Monday

The week begins with important developments in both technology and crypto markets.

The NVIDIA GTC AI conference will officially begin. The event is widely regarded as one of the most important gatherings in the artificial intelligence industry. New announcements related to AI chips, data center technologies, and developer tools are expected throughout the conference.

In the crypto sector, Neutron will release a network update affecting the NTRN token ecosystem.

Another notable development involves FLOW, which will be delisted from South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Upbit and Bithumb.

Wednesday

Wednesday stands out as the most critical day of the week due to several macroeconomic announcements.

The Eurozone annual inflation rate (CPI) will be released at 13:00. Market expectations point to 1.9%, unchanged from the previous figure.

Later in the day, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) will be announced at 15:30, with the previous reading at 2.9%.

The most closely watched event, however, will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, scheduled for 21:00. Market consensus expects the policy rate to remain at 3.75%, unchanged from the previous level.

Following the decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will answer questions from the press during a scheduled conference at 21:30.

Thursday

Thursday’s agenda will be dominated by geopolitical and diplomatic developments.

The European Council summit will take place, where European leaders are expected to discuss regional security, economic policies, and ongoing geopolitical issues.

On the same day, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will meet U.S. President Donald Trump for the second time. The meeting is expected to address trade relations and strategic cooperation between the two countries.

Friday

The week concludes with the beginning of Eid al-Fitr, marking the end of the holy month of Ramadan.

The holiday period may lead to lower trading activity across several regional markets, particularly in Muslim-majority countries. Reduced liquidity during holiday periods can sometimes lead to increased volatility in crypto markets.

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The post Crypto Markets Enter Critical Week: Fed Decision, Inflation Ahead appeared first on Coin Engineer.

President Trump, in his State of the Union address, praised falling mortgage rates and claimed annual costs have dropped by around $5,000. Here, IMF data confirms that despite optimism, rates will remain elevated.

When will US inflation decline?

US inflation is expected to reach the Fed’s 2% target only by early 2027, restricting the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts in the near term.

How Budget Deficits Affect Markets

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the US current account deficit is projected at 3.5–4% of GDP in the short term. The fund emphasizes that fiscal consolidation, not tariffs alone, is the best way to reduce the budget gap.

Why does Trump’s low-rate optimism clash with reality? Structural spending and persistent deficits create a long-term rationale for high interest rates, meaning short-term mortgage declines do not resolve underlying issues.

Federal budget deficits of 7–8% and consolidated debt rising to 140% by 2031 increase instability risks for both the US and the global economy. Of course, short-term optimism exists, but the structural picture remains unchanged.

Trump’s Optimism vs Structural Reality

Trump framed low rates as solving the housing problem, citing the lowest mortgage costs in four years. However, IMF data tells a different story: inflation won’t hit the Fed’s target until 2027, and deficits are twice the administration’s own targets, reinforcing the case for long-term elevated rates.

Will the Fed cut rates?
Given structural risks and high deficits, rates are expected to stay elevated for an extended period, leaving little room for emergency cuts. The fund set 2026 growth at 2.4%, leaving no urgent reason for rate reductions. Short-term market optimism clashes with this structural reality.

Implications for Crypto

Effects on risky assets are clear. Sticky inflation and widening deficits reduce the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts, reinforcing caution in crypto markets. Short-term capital flow and trading volumes must shift before rates could fall rapidly.

In short, US inflation won’t meet the Fed target until 2027, while deficits and debt remain high. Trump’s low-rate expectations clash with reality, and structural risks dominate. Of course, data shifts could create short-term opportunities, but the macro picture keeps rates elevated for the foreseeable future.

US inflation won’t reach the Fed’s 2% target until 2027. IMF warns that persistent deficits and rising debt limit near-term rate cuts, keeping crypto markets cautious.

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The post IMF Warns: Fed Rates Stay High, Crypto at Risk appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Monday | Politics Meets Crypto

The week opens with a Washington-centric development. A planned discussion between Donald Trump and Coinbase on a crypto policy proposal will be closely watched for tone rather than outcome. While no immediate decision is expected, the framing could influence regulatory expectations.

On the macro side, January ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be released in the US, offering an early signal ahead of labor market indicators later in the week.

Tuesday | Turkey Data and Altcoin Headlines

Tuesday is critical for domestic markets. Turkey’s annual CPI will be announced at 10:00 AM local time. Expectations stand at 30%, compared to the previous 30.89%. Any confirmation of stabilization could affect short-term pricing across TRY-denominated assets.

The crypto calendar is dense:

• Ondo Finance ($ONDO) will present its 2026 roadmap update during the Ondo Summit.

• Chiliz ($CHZ) will unveil its fan token and ecosystem strategy through 2030.

• Lido ($LDO) is set to announce its long-awaited V3 upgrade.

In the US, December JOLTS Job Openings data will provide a second signal on labor demand trends.

Wednesday | Trade Talks and DeFi Activity

Midweek brings a mix of geopolitics and on-chain developments. A trade agreement between the EU and the US is expected, with potential implications for overall risk sentiment.

On the crypto side:

• Venus Protocol will introduce a new DeFi product on BNB Chain ($XVS).

• STABLE will complete its planned network upgrade.

Meanwhile, Alphabet ($GOOGL) will report earnings, with Big Tech results likely influencing broader equity sentiment.

Thursday | Central Banking and Earnings

Thursday shifts focus to Europe. The European Central Bank interest rate decision will be announced at 16:15, with expectations pointing to a hold at 2.15%. Beyond the rate itself, the wording of the statement will be closely parsed.

In the US, Initial Jobless Claims data will be released. After market close, Strategy will publish earnings, potentially reopening discussions around balance-sheet Bitcoin exposure. Amazon ($AMZN) will also report results the same day.

Friday | The Week’s Inflection Point: Jobs Data

The week concludes with US labor market figures:

• Non-Farm Payrolls – 16:30 (expected: 67K, previous: 50K)

• Unemployment Rate – 16:30 (expected: 4.4%, previous: 4.4%)

These releases will not only shape dollar and bond markets but may also determine short-term direction across risk assets. The January US Jobs Report could prompt a reassessment of Federal Reserve expectations.

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The post Key Developments to Watch in the Crypto Market This Week appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis: Testing a Key Resistance Zone!

Bitcoin has rebounded strongly from its bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, climbing towards the bearish FVG area that formed during its previous decline. However, over the weekend, no major movement was observed in this area, and for now, the price appears to have faced a sharp rejection.

This region serves as a critical resistance zone, and investors looking to open long positions should be cautious here. If Bitcoin fails to break through this resistance, there’s a potential for a pullback towards the $80,000 level.

On the other hand, if there’s a bullish breakout and this resistance is surpassed, the price could rally quickly toward the $86,000 resistance zone. A daily close above these levels may signal a continuation of the strong uptrend in the market.

Ethereum (ETH) Analysis: Will It Reclaim the Key Support?

On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum has lost the critical support zone between $2,037 and $1,927, leading to a decline as low as $1,745. Currently, Ethereum remains priced below this former support area and has yet to establish a clear direction.

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If Ethereum fails to reclaim the $1,927 – $2,037 range, the price may revisit the $1,745 support level. This region acts as a crucial support in the short term.

However, if Ethereum manages to break through the resistance and regain the $2,037 level, a potential rally towards $2,108 could follow. A successful breakout and daily close above $2,108 could trigger rapid upside moves and increased buyer volume.

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The post Bitcoin and Ethereum at Critical Levels! What’s the Latest Situation? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

On the other hand, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) was announced at 0.0% on a monthly basis. Market expectations were for a 0.3% increase, and the previous reading was 0.4%. On an annual basis, PPI came in at 3.2%, aligning closely with market forecasts.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Potential Impact on Crypto Markets

The implications of these figures for the Federal Reserve (FED)‘s monetary policy are of significant interest to cryptocurrency markets. The lower-than-expected PPI suggests that inflationary pressures are easing, which could reinforce expectations that the FED may adopt a more cautious stance regarding future interest rate hikes. This scenario might support short-term bullish momentum for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the broader crypto market.

However, jobless claims remaining lower than expected highlights continued strength in the US economy. This could sustain concerns that the FED may maintain its “hawkish” policy stance, keeping market participants cautious. As a result, crypto markets are navigating mixed signals from the latest economic data.

In the short term, the lower PPI figure may generate positive sentiment within cryptocurrency markets. However, the ongoing strength in the labor market keeps macroeconomic risks on the radar. Investors are advised to closely monitor upcoming FED statements and any clues regarding future interest rate policies.

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The post US Unemployment and PPI Data Released: How Will It Affect the Market? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin Technical Outlook and Key Levels

Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered from its bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone following its latest correction. After finding demand at this level, the price rallied towards the bearish FVG zone that had formed during the recent decline. For now, Bitcoin seems to be facing rejection from this area.

If buyers manage to reclaim this resistance, the next target will be the $86,641 resistance level. A daily close above $86,641 could open the path toward the higher bearish FVG zone, which will act as the next resistance. On the downside, the current region offers strong support. However, if this support is broken, a deeper pullback toward the $77,000 level could be expected.

Ethereum Under Pressure on the 4-Hour Chart

Ethereum (ETH) has lost the $2,037–$1,927 support zone on the 4-hour chart. Closing below this region does not suggest a positive short-term outlook. If bearish momentum persists, Ethereum could decline toward the $1,745 support level.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

On the other hand, if Ethereum recovers and reclaims the broken support, the next resistance stands at $2,108. A confirmed breakout above $2,108 may lead to a rapid move toward the $2,200–$2,300 price range.

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Maintains Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reclaimed the 61.50% resistance level after bouncing from its bullish FVG support zone. It is currently facing resistance at 62.26%, where it has shown signs of rejection in the short term.

If BTC Dominance breaks above 62.26%, there is potential for an extended rally toward the 64% level. However, should the 61.50% support fail, the previously reclaimed FVG support zone is likely to come back into play.

As Bitcoin and Ethereum trade at critical junctures, the next move is likely to determine market direction in the short term. Bitcoin Dominance remains a key indicator to watch, as further increases could continue to suppress altcoin performance. Traders are advised to monitor support and resistance zones carefully to react promptly to potential trend reversals.

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The post Which Way Is The Market Heading? Bitcoin Dominance At Critical Resistance! appeared first on Coin Engineer.