Cipolaro noted that crypto perpetual futures funding rates have remained consistently positive. Despite a $480 million liquidation occurring on April 6–7 following Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2, this figure is considered minor compared to previous major sell-offs. Meanwhile, Tether (USDT) briefly dipped below its $1 peg but avoided a sharp depreciation.

Trump’s sweeping tariffs on all nations, introduced on April 2 and enforced on April 9, were delayed just hours later for 90 days. The U.S. imposed a 10% base tariff on countries excluding China, which still faces tariffs of up to 145%. These sudden shifts injected a new layer of uncertainty into both traditional and digital asset markets.

Bitcoin Resists Volatility, Gains Role as Safe Haven

While not entirely immune to volatility, Bitcoin has performed far better than many other asset classes in recent weeks. Cipolaro highlighted that BTC is down 22.5% from its mid-January high of $108,000, but has traded mostly flat over the past 24 hours — indicating a phase of relative stability.

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Cipolaro suggests that investors are increasingly seeking store-of-value assets not tied to fiat currencies or sovereign risk, driving further interest in Bitcoin. Notably, risk-parity portfolio funds are beginning to add Bitcoin into their asset mix, drawn by its decreasing volatility. This trend could help Bitcoin become even more stable, supporting wider institutional adoption over time.

Technical Indicators Flash Caution: Death Cross Ahead?

On the technical side, YouHodler’s Chief of Markets Ruslan Lienkha raised a red flag in an April 12 note. According to Lienkha, both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are potentially forming a “death cross” — a bearish chart pattern where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day average. This signal is often interpreted as a warning of medium-term downward pressure.

Lienkha warned that without a clear macroeconomic catalyst or positive momentum, markets may struggle to sustain upward movement in the coming weeks.

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What Is a Death Cross?

A Death Cross occurs when an asset’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) drops below its 200-day SMA. Historically, this is seen as a long-term bearish indicator. Nvidia’s stock formed this pattern before the market closed on March 21.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

AI Crypto Tokens Rise Despite Nvidia’s Bearish Signal

Interestingly, several AI-related crypto tokens have posted gains despite Nvidia’s bearish technical indicator:

• Render (RNDR): up 4.06% at $3.34
• Bittensor (TAO): up 2.88% at $254.27
• Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET): up 2.88% at $0.5162

Although there have been times when AI tokens surged in tandem with Nvidia’s gains — such as its 70% rally ahead of Q2 2024 earnings — the correlation has not always been consistent.

Has the AI Crypto Hype Bubble Burst?

Some traders believe the AI crypto hype has cooled off, and that only projects with real utility and revenue models will thrive. Crypto trader CryptoCosta remarked, “The AI hype has already died down; now it’s time for those providing market solutions and revenue.”

In the past month, the AI and Big Data crypto sector has seen a 23.70% decline in total market capitalization. Near Protocol (NEAR), the largest token in this category, is down nearly 59% over the past year, currently trading at $2.70.

CZ Warns Against Over-Tokenization

Former Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao stated that crypto is the natural currency for AI, but warned against launching tokens without scale or purpose:

“Agents can take fees in existing crypto for providing services. Launch a coin only if you have scale. Focus on utility, not tokens.”

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