Trump’s remarks about “liquidation or revolution” refer to structural transformations and political tensions in South Korea. However, according to analysts, there is no sudden revolution or destructive crisis; rather, economic reforms, diplomatic balancing efforts, and tensions originating from North Korea are coming to the forefront.

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Trade and Defense at the Forefront of the Summit

On August 25, at the summit held between the US and South Korea, the two countries decided to strengthen cooperation in trade and defense. South Korea pledged investments in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, shipbuilding, and battery production. As part of the shipbuilding plan announced by Trump under the slogan “Make America Shipbuilding Great Again (MASGA),” South Korea committed to an investment of $150 billion.

The South Korean National Assembly passed a significant law changing the governance structure of large corporations. The new regulation stipulates that audit committee members will be elected through separate votes and facilitates minority shareholders’ representation. This step aims to reduce the long-debated “Korea discount” issue in the South Korean stock market. However, the business community voiced objections, warning that the reforms could increase management conflicts.

China and North Korea Factor

Before the summit, the Seoul administration sent a message to Beijing calling for the “normalization” of economic relations. In this way, South Korea is trying to pursue a balanced foreign policy with both the US and China.
On the other hand, harsh statements from North Korea are increasing tensions in the region. Kim Yo Jong accused South Korea of being a “proxy of the US” while rejecting the possibility of dialogue between the two countries.

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Trump: Europeans Want The War to End

The President stated that European countries want to bring the Ukraine-Russia conflict to an end. “Europeans want the war to end,” Trump said, emphasizing the importance of diplomatic steps to accelerate the process.

Meetings with Putin and Zelensky

Trump revealed that direct meetings with Putin and Zelensky are being arranged. “Putin and Zelensky are getting along better than expected,” he noted, stressing that both sides need to show flexibility. He also mentioned that Zelensky should be more flexible during negotiations.

Trump: Ukraine Will not Join NATO

The President clearly stated that Ukraine will not join NATO. Regarding Ukraine’s potential territorial gains from the war, Trump said: “At least the war will end. They will also gain several regions. Already, 79% of Donbass is under Russia’s control. Ukrainians will realize this.”

Russia’s Military Strength

President acknowledged that Russia is a powerful military country and noted that Putin might not want to make a deal. These statements underline the challenges in the diplomatic process between the two nations.

Ukraine’s Geopolitical Position

Additionally, Trump highlighted that Ukraine has always been a buffer zone between Russia and Europe. This perspective emphasizes the conflict’s significance for regional and global balances.

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While Beijing initially issued strong messages of support for Iran, its tone has since grown more cautious. Direct involvement in the conflict could harm China’s strategic global interests — but a controlled crisis could also create opportunities for Beijing.

China’s Silent Advantage: Who Gets Burned if Hormuz Closes?

A potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz could affect nearly 20% of global oil flows. Ironically, this scenario may pose more of an advantage than a threat for China. Compared to the U.S. and the European Union, Beijing is better positioned to handle an energy squeeze. In fact, it continues importing Iranian oil relabeled through Malaysia, bypassing sanctions.

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Energy analysts suggest that China could weather a spike in oil prices with minimal damage, while Washington and Brussels may face heavier economic pressure.

Geopolitical Chess: China Adjusts Its Calculations

Despite signing a 25-year strategic agreement with Iran in 2021 and participating in joint military drills, China refrains from openly opposing Israel.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi described Israel’s attacks as “unacceptable” during a recent call with his Israeli counterpart, but deliberately avoided stronger language like “condemnation.” This signals Beijing’s desire to avoid taking sides too openly.

What Lies Behind China’s Quiet Diplomacy?

In a recent statement, the Chinese Foreign Ministry emphasized that “stability in the Persian Gulf and surrounding waters is in the shared interest of the international community.” Compared to previous assertive messaging, this represents a notable softening.

According to political risk consultancy Eurasia Group, China is “staying diplomatically aligned with Iran without directly condemning Israel.”

Experts suggest Beijing is trying to preserve its strategic ties with Iran while maintaining an image as a peaceful global actor. How long this balancing act can last, however, remains uncertain.

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