Especially the inflation data to be released in the US, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision, and tensions in the Middle East are among the topics closely followed by investors. How will Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies react?

Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision

The most important development of the week will be the Fed’s monetary policy meeting. Markets are focused not only on the central bank’s decision regarding interest rates but also on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s statements.

Expectations in the futures market indicate that the Fed will not make any changes to interest rates at this meeting. According to current forecasts, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is quite high.

Nevertheless, investors will closely monitor Powell’s assessments, particularly regarding the impact of developments related to Iran on energy prices and inflation. Concerns that rising energy prices could increase inflationary pressure have already weakened rate cut expectations.

Inflation Data and Economic Indicators

The Producer Price Index (PPI) data for February, to be released on Wednesday, also holds critical importance for the markets. This data can provide important signals about inflation trends as it reflects changes in production costs.

Analysts state that the PPI data is not expected to have a strong enough impact to change the Fed’s current tight monetary policy stance. Nevertheless, every new inflation indicator continues to influence rate expectations.

Later in the week, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and January new home sales data will be released. These indicators can provide additional clues about the overall health of the US economy.

Bitcoin Solid Stance: Middle East Tensions

In addition to economic developments, geopolitical risks are also on the markets’ agenda. Over the weekend, it was reported that the US carried out an attack on Iran’s Harg Island region, which is critical for the country’s oil industry.

Following this development, oil prices rose again, reaching approximately $100 per barrel. The increase in energy prices is seen as an important factor that could affect global inflation expectations.

On the other hand, US President Donald Trump is expected to announce the formation of a joint naval security coalition with certain countries to escort ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

The fact that all these developments are occurring within the same week is creating an environment of increased uncertainty in financial markets. Therefore, both upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments are evaluated as likely to lead to higher short-term fluctuations in the crypto markets.

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Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has gained more than 3%, pushing its price to around $73,700. With this move, the asset has managed to rise above the 50-day moving average, which was hovering near $71,125 at the time of the move.

Why the 50-Day Moving Average Matters

The 50-day moving average is one of the most widely used indicators in financial markets when assessing medium-term trends. Traders and analysts frequently rely on this metric to determine whether market sentiment is leaning bullish or bearish.

When an asset trades below this level for an extended period and then successfully breaks above it, the move is often interpreted as a potential signal of improving market conditions. Such breakouts can suggest that buying pressure is returning and that the market may be entering a new phase of upward momentum.

Market observers note that maintaining price action above this level in the coming days could be an important factor in confirming the strength of the current trend.

Resilience Despite Global Uncertainty

Bitcoin’s recent upward movement has taken place against a backdrop of global market volatility. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and developments related to Iran have contributed to fluctuations across financial markets, while several Asian equity markets have also experienced notable instability.

Despite these pressures, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience. The ability of the cryptocurrency to advance during a period of global uncertainty has drawn attention from investors who are increasingly evaluating digital assets within the broader macroeconomic landscape.

Can the Rally Continue?

Although breaking above the 50-day moving average is generally seen as a positive technical signal, it does not guarantee the continuation of a sustained uptrend.

Historical examples illustrate that similar breakouts have produced mixed outcomes. Earlier in the year, Bitcoin experienced a comparable move that led to an approximately 8% price increase. However, that rally lasted only about two weeks before selling pressure returned to the market.

For this reason, analysts caution that while the recent breakout is encouraging, it should not be viewed as definitive proof of a long-term bullish trend.

Focus Shifts to the $75,000 Level

If Bitcoin’s upward momentum continues, the next key level attracting market attention is $75,000. This area is particularly significant in derivatives markets, where a large concentration of positions is believed to exist.

Market makers are reportedly holding substantial short gamma exposure around this level. As prices move closer to $75,000, these participants may need to buy Bitcoin to rebalance their positions, a dynamic that could increase price volatility.

As a result, any approach toward the $75,000 mark may lead to heightened market activity and sharper price movements in the near term.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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Surge in Oil Prices Shakes Markets

Recent developments in energy markets have created a new wave of uncertainty in global markets. Brent crude oil prices rose more than 9%, reaching $101.59. The increase was largely driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Two oil tankers were reportedly attacked off the coast of Iraq, while Baghdad halted operations at its oil port, rapidly impacting markets. At the same time, reports of attacks on fuel tanks in Bahrain and the evacuation of ships from the important export terminal Mina Al Fahal in Oman raised serious concerns about energy supply. All these developments occurred shortly after the International Energy Agency (IEA) announced a plan to release 400 million barrels of emergency oil reserves. Although the United States is expected to contribute 172 million barrels, markets did not consider the move sufficient.

SPI Asset Management analyst Stephen Innes commented:

“Releasing oil from emergency stockpiles is more of a symbolic gesture than a real solution.”

According to prediction market platform Polymarket, investors believe oil prices could continue rising. The market currently prices an 82% probability that oil will remain around $100 until the end of March, while the chance of exceeding $110 is estimated at over 60%. These expectations indicate that upward risks in the energy market remain strong.

Bitcoin Failed to Act as a Safe Haven

Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin did not behave like traditional safe-haven assets. Since the Iran-centered conflict began on February 28, Bitcoin has moved more in line with risk assets rather than gold. Bitcoin was unable to maintain the $74,000 level reached during the first week of the conflict and subsequently moved downward. In addition, Bitcoin is currently down about 47% from its all-time high of $126,000 reached in October 2025. According to analysts, the main mechanism behind this situation is linked to energy prices. Rising oil prices increase inflation expectations, which in turn may force central banks to delay interest rate cuts. Delays in rate cuts can limit the liquidity that the crypto market typically relies on for growth.

Institutional Investors Continue Accumulating Bitcoin via ETFs

Despite Bitcoin’s weak price performance, institutional investors appear to be continuing accumulation through ETF products. According to data from SoSoValue, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows for three consecutive days.

The data shows:

• March 9: $167 million inflow
• March 10: $250.92 million inflow
• March 11: $115.17 million inflow

In total, $533 million in net inflows occurred within just three days. This suggests that institutional investors resumed buying after large outflows in previous days. According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, spot Bitcoin ETFs currently hold around 1.28 million BTC, making them one of the largest Bitcoin holders in the world. Total net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have reached approximately $56 billion.

Evaluation

One of the most critical upcoming developments for markets in the short term will be the core PCE inflation data. Expectations of a 0.4% monthly increase suggest that the Federal Reserve could maintain tight monetary policy for a longer period. At the same time, persistently high oil prices could further delay expectations of interest rate cuts. In the long term, however, geopolitical conflicts may affect the financial system differently. Historically, major wars involving the United States have often led to monetary expansion and looser central bank policies. If such a scenario occurs again, a new wave of liquidity could emerge for risk assets. Another important development is the growing use of crypto in sanctioned countries. According to Elliptic, Iran’s central bank reportedly held more than $500 million in USDT before the recent attacks. Additionally, the Russia-linked A7A5 stablecoin has exceeded $93 billion in circulation in less than a year. All these developments suggest that Bitcoin is currently behaving more like a liquidity-driven asset. However, whether wars and monetary expansion will reshape the long-term role of the crypto market remains one of the most important questions investors continue to watch closely.

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At the same time, rising oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions are raising new concerns about inflation. These developments are not only important for traditional markets but could also have a significant impact on Bitcoin and other risk assets.

A Busy Interest Rate Calendar Awaits Markets

The upcoming economic calendar is filled with key policy announcements that may shape the near-term outlook for global markets. The schedule is expected to unfold as follows:

• March 17: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)

• March 18: Bank of Canada (BOC) and the Federal Reserve (Fed)

• March 19: Bank of Japan (BOJ), Swiss National Bank (SNB), and the European Central Bank (ECB)

With several major monetary authorities delivering decisions within just a few days, investors are preparing for potential volatility across global financial markets.

Rising Oil Prices Are Reviving Inflation Concerns

One of the main factors forcing investors to rethink their interest rate expectations is the recent surge in energy prices.

The conflict that began on February 28, following coordinated strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran, has expanded through retaliatory actions across the region. These developments have disrupted energy shipments in parts of the Middle East, pushing oil prices higher.

The increase in energy costs has raised fears that global inflation could accelerate again, complicating the policy outlook for central banks.

If energy prices remain elevated, policymakers may need to delay planned rate cuts or maintain a more cautious stance toward monetary easing.

Rate Cut Expectations Are Being Reconsidered

Until recently, many market participants expected central banks—led by the Federal Reserve—to begin gradually lowering interest rates throughout 2026.

This expectation was partly supported by the rapid rise of artificial intelligence technologies, which some analysts believe could increase productivity and exert disinflationary pressure on the economy. A lower-rate environment typically provides strong support for risk assets such as Bitcoin.

However, the recent spike in oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions have introduced new uncertainty into that outlook. If rising energy costs push inflation higher, central banks could adopt a more hawkish policy stance.

Hawkish Signals Could Pressure Bitcoin

Any indication that policymakers may keep interest rates higher for longer could create turbulence in financial markets. Higher borrowing costs often reduce investor appetite for risk assets, which may lead to downward pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

On the other hand, if central banks maintain a wait-and-see approach or signal that inflation risks remain manageable, risk assets could regain upward momentum.

How the Fed Typically Reacts to Oil Shocks

Economist and Fed watcher Ethan Harris notes that central banks tend to react cautiously when oil prices spike.

According to Harris, this hesitation stems from two key factors. First, oil shocks tend to slow economic growth while simultaneously increasing inflation, making it difficult for policymakers to determine which risk is more pressing.

Second, many oil price shocks prove to be temporary. As a result, central banks often avoid adjusting interest rates immediately to prevent the need for rapid policy reversals shortly afterward.

Fed and BOJ Decisions May Be Most Influential for Bitcoin

Historically, the Federal Reserve has had the strongest influence on Bitcoin’s price dynamics due to its impact on global liquidity conditions.

The Bank of Japan can also play an important role at times, particularly because of Japan’s position in global capital flows.

With rising energy costs already placing pressure on Japan’s economy, the upcoming BOJ policy decision could attract significant attention from both domestic investors and global markets, including the cryptocurrency sector.

Markets are Preparing For Interest Rate Decisions

The upcoming round of central bank announcements is expected to provide important insights into the direction of global monetary policy. The way policymakers respond to rising energy prices and inflation risks may shape financial market trends in the weeks ahead.

For this reason, investors are closely monitoring next week’s decisions, as signals from central banks could influence not only traditional assets but also the future trajectory of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

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Markets Pricing in a $110 Oil Scenario

According to Binance Research analysts, Brent crude oil approaching $110 per barrel indicates that markets are pricing in the possibility of a prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. As one of the most critical chokepoints for global oil trade, any disruption in this region could quickly drive prices higher in energy markets. However, analysts also point out that factors such as strategic petroleum reserves, alternative transportation routes, and diversified supply sources could help stabilize prices. These mechanisms play an important role in limiting the impact of potential disruptions in global oil supply. Binance Research notes that many of these reserves and alternative logistics channels have not yet been fully utilized, which could act as balancing forces against further price increases.

Strategic Oil Reserves Could Stabilize the Market

One of the most important elements highlighted in the analysis is strategic oil reserves. Analysts state that these reserves play a crucial role in balancing supply shocks in the global energy market. The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve has a capacity of around 700 million barrels, making it a significant source that can be deployed to increase supply when necessary. Historically, these reserves have been used during energy crises to reduce price pressure.

In addition, member countries of the International Energy Agency (IEA) collectively hold around 4 billion barrels of oil reserves. These reserves serve as a buffer mechanism designed to ensure global energy security and can be released during crises. According to Binance Research, the fact that these reserves have not yet been deployed in a coordinated manner could provide an important balancing factor against potential future spikes in oil prices.

Alternative Oil Transport Routes Still Have Capacity

Analysts also noted that alternative oil transportation routes in the Middle East still offer significant capacity. These routes can play a critical role in maintaining global oil supply if disruptions occur in the Strait of Hormuz.

Examples include:

• Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline, which allows oil to be transported through the Red Sea instead of the Persian Gulf.
• The UAE’s Habshan–Fujairah pipeline, which enables oil to reach the Gulf of Oman directly, reducing dependence on the Strait of Hormuz.

Together, these pipelines have a theoretical capacity of around 3.6 million barrels per day. Currently, only about 900,000 barrels per day are being used. Analysts say that the current limitations are mostly due to temporary factors such as port congestion, logistical delays, and fuel supply issues rather than permanent infrastructure problems. Binance Research also noted that alternative supply channels are beginning to re-enter the market. Iranian oil, for instance, is reportedly reaching markets again through regional transfer points and land corridors, potentially adding 1.5 to 2 million barrels per day in supply—an amount not yet fully reflected in current prices.

How Oil Prices Affect the Crypto Market

According to Binance Research, developments in the oil market represent a significant macroeconomic factor for cryptocurrencies. Changes in energy prices can directly influence global inflation expectations and investor behavior, which in turn can affect risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. The report emphasizes that keeping oil prices under control could reduce stagflation concerns, thereby easing pressure on risk assets. High energy costs can weigh on global economic growth, making oil prices a key indicator of investor sentiment.

“The worst macro scenario for the crypto market would be a sustained rise in oil prices.”

However, analysts believe that if oil prices stabilize around $110 and policy tools such as strategic reserves or alternative supply mechanisms are activated, market uncertainty could gradually decline. In such a scenario, risk-off selling pressure may weaken, and investors could start reallocating capital back into risk assets. This could potentially create conditions for more stable price movements or a new recovery phase in the crypto market.

Oil Prices Remain a Key Macro Indicator for Crypto

Developments in the oil market influence not only the energy sector but also global financial markets and crypto assets. Energy prices are seen as one of the major factors shaping investor risk appetite and global economic expectations. According to Binance Research, if oil prices remain under control, macroeconomic pressure on the crypto market may ease and interest in risk assets could increase. However, if prices remain elevated for an extended period, investors may adopt a more cautious stance and move away from riskier assets. For this reason, oil prices will continue to be an important macro indicator that could shape the future direction of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.

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Oil Trading on Hyperliquid Reaches Record Levels!

One of the clearest examples of this trend is the oil trading activity observed on the Hyperliquid platform. According to platform data, the trading volume of perpetual futures contracts based on West Texas Intermediate crude oil (WTI) exceeded $1.6 billion in the last 24 hours. As a result, the CL-USDC contract has become the second most active market on the platform in terms of trading volume, following Bitcoin.

Geopolitical Tensions Boost Demand for Oil

Global developments appear to play a significant role in the rising interest in tokenized commodities. While supply concerns have emerged in energy markets due to tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran, oil prices briefly surged to around $120 per barrel.

Prices later pulled back somewhat after US President Donald Trump stated that the conflict could end soon. However, during this period, investors’ shift toward commodities such as oil for hedging purposes stood out.

The rapid rise in popularity of oil on Hyperliquid also recalls a similar trend previously seen on the platform. Earlier, silver-based contracts had also become high-volume macro investment instruments.

Crypto Infrastructure Offers an Alternative to Global Markets

The demand for tokenized assets also reveals a change in the ways investors access global markets. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan recalled that following Donald Trump’s announcement of military operations against Iran, while traditional markets were closed, investors continued trading using crypto infrastructure.

This situation highlights an important advantage provided by crypto-based market infrastructure. Through tokenized commodities, investors can gain direct on-chain exposure to global macro assets such as oil, gold, or silver while remaining within the blockchain ecosystem.

Boundaries Between Traditional Finance and Crypto Are Blurring

The tokenization trend is not limited to crypto investors alone. Traditional financial institutions are also trying to adapt to this transformation. In this context, Nasdaq has initiated a collaboration with Payward (the parent company of crypto exchange Kraken) to develop a system that integrates tokenized stock markets with blockchain networks.

The goal of this initiative is to modernize the buying, selling, and settlement processes of securities, creating a more efficient and accessible financial infrastructure.

According to experts, the increasing interest in tokenized commodities such as oil may represent a temporary rotation in investor preferences. However, some analysts believe this could be a sign of a structural change, indicating that as crypto markets mature, global finance will become increasingly intertwined with blockchain-based systems.

What is Hyperliquid? What Does It Do?

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Oil Surge Weighs on Global Markets

Oil prices in international markets climbed to around $115 per barrel, marking the highest level since June 2022. The rapid rise in energy costs weakened risk appetite across financial markets and created downward pressure on equities.

U.S. stock index futures reflected this shift in sentiment. Both Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures dropped more than 1.5%, signaling that investors were reducing exposure to riskier assets as uncertainty increased.

Interestingly, traditional safe-haven assets did not perform as expected during this period. Gold declined by about 1.6%, while silver fell roughly 1.1%. Instead of turning to precious metals, many investors appeared to favor the U.S. dollar, which strengthened as capital moved toward perceived stability.

Bitcoin Stands Out Amid Market Turbulence

While global markets experienced heightened volatility, Bitcoin moved in the opposite direction. The leading cryptocurrency gained approximately 2.8% since midnight UTC, showing a positive performance even as equities and commodities struggled.

This divergence has reignited discussions about Bitcoin’s evolving role within the broader financial system. Although the cryptocurrency has often been described as “digital gold,” many analysts believe it has not fully established itself as a direct alternative to traditional safe-haven assets.

However, market participants are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin’s practical role during periods of financial stress. In regions facing political instability or currency fluctuations, some investors are beginning to treat Bitcoin as a potential digital escape valve—a way to move capital outside of traditional financial constraints.

Derivatives Market Activity

Activity in the crypto derivatives market also reflected the broader volatility. Over the past 24 hours, nearly $400 million in crypto futures positions were liquidated. A significant portion of these liquidations was linked to positions that had bet against rising oil prices.

Meanwhile, open interest in Bitcoin futures remained relatively low, hovering around 650,000 BTC, close to weekly lows. This suggests that the latest price increase was not heavily driven by futures market participation and may have been influenced more by spot market activity.

Options Market Signals Cautious Sentiment

In the options market, the 30-day implied volatility indexes for Bitcoin and Ethereum remained relatively stable. Despite major movements in global markets, crypto volatility expectations did not spike dramatically, indicating a relatively calm outlook among derivatives traders.

At the same time, put options continue to trade at a premium compared to call options, signaling that investors are still hedging against potential downside risks. While the demand for protection remains present, the premium has not increased significantly, suggesting that the oil price surge has not triggered widespread panic in the crypto options market.

Overall, Bitcoin’s ability to hold steady and even gain ground during a period of global market stress has once again highlighted its unique position within the financial landscape.

IMF Chief Warns About Oil Prices and Rising Inflation Risks

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According to Georgieva, if oil prices rise by 10 percent and remain elevated for most of the year, global headline inflation could increase by roughly 40 basis points. This relationship illustrates how closely energy markets are tied to overall price stability across the global economy.

The warning comes at a time when geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are intensifying, raising concerns about supply disruptions and the stability of critical energy routes.

Middle East Tensions Threaten Energy Supply

Recent conflicts in the region have begun to affect energy infrastructure directly. Reports indicate that several important oil and gas facilities have suffered damage, while some operations have experienced temporary shutdowns. These developments have heightened fears about supply interruptions in global energy markets.

At the same time, maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz—a vital corridor for global energy shipments—has reportedly dropped by around 90 percent. Any disruption to shipping activity in this area has the potential to impact global energy distribution, making it a significant concern for policymakers and markets alike.

The Strategic Importance of the Strait of Hormuz for Oil

The Strait of Hormuz plays a crucial role in global energy trade. Under normal conditions, roughly one fifth of the world’s oil supply and a substantial portion of global liquefied natural gas shipments pass through this narrow maritime route.

For many Asian economies, the strait represents a particularly critical supply line. Nearly half of Asia’s oil imports travel through this corridor, along with about one quarter of its LNG imports. Japan’s dependence is even more pronounced, with nearly 60 percent of its oil imports and around 11 percent of LNG imports relying on this route.

Because of this concentration of energy flows, disruptions in the region can quickly affect global market sentiment and price stability.

Sharp Surge in Oil Prices

Energy market tensions have already had a visible impact on prices. Oil recently climbed by 16.10 percent in a single day, reaching approximately $108.51 per barrel. Over a broader time frame, the increase has been even more dramatic, with prices rising about 61.74 percent on a monthly basis.

Such rapid price movements often trigger concerns about inflationary pressure and economic slowdown, particularly in energy-dependent economies.

Potential Impact on Global Growth

Higher energy costs do not only affect inflation—they can also influence economic growth. Economic estimates suggest that a sustained 10 percent rise in oil prices could reduce global output by approximately 0.1 to 0.2 percent.

For policymakers and central banks, these developments create a challenging environment. As energy prices fluctuate and geopolitical risks intensify, governments may need to prepare for unexpected scenarios and adapt economic strategies accordingly. Monitoring energy markets will likely remain a key priority in the months ahead.

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Sharp Rise in Oil Prices

The war threatening energy supply has triggered a historic surge in oil prices. During overnight trading when markets opened, Brent crude oil climbed as high as $119. By the morning hours, prices stabilized around $115. This rapid surge in energy markets has once again raised concerns about global supply disruptions and shifted investor focus toward developments in the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, also recorded a strong increase. According to the data:

• WTI rose 18.98%, reaching $108.15 per barrel
• Brent crude increased 16.19%, reaching $107.70

This rally is considered one of the strongest moves in energy markets in recent years. U.S. crude oil prices rising around 35% last week marked one of the largest weekly increases in the futures market since 1983. According to experts, oil market volatility is expected to remain high if geopolitical risks continue.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Threatens Energy Supply

Approximately 20% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, the continued closure of the strait and tanker companies avoiding the region due to security risks are putting serious pressure on global oil supply. This situation has also raised concerns that a significant part of the global supply chain could be disrupted. Increasing security risks and transportation issues have led oil-producing countries to reassess their production strategies.

Several producers have already begun adjusting production levels to manage supply and storage capacity:

• Kuwait announced “preventive cuts” in oil production
• Iraq’s production dropped from 3 million barrels per day to about 1.3 million barrels
• The United Arab Emirates is cautiously reducing production to manage storage capacity

Declining production and difficulties in transporting oil are putting significant pressure on global supply and increasing uncertainty in energy markets. Experts warn that if the situation continues, oil prices could rise even further.

Experts Warn of Even Higher Oil Prices

Qatar’s Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi, in an interview with the Financial Times, warned that the current crisis could push oil prices even higher. He noted that tensions in the region could have long-lasting effects on energy markets and that restoring the supply chain would take time.

“Even if the war ended today, it would take weeks to stabilize the system again.”

Energy experts believe that if the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz continues, it could cause a serious contraction in global oil supply. In such a scenario, oil prices could rise to $150 per barrel in a short period of time. The war in the Middle East threatening energy supply has created a major shock in global oil markets. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, production cuts, and disruptions in tanker traffic have pushed oil prices sharply higher while also increasing volatility in global financial markets. Experts warn that if geopolitical tensions persist, a new global energy crisis could emerge, potentially creating widespread effects on the global economy.

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Rising Middle East Tensions Impact Energy Markets

Political rhetoric and military tensions in the Middle East have significantly increased pressure on global energy markets. U.S. President Donald Trump recently stated that any agreement with Iran would require “unconditional surrender,” a comment that further escalated regional tensions.

In response, statements from Iran’s Revolutionary Guard have drawn attention to the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil shipments. The possibility of disruptions in this narrow maritime corridor has raised concerns among market participants.

Reports indicate that tanker traffic in the region has slowed considerably. Visual data shared by Reuters suggests that more than 200 vessels have been waiting near the strait, with crossings occurring less frequently than usual. Such developments have heightened fears regarding potential interruptions to global oil supply.

Oil Prices Jump Sharply

Growing geopolitical risk has quickly translated into higher oil prices. Over the past 24 hours, oil has surged by 10.71 percent, reaching a price of 93.33 dollars per barrel.

The sharp increase is largely attributed to the strategic significance of the Strait of Hormuz. A large portion of the world’s oil exports passes through this corridor, meaning any disruption in the region could have a direct and immediate effect on global supply chains. As a result, traders are closely monitoring developments for signs of further escalation.

Precious Metals Gain from Safe-Haven Demand

Periods of geopolitical uncertainty typically drive investors toward assets perceived as stable stores of value. This dynamic has been clearly visible in precious metal markets.

Gold prices have risen by 1.77 percent in the past 24 hours, reaching 5,171 dollars.

Silver has also moved higher, gaining 2.68 percent and climbing to 84.44 dollars during the same period.

The continued upward momentum in these metals reflects heightened risk perception across financial markets, as investors look to hedge against instability and market volatility.

Weak U.S. Employment Data Adds Economic Concerns

Economic data from the United States has added another layer of uncertainty to global markets. The latest non-farm payroll report for February showed a decline of 92,000 jobs, significantly below the market expectation of 58,000. The previous reading had indicated job growth of 130,000.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased slightly to 4.4 percent, compared with both the forecast and previous level of 4.3 percent.

The weaker-than-expected employment data has raised questions about the pace of economic growth in the United States and has contributed to a more cautious tone among investors.

The Financial Cost of the Iran Conflict

Beyond market reactions, the potential economic burden of military operations involving Iran is also drawing attention. While the Pentagon has not released an official estimate, analysis from a Washington-based policy institute suggests that the daily cost of the operation could reach approximately 891.4 million dollars.

According to the same analysis, the total cost could climb to as much as 95 billion dollars depending on how long the operation continues. Current projections mentioned by U.S. officials range from two weeks to six weeks, though the exact timeline remains uncertain.

As geopolitical tensions persist, global investors continue to watch both political developments and economic indicators closely. These factors are expected to remain key drivers of commodity prices, particularly in the energy and precious metals sectors.

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