Ethereum volatility Archives - Coin Engineer

Polymarket Brings Volatility Trading to Crypto

Yeliz Akmaca — Tue, 27 Jan 2026 13:00:41 +0000

Volatility, not price direction, is becoming the focus of a new wave of crypto trading. Polymarket has listed prediction contracts tied to 30-day volatility indices for Bitcoin and Ether, developed by Volmex. The products allow traders to speculate on how intense market swings could become, rather than whether prices will rise or fall.

Two contracts — “What level will the Bitcoin Volatility Index reach in 2026?” and “What level will the Ethereum Volatility Index reach in 2026?” — went live on Monday at 4:13 p.m. ET. Both are settled based on Volmex’s 30-day volatility benchmarks, which reflect how much price movement the market expects over the coming month.

Volatility Becomes the Trade

The contracts pay out if the volatility index reaches or exceeds a preset threshold at any point before Dec. 31, 2026. Even a one-minute spike is enough. A “Yes” position reflects expectations of turbulence. A “No” position implies relative stability. In both cases, traders are pricing the magnitude of future moves, not their direction.

This structure lowers the barrier to volatility trading. Traditionally, exposure to volatility required complex options strategies or institutional-grade derivatives. Polymarket’s format compresses that complexity into a single, binary outcome.

What Early Pricing Signals

Early trading suggests the market is preparing for sharper moves ahead. Initial pricing implies roughly a 35% probability that Bitcoin’s volatility could rise from around 40% to 80%. For Ether, traders are assigning a similar likelihood to volatility jumping from near 50% to as high as 90%.

These levels point to expectations of sustained instability rather than short-lived spikes. The signal is not optimism or pessimism on price, but tension beneath the surface.

That matters because, since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, the relationship between volatility and spot price has increasingly turned negative. In practice, rising volatility has more often coincided with downside pressure than rallies.

By focusing on volatility itself, Polymarket new contracts give traders a direct way to express that risk. Until the end of 2026, the intensity of market swings is no longer just a backdrop — it is the trade.

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Ethereum Breaks Critical Resistance: Is the $4,083 Target Coming?

Yeliz Akmaca — Mon, 28 Jul 2025 09:00:43 +0000

On the Ethereum side, as I previously highlighted in my analyses, the resistance zone between $3,805 and $3,747 has been broken, after which the price made a rapid jump to around $3,900. This move indicates that buyers are gaining strength and the market is sending positive signals.

However, a highly volatile week lies ahead. Therefore, making small profit realizations around these levels might be wise. The market is open to sharp movements both upwards and downwards in the short term. Additionally, the possibility of the price retesting this broken resistance from below—a “re-test”—is still on the table. Such a move could also create a new buying opportunity.

The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision, to be announced on Wednesday, will be decisive for the market. If, contrary to expectations, a rate cut occurs, I expect Ethereum’s price to rise up to $4,083. Staying above this level could provide a strong upward momentum in the short and medium term.

Moreover, according to CoinMarketCap data, Ethereum’s 24-hour trading volume stands at approximately $39.25 billion. This increase shows growing investor interest and stronger market liquidity. Especially the growth of BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF to $10 billion and SharpLink Gaming’s purchase of 77,210 ETH are developments that boost institutional investors’ interest in Ethereum.

Of course, due to the high volatility during this process, it is important to act cautiously. However, the overall outlook suggests new buying opportunities are on the horizon for Ethereum. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $3,895.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

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Ethereum Whales Return: $7M+ ETH Sold After Years of Silence

Yeliz Akmaca — Tue, 17 Jun 2025 13:31:54 +0000

Two Ethereum whales who had been inactive for a long time have re-entered the market, selling ETH worth over $7 million.

ICO Whale Sells ETH After 10 Years

The first whale showed no movement for about two years. However, in the past hours, they made a test transfer of 1 ETH and then moved 500 ETH (approximately $1.29 million) out of the wallet for sale. This ETH OG (original gangster), who holds ETH since 2014, had previously sold a total of 4,786 ETH in two separate transactions in 2023, with the total sale value reaching $7.15 million.

An #Ethereum OG sold another 501 $ETH($1.29M) an hour ago after being dormant for 2 years and still holds 8,052 $ETH($20.43M).https://t.co/5kekTXIaZC pic.twitter.com/4PLBTbkS7h

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) June 17, 2025

The second major move is even more striking. An investor who participated in Ethereum’s initial coin offering (ICO) in 2014 awakened after nearly 10 years and transferred all their holdings. This investor sent a total of 2,000 ETH (about $5.13 million) to Binance a few days ago.

Ethereum’s volatility this week is also notable. ETH rose by 6.65% on Sunday but lost over 5% on Monday. At the time of writing, ETH is trading around $2,580.

June 16 Update:

10 #Bitcoin ETFs
NetFlow: +2,864 $BTC(+$305.87M)#iShares(Blackrock) inflows 2,272 $BTC($242.6M) and currently holds 671,795 $BTC($71.74B).

9 #Ethereum ETFs
NetFlow: -3,748 $ETH($9.84M) #Fidelity outflows 3,496 $ETH($9.18M) and currently holds 465,263… pic.twitter.com/f5PH5lbyXB

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) June 16, 2025

Additionally, significant outflows were recorded from spot Ethereum ETFs. On June 16, there was a net outflow of $10 million. Fidelity Ethereum Fund experienced the largest withdrawal, removing 3,496 ETH. Invesco Galaxy withdrew 172 ETH, Grayscale Ethereum Trust 78 ETH, and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust only 2 ETH.

There are currently 6,392 wallets holding between 1K and 100K Ethereum. Over the past month alone, these key whale and shark wallets have rapidly added more coins as retail traders have taken profit.

During these past 30 days, a net of +1.49M more $ETH has been accumulated by… pic.twitter.com/1hPBTuAOrL

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) June 13, 2025

Although daily outflow data was negative, the weekly net flow was quite positive. Over the past week, a total of 191,057 ETH entered ETFs. This shows long-term investors’ confidence in ETH. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $2,566. According to analysis platform Santiment, large investors holding between 1,000 and 100,000 ETH wallets accumulated a net 1.49 million ETH in the last 30 days. These purchases increased their holdings by 3.72%. Santiment data shows these investors currently hold 26.98% of Ethereum’s total supply, which has significant potential to influence Ethereum’s price movements.

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North Korea Confirms $42 Million Ethereum Theft from Upbit Exchange

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Thu, 21 Nov 2024 10:30:24 +0000

The South Korean government has officially confirmed that North Korea stole $42 million worth of Ethereum from the Upbit exchange. The stolen amount is reportedly part of North Korea’s illegal cybercrime strategy to fund its activities. South Korean authorities announced that stricter cybersecurity and regulatory measures will be implemented in response to the breach.

Impact on the Crypto Market

Erosion of Trust in Centralized Exchanges: This incident could increase concerns about the security of centralized exchanges, leading users to shift towards decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms.
Increased Regulation: Governments may feel a growing need to impose stricter regulations on the cryptocurrency market to prevent similar breaches.
Ethereum Volatility: The theft of a large amount of Ethereum may trigger short-term price fluctuations in the market.
North Korea’s Cyberattacks: This highlights the need for more advanced security protocols in the crypto industry to protect against sophisticated cyberattacks.

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