Why Gold and Silver Are Rising

Platinum and palladium also climbed, testing three-week peaks, with platinum reaching $2,244.85 per ounce and palladium $1,811.37 per ounce. These gains reflect both trade uncertainty and geopolitical risks.

The US has temporarily imposed a 10% global import tariff, with plans to raise it to 15% according to White House officials. The Supreme Court had previously struck down parts of former President Donald Trump’s measures, creating confusion over tariff policy. Investors have turned to gold in Asian markets to hedge this uncertainty.

Gold had reached its highest three-week level earlier in the day, but profit-taking pushed it down, closing the previous session more than 1% lower. Analysts note that gold’s upward potential remains as long as US fiscal and trade policy uncertainty persists. Analyst Rodda said, “The potential for further gains in gold remains high, especially if US fiscal and foreign policy actions continue.”

Two US Federal Reserve officials said there are no short-term plans to change monetary policy. According to CME FedWatch, the market currently expects three 25-basis-point rate cuts this year.

Geopolitical Developments Driving Metal Prices

Geopolitical developments are also affecting metals. President Trump’s Tuesday remarks outlining potential action against Iran and preventing nuclear weapons created market volatility. Sources close to the talks indicate Iran is nearing an agreement to purchase anti-ship missiles from China. Iran and the US will hold the third round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday.

Metal Futures – Spot and Futures (February 25, 2026)

• Palladium: $1,837, +19.3 (+1.06%), volume: 608

• Gold: $5,213.5, +37.2 (+0.72%), volume: 25,101

• Platinum: $2,282.9, +95.6 (+4.37%), volume: 4,974

• Silver: $90.47, +2.964 (+3.39%), volume: 7,174

• Copper: $5.963, +0.033 (+0.55%), volume: 2,120

Spot silver rose to $89.92 per ounce, a three-week high, following Monday’s two-week peak. Platinum and palladium showed similar momentum.

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Regulatory Clarity Accelerated Volume While Increasing Pressure

The acceleration in activity followed regulatory developments in the United States and Europe. The GENIUS Act in the U.S. and the EU’s MiCA framework reduced legal uncertainty for institutional participants. As decision cycles shortened, Ethereum became a more frequent choice for cross-border liquidity management. At the same time, rising usage intensified network congestion. Scalability limits and transaction costs are back at the center of the debate.

Ethereum Leads the Market as Competition Tightens

Ethereum maintains a 57% share of the stablecoin market. Roughly 60% of Tether’s USDT supply remains hosted on the network, reinforcing its dominant position. Tron follows with a 27% share, supported by lower transfer costs. This competitive pressure is expected to grow. In 2026, several European banks are preparing euro-denominated stablecoin initiatives that could challenge existing balances.

Where the Stablecoin Activity Is Actually Taking Place

The $8 trillion figure does not reflect activity on Ethereum’s mainnet alone. A growing portion of stablecoin transfers now occurs on Layer-2 networks such as Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. This shift suggests that the mainnet increasingly serves as a settlement and finality layer rather than a venue for high-frequency transactions.

In this structure, Ethereum functions as the system’s financial endpoint. While this supports gas revenues and validator incentives, it also makes long-term sustainability more dependent on the performance of the Layer-2 ecosystem.

Network Activity Hits Records as Resilience Is Tested

By the end of December, monthly active addresses reached 10.4 million, while daily transactions climbed to 2.23 million. The data indicates that network growth is driven by operational and institutional usage rather than speculation alone. Even so, how Ethereum manages this intensity over time remains unclear. Technical capacity and cost efficiency are set to remain critical themes throughout 2026.

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Bitcoin’s rebound from a recent low of $80,000 to above $85,000 over the weekend reflects renewed investor confidence. Trading volumes jumped nearly 50%, signaling increased market activity. Analysts attribute part of this surge to returning institutional participation. US spot ETFs saw inflows of about $238 million, helping to restore market confidence. Weekend trading typically drops by up to 25%, which can exaggerate price movements.

Investor sentiment also benefited from expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Markets are currently pricing in a 67% probability of a December reduction, boosting optimism. Additionally, BlackRock’s proposed staked Ethereum ETF, with an estimated 3–4% yield, further fueled market confidence.

US Economic Reports Could Drive Volatility

Investors are closely watching three key US reports this week: the Producer Price Index (PPI), weekly jobless claims, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE.

The PPI, scheduled for release on Tuesday, November 25, will reveal wholesale price trends. A higher-than-expected PPI could reduce rate-cut expectations, while softer data might support policy easing early next year.

Weekly jobless claims, due on Wednesday, November 26, could also influence market sentiment. Higher-than-expected unemployment claims typically reinforce the case for sooner rate cuts. Last week’s US job report exceeded projections, driving Bitcoin gains.

The PCE inflation report will likely be the key short-term market driver. By reflecting real consumer behavior, any upside surprise could trigger immediate volatility across Bitcoin and major altcoins.

Analysts Split on Market Sustainability

Analyst Oleg Kalmanovich notes that US retail sales and PCE data will determine if the recovery continues. Weak data could strengthen the case for a December rate cut, while stronger numbers may apply pressure on the market into early 2026.

CryptoQuant highlights that short-term holders have largely capitulated, suggesting a potential near-term bounce. However, losing the $80,000 support level could trigger a prolonged correction.

According to QCP Asia, BTC is showing early recovery signs after a brutal 30% drop. Dovish Fed comments have pushed December rate-cut expectations to 75%. Derivatives positioning indicates traders are still betting on upside, with year-end call open interest outweighing puts. Negative funding rates also suggest long leverage has been flushed, reducing downside risk.

This week is pivotal for the crypto market. PPI, jobless claims, and PCE data, combined with positive ETF flows, could determine whether Bitcoin’s rebound above $87K is sustainable.

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