Bitcoin Becomes Less Nasdaq, More Like Gold

According to Nansen CEO Alex Svanevik, Bitcoin has recently taken on a profile that is “less Nasdaq, more gold.” In the two-week period ending April 22, Bitcoin saw a 12% recovery, despite rising tensions between the U.S. and China over reciprocal tariffs. On April 9, the U.S. raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%, and China responded in kind on April 12.

During this escalation, Bitcoin proved more resilient than both altcoins and major equity indexes like the S&P 500. Svanevik said the performance highlights how investors are beginning to treat Bitcoin as a hedge in times of geopolitical and economic instability.

Still, he cautioned that the risk of economic recession could weigh on demand for speculative assets. However, regulatory momentum and the U.S. government’s evolving approach to Bitcoin reserves could act in BTC’s favor.

U.S. Explores Alternative Ways to Expand Bitcoin Reserves

In addition to holding BTC assets seized in criminal cases, the U.S. government is now working on “budget-neutral strategies” to increase its Bitcoin holdings. As part of an executive order signed by President Donald Trump, discussions include using tariff revenue and reassessing Treasury gold certificates to fund additional purchases—without needing to sell gold.

Bo Hines, a member of the Presidential Council of Advisers for Digital Assets, said on April 14 that the government is actively exploring “many creative ways” to support its Bitcoin strategy.

Recession Risk Rises: What It Means for Bitcoin

According to a report released by JPMorgan on April 15, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 has risen to 60%. The report noted that although recent reductions in Liberation Day tariffs have softened some of the global trade shock, the remaining 10% universal tariff and 145% rate on Chinese imports still pose a serious threat to economic growth.

JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates in September 2025, continuing through early 2026, with the policy rate potentially reaching 3% by mid-2026.

With these macroeconomic pressures mounting, the market is entering a period that could define whether Bitcoin emerges as a reliable hedge—or remains categorized as a high-risk asset.

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There are different types of forks. A hard fork is a complete split, creating a new platform with its own cryptocurrency. A soft fork is more like a modification of the existing cryptocurrency. It’s like adding some new leaves to the tree without creating a whole new branch.

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When hard fork happens, prices often go up because people are excited about the new cryptocurrency. However, prices can decline afterward as the market settles and people decide which version they prefer.

An example of the BTC hard fork in August 2017. Before the fork, there were different ideas:

• Some believed the new coin, Bitcoin Cash, would become more popular than the original Bitcoin.
• Others thought the original Bitcoin would remain on top and Bitcoin Cash would disappear.

Second idea was closer to being right. Bitcoin is still highly valuable, while Bitcoin Cash is worth much less. However no one knew for sure what would happen. Both Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash saw a surge in prices after the fork.

Famous Bitcoin Forks:

• Litecoin
• Bitcoin XT
• Bitcoin Classic
• Segregated Witness
• Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
• SegWit2x
• Bitcoin Gold
• Bitcoin Diamond (BCD)
• Bitcoin Private

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