Five-Day Inflow Streak Signals Investor Confidence

Bitcoin ETFs posted five straight days of inflows starting June 9, with over $1.3 billion entering the market. According to Farside Investors, Friday alone saw $301 million in net inflows, signaling robust confidence in Bitcoin despite recent shocks.

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While the cryptocurrency briefly dropped 3% following Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, it bounced back quickly from $103,000 to hover around $105,000 — reflecting market resilience under pressure.

Falling Dollar Boosts Bitcoin’s Outlook

Nic Puckrin of Coin Bureau emphasized the macroeconomic view: “It’s not geopolitics, but the U.S. dollar index (DXY) that truly drives Bitcoin. With DXY falling below 100 — a three-year low — Bitcoin stands to benefit.”

Still, the risk of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world’s oil flows, could trigger short-term price shocks across risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies.

New Highs on the Horizon?

Despite global uncertainty, Bitcoin is trading just 6% below its all-time high of $112,000, reached on May 22. This resilience has analysts predicting that a breakout could be imminent.

As macroeconomic instability grows and trust in traditional finance weakens, capped-supply assets like Bitcoin are becoming increasingly attractive to both retail and institutional investors.

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Index Holds Firm Amid Crisis

On Sunday, the index posted a score of 60, maintaining its position in the greed zone. This came after Bitcoin dropped 2.8% to $103,000, while Ethereum saw a sharper decline of over 10% during the same period.

Interestingly, the index had registered a much higher 71 just days earlier. Despite the price pullbacks, investor sentiment remains resilient — for now.

Traders Watch Key Support Levels

Crypto analyst Za commented that Bitcoin appears “unbothered” by the geopolitical situation. With $1.74 billion in long positions at stake if the $100,000 psychological level is broken, the coming days will be critical.

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Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETF products saw $1.37 billion in inflows during the past week. In contrast, spot Ethereum ETF funds ended a 19-day inflow streak with $2.1 million in outflows.

Will History Repeat Itself?

In April 2024, following Iran’s direct missile strike on Israel, Bitcoin dropped 8.4%, and the index fell from “Greed” to “Fear” within weeks. If history is any guide, we could see a similar pattern emerge if geopolitical uncertainty persists.

The market’s current resilience may be tested further. Investors are watching closely to see whether confidence can hold — or if fear will take over again.

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$1.1 Billion Liquidated in a Flash

The sudden drop caught investors completely off guard. According to CoinGlass, a staggering $1.1 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours. Roughly $1 billion of that came from long positions in BTC and ETH.

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Just days ago, Bitcoin had rallied to $110,265 — nearing its all-time high of $111,940 set on May 22. The sharp reversal underscores the fragility of the current crypto market environment.

Israel-Iran Conflict Sends Shockwaves Through Markets

The trigger behind the market chaos: Israel’s confirmed military action targeting Iran. News outlets Al Jazeera and Axios reported that Israel bombed multiple sites, including the capital Tehran. Prime Minister Netanyahu stated, “We are targeting Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities,” and signaled that operations would continue.

Reports suggest high-ranking Iranian military officials may have been killed and key Revolutionary Guard command centers destroyed. Iran has acknowledged the attacks and promised retaliation. The escalating tensions have spooked investors and added volatility to already shaky markets.

ETF Inflows Show Institutional Confidence

Despite the market downturn, June 12, 2025, saw net inflows of $79.5 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs and $112.3 million into spot Ethereum ETFs. This suggests that institutional investors may still be confident in BTC and ETH over the long term, regardless of short-term shocks.

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21Shares has announced that it will initiate a 3-for-1 stock split of its flagship Bitcoin ETF, ARKB, on June 16. The move aims to reduce the per-share price and attract a broader base of retail investors.

Lower Price, Wider Access

The share split will not affect the ETF’s investment strategy or the amount of Bitcoin it holds. Its total net asset value will also remain unchanged. The split means each share will be divided into three, lowering the per-share price without altering the total value of an investor’s holdings.

As of June 2, ARKB shares closed at $104.25. After the split, the price per share is expected to be just under $35.

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Share splits are commonly used to enhance accessibility and trading efficiency, particularly when high prices might deter new investors from entering the market.

ARKB Faces Outflows But Still Holds Strong Position

Despite the stock split announcement, ARKB has recently seen six consecutive trading days of net outflows totaling $430 million. On June 2 alone, $74 million exited the fund, according to CoinGlass.

However, the ETF still holds its ground as the third-largest spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S., with $2.37 billion in aggregate inflows. With $4.8 billion in assets under management and a year-to-date return of 7.35%, ARKB remains a significant player.

This strategic move could reinvigorate retail investor interest and reposition the fund for more active trading in the coming months.

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Ethereum (ETH) net flow data has been displaying a notable decline in recent weeks. Net flows represent the difference between the amount of coins entering and exiting exchanges. If this figure is negative, it indicates that investors are withdrawing ETH from exchanges, which often signals an intent to hold and confidence in the market. 

According to Coinglass data, the Ethereum net flow over the last 24 hours was recorded at -$182.86 million. This shows that more investors are pulling ETH out of exchanges. Interestingly, this negative flow has persisted in six of the last seven days. During the same period, the total net flow amounted to -$140 million. This suggests that buying pressure still outweighs selling. 

While short-term net flows remain negative, the medium-term trend has shifted toward selling. The 15-day Ethereum net flows stand at +$186.48 million, indicating a positive direction. This suggests that investors are sending more ETH to exchanges for selling. 

In the 30-day period, the picture becomes clearer. Ethereum investors have transferred more ETH to exchanges during this time. As a result, the total net flow has risen to +$483.54 million. This situation explains why Ethereum’s price is under pressure. 

Is a Price Rally Possible? 

If Ethereum net flows continue to remain negative, this would be a positive signal for the market. Reduced selling pressure supports a buying trend. If this persists, an ETH price rally could be expected. 

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik suggests that Ethereum’s price could surpass $3,500 in the short term. However, the bulls need to break through the 200-day Simple Moving Average at $2,700. Once this critical threshold is crossed, the rally could gain momentum. At the time of writing, ETH is trading around $2,555.

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE***

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What is CoinGlass?

CoinGlass is an analysis platform that allows you to instantly track all transaction data, liquidity status of cryptos, current open positions and liquidation levels for these positions on current and current cryptocurrency exchanges in the market. CoinGlass helps predict market movements by providing critical information, especially for users who trade derivatives (futures and options). You can get essential information by examining the detailed charts available on the platform. With the data on the charts, you can see the current liquidation levels of short and long positions, stop-loss levels and open trades based on these levels.

Main Features of CoinGlass

• Liquidation Data:

Shows the liquidation levels of existing positions in the crypto markets, either up or down. It analyzes at which price levels there are heavy stop-loss orders and provides users with status information. When using this feature, you can see the long and short percentages. You can also see the current long and short levels and liquidation levels based on these levels, as well as the density and amounts of open positions on the chart maps. This way, you can open a safer trade by considering all the details when opening a trade.

• Open Positions and Trading Volumes:

Shows the current distribution of long and short positions in futures markets. We can track the current positions and movements of large investors, the so-called whales.

• Multi-Exchange Integration:

With this feature, it provides instant data from global exchanges such as Binance, Bybit, OKX, etc., and with the comparison feature, you can see the current positions on the exchanges in percentage or quantity. For example, you can see the levels at which long and short trades are opened for a coin you want on Binance, the intensity of the opened trade on long or short, and you can also see this information on the OKX exchange. Therefore, you can see the differences or intensity of transactions opened between exchanges.

• Free and User Friendly Interface:

CoinGlass is available for free. It has a simple and easy-to-use interface that every trader can understand and analyze. In this way, it provides information that even a beginner level trader can understand.

Advantages of Using CoinGlass

Thanks to the instant data flow, it allows you to make quick decisions by following market movements in real time. In this way, you can follow a new trading volume and follow your positions accordingly. By looking at the liquidation maps data, you can shape your existing positions or new positions you will open by evaluating the situation. You can also manage your positions more securely by seeing large liquidation zones.

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*DOES NOT CONTAIN INVESTMENT ADVICE*

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US Expansion and Local Stablecoin Strategy 

Tether is working to gain a stronger foothold in the US market. The company’s efforts to comply with regulations are supporting its growth. Institutional investors are showing increasing interest in USDT. Coinglass reports that USDT trading volume has risen by 20% in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Tether’s CEO Paolo Ardoino’s emphasis on local stablecoins at Token2049 suggests that the company may develop tailored solutions for new markets. The company is increasing reserve transparency by publishing regular reports, which strengthens investor confidence. Tether’s moves in the US are solidifying its global leadership in the stablecoin space. Additionally, Ardoino’s statements at the Token2049 conference in Dubai drew attention. Ardoino said:

“A local stablecoin will be different from an international stablecoin.” This points to Tether’s new vision for digital fiat currencies. 

Competition and Growth in the Stablecoin Sector 

That while the stablecoin sector experienced a weekly decline of 0.3%, Tether continues to grow. With a $150 billion market cap, USDT overshadows its competitors. For instance, USDC’s market cap remains at $35 billion. According to Coinglass, USDT’s supply on Tron has surpassed Ethereum, accounting for 48.57%. Furthermore, Dune and Artemis data confirm that stablecoin wallets have reached 30 million. This indicates that investors seeking stability in the crypto market prefer USDT. Tether’s growth is also supported by the broader market recovery. 

Tether is making a difference in the crypto world with both its US expansion and its local stablecoin vision. Ardoino’s statements prove that the company is charting an innovative roadmap. 

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Bitcoin’s Price Action and Selling Pressure

On February 9, Bitcoin dropped to $94,726, marking its lowest level in over a week, before making a strong recovery above $95,000.

According to André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, Bitcoin experienced the highest level of selling pressure since the collapse of Three Arrows Capital (3AC) in 2022.

“We have just reached the highest amount of selling pressure on Bitcoin spot exchanges since the collapse of 3AC in June 2022. Yet, the price is still close to $100,000.”

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This indicates that the market still has strong buying support, helping Bitcoin withstand the intense selling pressure.

Bitcoin’s Critical Support and Resistance Levels

Market analysts suggest that if Bitcoin drops below $93,000, it could trigger a wave of liquidations. According to CoinGlass data, a break below this level would liquidate $1.7 billion worth of leveraged long positions across all exchanges.

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, stated that if Bitcoin falls below $93,000, it could drop further to $91,500. If the selling pressure persists, Bitcoin may even decline below $90,000 due to increasing global economic uncertainty.

Key Technical Levels for Bitcoin:

• Resistance Levels: $98,200 – $104,200
• Support Levels: $95,800 – $92,000

Global Trade Wars and Their Impact on Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price movements are directly influenced by global trade wars. The new tariffs imposed by the United States and China are causing investor anxiety, increasing pressure on the crypto market.

Furthermore, the scheduled meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss trade relations has been postponed, adding to market uncertainty. According to a Wall Street Journal report on February 4, the meeting date remains uncertain.

Bitcoin is struggling to hold key support levels. A four-hour close above $98,200 could trigger a rapid move toward $104,000. However, if it drops below $93,000, strong selling pressure could push the price down to the $90,000 level.

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Since December 3, XRP has been in a correction phase, losing 25% of its value from its multi-year high of $2.90. Simultaneously, XRP’s market capitalization decreased by 8%, dropping to $133 billion and falling below Tether USD (USDT), making it the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

Reasons Behind XRP’s Decline

Despite its recent losses, XRP outperformed Bitcoin in November, rallying 354% between November 1 and December 5. During the same period, BTC only recorded a 45.5% increase. XRP’s BTC pair reached a 3.5-year high of 0.00003012 on December 3, driven by heightened network activity and positive market sentiment.

However, by December 5, this ratio had dropped to 0.00002334, erasing all gains made between December 1 and December 3. Interestingly, this decline coincided with Bitcoin smashing through the highly anticipated $100,000 mark.

Additionally, $12.8 million worth of long XRP positions were liquidated on December 5, compared to just $7 million in short liquidations, according to CoinGlass. These liquidations likely added further downward pressure on XRP’s price.

Technical Outlook: Bullish Formation Intact

On the 4-hour chart, XRP has formed a bull flag pattern, a bullish continuation setup that occurs when the price consolidates in a downward-sloping range following a sharp uptrend.

If XRP closes decisively above the upper trendline of the flag at $2.37, the price could rise by the height of the prior uptrend. This move would set XRP’s target at $4.83, a potential new all-time high.

Risks and Support Levels

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from overbought territory at 82 on December 3 to 52 on December 5. If the RSI continues its downward trajectory, it could increase the likelihood of a deeper correction.

A pullback from $2.37 might lead to a retest of the flag’s lower trendline at $2.05, which aligns with the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below this, the next critical support level lies at $1.68, near the 100 SMA.

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On November 3, positions worth $349.8 million were liquidated, highlighting increased investor caution amid rising uncertainty. This activity signals potential for even greater fluctuations in crypto markets leading up to the election.

Bitcoin Price Experiences Sharp Swings as Liquidations Reach Record Levels!

Just ahead of the U.S. election, Bitcoin saw sudden price drops and spikes. After trading at $67,700 on October 28, BTC surged to a high of $73,300 on October 29, but fell back to $67,719 by November 3. These price movements have driven liquidation rates higher as investors scramble to protect their positions.

According to CoinGlass, November 3 witnessed liquidations totaling $259.7 million in long positions and $90.1 million in short positions.

Crypto investors are evaluating the market impact of each presidential candidate. Republican candidate Donald Trump’s announcement to dismiss SEC Chair Gary Gensler and his promise to make the U.S. a crypto hub are seen as market-friendly moves.

BTC Expected to See 10% Volatility Depending on Election Results!

Some investors speculate that a Trump victory could propel BTC’s price to the $100,000 mark. On the other hand, Democratic candidate Kamala Harris supports a more regulated approach to crypto, which adds to market uncertainty.

Market analyst Daan Crypto Trades forecasts that BTC could experience up to 10% volatility post-election. Analysts suggest prices could rise if Trump wins, while a Harris victory might lead to BTC devaluation by year-end.

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