Matthew Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Asset Management, offered a similar perspective. Hougan stated that it is still too early to declare the cycle over without positive returns by 2026. However, he believes the cycle will eventually end in the long term. Historically, BTC price peaks occurred in 2013, 2017, and 2021 after halving events. Analysts expect a similar scenario in 2025. 

Pierre Rochard, CEO of Bitcoin Bond Company, suggested the four-year cycles might have ended. Rochard pointed out that 95% of Bitcoin’s supply has already been mined. He also noted that the impact of halvings on trading volume has diminished. Demand now mainly comes from retail investors, wealth management platforms adding ETPs, and corporate treasuries. 

Macroeconomics and Institutional Capital Impact 

Martin Burgherr, Head of Client Coverage at Sygnum Bank, said the halving cycle remains an important reference. However, macroeconomic conditions, institutional capital flows, regulatory developments, and ETF adoption have become equally influential on the market. Burgherr emphasized that the four-year framework is no longer the sole determinant. 

In contrast, crypto analyst CRYPTOBIRB rejected claims that the four-year cycle has ended. He stated that ETFs increase market correlation, thus reinforcing this cycle. He also reminded that halving cycles are mathematically programmed and unchangeable. 

Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank, similarly affirmed that the cycles still hold validity. Rocca said that despite institutional presence, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature continues. The debate is expected to become clearer with the anticipated price movements in 2025. 

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This sharp decline in the market caused fear among investors, while CZ’s bullish comment drew attention. BTC reaching its lowest level in recent months triggered widespread sell-offs across the crypto market. 

Geopolitical Tensions Hit Crypto 

The escalating war between Israel and Iran has driven global investors toward safe havens. With the U.S. directly involved in the conflict, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins suffered significant losses. Today, $875 million was liquidated from the crypto market. 

In this environment, the total crypto market cap dropped by 1.24%. The altcoin season index hit its lowest level in two years. The delay in interest rate cut expectations and the impact of war have put the projected $150K BTC target for 2025 on hold. 

CZ: “This Is Just a Dip Before a New Peak” 

CZ reiterated his belief that “every dip is an opportunity.” However, he emphasized that this comment does not apply to all cryptocurrencies. According to him, only strong, in-demand, and long-term potential coins will see new highs. 

Remember, by definition, everything before the next ATH is a dip.

— CZ BNB (@cz_binance) June 23, 2025

CZ stated, “The real question is, will a new ATH come? Yes, but only for solid projects.” Analysts like SightBringer agree with this view. Due to Bitcoin’s limited supply and growing institutional interest, it is expected to reach new highs. 

Market experts remind investors to shift from hype projects to coins with strong infrastructure and real-world utility. 

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“In the last 11 months, we’ve witnessed developments no one imagined. The White House has officially embraced Bitcoin. That alone is extraordinary,” said Saylor.

He went on to highlight that Donald Trump’s presidential win in November 2024 brought a complete shift in U.S. crypto policy.

“We hoped for a pro-Bitcoin president—but we didn’t expect a strategic Bitcoin reserve, nor did we expect to hear the U.S. declare itself the Bitcoin superpower of the world,” he added.

U.S. Paves the Way With Crypto-Friendly Legislation

Saylor also pointed to three major crypto-related bills gaining traction in the United States:

• Genius Act, focused on stablecoins
• Digital Asset Market Clarity Act
• Bitcoin Act

These legislative moves mark a stark contrast from a year ago, with multiple U.S. states now actively embracing Bitcoin.

Strategy’s BTC Holdings: 592,100 Bitcoin

While making these bold claims, Strategy continues to stack Bitcoin, most recently adding $1 billion worth of BTC to its reserves. As of June 15, 2025, the company holds 592,100 BTC.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Despite the massive holdings, Saylor has declined to provide public proof-of-reserves, citing security risks. His stance on self-custody—previously critical—has softened in recent months. In October 2024, he clarified that he supports self-custody for those “willing and able.”

Self-Custody and Open Source Shine at BTC Prague

The BTC Prague 2025 event brought together over 5,000 attendees, including developers, crypto enthusiasts, and newcomers. According to Danny Sanders, Chief Commercial Officer at Trezor, the dominant themes were open-source innovation and individual asset sovereignty.

“BTC Prague continues to attract a deeply Bitcoin-focused community, with a strong interest in the future of self-custody,” Sanders said.

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On-Chain Data Signals an Uptrend for Bitcoin 

Bitcoin is currently trading at a strong support level. On-chain analysis suggests that if this level holds, the uptrend will gain momentum. Technical analysts warn that failure to maintain this level could lead to a downward correction. 

According to Glassnode data, the MVRV ratio currently indicates that investors hold substantial unrealized profits. BTC is trading between $100,200 and $119,400, a range historically seen before local price peaks. Historically, when Bitcoin enters this range, price rallies are often followed by corrections. Therefore, investors should reconsider profit-taking strategies based on MVRV analysis. 

MVRV Ratio compares #BTC's market price to the average investor cost basis – helping gauge when investors hold outsized unrealized profits.
We're now trading between +0.5σ ($100.2K) and +1σ ($119.4K) bands, a zone that has often preceded local tops. pic.twitter.com/NQvB01CN3H

— glassnode (@glassnode) May 30, 2025

In the past two days, large investors whales have accumulated over 20,000 BTC. These aggressive buys show strong bullish expectations. This market activity highlights the importance of niche analyses such as whale buying signals and crypto accumulation phases. Renowned analyst Michael van de Poppe predicts Bitcoin could reach all-time highs this year. 

BTC Index 

The Bitcoin index has given initial signals of a rise. These indicators suggest a potential upward breakout soon. BTC Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 56, indicating the market is neutral and not in overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) zones. 

Long-Term Bitcoin Outlook: $1 Million Target? 

Finance expert Robert Kiyosaki predicts Bitcoin could surpass $1 million in the future. Such long-term forecasts boost the adoption of crypto assets as stores of value. Concepts like BTC long-term investment, digital gold strategy, and portfolio diversification are back on investors’ radar. 

If BTC maintains its upward momentum, the $120,000 level will become a key focus. Market experts foresee strong psychological resistance at this point and significant selling pressure. 

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE ***

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At the Bitcoin 2025 event, closely followed by the crypto community, the Trump family delivered strong messages. Donald Trump Jr. continued the discussion: 

“Yesterday’s announcement was a commitment of $2.5 billion in BTC reserves by Truth Social and Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG). Our crypto trio includes global freedom, the USD1, and the DeFi platform we built. We’ve been in crypto for a long time.” 

Eric Trump emphasized the global demand for Bitcoin and how many companies struggle to acquire it due to limited supply. 

“Everyone wants BTC. Everyone is buying Bitcoin.” 

During the session, Prusak also stated: 

“We are looking for ways to accumulate as much BTC as possible, as quickly as possible.” He added that they are stockpiling satoshis gained from mining operations and will continue this strategy to grow reserves. 

Mike Ho described mining as the primary way to accumulate Bitcoin at a lower cost for shareholders. 

“Stock volatility becomes an advantage here. Volatility is usually seen as negative, but for us, it helps us capture low-cost conversions to accelerate Bitcoin accumulation.” 

Big Bitcoin Target: $170,000 by 2026 

Speakers also shared clear predictions for Bitcoin’s future. Eric Trump predicted BTC would exceed $170,000 by the end of 2026. Donald Trump Jr. forecasted a price range between $150,000 and $175,000 within the same period. 

Donald Trump Jr. also revealed that Trump Media Group plans to raise up to $3 billion for investments in BTC and other cryptocurrencies. This fund will consist of $2 billion in new capital and $1 billion in convertible bonds. 

The Trump administration continues to maintain its positive stance toward cryptocurrencies. Vice President JD Vance emphasized the need for regulatory clarity to ensure the crypto industry remains in the U.S. He also noted that the crypto sector played a significant role in Trump’s previous election victory. 

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Having emerged from prison with a more cautious outlook but unwavering commitment to the industry, CZ reiterated his belief in decentralization and the long-term potential of crypto. Here are the key highlights from the interview.

CZ’s Bitcoin Predictions: A Peak Between $500,000 and $1 Million

CZ made a bold prediction about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in this cycle. Highlighting the role of ETFs and institutional investments in driving Bitcoin’s price upward, he forecasted a peak between $500,000 and $1 million:

“Bitcoin is rising because most ETFs are Bitcoin-based. I think in this cycle, the price will be somewhere between $500,000 and $1 million.”

He noted that government purchases of Bitcoin are positive for price action but could undermine the spirit of decentralization. CZ advocated for small investors to acquire Bitcoin before governments, stating, “As early adopters, we want governments to come in last. We’d prefer the little guys to hold Bitcoin first.”

What Did CZ Experience in Prison?

CZ described his four-month prison stint last year as “extremely tough” and “frightening.” He shared a cell with a double murderer serving a 30-year sentence:

“My first cellmate had a 30-year sentence for killing two people.”

Despite the harsh environment, CZ noted that most inmates were polite, and he faced no issues. Prison reminded him of the importance of health and family, he said. In an environment without internet access, he could only track Bitcoin prices through messages from his family. CZ emphasized that his prison experience made him more cautious and more attuned to geopolitical issues.

Memecoin Frenzy: Short-Term and Risky

Addressing his interest in memecoins, CZ admitted to initial curiosity but quickly recognized their risks. He argued that 99.999% of memecoins are doomed to fail, stating, “CoinMarketCap tracks 13-14 million tokens. You can imagine how many will fail.”

CZ engaged with memecoin communities on the BNB Chain but has no plans to trade them. He expressed concern that memecoins divert attention from utility-driven projects, potentially harming the industry.

Centralized vs. Decentralized Exchanges: Coexisting Tools

Discussing the debate between centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX), CZ argued that the two are not rivals but complementary tools providing access to blockchain. While CEX platforms are user-friendly, he predicted that DEX platforms will eventually dominate:

In the future, DEX will be bigger than CEX.

CZ highlighted Binance’s investments in DEX and blockchain development, underscoring their commitment to the decentralization vision. While Binance listings are seen as a “top signal” by short-term speculators, he stressed that they mark a starting point for long-term builders.

Donald Trump and Crypto: A Major Opportunity for the Industry

CZ hailed Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance as a turning point for the industry. He praised Trump for understanding crypto like a “people’s person” and suggested that this shift could encourage other countries to buy Bitcoin:

The U.S. doing a 180 to become pro-crypto will lead other countries to follow.

CZ recalled watching Trump’s pro-crypto rhetoric on television while in prison, expressing optimism about the industry’s prospects under this policy. However, he clarified that he has no personal communication with Trump and avoids political donations.

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According to Hayes, if the U.S. increases dollar liquidity, it could significantly boost demand for risky assets like Bitcoin. More liquidity means more money flowing into the markets, which could result in a substantial price surge for digital assets.

On another note, Hayes pointed to former President Donald Trump’s inconsistent statements on tariffs as a key reason behind ongoing market uncertainty. Although Trump’s aggressive tariff plans have been postponed for 90 days, Hayes warned that short-term volatility remains a risk.

Despite Bitcoin trading within a narrow range recently, investor interest remains strong. In fact, Hayes’ $1 million price target seems to be fueling further excitement among crypto enthusiasts.

What’s Next for Bitcoin’s Price in May 2025?

Bitcoin (BTC) has shown slow but steady gains over the past week, while increasing BTC outflows from exchanges have highlighted growing investor confidence.

Last week, BTC surged from $87,000 to $94,000, holding steady without triggering large-scale profit-taking. The absence of panic selling, especially among short-term holders, supports the notion of a healthy, sustainable rally.

Data from CryptoQuant indicates that BTC inflows into exchanges have continued to decline, suggesting that investors are moving their assets into cold storage for long-term holding. Negative net flows throughout April confirm that the market has entered a strong accumulation phase.

Additionally, the MVRV ratio has reached its highest level in recent months. While this shows some investors are already in profit, long-term holders have not yet realized significant gains—indicating that Bitcoin still has room to grow.

Experts suggest that the next target levels for Bitcoin could be $101,000 and $106,000, setting the stage for another potential breakout.

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According to new analysis, Bitcoin is expected to maintain a price target of $138,000 by 2025 as the market recovers from US trade tariffs.

Polymarket Data Shows BTC/USD Could Increase by 60% This Year

“Cautious Polymarket users are limiting the Bitcoin price increase to 60%.” This quarter, Bitcoin bull market projections have been significantly affected due to several setbacks impacting crypto and broader risky assets.

Now, an evaluation of all potential BTC price outcomes on Polymarket suggests that the bull market cycle might be limited to around a 60% increase before 2026.

These results were shared by Ashwin on X on March 27, showing that price bets have dropped to as low as $59,000.

Ashwin explained that this analysis not only provides a market sentiment score but also includes expected price targets for both bearish and bullish scenarios.

This offers a reference to compare your market prediction with the broader market.

BTC Price Could Range Between $59,000 and $138,000, Experts Provide Cautious Outlook

Ashwin stated that the analysis on Polymarket shows BTC price could range from $59,040 to $138,617. While the $138,000 target may seem optimistic for some Bitcoin users, the market remains cautious as it recovers from the uncertainty caused by Trump’s tariffs.

Modest expectations for BTC/USD align with the average target of $122,000 on Kalshi. The risk of Bitcoin’s support level failing persists, with critical levels at $73,800 and $69,000.

Additionally, historical prediction tools show a 95% probability of the $69,000 level holding. Trader Aksel Kibar emphasized the importance of maintaining an annual average of $76,000.

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The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the PCE inflation report on March 28, measuring the inflation rate in the prices US consumers pay for goods and services.

Singapore-based digital asset firm QCP Group stated that the PCE data could be a key catalyst for Bitcoin and other risk assets.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

In a Telegram post, QCP Group said:

“As we approach Friday’s quarterly expiry, with the highest open interest in topside strikes above $100K, we don’t expect major volatility driven by options positioning alone. But attention will turn to the PCE inflation print, which could become the next key catalyst.”

April Has Historically Been a Strong Month for Bitcoin!

Bitcoin has averaged a 12.9% return in April, making it one of the strongest-performing months historically. CoinGlass data shows that April is among Bitcoin’s best months in terms of price gains.

Can Bitcoin Reach $110,000 Amid Easing Inflation Concerns?

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could first reach $110,000 before pulling back to $76,500.

Juan Pellicer, senior analyst at IntoTheBlock, noted that Bitcoin is showing strong signs of recovery, driven by institutional demand and significant investments.

“BTC is showing signs of recovery, driven by growing institutional interest and significant investments from large players. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s recent monetary easing could further boost liquidity, favoring a price increase in the near term.”

Pellicer emphasized that while market volatility remains a risk, the overall momentum suggests that Bitcoin is more likely to hit the $110,000 target before any potential pullback.

Bitcoin is entering April, a historically strong month for its price performance. If US inflation data meets expectations and the Fed maintains its loose monetary policy, Bitcoin could soar to $110,000. However, global economic uncertainties could also lead to a potential correction down to $76,500.

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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis

In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has gained 8.61%, currently trading at $89,789. BTC has regained the $86,641 support level and is now inside a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) region. If this region is surpassed, the $100,000 target could be reached. However, if BTC loses the $86,641 support, the next support level would likely be the bullish FVG region. The critical point for BTC is the preservation of this support. If it’s lost, a larger decline could occur.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Technical Analysis

Ethereum has gained 6.42% in the last 24 hours, currently trading at $2,207. After bouncing off the $2,037 support, ETH regained the $2,108 support level and is currently above it. The nearest resistance for Ethereum is the bearish FVG region. A breakthrough in this region could see ETH targeting the $2,811 level. If this support is lost, we may witness a pullback to the $2,000 range.

Tether (USDT) Dominance and Crypto Market Overview

Tether Dominance has pulled back to the bullish FVG region after a rejection from the order block. It rose again to the order block resistance but faced another rejection in a short time. If Tether Dominance breaks the order block resistance, the 5.90% level could be the next target. Currently, the dominance rate stands at 4.94%.

Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to be the key players in the market. The price movements of Bitcoin and Ethereum are at critical levels. If these resistance levels are broken, BTC could target $100,000, and ETH could aim for $2,811. However, the loss of support levels could lead to further retracements. Crypto investors should closely monitor these critical levels for BTC and ETH.

In conclusion, the price movements for Bitcoin and Ethereum are at pivotal levels. For an upward trend, resistance levels must be surpassed, while for a downward move, support levels need to hold. Investors should stay vigilant as the market unfolds.

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