How the Ant.FUN Protocol Works

The Ant.FUN protocol is designed as a decentralized trading and liquidity aggregation layer operating on the Solana blockchain. Its main goal is to allow investors to trade through a single interface without constantly switching between different decentralized exchanges. This approach makes the trading process more practical, especially in fast-moving crypto markets, while allowing users to access multiple liquidity sources quickly. One of Ant.FUN’s key features is its integration with several Solana-based DEX protocols, including:

• fun
• Raydium
• Orca

Thanks to these integrations, Ant.FUN can automatically route trades between different liquidity pools, helping users execute trades at the best available prices. This system also aims to optimize transaction costs, reduce slippage, and increase trading efficiency. These features provide important advantages for high-volume traders and investors who frequently buy and sell assets.

Real-Time Analysis and Wallet Tracking

One of Ant.FUN’s most notable features is its real-time on-chain analytics and advanced wallet tracking system. The platform allows users to track not only price charts but also wallet movements and transaction flows on the blockchain. Through this system, investors can analyze the activities of large investors (whales) or addresses following specific strategies and monitor market movements more closely.

Users on the platform can:

• Create up to 5 monitoring channels
• Track up to 200 wallet addresses per channel
• Monitor whale movements and large transactions
• View real-time on-chain trading signals

This system converts raw blockchain data into more understandable and usable insights, helping investors detect market behavior earlier. As a result, users can identify accumulation, distribution, or sudden transaction spikes more quickly and shape their trading strategies accordingly. In the fast-moving Solana ecosystem, such data-driven tools can provide a significant advantage for investors.

Core Features of the Ant.FUN Platform

Ant.FUN offers a range of advanced tools designed especially for active traders. The platform combines fast trading infrastructure, data-driven analytics tools, and secure wallet management to create a more efficient trading experience.

High-Performance Trading Infrastructure: Ant.FUN’s trading infrastructure is designed to take advantage of Solana’s high transaction speed and low fees. The platform provides multiple technical tools within a single interface so traders can react more quickly to market movements. Real-time Solana chain analysis allows users to monitor blockchain transactions instantly, while multi-DEX integration enables easy access to various liquidity sources. The platform also offers second-level price charts (K-line charts) for more detailed market data and supports one-click trading for fast and convenient transactions.

Smart Trading Tools: The platform includes various smart trading tools to help investors analyze market data more effectively. These tools include wallet activity tracking, customizable token watchlists, price alert systems, and advanced market analysis features. With these capabilities, users can track specific wallet addresses, monitor selected tokens, and receive real-time notifications about price movements.

Secure Wallet Management: Security is a key priority in the platform’s design. Ant.FUN provides client-side encrypted wallet management to improve user data security. Private keys remain stored on the user’s device, ensuring full control over their assets. The platform also supports multi-wallet management and secure transaction verification systems.

The Ant.FUN Ecosystem

Over time, Ant.FUN has evolved beyond a simple trading platform into a broader ecosystem. The project continues developing programs and features aimed at increasing user participation and expanding globally.

The Ant.FUN ecosystem includes:

• Liquidity incentive programs
• Community-based trading channels
• Referral reward systems
• Multi-language interface support

Liquidity programs support trading volume on the platform, while community features allow users to share strategies and monitor trading activities together. The referral system enables users to invite new investors and earn rewards, contributing to the platform’s growth. With multi-language support, the platform has become more accessible to investors worldwide and is reportedly gaining traction in major crypto markets such as Asia, Europe, and North America.

Advantages of the Ant.FUN Platform

Ant.FUN provides various benefits for different types of users:

For Traders: The platform enables fast trading across multiple DEXs while offering detailed market analysis tools and on-chain data tracking to support more informed decisions.

For Investors: Users can track whale wallet movements, monitor on-chain activities of project teams, and analyze overall market trends.

For Community Builders: Ant.FUN allows users to create trading channels and build investor communities. Through the referral program, users can also earn additional income by inviting new participants to the platform.

Founder of Ant.FUN (ANB)

The prominent figure behind the Ant.FUN project is Shaun, who serves as the platform’s Founder and CEO. Shaun leads the development of the platform, sets its strategic direction, and oversees the expansion of the ecosystem. He plays an active role in the project’s technical development, product strategy, and community growth. Under his leadership, Ant.FUN focuses on developing fast, data-driven, and user-centric trading tools within the Solana ecosystem. The platform’s goal is not only to provide a trading interface but also to combine real-time blockchain data, wallet intelligence, and advanced trading tools to deliver a more comprehensive trading experience.

Future Plans for Ant.FUN

The project team continues to work on new features to improve the platform’s capabilities and strengthen the user experience. Planned developments include:

• Multi-chain support: Expanding beyond Solana to integrate with other blockchain networks.
• More advanced analytics tools: Enhancing technical indicators and data-driven analysis features.
• Additional DEX integrations: Connecting with more decentralized exchanges to provide broader liquidity access.
• Social trading features: Allowing users to follow other investors’ strategies and share insights through trading channels.

The roadmap also includes features such as live streaming tools and prediction markets, which are expected to enhance community engagement and help users follow market developments more closely.

Ant.FUN stands out as a next-generation Web3 trading platform that combines real-time data analytics, wallet intelligence, and multi-DEX access. By leveraging Solana’s high speed and low transaction costs, the platform aims to provide a fast and data-driven trading environment for active investors. With advanced analytics tools, wallet tracking systems, and multi-liquidity access, users can monitor market movements more closely and make trading decisions faster. Thanks to its growing ecosystem, expanding user base, and continuously improving trading tools, Ant.FUN is becoming an increasingly notable project among decentralized trading platforms. Planned upgrades such as multi-chain support, enhanced analytics, and social trading features further strengthen its potential to reach a broader audience in the Web3 trading space.

Official Links

Website
X (Twitter)
Whitepaper

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Strategy’s Bitcoin Accumulation Continues to Grow

Strategy has been one of the leading companies positioning Bitcoin as a core reserve asset in recent years. According to the company’s latest statement, this large purchase completed within just one week significantly expanded its Bitcoin portfolio. As part of the transaction carried out between March 9 and March 15, 2026, the company bought 22,337 BTC at an average price of $70,194, bringing the total value of the purchase to approximately $1.57 billion. This move shows that Strategy has not stepped back from its long-term Bitcoin investment strategy and continues to see digital assets as an important part of its corporate reserves. At the same time, such high-volume purchases demonstrate that institutional investors’ confidence in the cryptocurrency market remains strong and that major players continue to take an active role in the market.

In recent years, institutional interest in Bitcoin has steadily increased. The decision of large companies to allocate part of their reserves to Bitcoin has helped digital assets gain a stronger position within the global financial system. Strategy’s major purchase also created a significant psychological impact on the market and redirected investor attention toward institutional activity. Many analysts believe that increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin could affect not only short-term price movements but also the long-term structure of the market. Large-scale acquisitions like this contribute to broader acceptance of Bitcoin in the global financial system while reinforcing the ongoing trend of institutional investment.

What Does This Mean for the Bitcoin Market?

Large purchases of this scale are often seen as important indicators of market confidence. Billion-dollar institutional investments, in particular, demonstrate sustained long-term confidence in Bitcoin. Growing interest from institutional investors not only strengthens market liquidity but also contributes to wider acceptance of digital assets within the traditional financial world. Strategy’s $1.57 billion purchase shows that Bitcoin is increasingly becoming a part of institutional investment portfolios. According to analysts, such major institutional moves create a positive effect on market sentiment while also accelerating the maturation of the cryptocurrency market. At the same time, the increasing accumulation of Bitcoin by corporate entities further strengthens the position of digital assets as a long-term investment and store of value, while continuing to support overall market confidence.

Evaluation

Strategy’s $1.57 billion investment, through the purchase of 22,337 BTC, stands out as a strong indicator of institutional confidence in Bitcoin. The move demonstrates that the company has not abandoned its long-term digital asset strategy and continues to view Bitcoin as one of its primary reserve assets. The continuation of Strategy’s long-term accumulation strategy also highlights the growing role of Bitcoin in the institutional financial world. According to analysts, such major institutional purchases not only send a strong signal of confidence to the market but also serve as an important reference point for other large investors. If similar institutional moves increase in the coming period, they could further strengthen the cryptocurrency market and reinforce Bitcoin’s position within the global financial system.

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How Did the Venus Protocol Attack Happen?

On-chain data reveals that the attack was carried out using a highly planned and complex strategy. According to analyses, the attacker used an address beginning with 0x1a35 and spent a long period preparing within the system. Research indicates that over approximately nine months, the attacker gradually accumulated around 84% of the THE token supply (about 14.5 million tokens) while quietly attempting to gain control over market liquidity. The actual exploit began when the tokens were transferred directly to the protocol contract. With this method, the attacker managed to bypass the platform’s normal deposit and supply cap control mechanisms. As a result, a collateral position far exceeding the system’s allowed limits was created. Ultimately, the attacker established a massive collateral position reaching approximately 3.7 times the permitted limit, enabling them to borrow a significant amount of assets from the protocol.

Using the inflated collateral value, the attacker borrowed large amounts of crypto assets from the protocol. According to blockchain analysis, the assets taken included:

• 20 BTC (Bitcoin)
• 1.58 million USDC
• 801 BNB
• 6.67 million CAKE tokens

As a result of these transactions, the total loss was reported to exceed $3.7 million.

Price Manipulation and THE Token Collapse

One of the strategies used during the attack involved price manipulation. After borrowing assets from the protocol using THE tokens as collateral, the attacker bought more THE tokens from the market to increase the collateral value. The goal was to wait for the oracle price mechanism to update, artificially inflating the collateral value and enabling the withdrawal of even more assets from the system. During this manipulation process, the THE token price rose from approximately $0.26 to $0.56. However, once the liquidation process began, heavy selling pressure quickly emerged in the market, causing the token price to drop sharply to around $0.22. Following the incident, market confidence declined, and the THE token lost more than 17% of its value within 24 hours.

After the attack, the Venus Protocol team quickly implemented several security measures. In a statement, the platform said:

“While we continue investigating unusual activity in the THE pool, we have temporarily suspended all THE borrowing and withdrawal operations to prevent further abuse.”

Additionally, the platform temporarily paused operations in several markets with high liquidity concentrations, including BCH, LTC, UNI, AAVE, FIL, and TWT.

DeFi Security Back in the Spotlight

This incident once again highlights that security vulnerabilities remain a significant risk in the DeFi ecosystem. As the industry grows, attack methods are becoming increasingly sophisticated. According to data from blockchain security firm PeckShield, total losses from crypto hacks fell to $49 million in February, marking the lowest level in the past year. However, phishing and social engineering attacks have increased during the same period. Experts emphasize that DeFi platforms need stronger security measures, particularly in critical areas such as supply caps, oracle price mechanisms, and collateral systems. The Venus Protocol attack once again exposed the security risks faced by decentralized finance platforms. The exploit, which resulted in a $3.7 million loss, demonstrates that supply cap manipulation and the abuse of pricing mechanisms continue to pose serious threats to DeFi protocols. Experts stress that strengthening security infrastructure is crucial for maintaining investor confidence in the DeFi ecosystem.

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Which Projects Will Experience Major Token Unlocks?

Several important blockchain and DeFi ecosystem projects are scheduled to unlock tokens next week. These events are closely monitored by investors because the new supply entering the market may influence prices. Market analysts typically keep a close eye on such schedules, especially when the unlock values are high. The projects with the largest upcoming unlock amounts are listed below:

Aster (ASTER)

Unlock value: $55.9 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 78.4 million ASTER
Approximately 0.98% of total supply
Date: March 17, 2026

LayerZero (ZRO)

Unlock value: $50.3 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 24.68 million ZRO
2.47% of total supply
Date: March 20, 2026

Lombard (BARD)

Unlock value: $34.8 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 30 million BARD
3% of total supply
Date: March 18, 2026

River (RIVER)

Unlock value: $27 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 1.36 million RIVER
1.36% of total supply
Date: March 22, 2026

STBL

Unlock value: $15.1 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 416.7 million STBL
4.17% of total supply
Date: March 16, 2026

Other Notable Token Unlocks

In addition to the major projects, several mid-sized projects will also have significant unlock events:

• ESPORTS (Yooldo): $12.6 million unlock – 41 million tokens (4.6%)
• RTX (RateX): $10.5 million unlock – 4.86 million tokens (4.86%)
• Arbitrum (ARB): $9.8 million unlock – 92.6 million tokens (0.93%)
• Bedrock (BR): $7.4 million unlock – 131.2 million tokens (13.1%)
• Kaito (KAITO): $6.3 million unlock – 17.6 million tokens (1.76%)

Why Are Token Unlocks Important?

Token unlock events usually involve tokens that were previously locked for early investors, team members, or funds being released into the market. This can create short-term selling pressure. According to crypto analytics platforms, unlocks with high percentages of total supply can significantly increase price volatility. Market analysts commented on the issue as follows:

“Token unlock processes can affect the supply balance in the market. Large unlocks may create serious price pressure, especially in projects with low liquidity.”

For this reason, investors often track unlock schedules closely and adjust their risk management strategies accordingly. The multi-million-dollar token unlock events scheduled for the week of March 16–22 are considered a significant development that could create short-term volatility in the crypto market. High-volume unlocks in projects such as LayerZero, Aster, and Lombard are particularly on investors’ radar. Monitoring token unlock schedules can help investors develop more informed strategies against potential price movements.

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Bitcoin ETF Inflows Supported the Price

According to market data, Bitcoin experienced a volatile trading session throughout the day. The largest cryptocurrency climbed above $74,000 during the day. Analysts note that strong capital inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs were particularly influential behind this rise. Over the past week, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $767.3 million. During the same period, spot Ethereum ETFs also saw net inflows of $160.8 million. Bitrue Research Lead Andri Fauzan Adziima commented on the situation:

“Bitcoin climbed back toward the $73,000 level thanks to strong spot ETF inflows, a post-liquidation short squeeze, and institutional and whale accumulation in a reduced supply environment following the halving.”

Bitcoin’s rise occurred despite ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran and increasing geopolitical risks in global markets. Iranian officials stated they are prepared for a prolonged conflict, while rising tensions in the region also increased volatility in the oil market. In particular, the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz being closed pushed oil prices higher, with crude oil trading around $98 per barrel. Analysts note that in such uncertain environments, Bitcoin is increasingly being positioned as “digital gold.”

According to Adziima, the current rise may not yet mark the beginning of a confirmed bull rally:

“This move looks more like a solid relief bounce from the mid-$60,000 lows. However, if ETF inflows continue, targets above $80,000 for Bitcoin remain possible.”

Critical Support and Resistance Levels

Market analysts point to several key support and resistance levels when evaluating Bitcoin’s short-term price movements. After the recent rise, the levels at which the price holds or breaks through may determine the market’s direction.

• $70,000 – $71,000: Stands out as a strong support zone. Maintaining this level is considered important for the continuation of upward momentum.
• $73,000 – $74,000: Considered a key resistance zone that needs to be broken in the short term.
• Break above $75,000: According to analysts, a strong move above this level could pave the way for the start of a new upward trend.

Zeus Research analyst Dominick John notes that a clear breakout above the $75,000 level could trigger a stronger bullish movement in the market. If this level is surpassed, investors may begin to expect a more powerful upward trend.

Altcoins Also Posted Gains

Bitcoin’s rise created a positive atmosphere across the broader cryptocurrency market. As the leading cryptocurrency gained value, buying activity accelerated in the rest of the market and notable price increases were observed among major altcoins.

• Ethereum (ETH): rose to around $2,300
• Solana (SOL): reached approximately $94
• XRP: began trading around $1.50

This rise in the altcoin market indicates that investors are starting to show renewed risk appetite. Analysts note that strong price movements in Bitcoin often provide momentum for the altcoin market as well, supporting a broader recovery across the market.

Millions of Dollars in Liquidations

With the recent rise, significant liquidations also occurred in the crypto derivatives market. In the last 24 hours, positions worth a total of $340.98 million were liquidated.

Most of these liquidations came from short positions.

• Total liquidations: $342.05 million
• Short positions: $282.86 million

This suggests that the market’s upward movement was largely supported by a short squeeze.

Bitcoin approaching the $74,000 level signals a strong recovery driven by ETF inflows, institutional demand, and short liquidations. At a time when geopolitical uncertainties are increasing, Bitcoin once again standing out with the “digital gold” narrative could boost investor interest in the crypto market. Analysts state that if a breakout above $75,000 occurs, the $80,000 level could once again come into focus for Bitcoin.

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In particular, transfers from large wallets to exchanges or assets withdrawn from DeFi protocols may indicate potential selling plans or portfolio restructuring strategies. According to the data, while some whales appear to be preparing to sell certain altcoins, others are actively accumulating assets. High-volume transactions involving Aave and Ethereum suggest that selling and accumulation strategies are occurring simultaneously in the market.

Analysts note that such large movements are closely monitored by investors because they can provide important clues about the market’s short-term direction.

Major AAVE Transfer From Blockchain Capital

Whale movements in the crypto market have once again come under investor scrutiny. Recent on-chain data indicates that large investors and institutions are carrying out multi-million-dollar transactions, generating notable signals across the market. Transfers from large wallets to exchanges or withdrawals from DeFi protocols often point to possible sell-offs or portfolio adjustments.

Data suggests that some whales may be preparing to sell specific altcoins, while others are accumulating. High-volume transactions involving Aave and Ethereum indicate that both selling and accumulation strategies are taking place at the same time.

Analysts emphasize that these types of large movements can offer valuable insights into the market’s short-term outlook, which is why investors closely monitor them.

Activity around AAVE was not limited to Blockchain Capital. A whale investor with the address 0xFF5D withdrew 10,008 AAVE from the DeFi protocol Aave. These assets, worth approximately $1.15 million, were later transferred to the Binance exchange. Such transfers are often seen when investors move assets to exchanges for selling or active trading purposes.

Whales Are Accumulating Ethereum

While selling signals appear in the AAVE market, a different trend is emerging for Ethereum. According to on-chain data, an investor with the address 0x743d spent around 3.79 million USDT to purchase 1,827 ETH.

This transaction suggests that some large investors see current price levels as an accumulation opportunity. Data also shows that the same whale has accumulated 11,985 ETH over the last four days. The total value of these purchases is estimated at approximately $24.79 million, with an average purchase price of around $2,068. Analysts say such large-scale purchases may indicate that some investors still maintain a long-term bullish outlook for Ethereum.

Another notable Ethereum transaction came from a whale that had been inactive for about six months. The investor with the address 0x2d85, previously known for selling Ethereum around the $4,300 level, has re-entered the market.

This whale purchased 5,003 ETH at an average price of $2,179, with the total transaction valued at approximately $10.9 million. According to analysts, returns like this may indicate that some large investors view Ethereum’s current price levels as an attractive long-term opportunity.

Assessment

Recent whale movements show that different investment strategies are simultaneously active in the crypto market. While some large investors appear to be preparing to sell certain altcoins, others are taking advantage of market pullbacks to accumulate assets.

Notably, transfers suggesting potential selling pressure have been observed in AAVE, while large investors appear to be accumulating Ethereum. Analysts say such on-chain movements can provide valuable insights into the expectations of major market participants. For this reason, investors continue to closely monitor whale transactions and large transfers in order to better understand possible trend changes in the market.

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The foundation stated that the proceeds would fund core activities, including protocol research and ecosystem development. However, the choice of BitMine as the direct buyer immediately drew scrutiny.

Why the Ethereum Foundation Sold ETH

The Ethereum Foundation has previously faced market attention for token sales. This recent sale’s aim is clear: funding essential operations.

Revenue from the sale will support:

• Protocol research

• Network development

• Community grants

• Ecosystem growth programs

This marks a strategic shift. The foundation, which long kept its ETH holdings idle, has recently begun actively managing its treasury.

Last month, it staked 70,000 tokens, with the rewards directed toward ecosystem development and community grants.

0/ Today, the Ethereum Foundation finalized the terms of a 5,000 ETH sale at an average price of $2,042.96 via OTC.

For this sale, our OTC counterparty was @BitMNR.

— Ethereum Foundation (@ethereumfndn) March 14, 2026

BitMine’s Growing Ethereum Position

The controversial part is the buyer. BitMine already ranks as one of Ethereum’s largest institutional holders, currently controlling:

• Over 4.47 million ETH

• Valued at approximately $9.07 billion

Last year, BitMine, led by Tom Lee, publicly stated its intention to acquire 5% of circulating ETH supply, executing aggressive purchases since then.

In Proof-of-Stake networks, voting power and consensus influence are directly linked to token holdings. Large accumulations by a single institution may conflict with Ethereum Foundation’s historic emphasis on decentralization and anti-monopoly principles.

Remaining Ethereum in the Foundation Treasury

After the sale, the foundation still holds over 200,000 ETH, valued at around $424 million.

This indicates a financial strategy shift. Previously, the foundation avoided active treasury management to prevent influencing network consensus, but now it leverages both sales and staking to fund operations.

Leadership Change and New Governance Manifesto

These developments coincide with recent leadership changes. Earlier this month, co-Executive Director Tomasz Stańczak resigned, with Bastian Aue stepping in temporarily.

The foundation also released a new governance manifesto, aligning its mission with decentralization and open-source principles. The document emphasizes avoiding protocols deemed “surveillance-friendly” or overly centralized.

Analysts note that the ETH sale and growing institutional holdings may rekindle debates about network centralization, especially in Proof-of-Stake environments.

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Trend Research Withdraws 27,000 ETH From Binance

According to on-chain data, Trend Research, known as an institutional investor, withdrew approximately 27,000 ETH from the Binance exchange. The total value of this transaction is estimated at around $57.97 million.

Such large withdrawals typically occur when investors move their assets to cold wallets for long-term storage or when they prefer not to create selling pressure on centralized exchanges. The same institution was also seen transferring about $150.47 million worth of USD Coin (USDC). Analysts note that movements of stablecoins in such large amounts are often interpreted as preparation for new purchases. Therefore, there is speculation that these funds could be used to buy more Ethereum in the near future.

Whale Converts Gold-Backed Tokens Into Ethereum

Another notable transaction occurred on the Bitfinex exchange. A whale investor sold 2,311 Tether Gold (XAUT) tokens that had been held for two weeks and converted the portfolio into Ethereum.

XAUT is known as a digital asset backed by physical gold, and investors occasionally shift from such assets into cryptocurrencies. The XAUT worth approximately $11.7 million was used to purchase 5,313 ETH, with the total transaction value recorded at about $11.33 million. Analysts say that portfolio shifts like this may indicate changes in whales’ market expectations.

$3 Million Whale Purchase in HYPE Token

Another large investor made a significant purchase of HYPE, the token of the Hyperliquid ecosystem. The whale bought 86,259 HYPE tokens for approximately $3.27 million, with an average purchase price of around $37.95.

Transactions of this size can signal increasing institutional or large investor interest in certain projects. Recently, the Hyperliquid ecosystem has been gaining attention as one of the prominent projects in the decentralized derivatives trading sector. According to analysts, such large whale purchases may indicate that some investors believe in the project’s long-term potential or aim to benefit from possible short-term price movements.

$6 Million Transfer in TRUMP Memecoin

Market activity was not limited to Ethereum and HYPE. On-chain data revealed that a newly created wallet withdrew approximately 2 million TRUMP tokens from the Binance exchange. The total value of this transaction is estimated at about $5.94 million.

Large withdrawals like this may suggest that investors plan to hold the tokens for the long term outside exchanges or closely monitor market movements. The TRUMP memecoin previously experienced a notable surge after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a private dinner event for token holders.

Announcements like this can quickly increase investor interest, particularly in memecoin projects. According to analysts, community-driven news flow and the influence of social media often lead to sudden price movements and high trading volumes in memecoins.

Whale Activity Signals Rising Capital Movement

The major whale transactions seen in recent hours indicate that capital movement in the crypto market is increasing. These transfers, especially in Ethereum and various altcoins, can provide important insights into investors’ market expectations. According to analysts, whale transactions remain one of the key indicators that should be closely monitored in order to understand possible trend changes in the market.

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When on-chain data and market dynamics are examined closely, several indicators suggest that the downside risk has not completely disappeared. Evaluations by the analytics firm CryptoQuant also indicate that investors should remain cautious about Ethereum’s short-term price outlook. According to experts, despite attempts at recovery in the market, some fundamental indicators show that price movements could still remain under pressure.

CryptoQuant Analyst: ETH Could Fall to $1,500

According to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, Ethereum’s price could drop to lower levels if the bear market continues. Based on Moreno’s assessment, if the current downtrend persists, ETH could decline to around $1,500 by the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2026.

The analyst notes that this scenario could unfold particularly if selling pressure in the market remains strong and capital inflows into crypto assets stay weak. Moreno adds that a low investor risk appetite and an increase in the amount of ETH sent to exchanges could be key factors putting downward pressure on the price. Therefore, he emphasizes that market dynamics and on-chain data should be closely monitored.

Adoption Paradox in the Ethereum Network

One of the most notable points in CryptoQuant’s analysis is the disconnect between increased usage of the Ethereum network and its price performance. Analysts describe this situation as an “adoption paradox.”

According to the data, the number of daily active addresses on the Ethereum network has recently reached an all-time high, even surpassing the levels seen during the 2021 bull market. Despite this, Ethereum’s price has fallen by more than 50% from its cycle peak.

This situation represents a significant deviation from the classic pattern observed in previous market cycles. In earlier periods, increases in network usage typically moved in parallel with price growth.

Structural Changes Could Impact ETH Price

According to CryptoQuant analysts, several structural changes are taking place in the Ethereum ecosystem compared to previous market cycles. If the bear market continues, these changes could create additional pressure on ETH’s price.

Analysts shared the following assessment:

“In previous periods, growth in network activity and price increases usually occurred simultaneously. However, the gap between user growth and price trends is widening.”

This indicates that although Ethereum is experiencing strong growth in network usage, its price performance has not followed at the same pace. Julio Moreno also pointed out that Ethereum currently has a higher exchange inflow rate compared to Bitcoin. According to the analyst, the fact that more ETH is being sent to exchanges could signal stronger selling pressure in the market. This is also considered one of the reasons why Ethereum has recently underperformed Bitcoin.

What Does Ethereum Need to Exit the Bear Market?

According to Moreno, several critical market conditions need to change for Ethereum to exit the current bear market. In particular, the following factors are important:

• An increase in positive capital inflows into Ethereum
• A decline in the amount of ETH sent to exchanges
• A reduction in overall market selling pressure

If these conditions are met, a stronger recovery in Ethereum’s price could occur. Although the Ethereum network continues to show strong growth in terms of usage, its price performance has not progressed at the same pace. According to CryptoQuant analysts, if market conditions do not change, ETH could decline to $1,500 in the coming period. However, if institutional capital inflows increase and selling pressure weakens, a more positive market outlook could emerge for Ethereum.

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What Do Large Bitcoin Outflows From Exchanges Mean?

In the crypto market, significant Bitcoin outflows from exchanges are generally considered an important market signal. When investors choose to move their assets to cold wallets instead of keeping them on exchanges for short-term trading, it usually indicates a growing long-term holding (HODL) trend. Assets withdrawn from exchanges are typically not intended for immediate sale and are instead stored for longer periods.

According to Sentora’s analysis, the latest data shows that Bitcoin continues to be accumulated not only by retail investors but also through institutional custody services. This development is viewed as an important sign that large financial institutions and professional investors remain interested in crypto assets. Analysts believe that the continued activity of institutional investors in the market is one of the key factors supporting Bitcoin’s long-term value perception.

Reduced Selling Pressure in the Market

In the cryptocurrency market, asset outflows from exchanges are often interpreted as a positive signal suggesting that selling pressure may decrease. When investors withdraw their Bitcoin from exchanges, the likelihood of those assets being sold in the short term drops significantly.

Analysts point out that when investors prefer to store BTC in secure wallets outside exchanges, the tradable circulating supply in the market may decline. If demand remains strong during the same period, the supply-demand balance could create upward pressure on prices. For this reason, large Bitcoin outflows from exchanges are often seen as early indicators of a potential bullish trend in the market.

Bitcoin Price Also Moves Higher

Alongside these significant exchange outflows, Bitcoin’s price has also maintained a strong position above $70,000. According to market data, Bitcoin was trading at around $71,000 at the time the report was published. Analysts believe this price movement could signal renewed investor interest in the crypto market. Large withdrawals of Bitcoin from exchanges reduce the amount of BTC readily available for sale. When combined with strong demand, this dynamic can create upward pressure on the price. As a result, market participants are closely monitoring both Bitcoin’s performance above the $70,000 level and on-chain asset flow data.

Growing Role of Institutional Investors

Experts also note that the renewed interest of institutional investors could support Bitcoin’s price recovery. Accumulation through institutional custody services is often part of long-term investment strategies. The recent decline in Bitcoin reserves held on exchanges further supports this view. According to analysts, continued net outflows from exchanges could reduce the available supply in the market. If demand remains strong, this dynamic could become a significant factor driving upward price pressure on Bitcoin. The billion-dollar Bitcoin outflows from exchanges over the past week indicate that investors are increasingly adopting long-term storage strategies. Analysts suggest that if this trend continues, the declining supply in the market could contribute to greater upside potential for Bitcoin’s price.

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