Mark Connors emphasizes that Bitcoin is still “too young” in terms of institutional trust. Gold, on the other hand, benefits from centuries of established infrastructure and commercial use, making it a safe haven for investors. According to Connors, Bitcoin’s recent decline is linked not to market sentiment, but to global liquidity constraints. In particular, delays in U.S. Treasury spending have reduced liquidity, making riskier assets more sensitive. Are you wondering whether gold or Bitcoin outperformed this year? Keep reading to find out.

Institutional Investors Favor Gold

Following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, many analysts expected a rapid and sustainable rise in Bitcoin. However, after nearly two years, the picture has changed: gold quietly outperformed Bitcoin. Connors explains the main reason as infrastructure and historical trust. Gold, already held in central bank accounts and widely used in trade, remains familiar and reliable for investors.

“Major buyers are still opting for gold. Bitcoin is not yet fully accessible to these institutions,” Connors notes. BRICS nations are also accelerating their gold accumulation, and in some cases, even conducting oil trades using gold. Bitcoin’s limited adoption in international payments means gold continues to dominate as a reserve and trade asset.

Bitcoin’s Decline Linked to Liquidity

Since its July peak, Bitcoin has lost more than 30%, while gold steadily rose, surpassing $4,100 per ounce. Connors attributes Bitcoin’s decline not to sentiment but to liquidity constraints caused by U.S. fiscal policies.

“When the U.S. Treasury slows spending, there is less money in the system. Bitcoin, especially with leverage in Asia, is highly sensitive to these liquidity shifts,” Connors explains. Temporary balance sheet changes and spending delays have hit riskier assets like Bitcoin harder than traditional markets.

The Future of Bitcoin: Can It Replace Gold?

Connors believes gold’s superiority over Bitcoin could persist in the long term, though he notes that this underperformance may not be permanent. If U.S. Treasury spending resumes at scale, liquidity could return to markets, benefiting Bitcoin. He also expects Bitcoin’s appeal to increase as trust in fiat currencies weakens, especially in emerging markets.

Still, institutional investors do not flip a coin between gold and Bitcoin. “Gold fits their objectives; Bitcoin hasn’t yet,” Connors says. This divergence indicates that the journey toward Bitcoin becoming a global reserve asset is slower than many anticipated. The issue isn’t technology—it’s the time needed to build trust and habits.

Ultimately, in 2025, gold demonstrates strong performance against Bitcoin due to liquidity, trade, and institutional trust factors. While Bitcoin continues to grow, gold remains a crucial safe-haven asset for investors.

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IBIT Breaks Records in Just 341 Days!

Since its launch, IBIT has been flooded with intense demand from institutional investors. BlackRock’s ETF reached a size of 70 billion dollars in just 341 days, making it one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history. According to current data, IBIT’s net assets are now hovering around 70.7 billion dollars.

This growth is not seen merely as a result of Bitcoin’s price movements. At the same time, it clearly shows the rising interest of banks, funds, family offices, and institutional investors in BTC.

You may also be interested in this article: The Altcoins with the Highest Buybacks in the Last 30 Days!

Bitcoin ETF Becomes the Company’s Largest Revenue Source!

São Paulo hosted a Blockchain Conference where Brazil’s Business Development Director Cristiano Castro made the following statement:

We must acknowledge that Bitcoin ETFs have become the top revenue generator within the company. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF allocations are approaching 100 billion dollars. Even for a giant managing a total of 13.4 trillion dollars, this is an unexpected surprise. “We were optimistic during the launch, but we did not expect to reach this scale,” he added.

BlackRock Holds Over 3% of the Total Bitcoin Supply

IBIT — BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF — has grown unexpectedly fast thanks to the company’s global distribution power and the strong confidence of institutional investors. The fund currently holds more than 3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Additionally, its support from international ETPs and other BTC-linked BlackRock products makes it stand out even more.

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We will keep the stock market at an all-time high.

With this promise, he once again gives hope to those already in the market or considering entering, possibly triggering another upward move. However, investors still hold one major doubt and one crucial question: How realistic are these words? Looking at today’s economic landscape, it is quite clear that there is a significant gap between what is being said and what is actually happening.

What Changed When Donald Trump Took Office?

In 2025, Donald Trump made numerous statements about the economy and initiated several actions—many of which, so to speak, backfired and painted markets in red. Despite the negative impact of his trade tariffs and policies on many sectors, he insisted that the U.S. stock market was “stronger” and that his intention was to keep it elevated. He even emphasized that everyone should remember how U.S. markets reached record highs earlier this year. While some investors criticize Trump’s approach, could the so-called “Trump effect” actually have had a positive influence?

However, despite these claims, the markets have frequently experienced major instability. Starting from the early months of 2025, U.S. indexes suffered sharp declines due to imposed tariffs, global trade tensions, and ongoing economic uncertainty. In fact, double-digit losses were not uncommon.

You may also be interested in this article: Silver Ounce Price Races Toward a Record!

Can Donald Trump Really Keep the Market at Its Peak?

High market prices are not sustained by statements alone. Although remarks can create short-term upward or downward movements, real market direction is driven by the following factors:

• Economic Data
• Global Balances
• Corporate Earnings Reports
• Interest – Inflation Rates
• Global Trade

These variables are the true determinants of market direction. Therefore, when a leader says “I will keep the stock market at its peak,” it naturally raises significant, and often unanswered, questions.

Recently, margin debt reached an all-time high. Margin debt represents the amount of money investors borrow from brokerage firms through margin accounts. This indicator is often used to evaluate potential market tops and bottoms. When margin debt hits a record level and the markets also reach record highs, the situation is commonly described as a “reflex” move or even a “bubble.” Under such circumstances, how convincing can Trump’s claim really be?

Periods like these offer the potential for high profits but carry equally high risks. They cannot be sustained by a single political statement.

For the latest cryptocurrency news, click here.

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According to data provided by the CME FedWatch tool, the target rate range could be lowered to 350–375 basis points, while the likelihood of keeping the current policy range of 375–400 basis points stands at 29%.

This article may also catch your attention: Bitcoin (BTC) Recovery Gains Strength: Will the Uptrend Continue?

Factors Strengthening Expectations

Statements made by New York Fed President John Williams indicate that short-term adjustments to interest rates may be possible, further boosting market expectations of a rate cut.

Data flow disruptions in the United States are creating uncertainty in the FED’s decision-making process. Although recent minutes suggest differing views within the Fed regarding a potential rate cut, the overall sentiment points toward a policy easing at the final meeting of the year.

A higher probability of a rate cut has positively reflected on Bitcoin and altcoin markets, increasing appetite for risk assets. However, market participants remain cautious in light of possible surprises from the Federal Reserve.

For the latest breaking crypto news, click here

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How Does a Government Shutdown Affect Markets?

If Congress fails to pass a budget agreement, the US government faces a shutdown risk starting October 1. Historically, the S&P 500 tends to weaken ahead of such dates, making investors cautious about both equities and digital assets. 

A government shutdown halts the release of economic data, including key unemployment and inflation reports, potentially delaying Federal Reserve policy decisions. Regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC will operate at limited capacity, which could postpone crypto ETF applications and IPO processes. 

Crypto analysts warn that short-term downside risk in US stocks and cryptocurrencies may increase. BTC, ETH, and highly volatile altcoins could experience temporary swings. Last week, the crypto market saw two liquidations exceeding $1 billion. Historically, US government shutdowns can lead to a short-term drop followed by a strong recovery. 

Is History Repeating for Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver?

During the 2018–2019 shutdown, Bitcoin saw a temporary decline before rapidly rising after the closure ended. Similarly, Gold and Silver continue to gain as investors seek safe havens. 

Gold prices rose to $3,872 per ounce on September 29, marking a 50% gain year-to-date, signaling a potential rise toward $4,000. Silver reached a 14-year high at $47, supporting risk-off sentiment. 

Possible Scenarios for Investors

Polymarket data shows an 85% chance of a US government shutdown. Vice President JD Vance stated, “I think we are headed for a shutdown.” Analyst Amit Investing highlights two possible scenarios: 

• The market could see a short-term 5% drop, creating a buying opportunity. 
• The market may remain largely unchanged as corporate earnings reports begin in two weeks. 
• Investors should prepare for volatility and review risk management strategies across both traditional and crypto assets. 

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A Strategic Entry Into Crypto

In Q2 2025, the Czech National Bank adjusted its U.S. investment portfolio by making a notable move: it purchased over $18 million worth of Coinbase shares, marking its first direct exposure to the crypto industry.

According to a recent 13F filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the bank acquired 51,732 Coinbase shares. In addition, it expanded its holdings in data analytics firm Palantir by buying 49,135 more shares, bringing its total to 519,950.

This strategic allocation reflects growing interest in both Nasdaq-listed tech firms and the broader potential of blockchain-based platforms.

Coinbase Joins the S&P 500

In May 2025, Coinbase made headlines by becoming the first crypto-native company to join the S&P 500, a landmark moment signaling institutional trust in the digital asset sector.

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The stock soared 41% in the first half of the year, followed by another 10% gain in subsequent weeks. Over the past month, Coinbase shares surged approximately 60%, according to Google Finance data.

Revenue Drop Doesn’t Stop Growth

Despite a 10% quarter-over-quarter revenue drop to $2 billion and a 95% plunge in net income due to a $596 million paper loss, the company still beat analyst expectations with earnings per share of $1.94.

Coinbase continues expanding, recently announcing the $2.9 billion acquisition of crypto options platform Deribit. Earlier this month, it also acquired Liquifi, a token management solution, reinforcing its dominance across both trading and token infrastructure services.

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Tariffs And Uncertainty Weigh On Policy Decisions

Throughout the speech, Powell emphasized the importance of observing the effects of recently implemented tariffs before making policy moves. “We don’t want to act before seeing their impact.” he said. “Without the tariffs, inflation would likely have declined further.”

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He also acknowledged that “uncertainty has increased,” and in such an environment, “nobody wants to rush down the rate cut path.”

Policy In A Good Place, Labor Market Still Solid

Powell stated that monetary policy must be forward-looking and currently stands in a strong position. Regarding the labor market, he noted, “The labor market is not crying out for a rate cut.”

He also pointed out that near-term inflation expectations have risen due to tariffs and reminded that “inflation remains above our 2% target.” In his words, “Waiting a few more months might lead to smarter decisions.”

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Grok, xAI’s artificial intelligence system, will analyze real-time posts on the X platform. These analyses will generate notes for Polymarket’s prediction markets. In return, Polymarket’s data will support Grok’s responses by connecting them to relevant discussions on X. Shayne Coplan (Polymarket CEO): 

“The two best truth-seeking applications on the internet are stronger together.” 

Thanks to the partnership, X customers will now have direct access to Polymarket’s prediction markets. Additionally, X’s strong user base will contribute to Polymarket’s growth. This creates mutual benefits for both parties. Moreover, the effective use of blockchain technology will set new industry standards. 

Partnership Details and Expectations 

Under the agreement, X and Polymarket will begin co-developing new products. The two companies aim to offer innovative solutions in blockchain-based financial products. Furthermore, joint projects will expand the user base of crypto and prediction market participants. As a result, more investors will join the digital economy. 

Polymarket is known for creating prediction markets on highly engaging topics such as US elections, sports events, and financial happenings. The platform enables users to assess probabilities of events and earn rewards based on those predictions. With this collaboration, X is expected to increase social media users’ participation in prediction markets, enhancing platform engagement. Linda Yaccarino (X CEO): 

“This partnership is a significant step in transparency and real-time information delivery. Polymarket ensures transparency through prediction markets and has become a real-time information source for many X users. We are pleased to partner with Polymarket and look forward to offering our data and technology to Polymarket users through various creative product integrations.” 

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Russia Central Bank Report

Russia’s statement indicates a shift in states’ perspectives on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s role in financial portfolios is strengthening. However, Bitcoin lost 18.6% of its value in the first four months of 2025. The Central Bank of Russia notes that this trend may persist for a few years. Russia Central bank emphasizes Bitcoin’s high return potential. According to the report, Bitcoin’s market dynamics and technological infrastructure set it apart from other assets. Growing institutional investor interest is bolstering Bitcoin’s credibility. 

The chart shows that Bitcoin achieved approximately an 11.2% return in April alone. Furthermore, its year-to-date performance significantly outpaces all other asset categories. 

JUST IN: Russia's central bank reports Bitcoin as the top-performing investment in 2025. pic.twitter.com/txHlJN8jDw

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) May 15, 2025

However, Bitcoin’s volatile nature poses risks. Regulatory uncertainties compel investors to remain cautious. The Central Bank highlights high return opportunities while also noting the risks. Notably, JPMorgan predicts that the leading cryptocurrency will outperform gold in the second half of 2025. Support from major economies like Russia is increasing the significance of cryptocurrencies in global financial markets. This suggests that Bitcoin will secure a larger share in financial portfolios. 

Bitcoin’s 121.3% cumulative return outstrips gold and stocks. Nevertheless, volatility and regulatory risks should not be overlooked. 

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Bank of America and Webull Decisions Increased Selling Pressure

In a regulatory filing dated March 17, Bakkt disclosed that two key clients would not renew their commercial agreements. Bank of America will terminate its existing agreement on April 22, while the brokerage platform Webull will end its contract on June 14.

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According to the filing, Bank of America accounted for 17% of Bakkt’s loyalty services revenue for the nine months ending September 30, 2024. Webull contributed 74% of the company’s crypto services revenue during the same period.

Shares Crash to New Lows!

Following this development, Bakkt (BKKT) shares dropped 27.28% on March 18, closing at $9.33. In after-hours trading, the shares fell an additional 2.25%, reaching $9.12.

Bakkt’s stock price has plummeted more than 96% from its all-time high of $1,063, recorded in October 2021.

Bakkt has postponed its previously announced earnings conference call twice. The latest rescheduling sets the call for March 19. These delays have added further uncertainty for investors.

Class Action Lawsuit on the Horizon!

The Law Offices of Howard G. Smith announced a potential class action lawsuit against Bakkt following the termination of agreements with Bank of America and Webull. The statement claims that the canceled agreements and the delayed earnings call led to a sharp decline in Bakkt’s stock price, “thereby injuring investors.”

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