Bitcoin Bull Index Signals Neutral Sentiment 

The Bitcoin Bull Score Index recovered from 20 to 50 in recent days, moving market sentiment from bearish to neutral. Analysts note that the index must rise above 60 to confirm bullish conditions. In late August, Bitcoin broke key support levels, falling from $120K to below $108K. 

Additionally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index climbed from 48 to 52, reinforcing the neutral mood. This shift indicates that investors are positioning cautiously ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. Importantly, Bitcoin now trades steadily above $115K, showing signs of resilience. 

Investors Await Fed Rate Cut Decision 

Crypto traders are watching the Federal Reserve’s September 17 meeting closely. Markets widely expect a 25 basis point rate cut, but a larger reduction would likely spark stronger moves across crypto assets. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin trading volume jumped 54% in the last 24 hours, signaling renewed activity. BTC traded between $114,461 and $116,747 intraday, holding firm near the upper range. This reflects increasing interest in both Bitcoin and the wider crypto market analysis. 

Court Blocks Trump, Protects Fed Independence 

The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia stopped President Trump from removing Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Judge Jia Cobb issued an order ensuring that Cook maintains her voting rights in the FOMC meeting. The court also required Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the Board of Governors to protect her full rights. 

At the same time, the Senate confirmed Trump’s nominee Stephen Miran as a new Fed Governor. This means both Cook and Miran will vote at the upcoming FOMC meeting, underlining the importance of Fed independence for monetary policy. 

Key Takeaways 

• Bitcoin Bull Score Index rose from 20 to 50, signaling neutral sentiment. 
• Fear & Greed Index increased to 52, reflecting cautious optimism. 
• Court blocked Trump from removing Lisa Cook before the FOMC. 
• BTC price holds above $115K as traders await the Fed decision. 

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Bitcoin Bull Index Falls as BTC Holds Above $115K! appeared first on Coin Engineer.

25 Basis Point Rate Cut Expected 

Market pricing shows near certainty that the Fed will cut its policy rate by 25 basis points this week. Traders also expect three more cuts by year-end and at least three additional reductions in 2026. The latest CPI data came in line with forecasts, rising 0.4% month-over-month and 2.9% annually. Core CPI stood at 3.1% year-over-year. 

Despite this, most economists believe a larger-scale cut is unlikely in the short term. Powell’s press conference following the decision will play a critical role in shaping expectations for the rest of the year. 

Trump–Powell Tensions 

President Trump criticized Powell as “inadequate” and called for an “immediate and significant cut.” He argued that while energy and food prices are easing, the housing market is being left behind due to high rates. Reports in U.S. media also claim Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been exploring potential successors to Powell. 

Trump’s remarks have heightened political pressure on the Fed, reigniting debates about its independence and raising new questions over the credibility of the U.S. dollar. 

The Lisa Cook Case and New Evidence 

The Trump administration has sought to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged “deceptive and potentially criminal” mortgage disclosures. Cook countered that the removal order exceeded presidential authority and violated her due process rights. On September 9, a federal court granted an injunction preventing her removal. 

The administration has appealed the decision. However, newly published documents by NBC may weaken the government’s case. A May 2021 loan summary showed Cook’s Atlanta property listed as a vacation home—supporting her claim that it was declared as a second residence. The evidence could undermine allegations of misrepresentation in her mortgage filings. 

Candidates for Powell’s Successor 

Powell’s term expires in May 2026, and speculation about his successor is already heating up. Reported frontrunners include Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Kevin Waller, while BlackRock executive Rick Rieder is also emerging as a strong candidate. 

These developments place Fed independence and market credibility under intense scrutiny. Ahead of the decision, both political pressures and legal battles remain in sharp focus for global investors. 

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Fed Rate Decision: What Will Happen Amid Trump Tensions? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

A 25 Basis Point Cut Seen as the Base Case

According to Bassi, the most likely outcome is a 25 basis point rate cut. Despite weaker labor market figures, he noted that inflation remains stubbornly high, which makes a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction far less likely.

Recession Odds and Market Sentiment

Bassi currently estimates the probability of a U.S. recession at around 40%. Still, financial markets expect only a modest easing cycle due to concerns over growth risks. He also touched on political dynamics, referencing the removal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook, but emphasized that the central bank’s independence remains intact.

If the current signs of weakness prove to be temporary, Bassi expects the Fed to pursue a shallow rate-cutting path, which could result in limited pullbacks in risk assets and a stronger U.S. dollar.

Markets Price in a High Probability of a Cut

Investor expectations strongly align with Bassi’s view. Futures markets now assign an 88% probability to a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting. This conviction has been reinforced by the release of disappointing labor market data: just 22,000 jobs added in August and an unemployment rate rising to 4.3%.

Other Institutions Weigh In

• Citi Chief Economist Andrew Hollenhorst argued that weak data supports rate cuts but does not justify a larger 50 basis point move.

• Nomura’s David Seif suggested the Fed could pursue so-called “insurance cuts” to guard against labor market weakness.

• Apollo’s Chief Economist Torsten Slok projected that despite inflation remaining above target, the easing cycle is likely to continue.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post JPMorgan Outlines Expectations for the Fed’s September Meeting appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Fed Independence in Question: A Catalyst for Gold

According to Goldman Sachs analysts, any erosion of the Federal Reserve’s independence could trigger a powerful new rally for gold. The bank emphasized that even a minor shift of capital out of U.S. Treasuries into bullion would be enough to send prices sharply higher.

Samantha Dart, one of the leading voices behind the report, noted:
“If just 1% of the U.S. Treasury market were to flow into gold, we estimate that the price could reach nearly $5,000 per ounce.”

Gold as a Value Anchor

The report highlighted one of gold’s enduring strengths: it does not rely on institutional trust. Analysts explained that if Fed credibility were undermined, it could result in higher inflation, weaker equities, declining long-term bond prices, and erosion of the dollar’s reserve currency status. In contrast, gold remains a reliable store of value outside institutional structures.

Political Pressures Stir Market Anxiety

Recent political dynamics have only intensified concerns. President Donald Trump’s attempts to exert greater control over the Fed—including efforts to remove board member Lisa Cook—have sparked debate about the central bank’s autonomy. While Cook has resisted such moves and pursued legal action, the episode is being closely monitored as no Fed governor has ever been removed in U.S. history.

Adding to the discussion, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned that weakening the Fed’s institutional resilience could pose a “serious threat” to the global financial system.

Three Scenarios: $4,000, $4,500, and $5,000

Goldman Sachs outlined three potential paths for gold prices:

• Base Case: $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026

• Upside Case: $4,500 per ounce

• Tail-Risk Scenario: Close to $5,000 per ounce (if 1% of U.S. Treasuries shift to gold)

The bank reiterated that gold remains its highest-conviction long recommendation in the commodities sector.

Central Bank Buying and Rate Cut Bets Fueling Momentum

Much of gold’s strength this year has been driven by robust central bank purchases and market expectations that the Fed will soon move toward interest rate cuts. These factors, combined with political uncertainty and rising demand for safe-haven assets, have reinforced gold’s status as one of the best-performing commodities in 2025.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Bold Forecast for Gold: Goldman Sachs Updates Its Outlook appeared first on Coin Engineer.