Investors are divided between buying the dip and reducing positions, making it difficult for ETH to establish a clear direction in the short term.

Vitalik Buterin Sells ETH and Converts to WETH

On-chain data shows that Vitalik Buterin sold 493 ETH on February 3, worth about $1.16 million. This follows a previous 211.84 ETH sale for 500,000 USDC.

In addition, Buterin converted over 5,000 ETH into WETH. While this does not necessarily indicate immediate selling, the timing amid a market crash created additional pressure.

However, the Ethereum Foundation clarified that these transactions are not speculative. During the “mild austerity” phase, 16,384 ETH were withdrawn to fund open-source security, privacy, and verifiable technology projects. These funds will be deployed gradually over the years rather than sold immediately.

Trend Research Deposits 30,000 ETH on Binance

Further selling pressure comes from Trend Research. According to Onchain Lens, the firm deposited 30,000 ETH on Binance today, continuing a recent liquidation trend.

In the past few days, Trend Research has sold a total of 93,588 ETH for repayments and leveraged positions. Arkham data shows the fund lost about $400 million recently. To reduce liquidation risk, large ETH holdings were moved to exchanges.

Trend Research’s total ETH exposure has dropped from nearly $2 billion last month to $1.33 billion. The liquidation price range for their holdings is between $1,781 and $1,862, creating a critical market threshold.

ETH Price Retreats After Over 6% Rebound

ETH earlier saw a bounce but lost gains quickly. The price currently trades around $2,320. The 24-hour low and high are $2,158 and $2,393, respectively.

Trading volume declined by about 15% in the last 24 hours, showing that dip buying has not yet gained broad momentum. The 200-week moving average at $2,451 remains a key level for confirming any upward trend.

Institutional Buying and ETH/BTC Weakness

Not all market activity is bearish. DBS Bank accumulated 24,898 ETH in a week, buying as Ethereum dropped below $2,200. This shows institutional interest persists despite the market downturn.

ETH/BTC pair remains weak. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that failing to hold 0.032 increased bearish sentiment, with 0.026–0.03 becoming the critical range.

Derivative markets reflect similar pressure. CoinGlass reports ETH futures open interest fell nearly 1% to $28.16 billion in the last 4 hours. XRP futures on CME and Binance also saw small declines, indicating widespread risk-off behavior.

Market Outlook

Ethereum is being tested not only by technical levels but also by large players’ actions. On-chain movements create psychological barriers, while institutional buying prevents a completely one-sided scenario.

Short-term direction depends on the pace of sales and ETH’s behavior around the 200-week moving average. The market is currently seeking a new balance.

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The stagnant movement in stablecoin yields shows that the market is not overheated yet. This increases the possibility that Ethereum may regain strength in the short term and rise toward the $3,200 level.

Leverage Pressure Remains Weak!

Santiment closely monitors the lending yields (APR rates) of major stablecoins such as USDT and USDC. These rates are considered critical because they generally reflect the leverage demand in the market. Currently, yields are moving between 3.9% and 4.5%, a range historically associated with low leverage usage.

In other words, investors are definitely avoiding aggressive positions. The market has not yet entered a phase of speculative excess, and this environment is thought to signal a period where prices still carry upward potential before forming a major peak.

This article may also interest you: BlackRock Keeps the Wheel Turning With Its Bitcoin ETF Profits!

Will Ethereum Rise?

Ethereum has dropped more than 21% in the past 30 days. The selling pressure caused by the massive $19 billion liquidation wave on October 10 still hasn’t fully disappeared from the markets. In addition, U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariff plans on Chinese imports have significantly suppressed global risk appetite.

However, the picture has been changing in recent days. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a net inflow of $312.6 million. The three-week outflow trend has been broken, and institutional investor interest has returned. At the same time, technical indicators are strengthening day by day.

The analytics firm states that Ethereum was trading around $3,000 at the time of the report and that current on-chain dynamics suggest the asset may be preparing for a move toward $3,200. This indicates approximately a %7 upward potential from the current levels.

If a close below $3024 occurs, it was mentioned that Ethereum could experience an internal structural decline. Yesterday, this close happened, and the price pulled back to $3000. If it closes below $3000, a further decline toward the $2950–$2900 range appears likely. These levels seem more probable for a potential rebound.

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Resistance Broken, Trend Line Tested

After successfully reclaiming the 2,450 – 2,405 USD resistance area, ETH first met a descending trendline. From there, the price gained momentum and pushed towards the 2,550 USD level. This move confirmed the bullish setup, giving traders confidence in the previous analysis.

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Support Zone Holding, But Pressure Builds

Currently, the price remains in the support region. However, if this area fails to hold, a pullback toward 2,300 USD could occur. Such a decline would raise red flags for short-term traders looking for stability.

The 2,550 USD level now acts as the immediate resistance. A strong breakout above this zone could signal a continuation of the upward trend, positioning Ethereum for further gains.

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Ethereum price has reached $2,438, preparing to test the $2,500 level. ETH is currently trading within the $2,450 – $2,405 resistance band. Breaking through this zone could push the price toward the $2,550 level. This upward breakout, supported by technical indicators and liquidity structure, could pave the way for a strong rally.

However, if this resistance zone fails to break, the first major support lies around $2,200. This area has historically attracted strong buying interest and served as a rebound zone. Therefore, in the event of a pullback, this level will be critical for investors to monitor closely.

The liquidation map shows that the price is forming higher lows and heading toward liquidity-rich zones. Liquidity pockets above $2,500 could trigger stop orders, pushing the price higher. Market makers taking positions in these areas and short squeeze scenarios may further accelerate the uptrend. Meanwhile, the increasing trading volume since May resembles the bear market of July–August 2022, indicating renewed interest from both retail and institutional investors.

Institutional Capital Flowing Into Ethereum

On-chain data also supports bullish expectations. On Monday, investors withdrew 61,000 ETH from Binance. This move suggests a shift toward a long-term holding strategy instead of short-term trading.

According to Swissblock analysis, 90% of Bitcoin supply is in profit, while Ethereum is below 80%. This discrepancy indicates that ETH may enter a “catch-up” phase, as seen in previous cycles. The ETH/BTC ratio is near multi-year lows, suggesting Ethereum is undervalued.

In June, inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs rose by 68.4% to $950 million. In contrast, spot Bitcoin ETF inflows dropped by 49.5% to $2.64 billion. This clearly shows a capital shift from BTC to ETH, highlighting the growing institutional focus on Ethereum.

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

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Strongest Weekly Performance Since the 2024 U.S. Election

Ethereum-linked exchange-traded products (ETPs) emerged as the top performers in the crypto asset class. The $296 million inflow recorded over the past week represents the most substantial single-week capital movement into Ethereum funds since the 2024 presidential election in the United States.

Ethereum products now account for over 10.5% of the total assets under management (AUM) across all crypto-based ETPs. Furthermore, this marked the seventh consecutive week of positive inflows for ETH, suggesting that investor sentiment has seen a meaningful recovery.

ETH Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch

Market analysts forecast that Ethereum could fluctuate between $2,400 and $2,800 in the near term. While trade uncertainties and deflationary risks might restrain upward momentum, continued network upgrades and steady ETF inflows could help ETH test the $2,700 level.

However, in the case of a broader market correction, support around $2,300 may come under pressure.

Bitcoin Funds Struggle Amid Investor Caution

Although total inflows across all digital asset investment vehicles reached $286 million last week — bringing the seven-week total above $11 billion — Bitcoin products saw net outflows of $56 million. This marked the second consecutive week of capital exiting Bitcoin-related funds.

Analysts attribute this trend to investor hesitancy ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) upcoming meeting on June 18. Traders are reportedly adopting a “wait-and-see” approach until the Fed offers more clarity on its monetary policy direction.

Current data from the CME FedWatch tool shows a 99.9% probability that the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged. Still, many believe the first rate cut of 2025 could be a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s next breakout.

Crypto VC Activity Hits 2025 Low

In contrast to the strong inflows into Ethereum, crypto venture capital activity saw a steep drop. Only 62 funding rounds were completed in May, marking the lowest monthly total so far in 2025. The combined value of these rounds amounted to just $909 million, reflecting a more cautious stance among early-stage investors.

This content does not constitute investment advice. The markets involve high risk and it is important that you do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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According to Glassnode, Ethereum’s market cap of $123 billion is trading only 0-20% above cost basis. Notably, there is intense investor interest in the $2,300-$2,500 range. On the other hand, in April 2025, the average ETH gas fee dropped to $0.16, the lowest level since 2020. 

Ethereum Technical Indicators Point to Bullish Momentum 

CryptoQuant analyst Ibrahim Cosar identified a bull flag formation in Ether technical analysis, signaling an upward move after consolidation. Ether has been trading between $2,400 and $2,700 for the past three weeks, setting the stage for a potential price breakout. Cosar also emphasized that ETH is holding firmly above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The daily RSI remains below the overbought threshold, showing slight momentum loss, but still supports an upward breakout. 

The largest share of #ETH market cap – $123B – sits just 0–20% above cost basis. That cohort swelled from $2.3K to $2.5K, meaning even a modest price drop could flip a large chunk of supply into loss.
Despite recent gains, $ETH remains in a fragile position. pic.twitter.com/5Ay5Jx5Qv5

— glassnode (@glassnode) May 27, 2025

This indicator is historically associated with strong market sentiment and price increases. Furthermore, analyst “Elcryptotavo” noted that if Ethereum’s open interest surpasses Bitcoin’s, it could indicate a market peak. However, ETH has not reached that threshold yet, suggesting room for further gains. 

Additionally, activity in ETH derivatives market is drawing attention. The rise in open interest is backed by a 40% increase in trading volume, reaching $79.51 billion. The trend of investors entering long positions strengthens bullish expectations. As a result, Ethereum’s technical indicators and market dynamics point to a potential short-term breakout toward the $3,000–$3,600 levels. According to the analyst, if momentum continues, new all-time highs for ETH could be within reach. 

Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin has proposed a new structure for the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM): the use of RISC-V, a simpler and more efficient coding architecture. This change aims to make Ethereum faster, more flexible, and future-proof—enhancing usability for developers and providing a stronger long-term infrastructure. This development is also seen as a catalyst for Ethereum’s continued rise. 

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE***

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On the other hand, if Ethereum fails to hold $1,870, the downtrend could deepen. In this scenario, the next critical support lies at $1,745. A break below this level could trigger further declines, especially if broader market conditions remain bearish. Ethereum’s price action will depend on macroeconomic factors and overall sentiment in the crypto market.

Ethereum’s Key Technical Levels

The most important short-term resistance zone for Ethereum is between $1,920 – $1,960. If the price fails to break above this range, selling pressure could persist. However, a strong breakout with high trading volume could send Ethereum toward the $2,108 resistance level. This would require improved market sentiment and increased buying activity.

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On the downside, $1,870 remains a crucial support level. If it fails, Ethereum could drop toward $1,745. Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin’s price action, as a deeper decline in BTC could accelerate Ethereum’s losses. Liquidity levels and overall market trends will be key indicators for the next move.

Ethereum Searching for Direction: What Should Investors Watch?

Bitcoin’s movements remain a major driver of Ethereum’s short-term price action. If BTC starts recovering, Ethereum could follow. However, macroeconomic uncertainty and global financial conditions may create additional volatility in the crypto market.

Additionally, large investors’ buy or sell orders could significantly influence price direction. If Ethereum fails to hold its key support levels, further selling pressure could emerge. However, if the market sentiment shifts positively, Ethereum could enter a new uptrend and retest higher resistance levels.

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Bitcoin Technical Outlook and Key Levels

Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered from its bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone following its latest correction. After finding demand at this level, the price rallied towards the bearish FVG zone that had formed during the recent decline. For now, Bitcoin seems to be facing rejection from this area.

If buyers manage to reclaim this resistance, the next target will be the $86,641 resistance level. A daily close above $86,641 could open the path toward the higher bearish FVG zone, which will act as the next resistance. On the downside, the current region offers strong support. However, if this support is broken, a deeper pullback toward the $77,000 level could be expected.

Ethereum Under Pressure on the 4-Hour Chart

Ethereum (ETH) has lost the $2,037–$1,927 support zone on the 4-hour chart. Closing below this region does not suggest a positive short-term outlook. If bearish momentum persists, Ethereum could decline toward the $1,745 support level.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

On the other hand, if Ethereum recovers and reclaims the broken support, the next resistance stands at $2,108. A confirmed breakout above $2,108 may lead to a rapid move toward the $2,200–$2,300 price range.

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Maintains Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reclaimed the 61.50% resistance level after bouncing from its bullish FVG support zone. It is currently facing resistance at 62.26%, where it has shown signs of rejection in the short term.

If BTC Dominance breaks above 62.26%, there is potential for an extended rally toward the 64% level. However, should the 61.50% support fail, the previously reclaimed FVG support zone is likely to come back into play.

As Bitcoin and Ethereum trade at critical junctures, the next move is likely to determine market direction in the short term. Bitcoin Dominance remains a key indicator to watch, as further increases could continue to suppress altcoin performance. Traders are advised to monitor support and resistance zones carefully to react promptly to potential trend reversals.

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Can ETH Price Drop Even Further?

Andrew Kang, co-founder of Mechanism Capital, predicts that ETH could decline to the $2,200 – $2,400 range. According to Kang, the $2,900 – $3,000 range will act as a short-term resistance level for Ethereum.

The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions have led to high volatility in ETH and other cryptocurrencies. Donald Trump’s recent tariff policies against China have fueled market concerns, triggering massive sell-offs.

Are Whales Selling Ethereum?

With ETH’s recent decline, on-chain data suggests that large investors are reducing their ETH holdings. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, reported that wallets holding 100,000 ETH or more have been selling off significantly. Even wallets containing over 1 million ETH have also started liquidating their holdings.

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Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) continues to rise as Ethereum’s biggest competitor. With the success of platforms like Pump.fun, Solana has become a strong alternative in the DeFi and NFT ecosystems.

Critical Levels in ETH/BTC Pair

Ethereum’s performance against Bitcoin (BTC) is also causing concern among investors. Since the Merge, the ETH/BTC pair has lost around 70% of its value. Technical analysis suggests that ETH/BTC is currently testing the 0.024-0.023 BTC support level.

According to experts, if ETH fails to hold this level, it could drop to 0.020 BTC. However, a potential rebound toward the 50-week EMA level remains possible.

To regain market dominance, Ethereum must see increased blockchain activity and wider adoption.

Ethereum’s short-term trajectory remains uncertain. Whale movements, macro-economic developments, and Bitcoin’s price action will continue to play a crucial role in ETH’s future. Investors should remain cautious about a potential drop toward $2,400!

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