Token unlocks refer to the release of tokens belonging to founding teams, early investors, community funds, and reserve pools. Since these events can create selling pressure, investors typically monitor them closely. Below is a detailed breakdown of the unlock schedule with extended explanations.

ZK — November 17

• Unlock value: $8.15 million
• 39% of circulating supply will be released
• Tokens mainly come from early investors and team allocations, posing a short-term sell pressure risk
• Although the ZK ecosystem is growing, such unlocks often create temporary volatility

APE — November 17

• Unlock value: $2.97 million
• Unlock ratio: 91%, relatively low
• Tokens come from community, team, and reserve pools
• Impact may be limited but could still trigger short-term price moves depending on liquidity

MELANIA — November 18

• Unlock value: $3.85 million
• 14% of circulating supply will be unlocked
• Tokens are coming from the founding team, which may pressure investor confidence
• Team unlocks typically have higher sell potential and may cause sudden price swings

YZY — November 19

• Unlock value: $14.13 million
• 85%, the highest percentage unlock of the week
• Such a high ratio could cause serious selling pressure
• Large circulating supply release may lead to sharp short-term price drops
• Private investor behavior will be key in volatility

ZRO — November 20

• Largest unlock of the week: $38.31 million
• Unlock ratio: 13%, significantly high
• Tokens released from community, team, and private investors
• Strong potential for heavy selling pressure
• Expect sharp and potentially volatile price action around the unlock

KAITO — November 20

• Unlock value: $5.56 million
• 96% of supply will be released
• Despite strong interest in AI-related projects, a mild pullback post-unlock is reasonable
• Most tokens come from community and reserve allocations

MBG — November 22

• Unlock value: $7.47 million
• Unlock ratio: 19%, considerably high
• Such an unlock in lower-liquidity projects typically leads to strong price pressure
• Short-term selling intensity is likely after the unlock

UDS — November 23

• Unlock value: $4.17 million
• Unlock ratio: 70%, one of the lowest this week
• Tokens come from community and reserve pools
• Impact expected to be modest, but smaller-cap tokens can still experience short-term volatility

Overall Assessment

This week’s $84.5 million total unlock volume could significantly impact ZRO, YZY, and MBG in particular:

• ZRO’s $38.31M unlock poses the biggest liquidity risk
• YZY releasing 85% of its supply could trigger heavy selling
• MBG’s 19% unlock is large enough to cause notable short-term price movement

Generally, high-percentage unlocks create stronger selling pressure, while lower-percentage unlocks tend to have limited impact. Investors should remain cautious, especially in projects where a large portion of the circulating supply will be released at once.

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Token History and Silent Sales

Blockchain analysts note that the recent post does not resolve questions regarding the project’s past multi-million-dollar silent token sales. On April 7, the MELANIA team reportedly moved $30 million of community funds without making any announcement. These sales were executed using a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, which involves buying and selling fixed amounts of assets at regular intervals.

From an investor perspective, this raises concerns about the project’s lack of transparency and uncertainties in fund management. Analysts emphasize that moving community funds without disclosure could negatively impact the token’s long-term credibility.

Price Performance and Market Reaction

Since its launch in January 2025, the MELANIA token has lost nearly all of its value in the crypto market. According to CoinMarketCap, the token was trading at $0.18 at the time of reporting. This represents:

• Approximately 90% loss since launch
• A 98% decline from its all-time high of $13.73

Investors and analysts point out that this dramatic price drop increases investment risk and that rebuilding community trust in the project could take a long time.

Expert Opinions

Crypto analysts note that Melania Trump’s social media reintroduction could generate short-term activity in terms of community engagement and social volume. However, they warn that the token carries significant long-term risks due to past silent sales and non-transparent management.

• Short-term activity: The promotion may increase community interest and trigger temporary price spikes.
• Long-term uncertainty: The project’s sustainability depends on factors such as liquidity management, real-world use cases, and transparent communication.
• Investor advice: Analysts recommend that investors carefully evaluate the project’s historical performance and risks, avoiding the FOMO (fear of missing out) trap.

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Memecoin Madness: LIBRA and Poor Launches Cooling Investor Interest

According to CoinGecko founder Bobby Ong, interest in memecoins appears to have cooled due to bad launches and rug pulls. In a March 6 report, Ong noted that metrics for the Pump.fun platform dropped by 90% following the Libra (LIBRA) rug pull. The launches of TRUMP and MELANIA marked the peak of this trend, as liquidity was drained from other cryptocurrencies.

At the time, Pump.fun reached an all-time high of $3.3 billion in weekly trading volume, but volumes fell by 63% from January to February. CoinMarketCap data shows that the total market cap of these coins dropped from $124 billion to $54 billion.

Ong stated that after Libra’s launch, insiders cashed out $107 million, wiping out 94% of the token’s value, which ended the memecoin craze.

Seasonal, But Survivors May Endure

Ong notes that while these coins are “always going to be seasonal,” some will continue to survive despite fluctuating market cycles.

In February, onchain analytics platform Santiment observed that interest in memecoins had waned, with attention shifting back to Bitcoin, Ether, and other layer-1 altcoins, signaling a healthier market cycle for crypto.

Ong speculates that the market may be heading toward an “extreme case of power law,” where 99.99% fail, and a few coins rise to the top and endure.

“Coins like DOGE, SHIB, and BONK have weathered market cycles and offer lessons for memecoin creators looking to build long-term assets,” Ong said.

“The most successful memes are those that have managed to build cult-like communities, passionately dedicated to a cause, who won’t sell and can create content or stories organically.”

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Libra Token’s Collapse and Huge Losses

The Libra token experienced a sharp collapse immediately after its launch. Insider investors cashed out $107 million in liquidity within just 3 hours, leading to a $4 billion market cap wipeout. Jupiter Exchange acknowledged being informed of the token’s impending launch by Milei’s personal tweets, but emphasized that they had no involvement in the insider activities that followed.

Insider Trading Investigation Underway

Milei has requested the Anti-Corruption Office to investigate potential misconduct by government members, including himself, after endorsing the Libra token, which turned into a $100 million rug pull. Political opponents have called for Milei’s impeachment following his support for the controversial token.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Blockchain analysis firm Bubblemaps revealed that Libra token had flawed tokenomics, with 82% of the supply being unlocked and sellable from the beginning. This contributed to the token’s rapid collapse, as early investors quickly sold off their holdings, exacerbating the crash.

Meme Coin Investments and Growing Trends

The collapse of Libra token added fuel to the growing trend of celebrity-endorsed memecoin investments, such as Donald Trump’s TRUMP token and Melania Trump’s MELANIA token. However, these tokens have seen massive losses as well, with TRUMP down 76% and MELANIA down 90% from their all-time highs.

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Upcoming Lock Expansions and their Impact

February 7, 2025

• SUI (Sui): SUI 378,060 ($1.26M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.01
• GRT (The Graph): GRT 72.52M ($10.18M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.76
• WLD (Worldcoin): 3.42M WLD ($4.21M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.33

February 9, 2025

• TIA (Celestia): TIA 998,404 ($3.04M) → Market capitalization impact: 0.19

February 12, 2025

• IMX (Immutable X): 27.92M IMX ($22.75M) → Market capitalization impact: 1.60

February 13, 2025

• APE (ApeCoin): 15.60M APE ($11.31M) → Market capitalization impact: 2.07
• MELANIA: 70.00M MELANIA ($91.56M) → Market capitalization impact: 46.67

February 14, 2025

• PLUME: 110.43M PLUME ($15.54M) → Market capitalization impact: 5.52

Possible Market Impacts

Large unlocks can create significant selling pressure, especially in projects like MELANIA (46.67%) and PLUME (5.52%). Tokens with such large unlocks are closely watched by investors and a possible wave of selling could cause significant fluctuations in the price.

Tokens like SUI, GRT and TIA, which have lower open rates, may affect prices to some extent, but do not carry the risk of a large-scale drop. In these projects, it is important for investors to be more cautious about expansions and observe the volume situation.

On the other hand, token launches in large projects like IMX and APE could put moderate pressure on prices. In particular, the movements of large investors (whales) can play a key role in determining how these assets are priced in the market.

Such key breakout data provides important signals for investors. It is critical to follow market movements and be cautious about price fluctuations that may occur after openings.

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Unlocking Events

A major event in February will be the unlocking of MELANIA, the official meme coin of Melania Trump, the First Lady of the United States. On February 20, 61.25 million MELANIA tokens will be released into circulation, which accounts for 40.81% of the total supply.

Another significant unlocking will occur with SUI. On the night of February 28 to March 1, 64.2 million SUI tokens, worth $260 million, will be released, representing 2.08% of the circulating supply.

Details of 19 Altcoin Unlocking Events

1. ENA: 40.6 million ENA tokens, valued at $30.1 million, will account for 1.34% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 2.
2. XDC: 841 million XDC tokens, valued at $88.5 million, will account for 5.36% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 5.
3. MOVE: 50 million MOVE tokens, valued at $36.9 million, will account for 2.17% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 9.
4. APT: 11.3 million APT tokens, valued at $85.6 million, will account for 1.97% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 10.
5. ATH: 630 million ATH tokens, valued at $33 million, will account for 10.21% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 12.
6. SAND: 205.6 million SAND tokens, valued at $107.6 million, will account for 8.41% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 14.
7. STRK: 64 million STRK tokens, valued at $22.3 million, will account for 2.48% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 15.
8. SEI: 55.6 million SEI tokens, valued at $18.1 million, will account for 1.25% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 15.
9. XCN: 296.4 million XCN tokens, valued at $9.8 million, will account for 0.91% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 15.
10. AVAX: 1.67 million AVAX tokens, valued at $57.1 million, will account for 0.40% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 16.
11. ARB: 92.7 million ARB tokens, valued at $58 million, will account for 2.13% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 16.
12. APE: 15.6 million APE tokens, valued at $15.8 million, will account for 2.16% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 17.
13. QAI: 0.57 million QAI tokens, valued at $50.6 million, will account for 11.66% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 18.
14. MELANIA: 61.3 million MELANIA tokens, valued at $109 million, will account for 40.81% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 20.
15. FTN: 20 million FTN tokens, valued at $78 million, will account for 4.66% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 21.
16. MRS: 10 million MRS tokens, valued at $30 million, will account for 11.87% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 21.
17. IMX: 24.5 million IMX tokens, valued at $27.5 million, will account for 1.41% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 21.
18. OP: 31.3 million OP tokens, valued at $44.5 million, will account for 2.32% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on February 28.
19. SUI: 64.2 million SUI tokens, valued at $260 million, will account for 2.08% of the circulating supply. Unlocking event on March 1.

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Following the major launches of Official Trump (TRUMP) by Donald Trump on January 18 and Official Melania (MELANIA) by Melania Trump on January 19 on the Solana (SOL) network, Errol Musk announced his own memecoin project, Musk It (MUSKIT). Musk aims to raise $200 million from this project, which will fund his for-profit think tank, the Musk Institute.

Musk It Token’s Performance

The Musk It (MUSKIT) token was quietly launched on December 12, 2024, by a Middle Eastern cryptocurrency company. However, it failed to attract significant attention and has lost over 52% of its value, now trading at $0.02. According to current data, the token’s market capitalization stands at $25 million.

Errol Musk clarified that his son, Elon Musk, has no involvement in the Musk It project.

Can Musk It Succeed Without Elon Musk’s Endorsement?

Despite the influence of the Musk surname, experts believe that Musk It (MUSKIT) may struggle to succeed without Elon Musk’s direct involvement.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Blockchain expert Anndy Lian commented to Cointelegraph that he believes Musk It may not reach the same heights as the Trump family’s memecoins, as those gained traction due to their direct association with the Trump brand:

“Without Elon Musk’s personal endorsement, this project may not attract enough attention.”

Nevertheless, investors are expected to continue showing interest in memecoin projects with high return potential, viewing them as the “lottery tickets” of the crypto world.

For instance, on December 14, an investor turned $27 into $52 million by capitalizing on the PEPE token rally. Similarly, on January 6, another trader transformed a $2,000 investment into $3.2 million in just 10 hours on the Hyperfy (HYPER) metaverse token, achieving over 1,500x returns.

Why Are Memecoins So Popular?

Following dips in the crypto markets, investors often seek out new opportunities for quick gains, which leads them to memecoins. However, these tokens often experience significant volatility due to their lack of utility.

Despite this, some traders are able to capitalize on the volatility of memecoins and achieve substantial profits.

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Solana-based memecoin launchpad Pump.fun reached an all-time high of $3.3 billion in weekly trading volume, driven by Trump-themed memecoins.

On January 23 alone, trading volume soared past $544 million, breaking previous records, according to Dune Analytics data.

Pump.fun’s Previous Weekly Trading Volume Record Was Set in November

Trump-themed Memecoins Set Solana’s Largest Weekly Volume on Pump.fun

The chaos began around January 18 when Trump introduced his own TRUMP memecoin and launched the MELANIA token the day before his January 20 inauguration.

Trump’s token launches triggered a surge in memecoin speculation, leading to an explosion of knockoff tokens. Security firm Blockaid reported that the number of cryptocurrencies with “Trump” in their names surged from 3,300 to 6,800 shortly after the launch of Trump’s official token.

A study of the new coins revealed that at least 61 attempted to deceive investors by copying symbols, branding, or descriptions to appear official. Trump acknowledged only TRUMP and MELANIA as legitimate, but traders speculated on the potential launch of follow-up tokens bearing the names of his other family members.

This trend spread to Solana’s memecoin launchpad Pump.fun. A “Barron Trump” token briefly soared to a $27 million valuation before dropping below $4 million.

Unofficial Barron Trump Token on Pump.fun Surges Before Tanking

Pump.fun: High Revenue and Legal Issues

Previous research has shown that bot activities inflated Solana’s trading metrics, with memecoin creators using them to attract investors. Pump.fun’s rapid rise has caught the attention of Burwick Law. The law firm has threatened to initiate legal action on behalf of investors.

Memecoin rug pulls and speculative blowups have led to investor losses while the platform collects hefty fees. Additionally, the livestream feature was shut down due to promoters using shocking tactics to drive memecoin prices up.

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TRUMP Token Slumps After Donald Trump’s Inauguration

The Official TRUMP (TRUMP) token slid by 50% after US President Donald Trump made no crypto-related “day one” executive orders. The token had peaked above $78 on January 19 but dropped to $37 after the inauguration, a 30% decline over the last 24 hours.

Melania Meme (MELANIA) token, launched by Melania Trump, has fallen around 70% from its peak and now trades below $5.

Broader Memecoin Market Declines

Dogecoin (DOGE) also saw a decline of around 11% in the last 24 hours. However, Dogecoin resisted the broader downtrend slightly better than others.

The TRUMP token’s market cap, which reached as high as $20 billion on January 18, now stands at $7.5 billion, a 65% drop. Similarly, MELANIA token’s market cap has fallen to $819 million from a high of $2.21 billion on January 20. This has led to a decline in the total market cap of the memecoin sector to $102 billion, its lowest level since January 15.

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The total daily trading volume across the memecoin sector nearly halved, indicating increased selling pressure. Both TRUMP and MELANIA tokens saw high trading volumes, with TRUMP at $25 billion and MELANIA at $2.4 billion, showing that profit-taking continued.

Open Interest (OI) Drops for Memecoins

The drop in TRUMP and MELANIA token prices was accompanied by a decrease in open interest (OI), with MELANIA leading the decline at 32%. DOGE’s OI also saw a drop of 12%, while TRUMP’s OI decreased by 23%. This signals a bearish momentum as more contracts are closed, anticipating the trend will continue.

Technical Analysis of TRUMP Token

Technical analysts suggest that TRUMP token’s price may drop toward the $25-$30 range before embarking on a potential new upward movement. Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, predicts a possible bottom around $36 with declining sell pressure. Kwantxbt, a technical analyst, added that a trend reversal may occur if volume confirmation above $38 is observed.

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Highlights of MELANIA Coin

$MELANIA was announced by Melania Trump’s team on Sunday, along with a link to a website where the coins could be purchased. As of Monday morning, $MELANIA was trading at approximately $11.22, with a market cap of $2.15 billion. This valuation places the coin among the top 60 most valuable cryptocurrencies globally.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Shared, That Memecoin Flew: Up 500%!

The coin is distributed on the Solana blockchain by MKT World, a Florida-based company incorporated by Melania Trump in 2021. While details about the project are limited, the website states that 35% of the supply has been allocated to the team and will remain locked for the first 30 days.

What is the Purpose of MELANIA?

The purchase link shared by Melania Trump includes a disclaimer, stating that the coin is a “digital collectible intended to function as an expression of support for and engagement with the values represented by Melania and the associated artwork.” The statement also clarifies that the coin is not intended as an investment opportunity or security of any type.

Impact on TRUMP Coin

Following the launch of $MELANIA, the price of the $TRUMP Coin, launched by Donald Trump last Friday, dropped nearly 40% to around $35. On Sunday, $TRUMP had peaked at a market cap of $15 billion, but this value fell below $8 billion after $MELANIA was launched. However, the cryptocurrency managed to recover early Monday after Robinhood announced that $TRUMP was “now available for trading” on its platform. As of Monday morning, $TRUMP was trading at $53.12, giving it a market cap of $10.62 billion and placing it as the 18th most valuable crypto by market cap.

What Do We Know About TRUMP?

Donald Trump announced his meme coin’s launch in a Truth Social post on Friday night, stating: “My NEW Official Trump Meme is HERE! It’s time to celebrate everything we stand for: WINNING!” The coin’s price surged overnight, more than tripling by Saturday morning, and briefly surpassed $75 early Sunday. The project’s website notes that 200 million tokens were initially released, with the total supply expected to gradually grow to 1 billion over the next three years. The remaining 800 million tokens are currently held by Trump Organization affiliates CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, which was incorporated in Delaware on January 7.

As of Monday morning, a total of 450,653 crypto wallets were reported to hold $MELANIA, according to the Solscan tracker.

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