The crypto market started October with impressive gains, but the second half of the week saw a rapid fall. Bitcoin dropped to $111,000, while Ethereum and altcoins also entered a downtrend.

Meanwhile, China announced “special tariffs” on US-owned or operated vessels, escalating tensions further. The US responded by imposing tariffs on Chinese imports, including furniture and kitchen cabinets, reducing investor appetite for risk.

Investor Outflows and ETF Sales Accelerate

The tension quickly affected financial markets. On October 13, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $429 million in net outflows, while Bitcoin ETFs saw $327 million leaving the market. In total, $756 million exited, dropping the crypto market cap by 4% to $3.75 trillion.

Analysts noted that this sell-off marked the return of fear in the market. Glassnode data shows funding rates in derivatives markets have fallen to their lowest since the 2022 bear market.

Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index moved into the “Fear” zone, signaling cautious investor sentiment.

Key investor signals to watch:

• Bitcoin tests $111,000 support.

• Ethereum ETFs see three consecutive days of outflows.

• Derivatives funding rates decline.

• A Trump Insider Whale increases short positions.

Trump Insider Whale Back in Action

The famous “Trump Insider Whale,” who previously made over $200 million in profits during last week’s market crash, has taken new action. The whale opened $340 million in new short positions, intensifying market fear.
Previously, the investor held $700 million in BTC and $350 million in ETH short positions. This move indicates a potential new price correction approaching.

According to Santiment analysts, the outcome of ongoing US-China trade talks will determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further declines. However, some experts argue the current sell-off may be a temporary correction, as historically similar waves often create new buying opportunities in crypto markets.

Conclusion: Fear Rises, Opportunities May Emerge

The crypto market remains uncertain amid US-China trade tensions. Analysts suggest short-term losses could lead to long-term recovery opportunities.
Investors are advised to closely follow market analysis, monitor ETF and altcoin trends, and strengthen risk management strategies.

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According to Hyperliquid block explorer Hypurrscan, the whale’s BTC position is valued at $496 million with 10x leverage. The trade was opened at $111,831 per Bitcoin, with a liquidation price of $124,270. The position initially started at $163 million and was later increased by more than double.

High-Risk Moves in Bitcoin and Ether

Last week, the whale executed a total of $900 million in short positions on BTC and Ether. This aggressive move sparked significant speculation among crypto investors. Additionally, the whale first drew attention two months ago with $11 billion worth of BTC.

Interestingly, the whale opened its position just before U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs. This timing fueled community speculation that the short trade may have been based on insider information.

Speculations About the Whale’s Identity

The owner of the wallet has not been officially verified. However, blockchain researchers suggested a possible link to Garrett Jin, former CEO of the now-defunct crypto exchange BitForex. Crypto analyst Eye claimed that Binance CEO shared the topic on X because of Jin, though other researchers believe it might involve someone close to him.

Jin addressed the rumors, stating:

• “@cz_binance, thank you for sharing my personal information. But I need to clarify that I have no connection with the Trump family. This is not insider trading.”

• “I have no connection with the Trump family or Donald Trump Jr.; this is not insider information trading.”

• “The funds are not mine but belong to my clients. We manage the nodes and provide internal insights for them.”

While these statements partially calm the speculation, volatility in the crypto market continues.

Summary of the Whale’s Position

• Trade Type: Bitcoin short

• Leverage: 10x

• Initial Amount: $163 million → later increased to $496 million

• Liquidation Price: $124,270 per BTC

• Market Impact: Short-term volatility on Bitcoin, Ether, and other crypto assets

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Global crypto investment products are managed by major asset managers including BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares, and 21Shares. These products saw a record weekly trading volume of $53 billion, while daily turnover reached $15.3 billion.

U.S. and European Funds Lead Inflows

U.S.-based digital asset products generated a net inflow of $3.01 billion, maintaining their dominance. Swiss and German funds also performed well, with $132 million and $53.5 million in inflows respectively. Meanwhile, products in Sweden, Brazil, and Hong Kong experienced outflows.

Bitcoin-based funds led weekly inflows with $2.67 billion, bringing year-to-date inflows to a record $30.2 billion. During Friday’s price correction, daily trading volumes hit $10.4 billion, but inflows were only $0.39 million.

Ethereum products saw a weekly gain of $338.3 million, taking year-to-date inflows to approximately $14 billion. However, Friday recorded a $172 million outflow, marking the largest among all digital assets, indicating investors viewed Ethereum as the most vulnerable asset during the correction. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs generated $488.2 million in weekly gains but lost $174.9 million on Friday.

Upcoming ETF Launches and Market Outlook

Anticipation is rising for upcoming U.S. SOL and XRP ETF launches. However, current ETPs saw inflows of $93.3 million and $61.6 million respectively, reflecting a cautious investor approach.

CoinShares data highlights continued high liquidity and institutional interest in digital assets. Despite the historic liquidation event, sustained net inflows into crypto investment products suggest growing confidence in the market.

Key Weekly Highlights:

• Cryptocurrency investment products: $3.17B inflow

• Year-to-date: $48.7B inflow

• Bitcoin funds: $2.67B inflow

• Ethereum products: $338.3M inflow

• Daily trading volume: $15.3B

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TRON Attracts Strong Capital Inflows

TRON (TRX) supports multiple stablecoins including USDT, USDC, and USDD, attracting users seeking low-cost and fast fund transfers. Its daily transfer volume and active usage across DeFi platforms contribute to a total stablecoin market capitalization exceeding $80 billion. Fast transactions and low fees make TRON a reliable choice for both liquidity and user trust.

Key features:

• Multi-stablecoin support (USDT, USDC, USDD)

• Near-instant transactions with low fees

• Extensive DeFi integration

• Strong user trust and growing market capitalization

These advantages make TRON a preferred platform for both investors and developers. High transaction volume also helps the network remain competitive in a rapidly evolving market.

PLASMA Sees Nearly $1B Outflow

Despite offering zero transaction fees, PLASMA recorded a $996 million outflow, largely due to its reliance on USDT alone. Analysts point to limited token support and a smaller ecosystem as factors behind the capital loss. Without broader usage and expansion, PLASMA may struggle to compete with larger networks like TRON.

While PLASMA provides fast and free transfers, a more comprehensive ecosystem and broader token support are necessary to maintain competitiveness. This indicates that stablecoin networks must adapt quickly to user preferences and market trends.

Stablecoin Flows as Market Signals

The recent fund movements between TRON and PLASMA illustrate how quickly market sentiment can change. TRON’s inflows reflect strong user confidence and liquidity, whereas PLASMA’s outflows highlight the importance of infrastructure and ecosystem support. These trends will continue shaping the development and competition of stablecoin networks in the coming months.

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The crypto market crash also impacted Binance’s native token, BNB, which dropped approximately 10% within 24 hours. According to CoinGlass, around 1.7 million investors were liquidated within a single day, erasing $19.3 billion in open positions. Binance recorded one of the largest liquidation totals, following Hyperliquid and Bybit.

Apologies from Yi He and Richard Teng

Yi He, co-founder of Binance, apologized to users, admitting that the platform underperformed during periods of high volatility. He explained that the depeg issues were linked to declining prices in major markets and increased trading volumes.

Binance CEO Richard Teng addressed the situation publicly, stating, “We are not making excuses; we are carefully listening, learning from what happened, and committed to doing better.” He emphasized that Binance will maintain transparency while processing user claims and ensuring fair compensation.

The depeg affected three major assets: USDe stablecoin, BNSOL, and Wrapped Beacon ETH (WBETH). USDe fell to $0.66 at the peak of the sell-off. Binance will individually review each account to determine eligibility for compensation.

72-Hour Compensation Plan and New Risk Controls

Binance announced on its official support page that Futures, Margin, and Loan users holding USDe, BNSOL, or WBETH between 10 October 21:36 – 22:16 UTC will automatically receive compensation. This ensures that crypto investors can offset losses caused by market crashes and altcoin price fluctuations.

Binance will credit payments to user accounts within 72 hours. The platform will calculate each user’s compensation based on the difference between the market price and their liquidation price. Additionally, Binance will maintain transparency throughout the process, ensuring users receive fair compensation based on coin prices and market analysis.

Binance also introduced new risk control measures to prevent future disruptions:

• Adding buyback prices to the USDe, BNSOL, and WBETH price index weights

• Setting a minimum price threshold for USDe

• Increasing the frequency of risk parameter reviews

These measures aim to protect crypto assets and help users follow altcoin trends more securely.

Eligible Users

• Futures users holding USDe, BNSOL, or WBETH

• Margin and Loan users

• Users active between 10 October 21:36 – 22:16 UTC

Note: Losses caused by normal market movements and unrealized profits are not eligible for compensation.

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On Saturday, ZEC briefly reached $291 before stabilizing around $273. This recovery highlights Zcash as one of the standout performers amid the broader market decline.

Since trading at $74 on October 1, ZEC surged to $291 in under two weeks, marking nearly a fourfold increase. This makes it one of the fastest-rising altcoins in recent weeks.

Trump’s Posts Shake Global Markets

The rally came immediately after one of the most significant crypto market crashes in history. U.S. President Donald Trump triggered global market turbulence with social media posts about new trade tariffs on China.

Trump described China’s expanded export controls on rare earth minerals as “hostile,” announcing a 100% tariff on all Chinese goods set to take effect November 1, 2025. These minerals are crucial for electronics, batteries, and defense systems, with China controlling over 90% of global supply.

Following these posts, crypto markets saw $20 billion in liquidations, affecting major coins like Bitcoin and Ether. Meanwhile, ZEC quickly regained ground, drawing strong investor attention.

Why Zcash Stood Out

Several factors contributed to ZEC’s rapid recovery:

• Privacy-focused technology attracted investors seeking safer assets.

• Limited supply increased price sensitivity to demand.

• Layer-1 blockchain infrastructure made Zcash appealing to long-term investors.

As a result, ZEC only declined about 5.5% from its peak, while Ether (ETH) fell approximately 22% from its all-time high.

Zcash and the Market Outlook

Despite concerns over renewed trade tensions, Zcash’s swift rebound demonstrates strong investor confidence in coins with privacy and limited supply features. Analysts suggest that ZEC’s upward trend could accelerate overall market recovery if sustained.

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WAN Added to Binance Watchlist

Following its latest review, Binance expanded the Watchlist to include Wanchain (WAN). Watchlist-tagged tokens are generally more volatile and risky compared to other cryptocurrencies. Binance closely monitors these tokens to ensure compliance with listing criteria. After the announcement, WAN’s price dropped by 34%, falling from $0.10 to $0.06, marking an all-time low. It later partially recovered by 14.7%, trading around $0.087 at the time of writing. 

Binance tweeted: “Binance will expand the watchlist to include WAN, remove GPS and MBL from the watchlist, and remove the seed tag from BERA, BIO, ZK, and ZRO.” 

The exchange also removed GoPlus Security (GPS) and MovieBloc (MBL) from the Watchlist, indicating these projects now meet listing standards. Following the announcement, GPS’s price rose by 1.54%, suggesting the market reacted positively to the change. 

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BERA, BIO, ZK, and ZRO No Longer Carry Seed Tag

Binance also removed the Seed Tag from Berachain (BERA), BIO Protocol (BIO), ZKsync (ZK), and LayerZero (ZRO). The Seed Tag typically indicates new projects or those with limited adoption and higher risk. Its removal signals that these projects have matured and now hold stronger market positions, potentially increasing investor confidence. Tokens without the Seed Tag are no longer considered early-stage or high-risk projects. 

Binance reminded users that to access Watchlist or Seed-tagged tokens, they must pass a risk awareness test every 90 days and accept the platform’s Terms of Use. These measures reflect Binance’s ongoing efforts to maintain user security and transparency. 

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Bitcoin and altcoins remain in focus as FOMC minutes and Jerome Powell’s speech approach. Analysts remain optimistic that upward momentum may continue after these key macro announcements. 

The recent macro week kept the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield around 4.13%, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached a two-month high near 99, limiting market recovery. 

Importance of FOMC Minutes and Powell’s Speech 

FOMC minutes will be released today, with some Fed officials speaking on October 8. Chair Jerome Powell will discuss: 

• Monetary policy and potential rate changes 
• Inflation trends and economic growth 
• Labor market weakness and U.S. government shutdown effects 
• Investors are closely monitoring these statements for their impact on Bitcoin and altcoin prices. 

Q&A for Snippet Potential: 

Q: How will FOMC minutes affect Bitcoin?
A: The minutes indicate interest rate and inflation expectations. Hawkish signals may lead to a BTC drop, while dovish signals could support a rebound. 

Safe Havens and “Devaluation Trade” 

The prolonged U.S. government shutdown is driving investors to safe havens. Gold and silver prices continue to rise, while Bitcoin is gaining attention as a dollar alternative. This environment, known as the “devaluation trade,” influences crypto investors’ strategies. 

Crypto Investor Tips: 

• Monitor interest rates and inflation data 
• Track DXY movements 
• Consider safe-haven assets like gold and silver 
• Adjust crypto portfolios for short-term volatility 

Macro data stagnation supports Fed’s rate policy, but FOMC minutes and Powell’s speech could quickly shift market sentiment. Investors should carefully plan both short- and long-term strategies. 

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$SERAPH Price Drop  

$SERAPH traded at $0.0884 on October 7, showing a sharp 64% decline in 24 hours. This sudden drop surprised many investors. Bybit’s change in the maximum open position limit for SERAPH futures was one of the main causes of this price volatility.  

The primary reason for this large Bybit dump was the chain liquidations triggered by the exchange after smart contract upgrades (Token Swaps) or delist decisions for tokens like $SERAPH, $GORK, and $RFC.  

Additionally, $SERAPH’s low liquidity and speculative nature made it highly vulnerable to rapid market movements. Market analysis of coin prices and altcoin trends showed that investors were quick to close positions.  

Movements in $GORK and $RFC  

• $GORK traded at $0.0143 on October 7, experiencing 64% volatility. Similarly, $RFC traded at $0.0125, recording a 54% drop.  
• Changes in futures position limits affected both token prices.  
• Low market capitalization triggered sudden speculative selling.  
• Risk-averse investor behavior amplified the declines.  
• As a result, $GORK and $RFC prices fluctuated significantly in a short period, attracting attention from crypto traders monitoring market volatility.  

Altcoin Trends and Risk Management  

This event highlighted the risks of using leverage on low-market-cap altcoins. Moreover, it showed how major exchanges can sharply close markets during token swaps or other events. This underscores the importance for investors to closely follow exchange and project announcements.  

Price movements in SERAPH/USDT, GORK/USDT, and RFC/USDT charts indicated more than a typical market crash. Pairs first spiked to extreme levels, then fell below their previous values within seconds. Futures contracts, particularly for RFC and GORK, were critical to understanding the scale of the decline. These tokens, traded with high leverage (up to 50X), can generate massive losses from minor price changes.  

Experts advise following basic risk management rules, especially when trading rising coins and small-cap tokens.

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Bitcoin Hits an All-Time High 

Bitcoin continues to follow its historical October uptrend. Recently, BTC surged to a record high, gaining over ten percent in just seven days. Currently trading around its peak level, Bitcoin holds a massive market cap and a high 24-hour volume.

Meanwhile, Binance Coin (BNB) also reached new highs, further strengthening the market momentum. Seasonal gains combined with fresh capital inflows created a classic breakout scenario. 

Fed Signals Possible Rate Cuts 

US Federal Reserve dynamics also play a key role. Fed Chair Stephen Miran stated that current monetary policy is “too tight” and publicly advocated for a rate cut. This dovish signal boosted investor confidence and supported risk assets like Bitcoin.
Markets have already priced in this possibility, strengthening the bullish momentum in crypto. 

Massive Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Inflows 

Institutional demand remains strong. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw substantial inflows recently, pushing the total ETF holdings to new levels.
Ethereum ETFs also recorded strong inflows. These figures demonstrate how Wall Street is infusing crypto with substantial capital, signaling a structural shift and long-term bullish potential. 

Liquidation Wave Supports Healthy Market Structure 

In the past 24 hours, thousands of traders were liquidated, totaling millions in positions. Such liquidation waves remove over-leveraged positions and help stabilize the market.

For instance, Hyperliquid’s largest single BTC-USD order was significant, clearing many long positions while new long positions emerged, setting the stage for sustainable upward momentum. 

Fear & Greed Index Shows Investor Optimism 

The Fear & Greed Index currently signals strong greed. Historically, this level often precedes Bitcoin rallies and altcoin rotations. Although extreme greed can trigger short-term corrections, it also reflects strong investor confidence fueling upward momentum. 

Investor Takeaways: Stay Strategic 

The current rally is driven by Fed policy, ETF inflows, and strong investor sentiment. However, volatility remains high. Traders should stay alert, avoid excessive leverage, and monitor key support levels.

If Fed rate cuts accelerate and ETF inflows continue, the market could enter a longer bull cycle. 

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