In the latest activity, the wallet transferred 22 ETH. Of this amount, 21 ETH went to a Coinbase-linked deposit address, while 1 ETH was sent to a new wallet. The remaining 828 ETH stayed in the original address, highlighting that most early investors continue to hold their coins untouched.

Whales Accumulate Despite Market Volatility

Santiment data shows that Ethereum whales, holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH, accumulated over 800,000 coins in the past month. Despite market swings, major holders appear to be buying dips rather than reducing their positions.

Key takeaways from whale activity include:

• Long-term holders using market volatility as a buying opportunity

• Overall whale balances steadily increasing

• Price fluctuations not affecting large holders’ strategies

• Liquidity testing done with small transfers

Weekly Chart Indicates Potential Long-Term Bullish Base

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows signs of a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Analyst Merlijn The Trader noted that the left shoulder formed after the early 2024 rally, while the head appeared during a sharp decline. The current rebound is shaping the right shoulder.

This technical formation suggests ETH may be establishing a long-term support base. Confirmation requires a clear breakout above the resistance zone, but the pattern signals that long-term investors are preparing for potential upward momentum.

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Major Wallets Increase Accumulation Activity

On-chain data reveals that several high-value addresses have been steadily adding Ethereum during the downturn. One of the most notable players is BitMine Immersion Technologies, an Ethereum-focused digital asset treasury. A newly identified wallet believed to be associated with the company recently received 9,176 ETH from Galaxy Digital’s OTC address. The inflow—valued at roughly $29.14 million—highlights ongoing institutional appetite despite market turbulence.

Well-known crypto investors have also continued to expand their long exposure to Ethereum. Taiwanese digital asset figure Jeffrey Huang, known online as “Machi Big Brother,” along with his brother “Machi Small Brother,” both increased their leveraged long positions even as prices continued to decline.

Machi Big Brother added 7,400.7 ETH on Hyperliquid, worth about $23.55 million, with a liquidation price of $3,040.6. Meanwhile, Machi Small Brother deposited 5,000 ETH—valued at $15.9 million—along with additional collateral to reduce liquidation risk, placing his liquidation level at $2,794.71.

Another whale, operating under the label “66kETHBorrow,” accumulated an additional 16,937 Ethereum. This purchase brought the investor’s total holdings to 422,175 ETH—approximately $1.34 billion—underscoring the scale of institutional and whale participation during the decline.

Diverging Behavior Among Ethereum Holders

Despite the sell-off, a substantial amount of buying occurred around the $3,130 zone. Around 2.53 million ETH were accumulated at this level, forming a strong support base as buyers stepped in aggressively.

However, not all investor groups reacted uniformly to the downturn. Long-term holders—those who have held ETH for three to ten years—have significantly increased their distribution activity. Their spending has risen to an average of more than 45,000 ETH per day based on the 90-day SMA, marking the highest level of long-term holder selling since February 2021.

As the market continues to move sharply, some seasoned investors are taking profits while institutional players and whales build positions. How these contrasting strategies will influence ETH’s next major market move remains an open question in the days ahead.

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Ethereum Emerging as the Core of Financial Infrastructure

Chalom emphasized that major financial institutions increasingly rely on Ethereum for its trust, liquidity, and security. He stated that this confidence will play a critical role in shaping the future of financial systems. “Ethereum isn’t just a network; it’s the digital backbone of global finance,” Chalom noted, suggesting that the technology is set to underpin both traditional and decentralized systems in the years ahead.

From BlackRock to Sharplink: A Career Bridging Traditional and Digital Finance

During his tenure at BlackRock, Chalom played a key role in the growth of the company’s Aladdin portfolio management platform and later led initiatives that expanded the firm’s involvement in digital assets.
He contributed to several notable projects, including BlackRock’s investment in Circle, its partnership with Securitize, and the successful launch of IBIT, the firm’s spot Bitcoin ETF.

Currently serving as Co-CEO of Sharplink, a digital asset management firm, Chalom continues to advocate for Ethereum’s role in the digital transformation of finance.

Ethereum as a Productive Asset

According to Chalom, Ethereum represents more than a decentralized network—it’s a yield-generating asset. With its staking mechanism offering around 3% annual returns, he views ETH as a productive component within the financial ecosystem.

Sharplink reportedly holds over $3 billion worth of Ether in its portfolio, with plans to stake a significant portion of those holdings to generate additional income.

“Soon We Won’t Say DeFi or TradFi — Just Finance”

Looking ahead, Chalom predicts that the distinction between decentralized (DeFi) and traditional finance (TradFi) will gradually fade. “Over time, these labels will disappear. We’ll simply call it finance — and Ethereum will be the infrastructure behind it,” he said.

Chalom’s perspective highlights a growing consensus in the industry: Ethereum is not just a cryptocurrency but a cornerstone of the next generation of global financial innovation.

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Market Analysis: Speculation Takes the Lead

According to CryptoQuant, ETH Binance volume has increased 2–3 times compared to previous cycles. This growth is pushing investors toward short-term positions, bringing speculation to the forefront. Other major centralized exchanges show similar trends, but Binance maintains its leadership in ETH derivatives and high-frequency trading.

Open interest is reinforcing this trend. As of August 2025, ETH open interest on Binance reached $12.5 billion, compared to just $2.5 billion in 2021. This dramatic rise indicates that speculative positioning has expanded on a scale far greater than in previous periods.

CryptoQuant noted, “Spot trading has decreased while speculation has increased, making the market more fragile and volatile.”

Key Resistance and Support Levels

Ethereum failed to break the critical $3,700 resistance and remains weak. Although it bounced from the intraday support on Saturday, it could not form a new high. If ETH fails to close above $3,650 on the daily chart, the risk of a pullback strengthens, potentially dropping the price to $3,270. A rebound is likely once it reaches this level.

Analysts are closely monitoring ETH support and resistance levels to provide investors with critical insights into the market’s direction.

Behavioral and Data Analysis

Record trading volumes on Binance reveal investor behavior clearly. Short-term speculative positioning increases volatility and makes market movements harder to predict. Overall, current trends are supported by Ethereum price analysis and ETH Binance volume data, making sudden price swings more probable.

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Ethereum Battles Within a Descending Channel

According to the report, Ethereum is still trading within a descending trend channel, attempting to hold support around the $3,727 level. This zone has been tested multiple times in recent weeks, showing signs of buying interest and short-term consolidation.

Analysts at MakroVision emphasize that the $3,600 region is crucial for Ethereum’s short-term outlook. This price area coincides with the lower boundary of the channel and serves as a psychologically important threshold for traders and investors alike.

Potential Scenarios: Downside and Upside Paths

If Ethereum fails to defend the $3,600 support level, analysts warn of a possible decline toward the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone, located near $3,174. Such a move could trigger stronger selling pressure and push ETH into a deeper corrective phase.

On the other hand, a bullish breakout above $4,290 could signal a renewed upward trend. The report suggests that surpassing this level might pave the way for targets around $4,780 and beyond, potentially reigniting positive sentiment across the market.

Key Zone to Watch: $3,600

The report concludes with a notable statement:

“Ethereum continues to consolidate above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. The $3,600 area stands out as the critical level that will determine whether the market enters a deeper correction or forms a sustainable bottom.”

This observation underscores that the coming days could be pivotal for Ethereum’s market structure. If the $3,600 region holds firm, ETH could attract renewed buying interest and potentially resume its upward trajectory. However, a breakdown below this level may signal the start of another correction wave.

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Ethereum Poised for a “Supercycle”

In his latest remarks, Lee stated that Ethereum is on the verge of entering a major “supercycle” — a long-term and powerful upward trend that could reshape market dynamics.

According to Lee, Ethereum’s fundamentals remain robust, and the recent volatility seen across the crypto market should not distract investors from the bigger picture. He described ETH’s current price levels as a “strategic entry point” before the next major rally begins.

BitMine Accelerates ETH Accumulation During Market Dip

Lee highlighted that the crypto market experienced a significant deleveraging event earlier this month, leading to short-term panic among traders. However, he viewed this downturn as an ideal buying window.

Data from Arkham Intelligence revealed that BitMine increased its Ethereum holdings by purchasing approximately $250 million worth of ETH from Bitgo and Kraken earlier this week.

Explaining this move, Lee said:

“Ethereum’s open positions are currently similar to levels seen on June 30, when ETH was trading around $2,500. Given the upcoming supercycle potential, the current setup presents an attractive risk-reward profile.”

Short-Term Target: $5,000, Long-Term Outlook: $10,000

Lee believes Ethereum could reach $5,000 in the short term if it successfully breaks above the 0.087 BTC resistance level. He emphasized that such a move could strengthen market sentiment and spark a renewed wave of institutional demand.

Moreover, Lee reaffirmed his long-term target of $10,000 for ETH, echoing recent statements made alongside BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes. Both analysts expect Ethereum to outperform most digital assets during the next market uptrend.

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Ethereum Enters a New Phase of Price Discovery

In late August, Ethereum surged past $4,900, setting a new all-time high (ATH) and surpassing its 2021 record. However, this rally was followed by significant pullbacks, particularly at the end of September and again last Friday. Despite these corrections, both Lee and Hayes remain confident that Ethereum’s long-term bullish outlook is intact.

During an appearance on the Bankless podcast, Tom Lee dismissed claims that the recent rally was a speculative bubble. Instead, he described it as part of a healthy price discovery process for the asset:

“Our year-end price target for Ethereum remains between $10,000 and $12,000. What we’re seeing isn’t a bubble — it’s a search for a new equilibrium in the market.”

Long-Term Confidence from Market Veterans

Lee emphasized that Ethereum has traded sideways for roughly four years since 2021 and recently broke above that long-standing range. According to him, this breakout marks the beginning of a sustainable uptrend rather than a short-term frenzy.

Arthur Hayes echoed this view, reaffirming his $10,000 price target for Ethereum by the end of the year and highlighting the project’s solid fundamentals and expanding ecosystem as key growth drivers.

Current Market Outlook

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading near $4,100, meaning a move to $10,000 would represent an impressive 143% increase. While such a rally would require favorable market conditions, analysts argue that Ethereum’s growing adoption, network upgrades, and institutional interest make this ambitious target well within reach.

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Ethereum Price Target Raised

In its latest report, Citigroup revised its outlook for Ethereum upwards. The bank increased its year-end target from $4,300 to $4,500, citing robust demand driven by ETFs and digital asset treasuries.

According to Citi, Ethereum could replicate Bitcoin’s earlier success in drawing institutional interest through ETF products and treasury strategies, potentially fueling stronger market momentum.

Bitcoin Forecast Revised Lower

On the other hand, Citigroup took a more cautious stance on Bitcoin. The bank adjusted its year-end price target for BTC down from $135,000 to $133,000.

The revision was linked to several macroeconomic pressures, including a stronger U.S. dollar and declining gold prices, both of which have traditionally acted as safe-haven assets. Citi suggested that these factors could create headwinds for Bitcoin in the short term.

Fed Rate Cuts Still Expected

The report also addressed potential implications of the U.S. government shutdown, noting that it could delay the release of key economic data. However, Citigroup maintained its expectation that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates throughout the remainder of the year.

Citi economists forecast 25 basis point cuts in both October and December, aligning with signals from the Fed’s dot plot projections.

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Ethereum Faces a Pullback After New Highs

Following its rally, Ethereum retraced to around $4,200 amid selling pressure. Well-known crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggested that this correction may be setting the stage for a significant breakout in ETH’s price action.

Bollinger Bands Signal Potential Major Move

According to Martinez’s analysis shared on X, Ethereum’s Bollinger Bands have narrowed sharply, signaling a move into a “squeeze zone.”

In technical terms, a squeeze reflects declining volatility, often preceding a strong directional move. While such setups can break either way, Martinez emphasized that heavy institutional accumulation makes an upside breakout more likely.

Institutions Step Up ETH Accumulation

On-chain data supports this bullish narrative. Blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain reported that in the past 24 hours, four newly created wallets withdrew 78,229 ETH—valued at roughly $342 million—from the crypto exchange Kraken.

Such large-scale withdrawals are widely interpreted as institutional buying, underscoring rising confidence in Ethereum’s long-term outlook.

Trend Research Returns to the Market

Another noteworthy development came from Trend Research, which has resumed buying ETH after previously selling at lower levels.

• Just two months ago, the firm sold 79,470 ETH (worth about $250 million) at an average price of $3,145.

• Recently, it acquired 9,377 ETH (around $41.37 million) from Binance.

Blockchain data reveals that Trend Research first borrowed 88 million USDT from Aave, deposited it into Binance, purchased ETH, and then moved the assets into its own wallets.

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Bitcoin Options Reach $11.47 Billion 

Bitcoin options total $11.47 billion in nominal value. Open interest stands at 102,598 contracts. The Put-to-Call ratio is 0.78, showing a cautiously optimistic outlook. The maximum pain point is positioned at $115,000, where option holders would face the largest financial losses. 

Meanwhile, Nvidia’s recent earnings report adds uncertainty to the market. Traders are debating whether Bitcoin will mirror stock market movements or maintain an independent trajectory. 

Ethereum Options Total $3.13 Billion 

On the Ethereum side, expiring options carry a nominal value of $3.13 billion. Total open interest is recorded at 697,419 contracts. The Put-to-Call ratio sits at 0.77, highlighting a dominance of call options. This signals that investors lean more toward a bullish outlook. 

Ethereum’s maximum pain level is set at $3,800, representing the price where most investors would experience maximum losses. Deribit data points to cautious optimism, but analysts highlight relative weakness in Ethereum compared to Bitcoin. 

At the same time, Nvidia remains central to market discussions. Data from Greeks.live shows low implied volatility for BTC, with traders split over the expected direction. Notably, a similar impact was observed after Nvidia’s earnings release in February 2024. 

In the end, both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are expected to move toward their respective maximum pain levels. This alignment will likely drive heightened market volatility throughout the day. 

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