Joao Wedson, Founder and CEO of Alphractal, highlighted three key metrics in a post on the X platform: the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Oscillator, the Long-Term Stablecoin Ratio Channel, and the Short-Term Stablecoin Ratio Channel. None of these indicators are currently signaling overbought conditions, providing a favorable market outlook for investors. 

What Do Stablecoin Metrics Mean for Bitcoin? 

Stablecoin data is becoming increasingly popular for measuring market movements. The SSR Oscillator evaluates Bitcoin’s market cap relative to stablecoin liquidity. This indicator uses the 200-day moving average and standard deviation to signal when Bitcoin is undervalued or when the market is overheated. According to Alphractal, the SSR Oscillator has yet to issue a sell signal. 

3 Stablecoin Metrics That Indicate: The Bitcoin Cycle Isn’t Over!
In the cryptocurrency universe, finding reliable signals is like striking gold. At Alphractal, we’ve developed powerful oscillators that correlate Bitcoin with stablecoins, generating alpha signals that few in… pic.twitter.com/9kRPjE2V5H

— Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) June 29, 2025

The Stablecoin Ratio Channel offers two perspectives: the long-term view helps investors assess whether Bitcoin is fairly valued, supporting strategic decision-making. Meanwhile, the short-term view offers momentum-based signals through oscillation frequency, benefiting traders who operate on daily or weekly timeframes. 

Wedson’s charts show multiple “buy” signals since the start of 2025, reinforcing investor optimism. Ethereum’s 37.04% increase over the same period further supports this positive outlook. 

Regulatory Risks and the $2 Trillion Stablecoin Market 

Despite the strong performances of Bitcoin and Ethereum, certain risks remain. Notably, regulations from major economies like the U.S. and the European Union targeting the stablecoin market could impact the broader crypto space. 

However, low interest rates continue to support a favorable investment environment. The U.S. Treasury projects that the stablecoin market could soon reach a valuation of $2 trillion—highlighting its vast potential. 

Both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have shown strength in Q2 2025. As stablecoin metrics continue to emit bullish signals, investor attention is increasingly turning toward this sector. 

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Gold also reached a new record high as investors sought safe-haven assets, with its price hitting $3,433. The crypto market showed signs of recovery with strong buying momentum after last week’s turbulence. Rekt Capital stated that Bitcoin has started a new uptrend by holding above $104,400. As a result, investors continued to turn toward risk assets ahead of the critical FOMC decision. 

FOMC and BoJ Decisions to Shape Market Direction 

JPMorgan analysts reminded that Iran controls 3.5% of global oil supply. The potential for Brent oil to reach $130 per barrel has raised expectations of a new wave of inflation in the markets. If this level is reached, U.S. inflation could hit 5%, possibly delaying the Fed’s rate cut plans. 

Meanwhile, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made cautious remarks about interest rate cuts. Powell refused to take hasty action, considering that Trump’s tariff policies could drive prices higher. Still, 40% of investors in the futures market expect two rate cuts by the end of the year. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is considering postponing its rate hike to Q1 2025 due to problems in the bond market. According to Reuters, BoJ plans to maintain tight monetary policy during this period. 

Strait of Hormuz Crisis and $130 Oil Scenario Shake the Markets 

Some analysts at JPMorgan reiterated Iran’s 3.5% share in global oil supply. Combined with geopolitical risks, they forecast oil prices could exceed $130 per barrel. Such an increase could push U.S. consumer inflation close to 5%. The Kobeissi Letter emphasized that this scenario would significantly delay the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts. 

Experts also defined the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz as the most severe geopolitical scenario. Iran could use its dominance over the strait to disrupt global energy supply. 

Bitcoin continues to stay resilient amid all these developments. Investors are still in search of safe havens amid geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures. BTC’s trading volume rose 14%, surpassing $40.5 billion, indicating a significant increase in market liquidity. 

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You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Following its crash to $1,400 on April 9, ETH has now rebounded by nearly 30%, leading analysts to suggest that the worst may be behind for the world’s second-largest crypto asset.

Dominance Recovery And Technical Setup

Crypto analyst “Rekt Capital” highlighted that ETH market dominance had fallen to 7%, matching 2019 lows. However, by April 23, that share rebounded above 7.5%, signaling a bounce from a critical support level.

Markus Thielen of 10x Research stated that the market was heavily shorted, fueling a potential “short squeeze.” Technically, Ethereum was in an oversold zone on both daily and weekly timeframes, creating the perfect condition for a rebound.

An upcoming mainnet upgrade is also acting as a bullish catalyst, restoring confidence in Ethereum and signaling renewed strength in the crypto market.

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In the latest Bybit hack update, the popular crypto exchange received $600 million in ETH from Mirana Ventures after losing $1.5 billion in ETH-based assets. These investments aim to recover the losses and bring back the lost ETH assets.

Mirana Ventures obtained this ETH by selling $500 million in Bitcoin (BTC) and $100 million in Tether (USDT). Following the investments, withdrawal requests increased, and liquidity issues were resolved.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Mirana Ventures’ ETH Investment Provides Support After the Hack

Mirana Ventures played a key role in replenishing Bybit’s lost ETH reserves. The ETH was purchased through various OTC firms and transferred to Bybit. Mirana Ventures became Bybit‘s largest investor after investing ETH over three days.

The hack is believed to have been carried out by the North Korean hacker group Lazarus Group. The attackers used advanced malware to breach Bybit‘s security and moved ETH to multiple addresses. Authorities are continuing to track the movement of the stolen funds.

Bybit’s Response and Future Measures

Bybit took swift action to close security gaps and protect user funds. Thanks to the investments from Mirana Ventures, the exchange stabilized its ETH reserves. Withdrawal requests decreased, and operations have returned to normal.

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Teng’s View on the Fed’s Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Cuts

Teng also discussed the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy, stating that the recent market downturn is largely due to the Fed’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts. While the likelihood of a rate cut in March seems to have decreased, Teng noted, “Monetary policy remains data-driven, and if inflation begins to decline or the labor market weakens, the Fed could quickly shift its stance.”

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Teng’s Optimistic Outlook

Acknowledging that market pullbacks can be unsettling, Teng remained optimistic: “However, these are also the moments when experienced investors position themselves for the next bull trend. Crypto has become an asset class integrated with global finance, and its ability to recover from macro-driven downturns has been proven.”

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