What Is a Token Unlock?

Token unlock refers to the process of releasing previously locked cryptocurrencies into the market. This usually takes place as part of project team allocations, early investor agreements, or community incentive mechanisms. The goal is to avoid flooding the market with tokens all at once and to help maintain price stability.

Token unlocks increase circulating supply, which can create selling pressure and lead to price volatility. For this reason, investors closely monitor large-scale unlocks. On the other hand, not all unlocked tokens are immediately sold—some investors may adopt a long-term strategy and hold onto their assets.

Token Unlocks and Market Impact

Since token unlocks increase supply in the market, they are closely watched by investors. In low-liquidity projects especially, large unlocks can lead to significant price drops due to selling pressure.

However, not every unlock has a negative effect. Some projects coordinate their unlocks with exchange listings or strategic partnerships to boost demand and help stabilize the price. Therefore, it’s important to consider not only the amount of tokens being unlocked but also the overall market context and project-related news flow.

When Will Token Unlocks Happen and in Which Altcoins?

During the week of April 15-18, significant token unlocks will occur in several major projects. Here are the tokens and unlock amounts by date.

April 15 Tuesday

• $STRK: 128.05 million tokens – $16 million (1.28% of total supply)
• $SEI: 55.56 million tokens – $8 million (0.55% of total supply)

April 16 Wednesday

• $ARB: 93.65 million tokens – $26 million (0.94% of total supply)
• $VANA: 1.24 million tokens – $6 million (1.04% of total supply)

April 17 Thursday

• $GRT: 71.44 million tokens – $5 million (0.71% of total supply)
• $APE: 15.38 million tokens – $6 million (1.54% of total supply)

April 18 Friday

• $IMX: 27.31 million tokens – $11 million (1.37% of total supply)
• $TRUMP: 40 million tokens – $318 million (4% of total supply)

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Immutable had previously disclosed receiving a Wells notice from the SEC in November 2024, signaling a potential enforcement action related to the listing and private sales of its native IMX token in 2021. However, the regulator has now decided to close the case, marking another shift in the SEC’s evolving crypto regulation approach under Acting Chair Mark Uyeda.

Regulatory Clarity for Web3 and Gaming

Immutable’s co-founder and president, Robbie Ferguson, expressed optimism about this decision, calling it a “significant milestone” for both the crypto industry and gaming sector. He added that with growing regulatory clarity, Immutable plans to accelerate efforts to expand digital ownership for over 3.1 billion gamers worldwide.

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The SEC declined to comment on the matter, maintaining its standard stance of not confirming or denying the existence of investigations.

SEC’s Shift in Crypto Regulation

This development is part of a broader trend, as the SEC has recently dropped investigations into several major crypto companies, including:

• Crypto exchange Gemini
• Trading platform Robinhood
• NFT marketplace OpenSea
• Yuga Labs (BAYC NFT creators)

Additionally, litigation against crypto firms such as Kraken, Coinbase, Ripple, ConsenSys, and Cumberland DRW has been dropped, while cases involving Tron and Binance have been paused.

This shift aligns with President Donald Trump’s administration, which has brought a regulatory overhaul in favor of a more structured and transparent crypto framework. The SEC has established a Crypto Task Force, led by crypto-friendly Commissioner Hester Peirce, to conduct roundtable discussions with industry players.

Ongoing Crypto Investigations

Despite these dismissals, not all crypto companies are off the hook. Unicoin remains under review, facing potential fraud and unregistered securities allegations. Similarly, Crypto.com, which previously received a Wells notice and sued the SEC and former Chair Gary Gensler, has not publicly updated the status of its investigation.

These ongoing cases highlight that while the SEC’s stance on crypto is evolving, enforcement actions have not completely disappeared.

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Upcoming Lock Expansions and their Impact

February 7, 2025

• SUI (Sui): SUI 378,060 ($1.26M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.01
• GRT (The Graph): GRT 72.52M ($10.18M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.76
• WLD (Worldcoin): 3.42M WLD ($4.21M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.33

February 9, 2025

• TIA (Celestia): TIA 998,404 ($3.04M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.19

February 12, 2025

• IMX (Immutable X): 27.92M IMX ($22.75M) → Market capitalization impact: 1.60

February 13, 2025

• APE (ApeCoin): 15.60M APE ($11.31M) → Market capitalization impact: 2.07
• MELANIA: 70.00M MELANIA ($91.56M) → Market capitalization impact: 46.67

February 14, 2025

• PLUME: 110.43M PLUME ($15.54M) → Market capitalization impact: 5.52

Possible Market Impacts

Large unlocks can create significant selling pressure, especially in projects like MELANIA (46.67%) and PLUME (5.52%). Tokens with such large unlocks are closely watched by investors and a possible wave of selling could cause significant fluctuations in the price.

Tokens like SUI, GRT and TIA, which have lower open rates, may affect prices to some extent, but do not carry the risk of a large-scale drop. In these projects, it is important for investors to be more cautious about expansions and observe the volume situation.

On the other hand, token launches in large projects like IMX and APE could put moderate pressure on prices. In particular, the movements of large investors (whales) can play a key role in determining how these assets are priced in the market.

Such key breakout data provides important signals for investors. It is critical to follow market movements and be cautious about price fluctuations that may occur after openings.

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Bitcoin Intraday Key Levels

BTC/USDT pair has gained 1.19% in the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $96,766. Bitcoin (BTC) appears to have faced resistance at $97,362, as mentioned in earlier analyses. If it breaks through this resistance, the next target will be the $99,304 resistance level. On the downside, the support levels stand at $94,703 and $93,138.

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Ethereum (ETH): ETH/USDT pair has risen 1.50% over the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $3,425. For Ethereum (ETH), the resistance levels are at $3,440, followed by $3,535. On the downside, support is located at $3,290 and $3,217.

Immutable (IMX): IMX/USDT has surged 6.27% in the past 24 hours, trading at $1.44. Resistance for Immutable (IMX) stands at $1.462, with further resistance at $1.542. Support areas are found at $1.326 and, if the decline deepens, $1.27.

dYdX (DYDX): DYDX/USDT has jumped 9.23% in the last 24 hours and is trading at $1.62. Resistance levels for dYdX (DYDX) are at $1.6556 and $1.8257. On the downside, support levels are $1.40 and $1.27.

Theta Network (THETA): THETA/USDT has gained 5.56% in the past 24 hours, currently trading at $2.32. Resistance for Theta Network (THETA) is at $2.327, followed by $2.45. Support levels are at $2.10 and $1.756.

Trending Coins

The most trending coins in the last 24 hours include Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Spore (SPORE), and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL).

Top gainers are led by GMT (GMT), Across Protocol (ACX), and Redbelly Network (RBNT).

On the flip side, the biggest losers are DeXe (DEXE), Usual (USUAL), and Mog Coin (MOG).

Bitcoin Liquidation Map

Looking at Bitcoin’s 12-hour liquidation map, a prominent liquidation is spotted at $98,216 on the upper side, totaling $17 million. On the lower side, a significant liquidation at $94,423 amounts to $35.62 million.

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Among the most notable unlocks is a massive $254.5 million worth of AVAX tokens set to be released on August 20th. Avalanche, a popular layer-1 blockchain platform, has seen substantial growth in recent months, and this upcoming unlock could further fuel its momentum or introduce some selling pressure.

Other significant token unlocks in August include:

Wormhole: $154 million on August 3rd
Aptos: $74.6 million on August 12th
The Sandbox: $66.2 million on August 14th
Arbitrum: $63 million on August 16th
Optimism: $51 million on August 31st
IMX: $46 million on August 9th
SUI: $46 million on August 1st
STRK: $31 million on August 15th
ZETA: $30 million on August 1st

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UMA Coin Price Analysis:

UMA Coin enormusly pumped from $1.9 to $7 last month. Then investors sold profits and the cryptocurrency’s price fell as low as $3.97. Today, Uma Coin is trading above $ 4.6, up 17% from $ 3.97. The support level to follow is $4, while the upper resistance zone is $5.

What is UMA?

UMA, the native cryptocurrency of the UMA protocol (Universal Market Access protocol), serves as the foundation for a platform that enables users to generate their own synthetic assets. These synthetic assets are digital tokens designed to mirror and monitor the value of real-world assets. Referred to as “priceless financial contracts” within the platform, these tokenized assets offer users the ability to gain exposure to various assets and markets in a decentralized and efficient manner.

API3 Price Analysis:

Like UMA, API3 has experienced a bumpy price movement over the past month. API3 rose from $1.5 to $3.3 and charted a bit scary for its investors. Finally, the coin is up 15% today, trading at $3.6. While our support zone in API3 is 3 dollars, the next resistance zone is 3.6 dollars, where it is currently located.

What is API3?

API3 serves as the native token of the API3 project, granting holders the privilege to engage in the governance of the API3 ecosystem via the API3 DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization). To acquire shares in the API3 DAO, token holders must stake their API3 tokens into the insurance pool, which additionally provides them with access to weekly staking rewards. This setup enables token holders to actively participate in shaping the future direction and decisions of the API3 ecosystem while incentivizing participation through staking rewards.

IMX Coin Price Analysis:

IMX has been on a slow but steady uptrend from $1.6. It has been rising for almost the last two weeks and is currently trading at $2.9, up 6%. While the support zone for IMX is $2.5, the resistance zone seems to be the $4 level. This price trend

What is IMX?

Immutable X (IMX) serves as the native token of an NFT (non-fungible token) marketplace, functioning as a layer 2 network solution for the Ethereum blockchain. Leveraging zero-knowledge proof technology, Immutable X provides users with low transaction fees, rapid transaction speeds, and enhanced scalability, enabling the network to handle a greater volume of transactions without compromising performance. This infrastructure facilitates efficient and seamless trading of non-fungible tokens while addressing some of the key limitations of the Ethereum network.

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Specifically after declaring bankruptcy, FTX and Alameda Research, transferred significant amounts of cryptocurrency to leading exchanges. The company has conducted transactions with 59 different altcoins valued at a total of 551 million dollars since October 2023.

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This transfer, encompassing a portfolio containing various cryptocurrencies, involves altcoins like $IMX, $GMT, $ETH, UNI, $SHIB, $BAL, $LOOKS, and $WOO.

The recent transfer noticed a 10.8 million dollar transfer made to platforms like Wintermute, Binance, and Coinbase. This transfer was distributed among eight different tokens: StepN, Uniswap, Synapse, Klaytn, Fantom, Shiba Inu, Arbitrum, and Optimism.

FTX and Alameda’s transfer on October 24 surpassed 10 million dollars, which was redistributed to Binance and Coinbase accounts. On November 14, 2023, a cryptocurrency transfer worth 24 million dollars drew attention on the Kraken and OKX exchanges.

Despite increasing its asset value above 5 billion dollars, FTX is struggling with a tough debt burden exceeding 8.8 billion dollars. The company and Alameda are making a great effort to advance in liquidations to provide some relief to creditors, as the seriousness of financial difficulties become evident.

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Bitcoin is currently a bandack above 38,000 dollars and if it can hold at this level for two days and enter the weekend like this, it could be a positive scenario for Bitcoin. Currently, there is also movement in some altcoins alongside Bitcoin. For example, Avax is again above 21.50 dollars. Towards the weekend, we may start to see increases in some other altcoins again.

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‣ Bitcoin (BTC) At the time of the writing, BTC/USD pair is trading at 38028 dollars with a 0.76% increase. Resistance levels for BTC are in the range of 38400 dollars – 39300 dollars, while support levels are in the range of 37000 dollars – 36400 dollars.

‣ Ethereum (ETH) At the time of the writing, ETH/Uthe SDT pair is trading at 2090 dollars with a 1.89% increase. Resistance levels for ETH are in the range of 2090 dollars – 2130 dollars, while support levels are in the range of 2000 dollars – 1967 dollars.

‣ Dydx (DYDX) At the time of the writing, the DYDX/USD pair is trading at 3.05 dollars with a 5.82% decrease. Resistance levels for DYDX are in the range of 3.27 dollars – 3.37 dollars, while support levels are in the range of 2.98 dollars – 2.76 dollars.

‣ Avax (AVAX) At the time of writing, AVAX/USD is trading at 22.26 dollars with a 4.07% increase. The resistance levels for AVAX are in the range of 22.80 dollars – 24.00 dollars, while support levels are in the range of 21.01 dollars – 19.71 dollars.

‣ Immutable (IMX) At the time of writing, IMX/USD is trading at 1.34 dollars with a 5.21% increase. Resistance levels for IMX are in the range of 1.36 dollars – 1.42 dollars, while support levels are in the range of 1.25 dollars – 1.07 dollars.

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Immutable, as a leader in blockchain game development, aims to support blockchain game developers in launching and scaling their games with this strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS).

Thanks to this collaboration, the company joined the Accelerate program of  Amazon Web Services and also will have the opportunity to provide technical support to game developers using the Ethereum-compatible Immutable X blockchain.

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Additionally IMX, after its partnership with AWS, stated that “As the Web3 gaming industry continues to grow, our company is forming strong strategic partnerships to make game development processes secure, simple, and accessible. Immutable has made a significant collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to accelerate mainstream adoption.”

After the partnership announcement of Immutable with Amazon, a sudden rise of 7% was observed in IMX Coin from $0.5374 levels to $0.5751 levels. However, the price returned to the starting point as sales started a few minutes later.

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