Record High in Stablecoin Reserves 

Exchange-based stablecoin holdings on Ethereum and Tron networks recently surpassed $70 billion. The previous all-time high, set during the 2021 bull run, was around $60 billion. After moving sideways for most of the year, reserves began climbing sharply in August. On September 2, they briefly crossed $70 billion before stabilizing near $68.3 billion. 

According to CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain, this rise reflects massive potential buying power on exchanges. After bottoming at $32 billion in late 2023, stablecoin reserves have more than doubled within a year. 

Impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices 

During the same period, Bitcoin jumped from $35,000 to over 3.3 times that level. Meanwhile, Ethereum rose 2.5 times from $1,890. Analysts highlight the strong correlation between stablecoin inflows and crypto prices, suggesting further upward momentum. 

USDT vs USDC Breakdown 

Tether (USDT) dominates with about $53 billion in exchange reserves, representing 77% of the total. However, USD Coin (USDC) has shown explosive growth. 

USDC balances doubled within a month, soaring from $6.8 billion on August 1 to $14 billion. In contrast, USDT rose only slightly, from $52.6 billion to $53.1 billion. This trend indicates investors are increasingly favoring USDC as a driver of market activity. 

Bullish Signal for the Crypto Market 

CryptoOnchain describes the surge in stablecoin deposits as “a very strong bullish signal.” With billions in dry powder ready to flow into Bitcoin and altcoins, analysts suggest that a new rally may be on the horizon. 

• Stablecoin reserves hit $70 billion. 
• USDT holds 77% of the total supply. 
• USDC doubled within one month. 
• Bitcoin and Ethereum prices show strong correlation. 

For crypto investors, these metrics indicate that markets could be gearing up for the next major move. 

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A Jump Triggered by Whale Activity

A high-volume purchase on August 9 had an immediate impact on price. A single whale wallet bought approximately 5 million dollars’ worth of PEPE, pushing the price up by 9.5 percent in one day to 0,0000123 dollars.

You may also find this article interesting: Two Lenses on Crypto This Week | Caution and Hope

Ethereum’s Strength Flows Into PEPE

Another factor behind the rise was the strong performance on the Ethereum front. Thanks to institutional interest and growing demand, ETH climbed back above the 4,000-dollar level after eight months. This activity in Ethereum positively reflected on memecoins in its ecosystem, supporting PEPE’s momentum.

The picture is also striking in the derivatives market. Futures data shows open interest reached 720 million dollars, hitting the highest level of August. The continuation of positive funding rates indicates that investors believe prices could move higher in the near term.

The technical outlook supports this advance. The rising trendline maintained since March remains intact. Price continues to hold above the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-day moving average. Among analysts’ short-term targets is the 0,000014-dollar level, and if this threshold is surpassed, the year-to-date high of 0,00001625 dollars is likely to be retested.

Given the inherently high volatility of memecoins, investors should act with caution. Even so, the current data set points to a landscape where whale interest persists, the technical trend remains unbroken, and the market tailwind generated by Ethereum creates a positive near-term backdrop for PEPE.

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Ethereum’s surge past the $4,000 mark has significantly impacted Bitcoin’s dominance, which has fallen to 59.1%. According to CoinMarketCap, Ethereum’s market share has risen to 13%, while altcoins combined now hold 28% of the total market. A month ago, Bitcoin’s share stood at 63.9%, Ethereum at 9.7%, and other cryptocurrencies at 26.4%. 

Schiff stated that if forced to choose between the two, he would pick Bitcoin, while clarifying that he has no personal interest in owning either asset. 

Ethereum and Altcoins Gain Ground as BTC Weakens 

Market data shows Bitcoin dominance has dropped by 4.91 percentage points in the last month, while Ethereum gained 3.34 points. Altcoins collectively rose by 1.57 points in the same period, signaling a capital rotation from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies. 

Bitcoin’s highest dominance level in 2025 was 65.1% on June 27, while its lowest in the past year was 53.9% in December 2024. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading near the upper range of its yearly performance. 

Ethereum’s bullish momentum has been fueled by increased whale transactions and heightened derivatives market activity. Rising trading volumes and open interest have reinforced short-term price strength, enabling ETH to outperform BTC in recent days. 

Despite this shift, Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and the preferred choice among institutional investors. Strong demand from spot BTC ETFs and corporate treasuries continues to support its position at prices above $100,000. 

In conclusion, while Ethereum and altcoins are gaining market share, Bitcoin still holds the lead. The next moves in dominance will likely depend on macroeconomic factors, institutional participation, and whether Ethereum can sustain its current rally. 

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Investors have once again focused on the possibility of a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This development boosted interest in digital assets. Ethereum showed a strong recovery, climbing above the $2,590 level, while Dogecoin reached $0.171, regaining the ground it had lost over the past month. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin traded at $109,200, recording a gain of over 3% on the day. It is now just 2% away from its all-time high of $111,814. 

Altcoin Rally Triggered by Ethereum and Dogecoin Surge 

The rise in the altcoin market wasn’t limited to prices alone. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, noted that investor interest is shifting towards Ethereum and other altcoins. According to Pandl, recently approved crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) have facilitated institutional capital flowing into the altcoin market. 

Increasing regulatory clarity and interest from traditional financial institutions are boosting confidence in crypto. Pandl stated that many tokens could see new highs in the second half of the year. 

Meanwhile, Ripple has applied for a national banking license with the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). The move is seen as an effort to expand crypto payment systems within a legal framework. 

Fed Rate Cut Expectations Revive Crypto Momentum 

Investors remain focused on potential moves from the central bank. Recent dovish remarks have raised hopes that the Fed may opt for rate cuts. This expectation has positively impacted not only crypto but also the stock markets. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes closed the day with slight gains. 

However, global economic uncertainties persist. While the new trade agreement signed by U.S. President Trump with Vietnam was positively received, no progress was made in negotiations with China. Additionally, geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine continue to dominate headlines. 

Meanwhile, inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs declined on Tuesday. The 15-day streak of positive inflows came to a halt, which analysts interpret as profit-taking. 

Joe DiPasquale, CEO of BitBull Capital, linked the rally to positive market sentiment. “Crypto typically gains strength through uncertainty and liquidity,” said DiPasquale, emphasizing that traders are ignoring macro risks and focusing on the possibility of looser monetary policy. 

In conclusion, investors continue to highlight the upward potential in the crypto market. 

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Joao Wedson, Founder and CEO of Alphractal, highlighted three key metrics in a post on the X platform: the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Oscillator, the Long-Term Stablecoin Ratio Channel, and the Short-Term Stablecoin Ratio Channel. None of these indicators are currently signaling overbought conditions, providing a favorable market outlook for investors. 

What Do Stablecoin Metrics Mean for Bitcoin? 

Stablecoin data is becoming increasingly popular for measuring market movements. The SSR Oscillator evaluates Bitcoin’s market cap relative to stablecoin liquidity. This indicator uses the 200-day moving average and standard deviation to signal when Bitcoin is undervalued or when the market is overheated. According to Alphractal, the SSR Oscillator has yet to issue a sell signal. 

3 Stablecoin Metrics That Indicate: The Bitcoin Cycle Isn’t Over!
In the cryptocurrency universe, finding reliable signals is like striking gold. At Alphractal, we’ve developed powerful oscillators that correlate Bitcoin with stablecoins, generating alpha signals that few in… pic.twitter.com/9kRPjE2V5H

— Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) June 29, 2025

The Stablecoin Ratio Channel offers two perspectives: the long-term view helps investors assess whether Bitcoin is fairly valued, supporting strategic decision-making. Meanwhile, the short-term view offers momentum-based signals through oscillation frequency, benefiting traders who operate on daily or weekly timeframes. 

Wedson’s charts show multiple “buy” signals since the start of 2025, reinforcing investor optimism. Ethereum’s 37.04% increase over the same period further supports this positive outlook. 

Regulatory Risks and the $2 Trillion Stablecoin Market 

Despite the strong performances of Bitcoin and Ethereum, certain risks remain. Notably, regulations from major economies like the U.S. and the European Union targeting the stablecoin market could impact the broader crypto space. 

However, low interest rates continue to support a favorable investment environment. The U.S. Treasury projects that the stablecoin market could soon reach a valuation of $2 trillion—highlighting its vast potential. 

Both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have shown strength in Q2 2025. As stablecoin metrics continue to emit bullish signals, investor attention is increasingly turning toward this sector. 

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Technical indicators suggest a critical phase is underway for investors. The reaction from the previously marked support zone is giving rise to renewed optimism.

Strong Rebound From Support Zone

As noted in previous analyses, the 2,394$ – 2,265$ support band proved effective. Ethereum bounced back from this level and climbed up to the bearish FVG resistance area. This movement hints at a resurgence of short-term confidence in the market.

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Is The 3,000$ Level Back In Sight?

The key level for continuation lies in the current resistance area. If this region is broken with solid momentum and sustained price action, Ethereum could revisit the 3,000$ target. However, as of now, there’s no clear hold above this resistance, which warrants caution among traders.

In such moments, patience and strategic positioning become crucial. Whether this resistance breaks or holds will likely determine the price direction in the coming days.

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