In his first televised address following the raid, President Donald Trump announced that the United States would now oversee Venezuela’s oil industry. These reserves, estimated at over 300 billion barrels, are valued at more than $17 trillion at current market prices.

Congress Sidestepped: Removal Debates Ignite

Political tensions in Washington reached a breaking point after Trump admitted the operation was kept hidden from Congress to prevent leaks. Senate Leader Chuck Schumer condemned the move as “reckless,” arguing that the administration had previously denied any plans for military action or regime change.

Prediction Markets: A Surprising Shift

Despite the political backlash and talks of removal from office, prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi show an unexpected trend:

• Lower Removal Odds: The probability of Trump being removed by December 31, 2026, actually dropped by 3% on Polymarket following the attacks.

• Long-term Outlook: Betting odds for 2027 and 2028 also saw a slight decline, suggesting that the successful military outcome may have bolstered his standing among bettors.

Trump-Linked Crypto Assets Explode

The geopolitical shockwaves sent investors flocking to digital assets associated with the U.S. President. The crypto market responded with significant gains:

• Bitcoin (BTC): Surged past the $91,000 mark for the first time since mid-December.

• World Liberty Financial (WLFI): The Trump-backed project skyrocketed over 16% daily, hitting $0.18.

• TRUMP (MAGA) Token: Gained 7.5% to reach $5.40, reclaiming its spot among the top 100 altcoins.

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Details and Impact of the Liquidation 

According to data, $200 million of the total liquidation came from short positions. This indicates a bullish move contrary to the prevailing bearish expectations. A large portion of investors believed prices would drop, but unexpected price surges triggered the closure of short positions. 

Bitcoin’s rise to $116,466 and Ethereum reaching $3,810 accelerated this liquidation process. The largest single liquidation occurred in the HMX-ETH-USDT pair, resulting in a loss of $34.28 million in one transaction. 

Key Takeaways for Crypto Investors 

This event serves as a warning for crypto investors, highlighting the high volatility of the market once again. Excessive leverage usage is the primary cause of such large liquidations. Therefore, risk management is more crucial than ever. 

Long-term strategies are considered safer compared to short-term speculation, especially in leveraged trading. Following overall crypto market trends instead of reacting to instant price moves is a more rational approach. Carefully monitoring market developments is essential for making informed decisions. 

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In May, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by just 0.1% month-over-month and 2.4% annually—below the expected 2.5%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, also came in at a softer 2.8%. Declines in energy, vehicles, and apparel prices contributed to the subdued inflation print, helping to ease concerns over runaway inflation.

Pressure on the Fed to Cut Rates Grows

This weaker-than-expected inflation reading reignited speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in the near future. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance publicly urged the Fed to take action and lower rates, calling the current monetary stance overly restrictive.

The dovish outlook and easing inflation boosted risk appetite across markets, pushing Bitcoin above the $110,000 mark. Many crypto investors see this macro backdrop as a potential catalyst for the next bullish cycle.

Moreover, with real wages rising and inflation pressures easing, digital assets are increasingly seen as attractive alternatives to traditional investments. Market participants are now closely watching upcoming Fed comments and macroeconomic data for further confirmation of a rate cut trajectory.

Bitcoin Surpasses $110,000

Bitcoin’s breakout not only reflects favorable economic conditions but also growing investor confidence and positive sentiment in digital asset markets.

If inflation remains tame and the Fed turns more accommodative, Bitcoin’s upward momentum may continue well into the summer.

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CPI Figures Fall Below Expectations

According to data released on May 13, US Core CPI (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%. Headline CPI (MoM) also recorded 0.2%, again below the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI (YoY) was reported at 2.3%, slightly under the previous and expected value of 2.4%.

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These results suggest a controlled deceleration in inflation, potentially reducing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.

Bitcoin And Ethereum React Quickly

Immediately after the release, Bitcoin rose from 103,300$ to 104,000$, while Ethereum (ETH) climbed from 2,500$ to 2,530$. The market’s swift reaction underscores how closely crypto assets are tied to macroeconomic expectations, particularly around interest rate policy.

The move also reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin and Ethereum being viewed as hedges against inflation.

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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady, Warnings Draw Attention 

The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), in its May 7, 2025 meeting, kept the interest rate steady at the 4.25%-4.5% range. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) highlighted growing threats to economic growth and employment. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference, stated, “Large tariff increases could slow the economy, prolong inflation, and increase job losses.” Powell’s remarks were interpreted as criticism of the Trump administration’s trade policies. 

The Fed’s decision to maintain rates heightened market uncertainty. Powell’s tariff warning prompted investors to adopt a cautious stance. Despite this, alternative assets like Bitcoin saw an upswing. 

President Donald Trump, on the same day, emphasized that tariffs on China would not be lifted. Although talks with Chinese officials were scheduled for the weekend in Switzerland, Trump showed no signs of compromise. This escalated global trade tensions. Trump stated, “Our trade policies will strengthen the U.S. economy,” reaffirming his commitment to his approach. 

U.S. stock markets experienced volatility following the Fed’s decision and tariff tensions. The S&P 500 rose by 0.2%. The Dow Jones gained 200 points, or 0.5%, driven by gains in banking stocks. However, the Nasdaq fell 0.4% due to losses in technology stocks. Notably, Alphabet dropped 6% amid rumors of a new AI-focused search engine. Apple also lost 1% in value. While banking stocks rallied, the technology sector underperformed due to tariff concerns. 

Bitcoin Surge and Profit-Taking 

Following the Fed’s decision, Bitcoin rose 2%, approaching $97,000. According to CoinGecko data, Bitcoin gained over 20% in the past week. CryptoQuant’s analysis indicated that investors accelerated profit-taking. Daily realized profits exceeded $1 billion, signaling an advanced stage of the bull market. 

CryptoQuant noted that high profit-taking could increase the risk of a pullback. However, if profit-taking slows, Bitcoin could enter a new upward trend. The Fed’s interest rate policies indirectly influence crypto markets. JPMorgan analysts predict that the Fed’s cautious stance may sustain volatility in crypto markets. 

Post-Fed Decision Outlook 

Powell warned that tariff increases could fuel inflation and slow growth. “We won’t rush into rate cuts,” Powell said, emphasizing a focus on economic data. Analysts predict the Fed could implement two rate cuts in 2025. However, Trump’s policies may alter these expectations. Goldman Sachs forecasts a potential rate cut in June 2025, though tariff policies’ impact on inflation could delay this timeline. 

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Could the PBOC Be the Catalyst for a Crypto Market Resurgence?

Arthur Hayes suggests that if the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) devalues the yuan, it could spark a new Bitcoin bull market. Hayes believes this could mirror the capital flows into Bitcoin seen in 2013 and 2015.

In the past, when the yuan weakened against the USD, it resulted in increased interest in Bitcoin. As the yuan lost value, Chinese capital flowed into cryptocurrencies, pushing Bitcoin prices higher. Experts predict this trend could repeat itself in 2025.

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According to Bybit co-founder Ben Zhou, a devaluation of the yuan could drive more capital into BTC, which would be a bullish signal for the Bitcoin market.

Historical Events and Bitcoin’s Rise

In 2015, China devalued the yuan by almost 2%, leading to its biggest single-day drop in decades. This period saw a rise in Bitcoin interest, although the direct cause-and-effect relationship is still debated. Similarly, when the yuan fell below the symbolic 7:1 ratio against the USD in 2019, Bitcoin also saw significant price increases.

Wealthy Chinese Investors Turning to Crypto

Analysts suggest that wealthy Chinese individuals have previously turned to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to bypass government capital controls and preserve wealth. Furthermore, currency devaluations are believed to erode trust in central banks and government financial management, prompting people to turn to decentralized alternatives like Bitcoin.

Meta Description: Arthur Hayes suggests that China’s response to tariffs and a potential yuan devaluation could fuel capital flight into Bitcoin, sparking a new bull market in 2025.

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The Impact of Trump and Rising Bitcoin Prices in the Crypto Market

The election of Donald Trump as President of the United States and the Fed’s interest rate cuts are continuing to support the rise in the cryptocurrency market. Trump’s potential victory in the presidential race has increased investors’ risk appetite, boosting demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This is one of the key factors behind Bitcoin’s recent rapid rise.

On Thursday, the Fed reduced interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5% – 4.75%. This rate cut narrowed the Fed-Bitcoin yield gap, supporting Bitcoin’s price. Along with the Fed’s rate cut, investors have been turning to cryptocurrencies, helping Bitcoin approach the $80,000 level. The pricing of Bitcoin options listed on Deribit also suggests that the BTC rally may continue.

Bitcoin’s strong performance has contributed to a 13.5% increase in the overall crypto market cap, reaching $2.5 trillion. These developments indicate that Bitcoin is very close to surpassing the $80,000 level.

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