interest rate cuts Archives - Coin Engineer

Crypto Game Plan for Q4 2025: ETF Approvals, Interest Rate Cut, Stablecoin

Emre Yumlu — Tue, 30 Sep 2025 15:30:03 +0000

The final quarter of 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal period for crypto investors. Interest rate cuts, regulatory alignment, ETF approvals, and new stablecoin frameworks are all unfolding at the same time, creating a landscape that could significantly reshape both traditional and digital markets.

Fed’s Rate Path and Regulatory Shifts

On September 17, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 4.00%–4.25%. Projections suggest that rates could fall further to 3.50%–3.75% by year-end, implying two additional cuts. This shift toward a more neutral policy stance is expected to impact everything from credit markets to crypto liquidity.

At the same time, U.S. regulators are stepping up efforts to provide clarity for the digital asset space. In September, the SEC and CFTC confirmed that registered exchanges will be permitted to list spot crypto commodities. Shortly after, the CFTC approved tokenized collateral for derivatives, and the SEC signaled plans to introduce an “innovation exemption” for digital assets before year-end.

Crypto ETFs and Stablecoin Frameworks

ETF approvals are accelerating under this new regulatory environment. The SEC has eliminated the need for individual applications for token-specific ETFs, placing assets like Solana, XRP, Litecoin, Cardano, and Dogecoin under a broader approval umbrella. Analysts now view altcoin ETFs as virtually inevitable.

Meanwhile, the recently enacted GENIUS Act has provided a federal framework for payment stablecoins in the U.S. Industry players such as Circle and Coinbase welcomed the move, highlighting its potential to integrate stablecoins into payments and derivatives markets. Abroad, the Bank of England is piloting tokenized deposit programs with leading banks, while European institutions are preparing euro-denominated stablecoin initiatives.

Opportunities and Risks Ahead

This convergence of monetary easing, regulatory coordination, ETF access, and stablecoin adoption creates a unique environment for investors. Opportunities include reallocating into risk assets that stand to benefit from lower rates, leveraging ETFs for easier exposure, and utilizing tokenized collateral for greater capital efficiency.

Still, challenges remain. The Fed’s rate cuts depend on labor market stability, and many SEC and CFTC initiatives are still in draft stages.

*This content does not constitute investment advice.

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Trump to Powell: Cut Rates or Face a Lawsuit!

Yeliz Akmaca — Wed, 13 Aug 2025 07:00:30 +0000

U.S. President Donald Trump criticized the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut interest rates, stating that he may sue Chair Jerome Powell. Trump argued that the Federal Reserve’s renovation costs were excessively high, calling it a serious management failure. The president noted that a repair worth $50 ended up costing $3 billion, saying, “I am considering allowing a major lawsuit against Powell over Fed building costs.”

On Truth Social, Trump accused Powell of doing a “terrible and incompetent” job in renovating Fed buildings. He also claimed Powell committed perjury in this matter, adding that the Justice Department has made similar allegations. This further increased the political pressure on the Fed Chair.

Last month, Trump visited the Federal Reserve to inspect the ongoing renovation projects. During his visit, he urged Powell to lower interest rates. The president stressed that the Fed was too late in taking action, causing significant harm to the U.S. economy.

CPI Data and Tariff Debate

Trump’s comments came after the release of July’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The report showed annual inflation at 2.7%, below the expected 2.8%, while monthly CPI fell from 0.3% to 0.2%. These results reinforced Trump’s view that tariffs had a limited impact on inflation.

The president stated that tariffs brought large sums of money into the U.S. and that consumers did not bear the costs. Moreover, he argued that tariffs did not create price pressures as the Fed had anticipated. Powell, however, maintained that the best approach was to wait and assess the tariffs’ effects before making a rate cut decision.

Stephen Miran, Trump’s nominee for the Fed Board of Governors, also commented positively on the CPI data. Miran said inflation was “performing well” and that there was no evidence of tariff-driven price increases. He also noted that since Trump took office, annual CPI inflation had averaged 1.9%.

These developments indicate that the tension between the Fed and the White House over interest rate policy is set to continue.

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U.S. Data Released: Bitcoin Reacts Upward!

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Thu, 15 May 2025 12:47:29 +0000

Global markets are reacting to the latest batch of U.S. economic data, which included a surprise in the inflation front. As inflationary pressure continues to ease, Bitcoin responded with modest gains, reflecting renewed optimism in the crypto sector.

Monthly PPI Falls -0.5%, Defying Expectations

The Monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) came in at -0.5%, well below the market forecast of 0.2%. The previous month’s reading stood at -0.4%, indicating sustained downward pressure on producer prices.

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Meanwhile, the Yearly PPI was reported at 2.4%, slightly below expectations of 2.5%, and down from the previous reading of 2.7%. The data suggests that inflation may be cooling faster than anticipated, potentially giving the Federal Reserve more room to consider rate cuts.

Jobless Claims Match Expectations

In line with forecasts, initial jobless claims were reported at 229K, up slightly from the previous week’s 228K. While the labor market remains stable, inflation data took center stage in driving investor sentiment.

Following the economic releases, Bitcoin climbed from 102,430 $ to 102,805 $, marking a 0.40% increase. The crypto market welcomed the lower inflation figures, with BTC showing resilience amid broader economic uncertainty.

BTC/USDT pair 1-minute chart.

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Bitcoin Climbs After Softer-Than-Expected US Inflation Data

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Tue, 13 May 2025 12:40:11 +0000

Markets were on edge ahead of the latest US inflation figures. In a climate of rising expectations for interest rate cuts, the data came in softer than anticipated—sending shockwaves through both traditional and crypto markets.

CPI Figures Fall Below Expectations

According to data released on May 13, US Core CPI (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%. Headline CPI (MoM) also recorded 0.2%, again below the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI (YoY) was reported at 2.3%, slightly under the previous and expected value of 2.4%.

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These results suggest a controlled deceleration in inflation, potentially reducing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.

Bitcoin And Ethereum React Quickly

Immediately after the release, Bitcoin rose from 103,300$ to 104,000$, while Ethereum (ETH) climbed from 2,500$ to 2,530$. The market’s swift reaction underscores how closely crypto assets are tied to macroeconomic expectations, particularly around interest rate policy.

The move also reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin and Ethereum being viewed as hedges against inflation.

BTC/USDT pair 1-minute chart.

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Powell’s Statements Shook the Markets: Is a Rally Ahead?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Fri, 07 Mar 2025 18:15:02 +0000

The Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), Powell, drew the market’s attention with his recent statements. Powell‘s comments provided crucial insights into interest rate policy and inflation expectations. Following the remarks, the prices of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced fluctuations. Here are Powell‘s messages and their impact on the markets…

Message on Interest Rate Decisions

Powell stated that the Fed will not rush to lower interest rates, saying, “We can wait for more clarity.” He mentioned that they expect inflation to reach 2%, but inflation expectations have risen due to the impact of tariffs.

Regarding the economy and labor market, Powell noted, “Many indicators show that the labor market is solid and balanced.” He also pointed out that significant progress has been made in reducing inflation, but there are signs of a slowdown in consumer spending. He emphasized that uncertainty remains regarding the impact of policies.

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One of the critical messages for the markets was, “Fed policy is not on a pre-determined path. If inflation progress halts, we may continue tight policies, but if the labor market unexpectedly weakens or inflation falls, we could ease.” Powell also added, “We will look at the possibility of inflation exceeding our target in the medium term, and despite uncertainty, the U.S. economy is in a good position.”

Customs Tariffs and Inflation Expectations

The remarks on customs tariffs were particularly noteworthy. Powell said, “It is still very uncertain how long customs tariffs will be applied.” He also stated that there is no need to redefine price stability.

Crypto markets reacted sensitively to Powell‘s statements. The lack of a clear message regarding interest rate cuts affected the movements of major digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. In the coming days, as clarity on Fed policies emerges, more pronounced price movements may be observed in the markets.

In the coming days, market volatility may continue. It will be important for crypto investors to move cautiously during this period of uncertainty.

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Binance CEO Richard Teng Comments on Market Decline

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Tue, 25 Feb 2025 17:30:11 +0000

Binance CEO Richard Teng commented on the recent sharp market decline, describing it not as a “reversal,” but rather as a “tactical pullback.” Teng emphasized that what we’re witnessing is far from a structural decline and is instead another short-term tactical retracement.

Teng’s View on the Fed’s Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Cuts

Teng also discussed the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy, stating that the recent market downturn is largely due to the Fed’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts. While the likelihood of a rate cut in March seems to have decreased, Teng noted, “Monetary policy remains data-driven, and if inflation begins to decline or the labor market weakens, the Fed could quickly shift its stance.”

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Teng’s Optimistic Outlook

Acknowledging that market pullbacks can be unsettling, Teng remained optimistic: “However, these are also the moments when experienced investors position themselves for the next bull trend. Crypto has become an asset class integrated with global finance, and its ability to recover from macro-driven downturns has been proven.”

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