The BTC/USD pair rose by 2.43% in the last 24 hours, reaching $109,500, with trading volume increasing by 20% to $56 billion. The main driver behind this rise is Bitcoin’s synchronized movement with the global M2 money supply. The M2 money supply has reached an all-time high of $55.48 trillion. 

Additionally, Coinglass data supports the upward trend. A 7.28% increase in open interest on BTC futures indicates a generally bullish market. 

Peter Brandt’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction: $140K Target in Sight 

The analyst emphasized Bitcoin is in a strong breakout pattern in a chart shared on the X platform. Brandt questioned, “Isn’t this bearish flag too obvious to fail?” According to Brandt, after this breakout, BTC is aiming first for $104,000, then $140,000. This outlook aligns with forecasts from major institutions like Standard Chartered and is supported by the Global M2 curve that Bitcoin has followed consistently since early 2024. 

Is this bear flag (yellow box) so obvious to everyone so as to not work?
Or is this chart about to drop off a cliff?
Just asking. CTB$ pic.twitter.com/x3c9ABwVx5

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) July 3, 2025

Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin to $90K Before Jackson Hole 

However, Maelstrom Fund CIO Arthur Hayes is more cautious. He believes June’s CPI data and July’s FOMC decision may tighten market liquidity. The restructuring of the Treasury General Account (TGA) could significantly withdraw liquidity from the market. 

Hayes stated, “The market will move sideways or slightly down until Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.” He highlighted a potential drop to the $90,000–$95,000 range for BTC. Preparing for this scenario, Maelstrom Fund sold illiquid altcoin positions and reduced Bitcoin exposure. 

FOMC and CPI Data to Decide Bitcoin’s Fate 

Ultimately, Bitcoin’s direction will largely depend on economic data and central bank decisions. If inflation falls below expectations, real yields remain low, attracting capital to non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Furthermore, if the Fed softens its hawkish stance and slows balance sheet reduction, it could trigger a new bull run. 

CPI data and the Fed’s tone will determine the strength of this move. The battle between bulls and bears will become clearer in the coming days. 

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The post Bitcoin Breakout: $140K Target or $90K Drop? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

106K Target Hit After Bullish Breakout

In our previous analysis, it was noted that if Bitcoin broke through the 102,961 – 101,984 USD resistance zone, a target of 105,000 USD would be next. The breakout occurred with strong buying pressure, pushing BTC up to the 106,000 USD level — surpassing the forecasted target and validating the setup.

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The current focus shifts to the next resistance range between 106,622 and 105,725 USD. If Bitcoin manages to break above this zone with volume support, the path toward 110,000 USD becomes highly likely. Sustained momentum will be critical to keep the uptrend intact.

Key Support Levels on the Downside

In the event of a pullback, the nearest strong support remains the 102,961 – 101,984 USD range. As long as BTC holds above this level, the bullish bias remains valid in the short term.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

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