inflation impact Archives - Coin Engineer

Trump Extends China Tariff Deadline, BTC CME Gap in Focus

Yeliz Akmaca — Tue, 12 Aug 2025 11:09:58 +0000

U.S. President Donald Trump extended the deadline for tariffs on Chinese goods by 90 days. The decision was signed just before the August 12 deadline. This move eased the existing trade tensions. At the same time, markets saw sudden volatility.

Following the announcement, Bitcoin’s price surged rapidly. At the time of the news, BTC climbed to $119,800. Earlier in the day, it had surpassed $122,000, gaining momentum toward a $123,000 record. However, this rise was short-lived, and BTC fell back to $119,000.

Critical Levels and CME Gap in Bitcoin Price

According to analysts, there is a significant CME gap below the $119,000 level. Coinmühendisi analysts mentioned this gap in their analysis yesterday morning. Titan of Crypto also noted that this gap needs to be filled before the upward trend can continue. This could limit BTC’s short-term movement. Historically, price has often moved to close this gap.

Meanwhile, upcoming CPI and PPI data releases in the U.S. will also influence price direction. The figures, due on August 12 and 13, will clarify inflation trends. A decrease in inflation would strengthen expectations for a rate cut in September. Currently, the probability of a Fed rate cut at the September FOMC meeting stands at 86.4%.

Two Possible BTC Scenarios from Analysts

Crypto analyst Altcoin Shrpa pointed out two potential scenarios for BTC. In the first, the price pulls back to form a higher timeframe bottom, which could take weeks, followed by a more sustainable rise. In the second scenario, the price could retest the $120,000 peak, coinciding with increased treasury activities and macroeconomic developments.

Ultimately, both shifts in trade policies and economic data will determine Bitcoin’s direction. Investors are closely monitoring these developments to shape their strategies.

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U.S. Jobless Claims Announced! Here Are All the Details!

Yeliz Akmaca — Thu, 24 Jul 2025 12:31:44 +0000

U.S. initial jobless claims were announced as 217K. Economists expected around 227,000. The previous week’s claims were recorded at 221,000. The unemployment claims, which were announced as 221 thousand last week, showed a decrease of 4 thousand this week. This situation may indicate a potential improvement in unemployment rates.

Summary:

Expected: 227K
Previous: 221K
Actual: 217K

Why This Data Matters

Weekly initial jobless claims in the U.S. indicate the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time. This data provides direct insight into short-term labor market dynamics. A decrease in claims signals fewer layoffs and suggests labor market stability. In a period marked by high inflation and tight monetary policies, such data is crucial for the Federal Reserve’s decisions.

Historical Comparison: General Trend in Jobless Claims

U.S. jobless claims have fluctuated recently, showing a limited upward trend overall. Claims rose to 233,000 at the end of June, then dropped again to 227,000 by mid-July.

In the second half of 2024, claims generally fluctuated between 220,000 and 240,000. These levels are still considered low historically. For example:
During the 2020 pandemic, weekly claims soared to several million.
In mid-2022, weekly claims averaged around 250,000–270,000.
In 2023, these numbers fell to around 200,000–230,000.

This year’s levels indicate that the U.S. labor market continues to largely sustain its post-pandemic recovery, with no widespread layoffs.

The post U.S. Jobless Claims Announced! Here Are All the Details! appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin Climbs After Softer-Than-Expected US Inflation Data

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Tue, 13 May 2025 12:40:11 +0000

Markets were on edge ahead of the latest US inflation figures. In a climate of rising expectations for interest rate cuts, the data came in softer than anticipated—sending shockwaves through both traditional and crypto markets.

CPI Figures Fall Below Expectations

According to data released on May 13, US Core CPI (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%. Headline CPI (MoM) also recorded 0.2%, again below the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI (YoY) was reported at 2.3%, slightly under the previous and expected value of 2.4%.

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These results suggest a controlled deceleration in inflation, potentially reducing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.

Bitcoin And Ethereum React Quickly

Immediately after the release, Bitcoin rose from 103,300$ to 104,000$, while Ethereum (ETH) climbed from 2,500$ to 2,530$. The market’s swift reaction underscores how closely crypto assets are tied to macroeconomic expectations, particularly around interest rate policy.

The move also reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin and Ethereum being viewed as hedges against inflation.

BTC/USDT pair 1-minute chart.

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