Citi Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $199,000 by Year-End

Emre Yumlu — Fri, 25 Jul 2025 12:00:47 +0000

In a bold move that reignites bullish sentiment in the crypto markets, Wall Street giant Citi has updated its year-end price target for Bitcoin, forecasting that the leading cryptocurrency could soar to $135,000 by the end of 2025. In a more optimistic scenario, the bank even sees potential for BTC to climb as high as $199,000.

What’s Driving This Forecast?

According to Citi’s latest research, the revised projection is based on three core factors:

User adoption growth
Global macroeconomic trends
Demand for spot ETFs

The bank’s analysts model a 20% increase in Bitcoin network adoption, which creates a linear network effect. Alone, this factor could add approximately $75,000 to the current price level.

On the downside, weakening equities and gold performance could shave off about $3,200 from the price projection. However, an estimated $15 billion in ETF inflows is expected to add nearly $63,000 in value. Taken together, these assumptions result in a base case estimate of $135,000 per Bitcoin.

ETF Flows Becoming a Major Price Driver

Citi emphasizes that spot Bitcoin ETFs, which were approved in the U.S. in January 2024, now play a far more significant role in driving price action. Recent data suggests that over 40% of BTC’s price movements are directly influenced by ETF flows.

This surge in institutional interest is accelerating Bitcoin’s integration into traditional finance. Citi highlights that as Bitcoin becomes more entrenched in indexes, faces fewer regulatory hurdles, and attracts larger institutional investors, its price is now being shaped as much by capital flows as by its technological adoption.

The Risk Is to the Upside

Citi’s analysts believe the risk to their forecast is tilted upwards. While user activity is declining at a slower rate than expected, ETF demand is growing faster than anticipated. This combination suggests that network effects could persist longer than previously modeled — adding further bullish momentum.

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Critical Levels for Ethereum! Will ETH Continue to Decline?

Yigit Taha OZTURK — Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:30:03 +0000

The crypto market has experienced sharp declines, led by Bitcoin (BTC). However, one of the most affected assets in this downturn was Ethereum (ETH). Experts have shared critical insights about ETH’s future, warning investors of possible further drops.

Can ETH Price Drop Even Further?

Andrew Kang, co-founder of Mechanism Capital, predicts that ETH could decline to the $2,200 – $2,400 range. According to Kang, the $2,900 – $3,000 range will act as a short-term resistance level for Ethereum.

The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions have led to high volatility in ETH and other cryptocurrencies. Donald Trump’s recent tariff policies against China have fueled market concerns, triggering massive sell-offs.

Are Whales Selling Ethereum?

With ETH’s recent decline, on-chain data suggests that large investors are reducing their ETH holdings. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, reported that wallets holding 100,000 ETH or more have been selling off significantly. Even wallets containing over 1 million ETH have also started liquidating their holdings.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) continues to rise as Ethereum’s biggest competitor. With the success of platforms like Pump.fun, Solana has become a strong alternative in the DeFi and NFT ecosystems.

Critical Levels in ETH/BTC Pair

Ethereum’s performance against Bitcoin (BTC) is also causing concern among investors. Since the Merge, the ETH/BTC pair has lost around 70% of its value. Technical analysis suggests that ETH/BTC is currently testing the 0.024-0.023 BTC support level.

According to experts, if ETH fails to hold this level, it could drop to 0.020 BTC. However, a potential rebound toward the 50-week EMA level remains possible.

To regain market dominance, Ethereum must see increased blockchain activity and wider adoption.

Ethereum’s short-term trajectory remains uncertain. Whale movements, macro-economic developments, and Bitcoin’s price action will continue to play a crucial role in ETH’s future. Investors should remain cautious about a potential drop toward $2,400!

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