The agreement was reached after months of negotiations by Trump and high-level talks with South Korean President Lee Jae-myung. The parties aimed to reduce trade imbalances and increase mutual investments.

Trump stated, “This agreement is a historic victory for America. We will now acquire Korean goods with reasonable taxes, but in return, we have secured billions of dollars in investment and energy commitments.”

Investment and Energy Package

According to the agreement, South Korea will make an investment of 350 billion dollars in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, shipbuilding, batteries, and nuclear energy in the United States over the next five years. Additionally, the South Korean government and private companies are expected to import 100 billion dollars worth of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and other energy products from the US.

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In return for these investments, the Trump administration secured duty-free access for US products in the South Korean market. This exemption is particularly notable for automobiles and agricultural products.

Following the announcement of the agreement, South Korean automotive giants Hyundai and Kia saw significant declines in their stock prices. Hyundai shares fell by 4.5% on the Seoul Stock Exchange, while Kia dropped by 6.6%. Experts pointed out that rising costs in the US market could negatively affect the competitiveness of Korean companies.

Is the “Tariff Strategy” Continuing?

Trump, in his second term, took a more aggressive approach to trade policies by imposing tariffs on many countries. In February 2025, under the “Liberation Day Tariffs,” customs duties as high as 145% were applied to products imported from China. Tariffs of 25% on South Korea were delayed, and the parties were given a negotiation period.

With the new agreement, South Korea is exempt from these high tariffs. However, trade experts note that pressure may increase on other allied countries, and similar agreements may come to the agenda.

The agreement has been generally well received by industry lobbies in the US, but some are concerned about its long-term effects. Particularly, members of the Democratic Party are uncomfortable with the Trump administration implementing the agreement without Congress’s approval.

On the other hand, concerns are rising in South Korean public opinion as well. Opposition parties argue that the large investment and energy commitments made under pressure from the US could burden the country’s economy.

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In May, the U.S. agreed to reduce tariffs on China from 145% to 30%; in return, China agreed to cut tariffs on the U.S. from 125% to 10% as part of a temporary 90-day compromise. Although this comprehensive policy shift provided a temporary breather, the infrastructure remains unclear and negotiations continue for long-term solutions.

What Is Expected from the Talks?

The Stockholm talks that began on July 28 brought together high-level representatives from both the U.S. and China. Key figures such as Scott Bessent from the U.S. Treasury and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng participated in these discussions, which focused on shaping the draft details of trade agreements. During the negotiations, it is especially expected that the U.S. side will bring up special additional tariffs related to synthetic drugs (fentanyl) again.

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Positive Development:

• Major companies (such as Apple, Amazon) reacted positively in the markets thanks to this temporary relaxation. Significant increases were observed in Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq.

• For China, where alternatives to boost domestic demand are limited, such compromises have become an important tool for economic revival.

For Small Businesses:

• While this extension provides relief for some in the business world, small businesses are facing serious challenges such as planning uncertainty, inventory management, and cost forecasting. Critics argue that “working within temporary windows can impose a heavy burden on small businesses.”

If no agreement is reached, tariffs could quickly return to levels above 145%. This could lead to major disruptions in supply chains and global price increases. In the long term, a permanent solution is needed, and this extension essentially aims to strengthen the groundwork for constructive negotiation.

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Market Concerns and Trump’s Statements

Despite market downturns caused by the trade war, Trump dismissed the possibility of a recession, stating, “I don’t see it at all. I think this country is going to boom.”

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However, Trump warned business leaders to prepare for more tariffs, emphasizing that rates could go even higher. “The biggest win is not the tariff — that big win is a lot of money — but the biggest win is if they move into the country and produce,” Trump said.

US Economy and Global Impact

Economists warn that rising tariffs will increase consumer prices, put US exporters at risk, and slow overall economic growth.

Tensions with major trade partners such as Canada, China, and Mexico are affecting investor confidence. US stock markets have dropped by around 10% in recent weeks, while Trump‘s sudden policy shifts on tariffs have created uncertainty in financial markets.

Meanwhile, Canada’s planned retaliatory tariffs on US dairy products and electricity exports are further escalating trade tensions. Trump warned that if Canada does not back down, he might impose even higher tariffs.

Trump also mentioned potential tax incentives for companies relocating their operations to the US. In the coming days, trade policies and their global market impacts will continue to be closely monitored.

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