“Bitcoin is like gold — a scarce asset — but it’s also undergoing an adoption curve,” Back stated, despite a 30% correction from its all-time high above $109,000.

Inflation May Stay at 10–15% for a Decade

Back projected that inflation could remain at 10% to 15% for the next ten years, which he said is a level of investment return difficult to match with stocks or rental properties.

“Eventually, printed money flows into hard assets. Over time, they’ll all go up — especially scarce and physical assets like housing or Bitcoin,” he explained.

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While the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland projects a 2.18% average annual inflation over the next decade, the University of Michigan reports that consumer expectations are significantly higher — around 5% for next year and 4.1% over the next five years.

Politics, ETFs Fueling Bitcoin’s Momentum!

Beyond economics, Back highlighted how recent spot Bitcoin ETF approvals and a more crypto-friendly Trump administration are also boosting Bitcoin adoption.

“Trump’s presidency has begun removing anti-crypto regulations like Operation Chokepoint 2.0. That’s creating opportunities for retail investors,” he said.

On March 7, Trump signed an executive order to establish a Bitcoin reserve seeded with coins seized in criminal investigations — a move hailed by many as a significant step toward integrating Bitcoin into the mainstream financial system.

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European Markets Suffer Historic Losses!

On Monday morning, European stock markets plunged in panic. The German DAX index fell by as much as 10% at opening, sparking memories of the 2008 financial crisis. The UK’s FTSE 100 dropped nearly 6%, while France’s CAC 40, Italy’s FTSE MIB, and other European benchmarks followed suit with similar sharp declines.

Banking stocks were among the hardest hit. Major institutions like HSBC, Barclays, Standard Chartered, Deutsche Bank, and Commerzbank saw share prices plummet between 8% and 15%. The defense sector also took a hit, with Rolls-Royce losing 12% and Rheinmetall plunging a staggering 24%.

Asian Markets Join the Selloff!

The turbulence wasn’t confined to Europe. Asian markets also reacted sharply to Trump’s announcement. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped over 8%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index closed the day down by 13%, shocking investors across the region. Australia’s ASX 200 index slid to its lowest levels since late 2023.

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As fear swept through global markets, investors began unloading shares, especially in tech and industrial sectors across Asia.

How It Started: Trump’s Universal Tariff Shocks World Trade

President Donald Trump recently unveiled a sweeping trade move: a 10% universal tariff on all imported goods. The surprise announcement directly impacts America’s trade partners, particularly in Europe and Asia.

Trump defended the decision by stating, “Sometimes you have to take medicine to fix things. Short-term pain brings long-term gain.” But many economists believe this “medicine” may come with serious side effects for the global economy.

Fears of a Global Recession Resurface

Experts warn that such a move could slow global trade, increase inflationary pressures, and even trigger a global recession. Given the United States’ central role in the global economy, the ripple effects of such drastic measures are almost unavoidable.

Economist David Lerman commented, “There are no winners in trade wars. This decision undermines global economic confidence.”

Wall Street Awaits: All Eyes on U.S. Market Opening!

While U.S. markets were yet to open, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 futures were already in negative territory. Analysts are bracing for a sharp sell-off once Wall Street begins trading.

Investors are fleeing to safe-haven assets, with gold and bonds seeing increased demand. The overall sentiment across markets? Uncertainty and fear.

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Why Is the Dollar Gaining Strength?

There are several key factors behind the dollar’s rising dominance in global payments. Most importantly, the US Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy plays a central role. The Fed’s decision to keep interest rates high continues to attract investors to the dollar, putting pressure on the currencies of emerging markets.

Additionally, increasing geopolitical risks push global investors toward the dollar as a safe haven. The Russia-Ukraine war, uncertainty in the Middle East, and trade tensions in Asia have made the dollar even more indispensable in global transactions.

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What Will Be the Economic Consequences?

The dollar’s overwhelming dominance in global payments may create various effects on different countries:

• For emerging economies, the cost of external borrowing could increase further. Countries repaying debts denominated in dollars may face significant budget deficits.
• The US dollar’s supremacy in global trade could reduce the usage of other currencies, potentially weakening other reserve currencies like the Euro and Yen.
• For the US economy, high demand for the dollar could widen the trade deficit. However, this could also strengthen demand for US bonds and assets in the short term.

Is This the Start of a New Financial Era?

Experts argue that the dollar’s growing dominance further consolidates the dollar-centric structure of the global financial system. This development may accelerate the efforts of some countries to create alternative payment systems. In particular, BRICS countries are working on new strategies to reduce their dependence on the dollar.

Still, in the short term, a significant decrease in dollar dependency seems unlikely. On the contrary, the dollar’s dominance in global transactions may deepen even further.

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