Experienced trader Peter Brandt highlighted that “Small” and “Large Banana Split” formations are developing, typically resulting in sharp volatility, bullish momentum, and potential parabolic price surges. The market has also reacted positively to easing US–Iran geopolitical risks, falling oil prices, and reduced macroeconomic uncertainty; BTC is trading at $69,803 at press time, showing early signs of short-term upward momentum.

Peter Brandt Shifts from Bearish to Bullish

Earlier today, Brandt shared on X his bullish outlook for BTC. In his recent analysis, he described Bitcoin’s long-term upward channel as the “Large Banana Split”, noting that micro-scale structures have also broken upward. Why is BTC rising? The technical answer lies in cyclical patterns that repeat approximately every 52 weeks, now reaching their final stage.

Brandt’s bullish stance comes shortly after a previous bearish view. He remained cautious in the crypto market for a period before adopting a bullish outlook on BTC. He specifically anticipates a major price move by October 2026.

The Big Banana is forming a Little Banana — and it indicates there is about to be a Banana Split $BTC pic.twitter.com/0bDCPU3tGP

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) March 10, 2026

Large Banana Split and Potential Moves

Peter Brandt shared another weekly chart showing BTC still within a long-term parabolic channel, which he calls the “Large Banana Split”. Historically, this channel has been through multiple market cycles, while the short-term “Small Banana Split” signals Bitcoin’s preparation for the next major move.

Following declines in US oil prices and President Trump’s comments about ending the conflict soon, the crypto market responded positively. BTC could experience a sudden breakout, potentially mimicking previous market cycle patterns.

What This Could Mean for BTC

Bitcoin has been under pressure due to US–Iran tensions but has recently shown signs of relief, with prices rising as the conflict eases.

The “Banana Split” term refers to the expected price surge once both small and large formations are completed. The short-term curve suggests significant growth, marking the possible start of a bullish market. However, if the pattern fails, downward movements could still occur.

As of press time, BTC trades at $69,803, up 3.2% in a day, 2.7% over the past week, and 0.6% monthly. If Peter Brandt’s forecast materializes, BTC could reach as high as $280,000 in the long term. In summary, there are both risks and opportunities, and investors should remain cautious but optimistic.

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The first response was not panic selling. It was hesitation.

This distinction matters. Because when macro risk rises but price does not break, it reveals something deeper about market positioning.

Initial Price Reaction After Tariff Announcement

The Trump administration moved forward with the tariff decision using an alternative legal framework after its previous emergency economic authority was limited by the Supreme Court of the United States. The new tariffs were implemented under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974. This structure places certain limitations on scope and duration.

The market understood that detail quickly. Bitcoin continued to trade within the $68,000 range following the announcement. There was no sharp downside break. At the same time, no aggressive upside expansion appeared either. Price compressed and held its equilibrium zone.

Sometimes, this kind of non-reaction reflects weakness. Other times, it suggests the market was already positioned defensively.

Recent price behavior shows that $68,000 has become a short-term balance level. The area has functioned as both support and stabilization over recent sessions.

The key observation is simple: macro pressure increased, but this level held.

In previous macro shocks, Bitcoin reacted much faster. That reflex is missing now. This opens two possibilities. Positioning may already be lighter. Or participants may be waiting for clearer signals before committing capital.

For now, direction remains unresolved. Ethereum reflected a similar structure. Price held near $1,977 without triggering a cascade of liquidations. This suggests excessive leverage may have already been reduced in recent weeks.

The broader altcoin market also remained relatively stable. The Total3 index, which tracks crypto market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, declined less than 1%. Total valuation held near $713 billion.

That restraint matters.

Because historically, altcoins showed much greater fragility during macro-driven risk events. This time, selling pressure remained limited. The market appears cautious, not broken.

Macro Risk Is Rising, But Panic Is Absent

Tariffs often trigger cascading macro effects. Inflation expectations shift. Currency strength adjusts. Liquidity assumptions change. Risk assets usually respond quickly.

But that pattern has not fully emerged here.

Derivatives data shows declining trading volume across several platforms. Open interest remains largely flat. Traders are not aggressively expanding exposure.

The market is watching. Not reacting.

This phase often precedes larger directional moves. Quiet periods rarely last forever.

Critical Level Holds, But Balance May Not Last

The $68,000 region continues to serve as a key technical zone. Its stability reflects a market that has not yet lost structural balance.

However, equilibrium zones rarely persist indefinitely. Price typically resolves in one direction or the other. Extended sideways compression tends to precede expansion.

Especially when macro uncertainty remains elevated.

Market Data Signals Ongoing Repositioning

At the time of writing, Bitcoin continues trading between $67,800 and $68,200. Volatility remained subdued during both Asian and European sessions. Funding rates across derivatives markets hovered near neutral.

This pattern reflects consolidation, not resolution. The next decisive move will likely define the medium-term trend.

Technical Structure Highlights Key Resistance at $72,000

After rebounding from $60,000, BTC attempted to reclaim the $72,000 level but failed to hold above it. Price retraced toward the $65,000 area. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin continues to hold its intermediate support zone.

However, repeated tests of support can weaken structural integrity over time.

The $72,000 level now stands as the key resistance barrier. A confirmed break and sustained hold above that region could reduce selling pressure significantly. Technical projections suggest that such a breakout may open a path toward the $86,700–$89,950 range.

Until then, broader trend uncertainty remains intact.

Market Holds Structural Support Despite Tariff Shock

The fact that Bitcoin remained near $68,000 following the tariff announcement signals underlying structural stability. Despite rising macroeconomic pressure, price has not entered disorderly decline.

Liquidity conditions and macroeconomic developments will likely determine the next directional phase.

For now, the market remains in transition. And these transition phases often prove decisive.

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Liveliness measures long-term onchain activity, similar to a moving average for coin movement. Technical analyst “TXMC” stated on Sunday, “Liveliness continues to rise this cycle even with lower prices, reflecting a strong demand floor for spot Bitcoin that isn’t yet visible in price action.”

What Liveliness Represents

According to TXMC, the metric works elegantly:

• Liveliness increases when coins are transacted and decreases when they are held.

• The metric scales according to coin age, making older coins’ movement more impactful.

• Historically, it rises during bull runs as capital flows into the market.

Analyst James Check noted that liveliness remained range-bound since the 2017 peak, but current cycles are breaking new highs. The reactivation of dormant coins shows an unprecedented rotation of capital this cycle. Check emphasized, “Unlike 2017, when transactions were hundreds or thousands of dollars, this cycle sees billions moving onchain.”

Bitcoin Price Trends and Consolidation

Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen limited movement. Prices briefly dipped below $89,000 on Sunday morning but recovered to around $89,500 at the time of writing. MN Fund founder Michaël van de Poppe commented, “Anything between $86,000 and $92,000 is largely noise. Significant moves will happen outside this range.”

He added, “If $92,000 is tested, we may break it, otherwise expect a test near the low $80,000s for a potential double-bottom pattern.” Analysts suggest the end of the year and early 2025 could see a strong rally.

Key Takeaways for Investors

• Liveliness continues to climb, reflecting ongoing investor demand

• Reactivation of old coins signals major capital rotation

• BTC price consolidating between $86,000–$92,000

• Long-term bull cycle may still be active

Rising liveliness indicates that despite short-term price fluctuations, Bitcoin’s bull market momentum remains intact. Onchain data and analyst insights suggest investors should monitor trends carefully while considering potential long-term opportunities.

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What Is the Coinbase Premium?

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the price difference between Bitcoin traded on the leading U.S. exchange Coinbase and the global market average. It serves as an important indicator of capital flows, institutional activity, and overall market sentiment. A negative premium means Bitcoin is trading at a lower price on Coinbase. We can group its meaning as follows:

• If the price on Coinbase is higher, the indicator stays positive. This suggests that investor demand in the U.S. is stronger than the global average.
• If the price is lower, the indicator turns negative, indicating selling pressure or weakened demand in the U.S. market.

This article may also interest you: Bitcoin 2025: Moving Parallel to the 2022 Bear Market?

What Does This Shift Mean?

This shift is considered a strong signal for those trying to interpret institutional investor behavior and Bitcoin’s short-term direction. The index has now turned positive. A positive reading currently tells us the following:

• Strong buying demand from U.S. investors is increasing.
• Institutional and ETF-driven inflows are rising.
• Liquidity is beginning to shift back into the U.S. market.

If the index turns negative again, it is a clear sign that interest in the U.S. is weakening or selling pressure is intensifying—this is something investors should not overlook.

For instant crypto news updates, click here.

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Bitcoin Whale Inflows Signal a Strong Warning

On November 21, whales moved approximately 9,000 BTC to exchanges, nearly half from large wallets. This activity signaled that whales were preparing to sell, adding new pressure to the crypto market. Single-day transfers reaching 7,000 BTC further stressed the price.

“This indicates that investors and traders continue to sell Bitcoin in the context of the current price drawdown, putting further downward pressure on the price.”

CryptoQuant analysis shows that almost half of the BTC sent to exchanges comes from wallets holding 100 BTC or more. Single-day inflows of 7,000 BTC suggest whales are accelerating their selling preparations.

Meanwhile, the average BTC deposit in November reached 1.23 BTC, the highest level in the past year. This rise pushed exchanges back into a selling-dominated position. Coinbase reported that BTC fell to $80,600, the lowest in seven months.

Bitcoin exchange inflows are rising as the price drops to ~87K, a seven-month low.

Large deposits (100+ BTC) now make up 45% of all inflows, hitting 7K BTC on Nov 21.

Large holders are increasingly sending BTC to exchanges, reinforcing the current downtrend. pic.twitter.com/UpN4rAL0FH

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) November 26, 2025

Binance Stablecoin Reserves Hit Record High

Binance’s stablecoin reserves reached $51 billion this week, setting a new record. This accumulation indicates that investors are moving away from risk and keeping capital in waiting mode. BTC and ETH inflows on Binance and Coinbase together reached $40 billion, adding further pressure on the crypto market.

Analyst James Check noted that leverage remains high. He added that if BTC enters the $70,000–$80,000 range, it could clear remaining leveraged positions, indicating continued short-term volatility.

Altcoin Inflows Rise as Resistance Levels Are Monitored

Ether inflows increased but not as sharply as BTC. However, altcoins faced a strong selling wave, with many tokens returning to bear market lows. This trend shows low investor appetite and reduced trading activity on exchanges.

10x Research noted that Bitcoin’s tactical recovery from oversold conditions continues. Analysts identified $92,000 and $101,000 as key resistance levels. Remaining above $90,000 will be decisive for short-term price action.

Key Market Signals This Week:

• Whale inflows rose, boosting selling pressure.
• Stablecoin reserves reached record highs.
• Altcoin inflows increased, while prices weakened.
• The crypto market remains cautious.

This analysis clearly shows the relationship between Bitcoin whale inflows and market behavior. On-chain data continues to shape short-term trends. As whale activity increases, market pressure may persist, urging investors to remain cautious.

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The post Are Bitcoin Whale Inflows Rising? Price Faces Downside Risk appeared first on Coin Engineer.

A Brief Dip Under $90,000 Bitcoin

Earlier this week, Bitcoin briefly fell below $90,000, touching levels last seen in April. Data from CoinGecko indicates that the drop reflects ongoing fragility following October’s massive liquidation wave. The sudden move downward reignited broader concerns about risk assets as traders awaited clarity on U.S. monetary policy.

Speaking to CNBC, Tom Lee noted that the crypto market has remained sensitive since the October 10 liquidation event. He added that uncertainty surrounding whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December continues to weigh on sentiment.

Lee explained that several technical indicators are showing signs of exhaustion. After consulting with DeMark Analytics’ Tom Demar, he said there is a possibility that a “bottoming pattern” could emerge sometime this week.

A Combination of Pressures Behind the Pullback

Industry leaders point out that the recent weakness cannot be attributed to macroeconomic worries alone. Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, long-term holders taking profit, and heightened geopolitical tension have all contributed to the ongoing sell pressure.

“A Generational Opportunity for Long-Term for Bitcoin Investors”

Despite the volatility, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin is approaching a key bottom. He argues the current levels represent a valuable entry point for patient investors. Hougan highlighted several forces restraining the market — concerns about the broader economy, stretched valuations in AI-related equities, and tariff-related uncertainty linked to President Donald Trump’s policies.

According to Hougan, Bitcoin was one of the first assets to react to the market’s downturn, and it may also be among the first to recover once conditions stabilize.

Outlook: New Highs Still Possible by Year-End

Bitcoin is trading near $90,700, standing roughly 28% below its all-time high above $126,000 set on October 6.

Even so, Lee remains constructive. He believes a strong rebound in equities could help lift Bitcoin and that a fresh record high before the end of the year is still within reach.

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The post Bitcoin Slips Below $90K: Analysts Say a Bottom Could Form This Week appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin tests a key support level

Weekend sell-offs pulled Bitcoin down to 93,029 dollars, slipping below the 93,507-dollar level where the year began. A mild rebound lifted BTC back toward 94,209 dollars, yet overall pressure on the crypto market remains intact. Meanwhile, investors continue to question why the market failed to recover even after the U.S. government ended its 43-day shutdown. This development created a contrast with the optimistic expectations that dominated early 2025.

Corporate interest rises, but the price remains under pressure

The strong outlook at the beginning of 2025 was supported by the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance and increasing corporate Bitcoin treasury allocations. Additionally, fresh inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs boosted expectations. Despite these favorable factors, BTC continued its decline as regulatory momentum increased. A major reason behind the weak price action has been profit-taking by long-term holders and OG Bitcoin investors. According to Glassnode analysts, this behavior is not panic-driven but rather a typical late-cycle pattern. At the same time, leading altcoins such as Ethereum and Solana have also fallen between 7 and 28 percent, showing that the downturn is market-wide.

Bitcoin cycle debate resurfaces

Analysts have renewed discussions on whether the classic four-year Bitcoin cycle still applies. With institutional participation rising, some believe traditional models have lost their predictive power. However, several experts still expect a strong bull phase in 2026. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan argues that macroeconomic conditions combined with the “debasement trade” could trigger a new surge in BTC. Furthermore, the continued growth of stablecoins and tokenization supports the long-term expansion of the crypto ecosystem. Greater user adoption and clearer regulations are also listed among the constructive long-term factors.

BTC Analysis

Our analyst reports that Bitcoin continues to maintain its long-term upward trend on the weekly chart. The sharp correction from 110,000 dollars in January to 74,000 dollars created the same panic cycle seen in previous market phases. From that level, BTC rallied strongly toward 126,000 dollars, forming a new upward leg. A similar scenario remains possible in the current structure.

Technically, the potential reversal zone sits between 88,000 and 73,000 dollars. The price may bounce earlier, but the key factor is whether a confirmed breakout follows. Without such a breakout, BTC could revisit 106,000 dollars before turning downward again. For this reason, waiting for breakouts instead of trying to catch the exact bottom offers a safer strategy.

As long as the 73,000-dollar level holds, the overall trend structure is not expected to face major deterioration. Investors seeking to move with the trend may benefit from waiting for clearer direction and confirmation.

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The post Bitcoin Drops Sharply as 2025 Gains Vanish: Weekly BTC Analysis appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The drop below $95,000 for the first time in six months caused panic among traders. However, JPMorgan’s analysis indicates that this level is a critical support both technically and fundamentally. Analysts say that rising production costs create a natural floor for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, gold price fluctuations make Bitcoin a more attractive long-term alternative investment.

JPMorgan BTC Price Prediction and the $94K Support Level

JPMorgan’s research team uses mining cost trends as a key indicator for BTC price prediction. With network difficulty increasing, the cost of producing one Bitcoin rose from $92,000 to $94,000. Miners are less inclined to sell at a loss, which limits selling pressure and prevents the price from dropping below a critical level.

Led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the team points out that the ratio between production costs and spot price supports $94,000 as a strong bottom. Additionally, increased hash power, enhanced network security, and growing spot demand strengthen the potential for upward movement. The decline in BTC volatility relative to gold also boosts institutional investor interest, making BTC more appealing as a portfolio hedge.

$170K Target and Long-Term Outlook for Bitcoin

JPMorgan analysts also shared long-term projections. According to the report, Bitcoin could reach $170,000 within the next 6–12 months. This prediction is based on the Bitcoin-gold volatility ratio dropping below 2.0. Given gold’s market cap of over $28 trillion, Bitcoin remains undervalued, highlighting a valuation gap that may drive BTC’s market cap higher.

Analysts emphasize that reduced volatility makes Bitcoin more attractive for portfolio diversification. Additionally, macroeconomic trends, ETF demand, and miner behavior remain key factors shaping price movements. This strengthens the outlook for a bullish trend in BTC price prediction.

Key Indicators for Bitcoin Price Prediction

• Mining costs and network difficulty
• Bitcoin-gold volatility ratio
• Institutional investor demand
• Spot market liquidity

Bitcoin’s long-term potential is increasingly discussed among experts. Michael Saylor’s prediction that BTC will surpass gold, along with similar comments by Changpeng Zhao, reinforces these discussions. Combined with JPMorgan’s analysis, this suggests a strong potential for BTC to experience significant gains over the coming year.

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The post JPMorgan: Bitcoin Price Prediction Points to $94K Bottom appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The rally also triggered a wave of liquidations among overleveraged short traders, marking another volatile start to the week across digital asset markets.

Altcoins Follow Bitcoin’s Lead: ETH, SOL, and ADA Surge

After fluctuating between $108,000 and $111,000 last week, Bitcoin regained momentum late Saturday. U.S. Secretary of State Bessent hinted at progress in trade talks with Beijing, suggesting that a deal could be announced after this weekend’s leaders’ summit in Europe. The news instantly boosted risk appetite across markets.

BTC quickly broke above $112,000 and $113,000, and as Asian traders came online, the rally extended past $115,000.

Altcoins mirrored the move, with strong gains across the board:

• Ethereum (ETH) climbed over 7%, trading above $4,200.

• Solana (SOL) gained 5.5%, reclaiming the $200 level.

• Cardano (ADA) rose 4.7%, nearing $0.70.

• Zcash (ZEC) surged over 24%, leading the altcoin market.

This broad-based recovery signals growing confidence and renewed bullish sentiment across crypto markets.

$370 Million in Liquidations as Shorts Get Squeezed

The rapid upswing in Bitcoin and major altcoins dealt a heavy blow to short-term leveraged traders. Data from CoinGlass shows that over $370 million in positions were liquidated within 24 hours, affecting nearly 110,000 traders globally.

Despite the shakeout, analysts say that if Bitcoin can hold above $115,000, the market could see the early stages of a new bullish breakout. This potential shift in sentiment has sparked discussions about whether a new all-time high could be on the horizon.

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CZ Fires Back at Schiff

“Peter revenge. We should have listened to him two months ago; this represents only 1% of Bitcoin’s 16-year history. I’m sure Bitcoin has fluctuated against gold more than that, yet BTC rose from $0.004 to $110,000 in 16 years.” – CZ

“Bitcoin may experience occasional declines, but its long-term historical growth remains impressive.” – CZ

Bitcoin vs Gold

Peter Schiff emphasized Bitcoin’s drop against gold, urging investors to move into real gold. On X (formerly Twitter), he wrote:

“Gold is eating Bitcoin’s lunch. Bitcoin is now down 32% priced in gold since its August high. This Bitcoin bear market will be brutal. HODLers, sell your fool’s gold now and buy the real thing, or have fun going broke.” – Peter Schiff

Analysts also noted that a Bitcoin drop could put gold at risk as well. Popular trader The Bitcoin Therapist mentioned he is considering selling his digital assets to move entirely into gold.

Price Table

Crypto Market Outlook

Tony Edward, founder of the Thinking Crypto Podcast, noted that an upcoming liquidity rotation could allow Bitcoin and the wider crypto market to outperform traditional assets. Schiff’s “de-bitcoinization” and “de-dollarization” comments challenge Bitcoin’s status as a long-term store of value.

Bitcoin is currently trading around $106,025, down 16% from its August all-time high. Meanwhile, gold has risen to a record $4,300 per ounce.

Key Highlights

• Peter Schiff: Bitcoin down 32%, investors should move to gold.

• CZ: Short-term declines are historically insignificant.

• Analysts: A Bitcoin drop could also impact gold.

• Market: Bitcoin $106,025, Gold $4,300/oz.

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