Oil Surge Weighs on Global Markets

Oil prices in international markets climbed to around $115 per barrel, marking the highest level since June 2022. The rapid rise in energy costs weakened risk appetite across financial markets and created downward pressure on equities.

U.S. stock index futures reflected this shift in sentiment. Both Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures dropped more than 1.5%, signaling that investors were reducing exposure to riskier assets as uncertainty increased.

Interestingly, traditional safe-haven assets did not perform as expected during this period. Gold declined by about 1.6%, while silver fell roughly 1.1%. Instead of turning to precious metals, many investors appeared to favor the U.S. dollar, which strengthened as capital moved toward perceived stability.

Bitcoin Stands Out Amid Market Turbulence

While global markets experienced heightened volatility, Bitcoin moved in the opposite direction. The leading cryptocurrency gained approximately 2.8% since midnight UTC, showing a positive performance even as equities and commodities struggled.

This divergence has reignited discussions about Bitcoin’s evolving role within the broader financial system. Although the cryptocurrency has often been described as “digital gold,” many analysts believe it has not fully established itself as a direct alternative to traditional safe-haven assets.

However, market participants are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin’s practical role during periods of financial stress. In regions facing political instability or currency fluctuations, some investors are beginning to treat Bitcoin as a potential digital escape valve—a way to move capital outside of traditional financial constraints.

Derivatives Market Activity

Activity in the crypto derivatives market also reflected the broader volatility. Over the past 24 hours, nearly $400 million in crypto futures positions were liquidated. A significant portion of these liquidations was linked to positions that had bet against rising oil prices.

Meanwhile, open interest in Bitcoin futures remained relatively low, hovering around 650,000 BTC, close to weekly lows. This suggests that the latest price increase was not heavily driven by futures market participation and may have been influenced more by spot market activity.

Options Market Signals Cautious Sentiment

In the options market, the 30-day implied volatility indexes for Bitcoin and Ethereum remained relatively stable. Despite major movements in global markets, crypto volatility expectations did not spike dramatically, indicating a relatively calm outlook among derivatives traders.

At the same time, put options continue to trade at a premium compared to call options, signaling that investors are still hedging against potential downside risks. While the demand for protection remains present, the premium has not increased significantly, suggesting that the oil price surge has not triggered widespread panic in the crypto options market.

Overall, Bitcoin’s ability to hold steady and even gain ground during a period of global market stress has once again highlighted its unique position within the financial landscape.

IMF Chief Warns About Oil Prices and Rising Inflation Risks

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Coinbase’s listing roadmap is a system through which the exchange publicly announces crypto assets it is potentially considering for listing in advance. This approach aims to increase market transparency and prevent sudden price movements. While technical, legal, and security reviews continue for the assets added to the roadmap, this step does not guarantee an actual listing.

Why Is Raydium (RAY) Standing Out?

Raydium, one of the key projects in the Solana ecosystem, is known for its decentralized exchange (DEX) and automated market maker (AMM) model. Offering high transaction speeds and low fees, Raydium serves as a major liquidity hub among Solana-based projects. Its inclusion in Coinbase’s roadmap is seen as a sign of growing institutional interest in RAY.

Energy Dollar (ENERGY) stands out as a project aiming to develop stability- and energy-focused financial solutions. Elsa (ELSA) draws attention with its solutions in Web3 and digital identity, while Sport.fun (FUN) focuses on blockchain applications centered around sports and entertainment. The fact that all three projects have caught Coinbase’s attention indicates continued interest in altcoins with diverse use cases.

Statement from Coinbase

In its announcement, Coinbase emphasized that assets added to the roadmap should not be considered officially listed yet. The company stated that this process is intended to provide early information to investors and does not represent a direct listing commitment.

According to the statement, each project undergoes a detailed evaluation covering technical infrastructure, security standards, regulatory compliance, and market integrity. Coinbase stressed that only crypto assets that fully meet these criteria and comply with platform policies will be listed for spot or other trading products. Therefore, while being included in the roadmap is an important step for projects, the final decision will be made after the review process is completed.

Assessment

Coinbase’s decision to add RAY, ENERGY, ELSA, and FUN to its listing roadmap is seen as a signal of renewed momentum in the altcoin market. Such moves by major exchanges can increase a project’s visibility and boost investor interest. In the coming period, further announcements from Coinbase will be crucial in determining the future of these tokens.

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The agreement was reached after months of negotiations by Trump and high-level talks with South Korean President Lee Jae-myung. The parties aimed to reduce trade imbalances and increase mutual investments.

Trump stated, “This agreement is a historic victory for America. We will now acquire Korean goods with reasonable taxes, but in return, we have secured billions of dollars in investment and energy commitments.”

Investment and Energy Package

According to the agreement, South Korea will make an investment of 350 billion dollars in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, shipbuilding, batteries, and nuclear energy in the United States over the next five years. Additionally, the South Korean government and private companies are expected to import 100 billion dollars worth of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and other energy products from the US.

This article may also interest you: Net Inflows into Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs: How Much?

In return for these investments, the Trump administration secured duty-free access for US products in the South Korean market. This exemption is particularly notable for automobiles and agricultural products.

Following the announcement of the agreement, South Korean automotive giants Hyundai and Kia saw significant declines in their stock prices. Hyundai shares fell by 4.5% on the Seoul Stock Exchange, while Kia dropped by 6.6%. Experts pointed out that rising costs in the US market could negatively affect the competitiveness of Korean companies.

Is the “Tariff Strategy” Continuing?

Trump, in his second term, took a more aggressive approach to trade policies by imposing tariffs on many countries. In February 2025, under the “Liberation Day Tariffs,” customs duties as high as 145% were applied to products imported from China. Tariffs of 25% on South Korea were delayed, and the parties were given a negotiation period.

With the new agreement, South Korea is exempt from these high tariffs. However, trade experts note that pressure may increase on other allied countries, and similar agreements may come to the agenda.

The agreement has been generally well received by industry lobbies in the US, but some are concerned about its long-term effects. Particularly, members of the Democratic Party are uncomfortable with the Trump administration implementing the agreement without Congress’s approval.

On the other hand, concerns are rising in South Korean public opinion as well. Opposition parties argue that the large investment and energy commitments made under pressure from the US could burden the country’s economy.

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GE Vernova and NextEra Energy have also committed to collaborating with AIP to scale diverse and critical energy solutions for AI data centers. GE Vernova will contribute to supply chain planning and the delivery of innovative and high-efficiency energy solutions.

AIP, launched in September 2024, has attracted significant capital and partner interest, reflecting the growing demand for AI-ready data centers and energy solutions. The partnership initially aims to secure $30 billion in capital from investors, asset owners, and corporations, with a total investment potential of $100 billion, including debt financing.

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Bernstein’s research unit is focusing on Bitcoin miners and their data centers, which are increasingly being used for artificial intelligence (AI). The firm said it will be issuing reports to its clients on these miners, starting with IREN and Core Scientific.

“Data center operations and energy access…”

The report, signed by Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra, highlights the AI agreements and work of the two companies, stating:

“Bitcoin miners are beginning to be seen as valuable partners in terms of energy access, management, and the establishment of AI data centers. The approval process for building new energy facilities from scratch can take over 4 years. Bitcoin miners, on the other hand, can gain access to energy connections in a much shorter timeframe. This saves the market significant time.”

The analysts cited Core Scientific’s $3.5 billion deal with AI firm CoreWeave and IREN’s agreement to supply Nvidia GPUs to AI startup Poolside as the main reasons for adding the two companies to coverage.

It is worth noting that both companies were on the brink of bankruptcy in the 2022 crypto crash. Core Scientific filed for bankruptcy and underwent restructuring before resuming operations.

In addition to adding the two mining companies to coverage, Bernstein also reiterated its Bitcoin price forecasts of $200,000 by the end of 2025, $500,000 by the end of 2029, and $1 million by the end of 2033.

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The cryptocurrency industry continues to grow rapidly in recent years, but this growth brings with it environmental concerns. In the report evaluating the UN’s 2020-2021 period, the activities of 76 Bitcoin mining countries worldwide were examined.

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According to this report, with a power consumption of 173.42 terawatt-hours, Bitcoin mining emerged as a significant energy source during this period.

Especially in 2021, with a 400% increase in the price of Bitcoin, there was also approximately a 140% increase in the electricity energy that Bitcoin has spent.

During this period, Bitcoin reached its all-time high with $69,000. However, fossil energy sources fueled this growth, and these sources provided 67% of the electricity.

This report presented by the UN indicated that the industry also brought environmental responsibilities with this high energy consumption. Hydroelectric energy played a significant role, providing more than 16% of the global Bitcoin mining network.

After this report, the crypto community questioned its accuracy on carbon emissions, recalling a report that the UN had previously published in 2018.

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