Midterm Warning: “They’ll Impeach Me”

Trump addressed Republican Congress members and stressed the critical importance of the midterms. He claimed that if Democrats control the House, they will find a reason to remove him from office:

“You must win the midterms. Because if we don’t, they’ll find a way to impeach me. I will be impeached.”

Polls and Betting Markets

Trump’s warning follows declining approval ratings. Rising living costs and his handling of the Epstein files have divided the Republican base, pushing his approval down to 42%.

Polymarket bettors assign an 80% chance that Democrats will take the House. Republicans still hold a 67% chance of keeping control of the Senate.

Crypto Policy at Risk

The midterms could affect more than just political control—they may shape the administration’s economic agenda. Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott plans to bring the crypto market structure bill to a vote next Thursday. A Democratic House could stall this legislation.

Democrats like Sean Casten and Jon Ossoff already criticize Trump’s crypto dealings, including a private dinner with top memecoin holders, as unethical.

GOP CBDC Rift

Trump’s crypto plans also face resistance within his party. Last year, a conservative faction blocked crypto legislation until the Republicans added a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) ban. Party leaders initially promised to include it in a must-pass defense bill but later passed the bill without the ban, angering some GOP members. The future of bills like the GENIUS Act remains uncertain.

Could Trump Be Removed?

A third impeachment would mark a historic first in US history. Trump faced two impeachments during his first term—once in 2019 over Ukraine interference in the 2020 election, and again in January 2021 after the January 6 Capitol attack. The Senate acquitted him both times.

Experts warn that a Democratic-controlled House could block key legislation and complicate Trump’s final two years in office.

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