Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Are Almost Entirely Underwater

According to Glassnode, short-term holders are defined as addresses holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days. Based on this definition, most coins acquired after June 15—when Bitcoin was trading near 104,000 dollars—are now priced above the current spot level.

As of December 2025, approximately 2.8 million BTC held by short-term investors is sitting at a loss. This marks the largest short-term loss supply recorded since the FTX collapse in November 2022, when Bitcoin was trading near 15,000 dollars.

Throughout most of 2025, short-term Bitcoin investors remained largely profitable. On-chain data shows that roughly two-thirds of trading days during the year saw short-term holders in profit.

That trend, however, reversed sharply in the final quarter. Rising price volatility pushed unrealized losses among short-term positions to nearly 12 percent, rapidly shifting previously profitable investors into negative territory.

Price Correction Remains Within Bull Market Norms

Bitcoin has declined roughly 25 percent from its all-time high reached in October. Historically, this magnitude aligns with typical bull market corrections, which tend to range between 20 and 30 percent.

Despite this, the impact has been disproportionately felt by short-term holders. Nearly all recent purchases have slipped into loss, highlighting the heightened liquidity sensitivity of short-term positioning.

Long-Term Holders Move Into Distribution

In contrast to short-term holders, long-term investors continued a gradual distribution trend throughout 2025. Glassnode data shows long-term holder supply falling from 14,755,530 BTC in July to 14,302,998 BTC by mid-November, a reduction of approximately 452,532 BTC.

Bitcoin OG and Fragrant Board Director Nicholas Gregory commented on the trend:

“Many long-term holders chose to sell in 2025 after years of accumulation. These decisions were driven more by lifestyle and liquidity considerations than by negative views on Bitcoin.”

According to Gregory, the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs and sustained prices above 100,000 dollars created an attractive and highly liquid exit window for long-term investors.

US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Show Notable Divergence

Despite the price pullback, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs remained relatively resilient. When measured in BTC terms, total assets under management declined modestly from a peak of 1.38 million BTC on October 10 to approximately 1.33 million BTC, a drop of just 3.6 percent.

Checkonchain data indicates that measuring ETF AUM in BTC terms helps filter out price volatility effects. This divergence suggests that the recent decline was driven more by spot market behavior among holders than by sustained ETF outflows.

What Market Behavior Is Signaling

Current conditions show short-term investor sentiment under significant pressure, while long-term capital continues to operate with a more structured, time-based strategy.

The concentration of short-term losses indicates that market stress has yet to fully unwind. As a result, Bitcoin may continue to experience elevated volatility in the near term.

When viewed together, these signals suggest the recent price action extends beyond a temporary fluctuation. The shift of short-term holders into loss reflects a clear deterioration in short-term market sentiment.

In summary, the current landscape reflects more than simple price movement. It offers critical on-chain signals for investors monitoring potential directional shifts.

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The post Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Hit FTX-Level Losses appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Investor Psychology and Bitcoin’s Growth

Kiyosaki emphasized that short-term losses often cloud investors’ perception of long-term growth. Using his own Coinbase example, he explained how his portfolio showed millions in Bitcoin holdings, yet a friend only focused on temporary value drops.

He stated, “Losers are more afraid of losing than of being rich.” According to Kiyosaki, this fear limits financial freedom. He believes that emotional discipline and patience are key traits for thriving in volatile markets like crypto.

Supporters and Critics React

Kiyosaki’s comments sparked mixed reactions within the crypto community. Supporters praised his focus on long-term vision and EQ, with one X user writing:

“Winners walk away. Losers get closer. EQ always beats IQ.”

This reflects the idea that patient, psychologically aware investors can benefit from volatility.

However, critics pointed out factual errors and Kiyosaki’s history of inaccurate forecasts. One Reddit post even charted his past market predictions, showing where they diverged from actual S&P 500 performance.

Market Outlook: Bitcoin’s 2025 Potential

Analysts say Kiyosaki’s projection aligns with growing optimism among certain investor circles. Yet, volatility and regulatory uncertainty remain major factors.

Behavioral finance experts note that loss aversion and fear often outweigh logic in decision-making. Kiyosaki’s emphasis on EQ reminds investors to separate emotion from strategy—recognizing dips without reacting impulsively.

Bullet List: EQ-Driven Investing Tips for 2025

• Focus on long-term gains, not temporary losses

• Keep emotions in check during volatility

• Maintain discipline and patience under pressure

• Treat market dips as strategic opportunities

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The post Robert Kiyosaki Predicts Bitcoin Could Hit $200K by 2025 appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Support Levels Breached, Eyes On The Next Zone

After breaking a minor upward trend on the daily chart, Tether Dominance pulled back to the 4.44% support level. Failing to hold this line, it dropped further into the critical 4.19% – 4.07% range.

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This area is seen as a key psychological zone by many traders. A confirmed break below 4.07% could push Tether Dominance down to 3.95%, which may indicate a stronger capital shift into cryptocurrencies and signal a potential rally.

Range-Bound Movement May Continue

In the short term, Tether Dominance is expected to move within the 4.07% to 4.44% band. This range-bound behavior points to a market lacking a clear direction, leading to cautious trading behavior from both buyers and sellers.

During this period, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to show sideways movement rather than strong trends. Traders should remain cautious and monitor this band closely for signs of a breakout or further decline.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Tether Dominance Approaches Critical Support: Market Stuck In Limbo appeared first on Coin Engineer.

What Is the Fear and Greed Index?

The Fear and Greed Index measures and analyzes investor sentiment in the market. Though also used in traditional finance, it’s especially popular in the crypto space, mainly focusing on Bitcoin. With a range from 0 to 100, it helps identify periods dominated by emotional decisions.

• 0–24: Extreme Fear
• 25–49: Fear
• 50–74: Greed
• 75–100: Extreme Greed

As shown in the chart above, a current value of 61 indicates a period of greed, reflecting strong risk appetite among investors.

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How Is It Useful? How Should It Be Interpreted?

The Fear and Greed Index reflects collective investor behavior, helping traders and analysts make informed decisions. For instance:

• Extreme fear usually aligns with market sell-offs and can present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
• Extreme greed often indicates market overconfidence and the potential for corrections.

That’s why many experts recommend a contrarian approach: “Buy when there’s fear, sell when there’s greed.”

Why Should You Monitor the Fear and Greed Index?

Crypto markets are highly reactive to news, social media, and sudden events. Since price movements often reflect emotions more than fundamentals, tools like the Fear and Greed Index are vital for identifying emotional swings.

Sharp moves in major coins like Bitcoin or Ethereum can cause the index to shift dramatically. For short-term traders, these changes can offer valuable timing insights for entering or exiting positions.,

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post What Is the Fear and Greed Index? Why Does It Matter So Much? appeared first on Coin Engineer.