The delegation included US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, meeting China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng. The talks center around rare earth exports from China and Beijing’s access to advanced US technologies, particularly semiconductor chips.

Tariff Truce At Risk?

Although a temporary tariff truce was brokered in Geneva last month, accusations of non-compliance have followed quickly. Greer claimed China failed to remove export restrictions on rare earth magnets. Meanwhile, Beijing argued the US violated the agreement by halting sales of chip design software, discouraging the use of components from Huawei, and restricting student visas.

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The US had reduced tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% while China lowered its rates to 10%, both agreeing on a 90-day period to negotiate a full deal. Yet, both sides have since accused one another of backtracking.

Leadership Dialogue Offers Hope

The current meeting follows a rare phone call between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping—the first direct contact since the trade war began in February. Trump described it as “a very good talk,” adding that Xi agreed to resume trade in rare earth materials.

However, White House Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told CBS News that while exports have resumed, they still fall short of what was agreed in Geneva.

Economic Stakes Are Global

With China responsible for mining 69% of the world’s rare earth elements—used in everything from smartphones to electric vehicles—any shift in supply dynamics will ripple across global markets.

Prior to this round of talks, He Lifeng also met with UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves, discussing closer cooperation on finance and economics.

Meanwhile, Trump‘s aggressive trade policy has raised concerns among economists. The OECD recently revised its global growth forecast downward to 2.9%, citing rising trade barriers.

New data from Beijing revealed May exports rose 4.8% year-over-year, while imports fell 3.4%—a much steeper decline than expected.

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Positive Signals, But No Market Impact Yet

Following two days of high-level negotiations, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer described the talks as productive and constructive. Bessent confirmed that even President Trump had been fully briefed on the progress, underscoring the White House’s close involvement.

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Greer noted that the agreement came faster than expected, suggesting that the differences between the two nations may not have been as significant as previously thought. Still, the real impact of this agreement will become clearer with tomorrow’s expected full briefing, where deal specifics are to be unveiled.

Bitcoin Holds Below 104,766$ Resistance

In crypto markets, all eyes are on Bitcoin (BTC). Despite the positive geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin has failed to break above the 104,766$ resistance level in the daily chart.

Should BTC manage to push past this ceiling, the potential for a new All-Time High (ATH) becomes plausible. Conversely, rejection at this level could lead to a downward move toward the 99,172$ support zone, which has historically acted as a key level of demand.

While geopolitical developments often stir market volatility, the muted reaction from Bitcoin suggests that traders are waiting for more clarity. The details expected in tomorrow’s announcement could serve as a catalyst for a significant move — either a breakout or a retracement — in the crypto space.

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The post After Trade Agreements: Is Bitcoin Ready to Rise? appeared first on Coin Engineer.