Investment Strategies Archives - Coin Engineer

US Market Collapse Risk Hits 35%! How Will Bitcoin React?

Yeliz Akmaca — Mon, 09 Mar 2026 08:30:50 +0000

Global markets are once again under pressure. Oil prices have climbed above $100, the dollar posted its strongest weekly gain of the year, and tensions in the Middle East are directly affecting energy markets. Even Bitcoin, often seen as a hedge against market turmoil, is being closely watched as investors assess the impact. Experienced market strategist Ed Yardeni has raised the probability of a US stock market collapse this year to 35%.

This figure was around 20% just a few months ago—risk perception has clearly shifted.

Interestingly, despite this environment, the crypto market—especially its largest asset—remains relatively stable.

Bitcoin Holds Around $67K

In the first trading hours of the week, the leading cryptocurrency traded at approximately $67,378.

This reflects a 1.1% increase in the past 24 hours, while weekly movements remain largely in the same range.

Other major crypto assets also saw limited gains:

Ethereum (ETH) rose roughly 2.3% to $1,981, just below the $2,000 psychological level
BNB reached $624, up 1.4%
Dogecoin traded at $0.09, up 1.8%
Solana climbed 1.8% to $83.69 but remains down 1.5% weekly
XRP remained steady at $1.35, down about 1% weekly

Crypto markets are showing relative calm, contrasting sharply with global equities.

Global Markets Under Pressure

In Asian trading hours, S&P 500 futures fell more than 2%.

The VIX volatility index, a key risk gauge, has surged to its highest level since the April tariff crisis.

Oil remaining above $100 further complicates the picture. Rising energy costs not only impact business expenses but also push inflation expectations higher, which in turn pressures central banks.

Fed Caught Between Two Fires

Ed Yardeni points out that the US economy is stuck between two pressures:

The risk of renewed inflation triggered by rising oil prices
The threat of higher unemployment due to economic slowdown

This scenario limits the Federal Reserve’s policy maneuvering. Yardeni raises the market collapse probability to 35%, while assigning only a 5% chance for a strong bullish scenario.

Bitcoin Correlation with Stocks

Although Bitcoin has recently moved in parallel with tech stocks, new data suggest the correlation is limited.

According to research by NYDIG, only about 25% of Bitcoin’s price movement can be explained by US equities. The remaining 75% stems from crypto-specific factors.

NYDIG research head Greg Cipolaro explains that recent parallels with US software stocks reflect shared macro exposure rather than structural convergence.

What Happens If Risk Aversion Surges?

Historically, during major market stress periods since 2020, investors have tended to move from volatile assets to cash, US dollars, or government bonds.

Bitcoin has not been immune to these sell-offs. Therefore, if global risk-aversion spikes, cryptocurrencies may not remain fully insulated.

Currently, however, crypto markets appear comparatively resilient.

US Markets’ Cushion Is Shrinking

Until recently, US markets were more resilient than other regions, partly due to energy self-sufficiency.

However, the 2% drop in Monday futures signals that even this buffer is weakening.

If global risk appetite continues to decline, US markets—and by extension crypto—may also face pressure. For now, Bitcoin remains relatively stable.

Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our Telegram, YouTube and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

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US Congress Urges SEC to Act on Trump’s Crypto 401(k) Plan

Yeliz Akmaca — Tue, 23 Sep 2025 08:30:50 +0000

Nine members of the U.S. Congress have sent a letter to Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins, urging swift implementation of President Donald Trump’s recently issued crypto-focused executive order. The order aims to expand access to cryptocurrencies and other alternative investments within 401(k) retirement plans.

Lawmakers Call on SEC to Take Action

Among the signatories are French Hill and Ann Wagner. The lawmakers are asking the SEC to work with the Department of Labor to update current regulations and ensure that alternative assets, particularly cryptocurrencies, can be included in 401(k) plans.

In their letter, the lawmakers highlighted that existing restrictions prevent approximately 90 million Americans from investing in crypto, and lifting these limits could strengthen retirement options. This initiative supports Trump’s August 2025 executive order titled “Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets for 401(k) Investors.”

Crypto Inclusion in 401(k) Plans and Potential Impact

Experts estimate that implementing the order could channel around $93 billion into 401(k) plans with just a 1% crypto allocation. This amount exceeds total investments in Bitcoin ETFs since January 2024.

Some public pension funds have already begun crypto exposure. For example, the Michigan State Retirement System purchased $10.7 million in the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF and holds 460,000 shares of the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE). Conversely, the Wisconsin State Investment Board sold its holdings in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF.

Implementation and Expectations

The executive order directs the SEC and the Department of Labor to create regulations that facilitate access to alternative assets within 401(k) plans. This process also involves reviewing definitions for accredited investors and qualified purchasers.

Lawmakers believe these changes will help millions of Americans diversify their retirement portfolios with potentially higher-yield investments. Even a modest crypto allocation could have a significant impact on long-term investment strategies.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

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MUBARAK Coin Investor Became a Millionaire with Only $232 Investment!

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Mon, 17 Mar 2025 19:00:24 +0000

While we frequently hear stories of big wins in the crypto world, this one truly stands out. A trader spent only 0.4 BNB, roughly $232, to purchase 10.5 million $MUBARAK tokens. This small investment quickly turned into an astonishing 4,860x return.

Started with Just $232!

According to on-chain data shared by blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain, the trader recently sold a portion of their $MUBARAK holdings. With this sale, they received 576 BNB, equivalent to approximately $363,500. But the story doesn’t end there!

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Based on on-chain records, the trader still holds 5.16 million $MUBARAK tokens across three different wallets. At current market prices, these tokens are valued at around $764,000. Even without further sales, the total profit has already surpassed $1.1 million.

Making Waves in the Crypto Community!

This trade has sparked huge interest in the crypto community. Transactions like this, where small investments turn into massive profits, are closely monitored by both blockchain analytics platforms and social media users. Thanks to platforms like Lookonchain, traders can transparently observe the actions behind these impressive gains.

Although stories like this are exciting, memecoin markets are extremely volatile and risky. Sharp price increases can be followed by sudden crashes. Experts recommend that investors conduct thorough research and implement risk management strategies before diving into such trades.

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BNX Gained Hugely! Is a Correction Imminent?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Mon, 17 Mar 2025 13:30:17 +0000

Since our previous analysis, BNX has managed to close a daily candle above the upper bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone. Following this move, the price made a retest of this region and wicked up to the $2.00 level. After this rise, BNX is now attempting to stabilize at key levels.

Current BNX Price Action

At the moment, the $1.70 level stands out as a significant short-term support zone for BNX. If the price manages to hold daily closes above $1.70, it would be a positive sign for the continuation of the uptrend. In such a scenario, we may see another move towards the $2.00 resistance area.

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However, if BNX closes below the $1.70 level on the daily timeframe, it could indicate a bearish shift in the short term. This might lead to a further retracement towards the $1.60 support zone.

Possible Scenarios

If BNX holds above $1.70: The uptrend may continue, with the next target being the $2.00 resistance region.
If BNX closes below $1.70: We might see a pullback towards the $1.60 support level. This area could be monitored for potential buying opportunities.

BNX/USDT daily chart.

In the short term, BNX is consolidating between $1.70 and $2.00 levels. A breakout from this range will provide a clearer directional bias. Traders should closely monitor these critical support and resistance zones for potential short-term opportunities.

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CAKE in Critical Zone: Will the Downtrend Be Broken?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Fri, 14 Mar 2025 13:00:55 +0000

CAKE continues to move within a descending trend line on the 4-hour chart. With recent volatility in the crypto market, investors are closely watching CAKE‘s price action. Reaching key levels, CAKE appears to be at a decision point that could determine its next direction.

Currently, CAKE is trading around $1.60, positioned close to its descending trend line. If CAKE manages to break above this trend and pushes past the $1.68 resistance level, a strong upward move could be initiated. Breaking through $1.68 would set the next target at $1.80, a level that has previously acted as a significant resistance. Should CAKE sustain a move above $1.80, the next upside target would be in the $2.00 range, potentially triggering further bullish momentum.

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On the other hand, failure to break the descending trend and renewed selling pressure could expose CAKE to downside risks. The first key support level to watch is at $1.56. If this level fails to hold, the price could retreat toward the next major support zone at $1.45. The $1.45 area is expected to attract buyers and may act as a critical defense level.

CAKE/USDT pair 4-hour chart.

At this stage, CAKE presents potential opportunities for short-term traders. Both bullish and bearish scenarios hinge on how the price behaves at these critical zones. Investors are advised to closely monitor these support and resistance areas before making trading decisions.

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Pi Coin Approaches Critical Regions! Will It Rise Again?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Fri, 14 Mar 2025 10:56:54 +0000

Pi Coin, one of the notable projects in the cryptocurrency market, has once again drawn investor attention with its recent price movements. Technical formations on the 4-hour chart suggest both bullish and bearish scenarios that are worth monitoring in the short term.

Pi Coin Technical Outlook and Critical Levels

Pi Coin is currently undergoing a pullback towards the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) area that was formed during its last upward move. This region stands out as a key support zone where the price may find buying interest. If Pi Coin can hold this bullish FVG support, it could regain upward momentum and attempt to break through its immediate resistance levels.

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The $1.98 – $2.00 resistance zone is the first major barrier that the price needs to overcome. A successful breakout above this level could open the door for a move towards the higher bearish FVG zone, which would likely bring stronger buying momentum in the short term.

On the downside, if Pi Coin loses its current bullish FVG support, there is an increased risk of a decline towards the $1.28 – $1.25 support range. This area is considered a critical level where the price could attempt to stabilize and find new demand.

In the broader market context, Pi Coin’s price movements are influenced by major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Therefore, investors should pay attention not only to technical levels but also to overall market sentiment and conditions.

PI/USDT 4-hour chart.

Price behavior around the FVG zones will be crucial for determining Pi Coin’s short- and medium-term trend. Changes in trading volume during support and resistance tests can provide important signals regarding the direction of the next move.

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SEC Decided to Mass Postpone Crypto ETF Applications!

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Wed, 12 Mar 2025 08:00:40 +0000

The cryptocurrency market was once again shaken following a series of decisions by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on March 11, 2025. The regulatory body has postponed its rulings on a number of altcoin-based exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications. However, according to experts, these delays do not reduce the likelihood of approval within 2025. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart stated that the delays were “expected” and that approval prospects remain strong.

Details of the Postponements

The SEC has postponed decisions on several high-profile ETF applications, including Grayscale’s filings for Dogecoin (DOGE), XRP, Litecoin (LTC), and Cardano (ADA). Additionally, Canary Capital, Bitwise, and 21Shares have also seen delays in their XRP ETF applications.

The regulator further delayed decisions on Solana (SOL) ETFs submitted by 21Shares, Canary, and VanEck. The last of the altcoin-related ETF postponements was Canary Capital’s Litecoin (LTC) filing.

Other crypto ETF delays include in-kind creation and redemptions for BlackRock IBIT ETF, as well as Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) and Fidelity Ethereum ETF (FETH). Additionally, 21Shares’ Core Ethereum ETF proposal to include staking has also been postponed.

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New Applications and Market Race Intensify

Despite these delays, the SEC has acknowledged new filings, including Grayscale’s Hedera (HBAR) ETF and Bitwise’s updated Dogecoin (DOGE) filing. Moreover, on March 11, Franklin Templeton filed an S-1 Form for its own XRP ETF, further intensifying the altcoin ETF race.

Strong Approval Odds for 2025!

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart emphasized that these delays are part of standard procedure and should not raise concerns. He also noted that Paul Atkins has yet to be confirmed as the new SEC chair, which may have influenced the delay timeline.

In February, Seyffart and Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas published their approval probability estimates for Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) ETFs. According to their analysis, Litecoin (LTC) leads with a 90% chance of approval in 2025, followed by Dogecoin (DOGE) at 75%. Solana (SOL) has a 70% probability, while XRP holds a 65% chance of approval.

The analysts highlighted that these approval odds were below 5% before Donald Trump’s election victory in November. Since then, regulatory sentiment has shifted, significantly increasing the likelihood of ETF approvals. If the regulatory environment continues to improve in the US, these odds may rise even further.

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Crypto Market Continues to Fall! Where is the Critical Bitcoin Support?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Tue, 11 Mar 2025 11:30:21 +0000

A sharp wave of selling pressure hit the cryptocurrency markets yesterday. Bitcoin plunged in a short period from $83,000 down to $76,000, registering a decline of approximately 8%. This significant pullback has raised concerns among investors, shifting the focus to potential reversal points and key levels for a recovery. So, how much further can this decline go, and where could buyers step in?

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

One of the standout developments during this decline was Bitcoin losing the $86,641 support. After breaking this critical level, Bitcoin performed a retest move, then dropped towards the next support level—the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Bitcoin has now completely filled this FVG zone and appears to have found temporary support. As of today, Bitcoin has recovered by 4%, climbing back to around $81,000.

However, uncertainty remains high. The most critical support level for Bitcoin lies within the lower bullish FVG zone. Specifically, the $73,468 support is seen as a crucial threshold for the coming days. Previously, breaking above this zone had triggered a rally that took Bitcoin all the way to $100,000. As a result, this area will be closely watched by market participants.

BTC/USD daily chart.

If Bitcoin loses the $73,468 level, the next potential downside target could be around $65,000. This zone acted as a significant support level before the last major rally and could once again attract buyers. However, a drop to these levels could also trigger another wave of selling pressure in the market.

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Ethereum Update

Alongside Bitcoin’s sharp movements, Ethereum (ETH) also suffered significant losses. As highlighted in previous analyses, losing the $2,037 – $1,927 support range pushed the price down to $1,700. Currently, Ethereum is trading around $1,921, trying to reclaim the $1,927 support.

A successful reclaim of this support level could lead Ethereum back above $2,000 in the short term. The $2,108 resistance level is the next key hurdle. If Ethereum breaks above this resistance, it may set its sights on $2,500 once again.

ETH/USDT daily chart.

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