blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant suggests the largest loss-taking sell-off of 2025.

BTC Speculators Sell Below Cost

Bitcoin short-term holders (STHs) — those holding for up to 155 days — appear to have panicked during the latest crypto market downturn.

As BTC/USD dropped below $86,000 on February 25, these speculators sent a massive 79,300 BTC ($7 billion) to exchanges within a 24-hour period.

“This is the largest Bitcoin sell-off of 2025,” CryptoQuant contributing analyst Axel Adler Jr. commented while sharing the data on X.

The chart shows the highest rolling 24-hour loss-making transactions so far this year. While it doesn’t confirm whether users sold the coins sent to exchanges, the data highlights the atmosphere of uncertainty among newer market participants.

“Yesterday’s price drop likely triggered panic selling, and if further corrections occur, similar behavior could reemerge,” fellow contributor Avocado_onchain continued in a “Quicktake” blog post on February 26.

The post analyzed the spent output profit ratio (SOPR) metric, which tracks the ratio of coins moved at a profit or loss on-chain.

STH-SOPR dropped to 0.964 on February 25, marking its lowest level since the peak of the Japanese yen carry trade unwind in August of last year.

“On the other hand, long-term holders have remained largely unaffected by the recent downturn, continuing to hold their assets and providing support against further price declines,” Avocado_onchain observed.

“Nothing to Be Worried About”

Continuing, James Check, creator of the onchain data resource Checkonchain, noted that crossing the $90,000 mark for the STH group would be a key turning point.

“It’s interesting that the support level around $90,000 should hold, but below that, there isn’t much,” he said.

Check also pointed out that “very little” of the BTC supply has changed hands between the old highs and current local lows.

While discussing the panic-driven market behavior of the week, popular Bitcoin figures called for a more composed approach.

For digital asset lawyer Joe Carlasare, the euphoria following Bitcoin’s breakout above its previous all-time highs of $73,800 has skewed perceptions of its potential.

“The panic is palpable. In December, everyone said Bitcoin couldn’t go down. ‘Nation state bid is here, bro!’ Now they think it can’t go up,” he summarized on X.

“Reality? Bitcoin overshoots both ways. Could it go lower? Sure. But this is the buy zone. Nothing to be worried about.”

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