Trade Tensions Drive Gold to New Highs

Gold prices climbed to an all-time high of $5,080 on Monday, marking a significant milestone for the precious metal. Since the beginning of the year, gold has gained 17%, reflecting strong demand from investors seeking protection against macroeconomic instability.

Concerns surrounding a potential US government shutdown have added further pressure to markets, amplifying risk aversion. At the same time, the Trump administration’s increasingly aggressive trade rhetoric has unsettled global investors. In particular, renewed tariff threats have reignited fears of prolonged trade disputes and supply chain disruptions.

US President Donald Trump’s warning of a 100% tariff on Canada, linked to broader China-related trade negotiations, has once again placed global commerce under scrutiny. These developments extend beyond short-term volatility and have reinforced longer-term demand for assets perceived as stores of value.

Silver and Precious Metals Join the Rally

The surge in gold is not occurring in isolation. Silver prices have also reached a historic milestone, surpassing $107 per ounce for the first time ever. Since the start of 2026, silver has risen 48%, underscoring a broader bullish trend across the precious metals complex.

This coordinated move suggests that investors are positioning defensively across multiple hard assets rather than reacting to a single headline-driven catalyst.

Bitcoin and Gold Continue to Decouple

While precious metals advance, Bitcoin tells a different story. The leading cryptocurrency has retreated to around $86,000, roughly 30% below its October peak of $126,000. This decline has widened the gap between Bitcoin and gold, challenging the narrative that digital assets consistently function as “digital gold” during periods of macro stress.

Investors Favor Gold Over Treasuries

Another notable shift is the relatively muted demand for US Treasuries. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged—supported by resilient economic growth and labor data—have reduced the appeal of bonds as a defensive play.

Combined with political uncertainty and fiscal risk, these conditions have pushed global investors away from government debt and toward gold instead.

In summary, gold’s record-breaking rally highlights how capital flows behave during periods of elevated uncertainty. While Bitcoin remains a long-term speculative asset for many, recent price action suggests that, for now, investors continue to place greater trust in traditional safe havens.

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Trade Agreements and Customs Tariffs

Recently, Trump made statements about the future of trade negotiations with the European Union (EU). Trump pointed out the high customs duties and trade barriers between the US and the EU, stating that the chances of reaching an agreement with the EU were 50-50. He suggested that if the EU opens its market to American businesses, the US might reduce the customs duties on products coming from the EU. Otherwise, he threatened to impose a 30% additional customs tariff on goods imported from the EU. This could directly impact exports from EU countries. However, Donald Trump also mentioned that the negotiations are not yet completed and more developments could occur during the process.

On the other hand, Trump’s comments regarding the trade agreement with Japan are also noteworthy. The US and Japan’s trade deal includes Japan committing to invest $550 billion in America. Trump emphasized that this deal offers significant opportunities for economic growth. Japan is preparing to take important steps to make trade more balanced by making such investments in the US.

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Trade disputes with Canada have also caught Trump’s attention. He announced that the tariffs on goods from Canada will increase by 35% starting August 1, stating that this move was taken because Canada did not comply with the US’s trade demands. The Canadian government has indicated that it reserves the right to retaliate against this decision. This could lead to tensions in trade relations within North America.

Federal Reserve and Interest Rates

Donald Trump reiterated that interest rates need to be lowered in his discussions with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Trump said that he got the impression that Powell might be ready to lower the rates and referred to him as “a very good man.” However, Powell’s term will end in May 2026, and Trump pointed out that there are legal obstacles to removing Powell from office. Powell has indicated that inflation remains above target, and reducing interest rates might be premature at this stage.

Donald Trump and the Global Economy

Donald Trump’s remarks seem poised to affect not only America’s domestic politics but also the global economic balance. The uncertainties in trade relations with the European Union, Japan, and Canada could fuel further trade wars around the world. The increase in customs tariffs could impact not only countries trading with the US but also the entire global trade chain.

Trump’s pressure on interest rate cuts creates a major question mark for global investors. These moves, aimed at accelerating the growth of the US economy, are creating a complex economic situation along with inflation rates and international trade pressures. How these developments will unfold is a subject of great anticipation in the coming period.

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$92 Million Raise and Strategic BTC Purchase

Ahead of its relisting, BTCT completed a brokered funding round, raising CA$125 million (around $92 million USD) in gross proceeds. During the offering, the company issued 426,650 shares at CA$10 (approximately $7.32 USD) per share.

A portion of the capital was allocated to buy Bitcoin. In total, BTCT purchased 292.8 BTC, valued at around $31.5 million.

This move marks the firm’s first major step in executing its Bitcoin-focused accumulation and institutional lending strategy.

BTCT Shares to Trade Again

BTCT announced that its common shares will begin trading freely under the ticker “BTCT” starting Monday. Over 10 million shares are currently issued and outstanding in the market.

The newly issued shares are subject to a holding period of four months and one day, in accordance with Canadian securities laws.

A Liquidity Model Backed by Bitcoin

BTCT plans to leverage its Bitcoin reserves to provide liquidity solutions for its clients. After the accumulation phase, the firm also intends to publish its Bitcoin-per-share metric, giving investors a more transparent view of the asset value backing each share.

This approach reflects a growing trend in institutional crypto strategy—using Bitcoin not just as a speculative asset, but as a tool for lending, liquidity, and capital efficiency.

Long-Term Holders Are Stacking BTC

BTCT’s recent Bitcoin purchase aligns with broader market behavior. According to data from CryptoQuant, long-term holders—wallets that have held BTC for six months or more—have significantly increased their holdings.

The supply held by these long-term investors surged by 800,000 BTC in the last 30 days, setting a new accumulation record.

Analysts note that this is a strong signal from market participants, one that could influence both retail and institutional trading strategies moving forward.

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Six-Month Temporary Exemption on the Way

Minister Champagne announced that, in response to the ongoing tariff dispute between Canada and the U.S., certain U.S.-origin products subject to counter-tariffs will receive a six-month temporary exemption. This exemption primarily applies to imports used in Canadian manufacturing, processing, and food and beverage packaging. Additionally, products supporting public health, healthcare, public safety, and national security will also be covered.

This move is intended to safeguard the competitiveness of Canadian businesses and public institutions in the short term. During this period, the government aims to encourage companies to restructure their supply chains and shift toward domestic sources where available.

Performance-Based Relief for the Automotive Industry

One of the highlighted measures directly supports the Canadian automotive sector. Automakers that continue to invest and manufacture vehicles in Canada will be granted a special exemption. They will be allowed to import a limited number of U.S.-assembled, CUSMA-compliant vehicles into Canada without facing counter-tariffs.

However, this benefit comes with conditions: if manufacturers reduce production or investment in Canada, the volume of tariff-free imports will be reduced accordingly. The government’s goal is to preserve Canada’s automotive production capacity and maintain domestic employment.

Liquidity Support for Large Enterprises

The Large Enterprise Tariff Loan Facility (LETL), previously announced by the Prime Minister, is now open for applications. The program is designed to support large businesses operating in critical sectors such as food security, energy supply, economic stability, and national security, especially those struggling to access traditional financing.

The facility offers financial support to help maintain operations and restore stability, while requiring recipient companies to commit to retaining jobs and continuing business activities within Canada. Businesses that were already undergoing insolvency proceedings before the trade dispute will not be eligible for this program.

A New Era for Supply Chains

The Canadian government’s latest policy package is seen as an important move toward reducing foreign trade dependence. The tariff conflict with a key trading partner like the U.S. has accelerated efforts to boost local production and explore alternative supply routes.

In the words of Minister Champagne:
“This crisis presents an opportunity to build a stronger and more resilient economy. We’re giving businesses the time they need to navigate this transition.”

Additional support programs are expected in the coming weeks, as the government continues to reinforce Canada’s supply chains and assert its commitment to economic independence and long-term stability.

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Speaking to reporters on March 30, 2025, aboard Air Force One, Trump stated that the long-anticipated tariff measures set to be unveiled on April 2 would affect “all countries.”

All Countries Are Targeted!

Trump’s remarks contradict previous statements from his administration, which suggested that the new tariffs would be focused on 10 to 15 countries with the largest trade deficits with the US. However, Trump emphasized that the measures would be broader in scope.

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“You’d start with all countries,” Trump told reporters, making it clear that economies with trade imbalances with the US would be affected. The US administration has indicated that the tariffs will match the duties and trade barriers imposed by other nations on American exports.

New Tariffs and Their Impact on Global Markets

Last week, Trump announced a 25% tariff on all automobile imports, a move that has already strained relations with major allies such as Canada, the European Union, and Japan, all of which have strong automotive industries.

The announcement has sent shockwaves through global markets, leading to a sharp decline in Asian stock indexes on April 1, 2025:

• Japan‘s Nikkei 225 fell 3.85%,
• South Korea‘s KOSPI dropped 2.55%,
• Australia‘s ASX 200 declined 1.56%,
• Hong Kong‘s Hang Seng index was down 1.20%.

As investors sought safe-haven assets amid uncertainty, gold prices surged to a record high of $3,106.79 per ounce.

Trump acknowledged the potential economic impact of his trade policies and stated that he was “certainly open” to negotiating deals with individual countries after the April 2 announcement. However, markets remain uncertain about whether the tariffs will be a permanent measure or merely a bargaining tool.

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Market Concerns and Trump’s Statements

Despite market downturns caused by the trade war, Trump dismissed the possibility of a recession, stating, “I don’t see it at all. I think this country is going to boom.”

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However, Trump warned business leaders to prepare for more tariffs, emphasizing that rates could go even higher. “The biggest win is not the tariff — that big win is a lot of money — but the biggest win is if they move into the country and produce,” Trump said.

US Economy and Global Impact

Economists warn that rising tariffs will increase consumer prices, put US exporters at risk, and slow overall economic growth.

Tensions with major trade partners such as Canada, China, and Mexico are affecting investor confidence. US stock markets have dropped by around 10% in recent weeks, while Trump‘s sudden policy shifts on tariffs have created uncertainty in financial markets.

Meanwhile, Canada’s planned retaliatory tariffs on US dairy products and electricity exports are further escalating trade tensions. Trump warned that if Canada does not back down, he might impose even higher tariffs.

Trump also mentioned potential tax incentives for companies relocating their operations to the US. In the coming days, trade policies and their global market impacts will continue to be closely monitored.

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What caused this sharp decline? U.S. President Donald Trump’s additional tariffs on Mexico and Canada created significant market uncertainty. The impact of trade wars on the crypto market led investors to panic sell, and XRP’s price movement was a clear reflection of this development.

XRP’s Technical Levels: Critical Points!

The recent crash and recovery have made key levels in the XRP chart more evident:

• Support Level: $2.25
• Resistance Level: $2.72

According to the chart analysis, it is crucial for XRP to hold the $2.25 level. If it drops below this level, a further decline to $1.70 may occur. However, if XRP surpasses the $2.72 resistance level, a strong recovery could begin!

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Other Coins in the “Made in USA” Category Also Took a Big Hit!

Not just XRP—other major projects in CoinMarketCap’s “Made in USA” category also suffered heavy losses!

• Solana (SOL): Lost 6.90% in the last 24 hours, dropping to $198.37.
• Dogecoin (DOGE): Fell 13.89%, down to $0.2568.
• Cardano (ADA): Declined 18.09%, reaching $0.7191.
• Avalanche (AVAX): Plummeted 17.01%, settling at $25.72.

Most of these cryptocurrencies experienced major losses between 15% and 23% over the past week. This indicates that American-based projects have been subjected to panic selling by investors, reflecting growing concerns in the overall market.

Can XRP Return to Its Previous Levels?

The recent developments have divided cryptocurrency investors. Bears aim to push prices lower under the pressure of trade wars, while bulls believe that maintaining technical support levels could initiate another upward movement. XRP’s ability to hold $2.35 will be the most critical factor in determining its direction in the coming days!

XRP and American-based cryptocurrencies have experienced a severe shake-up, but the recovery process has begun rapidly. Future price movements will shape investors’ strategies! Stay tuned for updates!

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When Trump began his presidency in 2017, he took a firm stance against trade partners with the aim of reducing the U.S. trade deficit and boosting American manufacturing. His policies, particularly those targeting China, led to a series of tariffs and trade barriers that began to affect the global economy. This process marked the first significant phase of the trade wars, which were expected to have long-term effects.

The Beginning of Trump’s Trade Wars

The most prominent feature of the trade wars was the high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on China. Trump considered China’s trade practices “unfair” and harmful to the U.S. economy. As a result, in 2018, high tariffs were placed on products imported from China. For example, tariffs on products like steel and aluminum were raised up to 25%. In retaliation, China imposed similar tariffs on U.S. products. These reciprocal tariffs shook the global trade balances and caused disruptions in supply chains worldwide.

China and Other Countries’ Responses

China escalated the trade war in response to these moves by imposing tariffs on key U.S. exports, such as soybeans, cars, and aircraft. In retaliation to Trump’s aggressive trade policies, China made these counteractions on the international stage. However, the trade war did not just affect the U.S. and China; it impacted many other countries around the world as well. Notably, trade partners like Canada protested the tariff increases imposed by the U.S. and took countermeasures in return.

The 2024 Election and Trump’s Revival of the Trade War

After winning the 2024 presidential election, Trump reignited the trade war and further solidified his tough stance on global trade relations. Following the election, he imposed new tariffs on goods imported from trade partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico.

A 25% tariff was applied to goods from Canada and Mexico, while a 10% tariff was imposed on goods from China. This move caused the trade war to intensify once again, leaving global trade in a state of uncertainty.

With these actions, Trump aimed to narrow the U.S. trade deficit further and stimulate American manufacturing. However, this policy disrupted global supply chains, causing economic ripples in other countries as well.

Reactions and Retaliations from Other Countries

In response to Trump’s new measures in 2024, countries like China, Canada, and Mexico reacted to the newly imposed tariffs. China, in particular, retaliated by placing new tariffs on U.S. products. Additionally, the European Union was contemplating a counteraction to Trump’s escalated trade war. Canada and Mexico, similarly, increased their tariffs on U.S. goods in retaliation.

The AI War: A New Front in Global Trade

Trump’s trade wars extended beyond traditional trade to significantly impact the field of artificial intelligence (AI). As the U.S. competed with China over AI technologies, new platforms like DeepSeek were launched, shaping the future of global trade. DeepSeek developed a low-cost technology capable of competing with giants like OpenAI and Google, threatening Nvidia’s dominance.

DeepSeek‘s success caused Nvidia’s stock to drop by 17%. Furthermore, this development also impacted the energy sector, as more efficient AI technologies reduced energy consumption, leading to a slowdown in demand within the sector.

Trump‘s post-election trade decisions further fueled this AI war. New tariffs on China and pressures on tech companies created tension in global trade and digital warfare. These developments also affected financial markets and the cryptocurrency sector, leading to major shifts in investment strategies and global markets.

Impact of the Trade War on Markets

Trump’s aggressive tariffs and retaliations not only impacted global trade but also financial markets. The cryptocurrency market, in particular, saw significant losses due to the effects of the trade war. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), for example, lost considerable value, with Bitcoin dropping from $106,000 to below $90,000, marking a 15.09% decline. This loss triggered panic among investors, leading to significant liquidations in the crypto markets. Furthermore, the economic uncertainty caused by the trade wars led to a contraction in global trade and a slowdown in economic growth.

After Trump’s victory in 2024, the trade policies he implemented reshaped global trade. Reactions and counter-retaliations from trade partners like China, Canada, and Mexico escalated the trade war. The effects of the trade war were not limited to traditional markets but also impacted digital assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Trump’s trade war deeply affected global trade and financial markets, raising economic uncertainty and causing disruptions in global supply chains.

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Bitcoin (BTC): Sharp Drop from 106,000$ to 91,000$!

Bitcoin had recently been in a strong uptrend. However, due to trade war fears, it suffered a nearly 15% drop from 106,000$ to 91,000$! Technical analysis indicates key levels following this decline:

• Support Level: 91,221$
• Resistance Level: 98,504$

The BTC/USDT chart suggests that investors are trying to hold the 90,000$ level, but selling pressure remains strong. If 91,221$ breaks, Bitcoin could decline further to 89,472$. However, if 98,504$ is surpassed, a recovery is possible.

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Ethereum (ETH): Drop from 3,200$ to 2,100$!

Ethereum followed Bitcoin, experiencing a sharp 37.5% drop from 3,200$ to 2,100$! This steep decline has worried investors, with chart analysis revealing crucial levels:

• Support Level: 2,455$
• Resistance Level: 3,026$

The ETH/BTC chart shows that Ethereum failed to break resistance levels, leading to deeper retracement. If 2,455$ does not hold, ETH could drop further to 2,000$. However, for a rebound, it must surpass 3,026$.

Bears Take Control of the Market!

According to recent chart analysis, bears have gained dominance, causing heavy losses for investors. The primary factor behind this downturn is the U.S. trade war escalation and additional tariffs, increasing market pressure. However, BTC and ETH holding their support levels raises the possibility of a potential recovery.

Ultimately, the crypto market is at a crucial turning point! Chart movements in the coming days will determine its direction. Investors should remain cautious and closely monitor market data.

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Bitcoin highlighted its growing sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, reaching a local bottom just above $91,000. On February 3, at 02:00 UTC, Bitcoin dropped to $91,530, marking its lowest level in over three weeks, before recovering to $95,306 by 08:15 UTC.

BTC/USD, 1-Day Chart

Bitcoin’s decline came after U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on February 1 to impose additional tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico.

Ryan Lee, Head Analyst at Bitget Research, noted that Trump’s tariffs escalated global trade war concerns, shaking investor confidence and exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin.

Lee explained that while Bitcoin has traditionally been seen as a hedge against traditional market volatility, recent price movements highlight its increasing sensitivity to global economic developments. According to him, geopolitical tensions and government policies are now playing a more decisive role in shaping the cryptocurrency market.

The analyst added that Canada, Mexico, and China’s retaliatory measures further heightened investor concerns, triggering a flight from risky assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin’s price movement aligns with previous predictions from analysts, who forecast a deeper correction following a “local peak” above $110,000 in January.

GMI Total Liquidity Index, Bitcoin (RHS)

Bitcoin Continues to Be Sensitive to Macroeconomic Developments

Raoul Pal, Founder and CEO of Global Macro Investor, highlighted Bitcoin’s correlation with the global liquidity index, suggesting that Bitcoin could fall below $70,000 in February before a temporary peak in liquidity.

Despite being viewed as a hedge against volatility in traditional finance markets, Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments.

However, Alvin Kan, COO of Bitget Wallet, believes that Bitcoin has recovery potential compared to traditional markets. He stated, “While the sell-off reflects a typical risk-off reaction to macroeconomic shocks, Bitcoin’s safe-haven perception still leaves room for a rebound, particularly as digital assets are increasingly adopted as hedges against inflation and currency devaluation.”

Short-term concerns related to the $36 trillion U.S. debt ceiling persist, but industry experts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s outlook for the rest of the year. Analysts predict Bitcoin could rise above $160,000 to $180,000 during the remainder of the 2025 market cycle.

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