Short version: selling pressure may be running out of steam. Longer version? The path there is rarely clean.

Matrixport: Sellers may be exhausted, the floor is forming

According to Matrixport analysts, a key shift has appeared in the firm’s proprietary Bitcoin fear-and-greed metric. The 21-day moving average has dropped below zero and is now turning higher.

Technically, that transition often coincides with periods when selling becomes saturated and markets start searching for balance again.

Matrixport notes that sentiment has fallen to extreme pessimism. Historically, readings at these levels have marked attractive entry zones. Still, analysts caution that prices could drift lower in the near term before any durable recovery takes shape.

A small but important nuance: these “durable bottoms” rarely arrive in a single move. More often, markets bounce, retest, hesitate — then decide.

Sentiment hits four-year lows

Matrixport data shows comparable pessimism only around June 2024 and November 2025 — both following sharp drawdowns.

Independent measures tell the same story. The Fear & Greed Index from Alternative.me is hovering near 10 out of 100, firmly in “extreme fear” territory. The last time it reached similar depths was June 2022.

There’s another uncomfortable stat on the table: if Bitcoin closes February in the red, it will mark five consecutive monthly losses — the longest streak since 2018 and among the most sustained sell-offs in modern crypto history.

“Statistically oversold” territory

Mining sector voices are echoing the caution — and the opportunity.

On Monday, Frank Holmes said Bitcoin is trading roughly two standard deviations below its 20-day norm — a condition seen only three times over the past five years.

Historically, such extremes have favored short-term rebounds over the following 20 trading days, Holmes explained. Despite the current volatility, he remains constructive on the long-term outlook, pointing to resilient fundamentals.

At Hive Blockchain, the narrative is similar: price action looks fragile, but network security, infrastructure investment, and institutional engagement remain intact.

Reading between the lines

No single indicator tells the full story.

Sentiment is washed out. Technical metrics signal oversold conditions. At the same time, macro uncertainty persists and liquidity remains selective.

What’s emerging feels less like a clean bottom — and more like a market trying to breathe. Some traders are positioning for reflexive bounces. Others are waiting for confirmation. A large middle ground is simply watching, quietly.

Extreme fear has historically opened opportunity windows. But those windows rarely swing open smoothly. More likely, we’re entering a choppy transition phase.

Crypto doesn’t shout at moments like this. It whispers.

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At the same time, weakening global risk appetite, sharp geopolitical signals, and deteriorating on-chain behavior have converged. This overlap has notably reduced short-term investors’ willingness to add exposure, tightening market reflexes across the board.

Charts Are Telling Different Stories

Veteran trader Peter Brandt argues that a pattern historically associated with sharp sell-offs is re-emerging on Bitcoin’s daily chart. According to Brandt, the $58,000–$62,000 range represents a technically significant zone that cannot be ignored. This area also sits just above realized price levels and the 200-week moving average, reinforcing its importance.

Other analysts echo a similar view on lower timeframes, pointing to a clear bear flag breakdown on the four-hour chart. Within this structure, the $90,400 level stands out as a critical support. A decisive move below it could accelerate downside pressure. That said, the market is not fully aligned; opposing voices remind that such patterns often fail during periods of elevated volatility.

CryptoQuant data adds another layer to the concern. For the first time in roughly 15 months, Bitcoin investors have shifted into a “realized net loss” position. In other words, the conversation is no longer about profit-taking, but about panic-driven exits and loss realization.

On-Chain Metrics Flash Warning Signs

Behind the price action, the signals grow more uncomfortable. Bitcoin’s 30-day Realized Net Profit/Loss metric has dropped into negative territory for the first time since October 2023. This confirms that sellers are locking in losses rather than gains.

Short-term holders and large wallets appear to be trimming exposure after BTC failed to sustain levels above $97,000. Recent rebound attempts have been fueled largely by derivatives-driven short liquidations, not by consistent spot demand. This dynamic raises doubts about the durability of any near-term recovery.

Why does this matter? Because once realized losses resurface, market psychology becomes fragile. In such phases, price behavior is often dictated less by technical levels and more by investor sentiment and reflexive selling.

Whales Begin to Shift Positioning

On-chain monitoring platforms indicate that some large players have started opening fresh short positions. One notable whale, previously known for aggressive long exposure, has fully exited BTC, ETH, SOL, and DOGE positions, crystallizing multi-million-dollar losses in the process.

While individual moves do not define trend direction, they do highlight a growing defensive posture at the top end of the market. In periods of thinning liquidity, these shifts can exert outsized influence on price dynamics.

Consolidation or a Deeper Test Ahead?

Not all data points to an outright collapse. Certain on-chain assessments suggest Bitcoin is losing momentum in the low-$90,000 range but remains above neutral territory. From this perspective, the market may be entering a time-buying consolidation rather than an immediate breakdown.

Options traders continue to price in elevated uncertainty, while spot and futures indicators show pockets of cautious optimism. ETF inflows, meanwhile, imply that institutional interest has not vanished entirely.

Still, metrics tracking new investors reveal that short-term holders have remained in unrealized loss territory since November 2025. This leaves the door open to renewed panic selling if prices slip further.

Bitcoin is currently fluctuating between $90,800 and $93,300. How this range resolves in the coming days will determine whether the $62,000 scenario remains a fear-driven headline or evolves into a genuine roadmap. For now, the market has yet to make its choice.

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Significance of Bitcoin Outflows

Investors often withdraw Bitcoin from exchanges to hold it long-term or transfer it to secure custody accounts. Santiment notes that when fewer coins remain on exchanges, the likelihood of large-scale sell-offs historically decreases. Glassnode data shows that only 14.7% of Bitcoin’s total supply is currently held on exchanges, down from 18% in mid-2022. Ethereum’s figures are even lower, with 8.7% held on exchanges, reflecting a consistent downward trend as ETH is staked, custodied, or acquired by treasury companies.

Santiment highlighted this trend, stating:

“The less coins that exist on exchanges, the less likely we’ve historically seen a major sell-off that causes downside pressure for an asset’s price.”

Expert Opinions and Technical Analysis

Analyst Sykodelic noted that the OBV (On-Balance Volume) chart is signaling stronger movement than price action, indicating that buying is outpacing selling. Analyst Daan observed that Bitcoin is trading sideways in the short term while approaching its bull market support band. Meanwhile, Colin identified a bear-flag continuation pattern, predicting a potential drop to the $74,000–$77,000 range. These insights suggest that short-term volatility may continue.

As Bitcoin's market value hovers around $90K, crypto's top market cap continues to see its supply moving away from exchanges. Over the past year, there has been:

A net total of -403.2K $BTC moving off exchanges
A net reduction of -2.09% of $BTC's entire supply moving… pic.twitter.com/Y0JTC880Np

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 8, 2025

Short-Term Resistance and Market Dynamics

At the time of writing, Bitcoin had slipped below the $90,000 level, trading at $89,862. It remains within a weekly range-bound channel and struggles to surpass resistance near $92,000. Analysts note that the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut is already priced in, making a short-term upward breakout unlikely.

• Bitcoin outflows from exchanges support long-term price stability

• OBV indicates buying momentum is stronger than selling

• Declining exchange supply of Bitcoin and Ethereum reflects institutional accumulation

• Short-term resistance remains near $92,000

• Analysts anticipate continued market volatility

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Ethereum (ETH) net flow data has been displaying a notable decline in recent weeks. Net flows represent the difference between the amount of coins entering and exiting exchanges. If this figure is negative, it indicates that investors are withdrawing ETH from exchanges, which often signals an intent to hold and confidence in the market. 

According to Coinglass data, the Ethereum net flow over the last 24 hours was recorded at -$182.86 million. This shows that more investors are pulling ETH out of exchanges. Interestingly, this negative flow has persisted in six of the last seven days. During the same period, the total net flow amounted to -$140 million. This suggests that buying pressure still outweighs selling. 

While short-term net flows remain negative, the medium-term trend has shifted toward selling. The 15-day Ethereum net flows stand at +$186.48 million, indicating a positive direction. This suggests that investors are sending more ETH to exchanges for selling. 

In the 30-day period, the picture becomes clearer. Ethereum investors have transferred more ETH to exchanges during this time. As a result, the total net flow has risen to +$483.54 million. This situation explains why Ethereum’s price is under pressure. 

Is a Price Rally Possible? 

If Ethereum net flows continue to remain negative, this would be a positive signal for the market. Reduced selling pressure supports a buying trend. If this persists, an ETH price rally could be expected. 

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik suggests that Ethereum’s price could surpass $3,500 in the short term. However, the bulls need to break through the 200-day Simple Moving Average at $2,700. Once this critical threshold is crossed, the rally could gain momentum. At the time of writing, ETH is trading around $2,555.

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE***

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You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

Currently, the downside Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone stands as a critical resistance point. If FET can close above this level, the next downside FVG area may be targeted, potentially fueling further bullish momentum. However, if buyers remain weak and selling pressure increases, a retracement towards the key support zones is possible.

Losing the $0.42 support could intensify the selling pressure, potentially driving the price down to $0.38. If no strong buying interest emerges at this level, further declines may be on the horizon.

The upcoming price action in the FET/USDT pair largely depends on its reaction to the FVG zone. Traders should closely monitor these critical levels for potential opportunities.

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The post FET Rebounds From Support Zone! What Are the Targets? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin Expectations

Currently, the charts suggest that Bitcoin may see a short-term rise towards the 107,000$ level. However, this movement may be temporary, and even if the 107,000$ resistance is broken, further declines are still expected. The USDT.D (Tether Dominance) index plays an important role here. USDT.D has already filled its FVG (Fair Value Gap) and reached its OB (Order Block) level. If USDT.D reacts from here, it could trigger a Bitcoin decline and confirm the downside scenario.

Bitcoin Resistance and Support Levels

• Resistance Levels:
  • 105,400$: This level is crucial for the short-term uptrend. If Bitcoin breaks above this level, the price may accelerate upward. However, there is also the possibility of strong selling pressure at this level.
  • 107,000$: If Bitcoin breaks this resistance, it could trigger a faster uptrend. However, a sustained close above this level could trigger more buying momentum, making the move more significant.
• Support Levels:
  • 102,800$: The first major support for Bitcoin. If this level is lost, the price may retrace towards the 98,800$ level.
  • 98,800$: This is a strong support level for Bitcoin. If the price falls below this level, it could open the door for deeper declines.

USDT Dominance Analysis

If Bitcoin breaks 105,400$ and moves towards 107,000$, this rise could align with a reaction from USDT.D. However, investors should be cautious, as there is a strong possibility that the price may reverse after this rise. How long Bitcoin stays at the 107,000$ level and whether it can break through this resistance will depend heavily on the volume movements and USDT.D‘s response.

You Might Be Interested In: Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!

On the other hand, if Bitcoin loses the 102,800$ support, it may retrace to 98,800$. Buyers could step in at this level, but this will depend on the overall selling pressure in the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical level of 105,000$. If Bitcoin manages to close above 105,400$ on a 4-hour chart, it could move towards 107,000$. However, the overall market conditions, especially the reaction from USDT.D, will play a pivotal role in determining Bitcoin’s future direction. Therefore, investors need to closely monitor both Bitcoin’s price movements and USDT.D’s behavior to assess the potential next steps.

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The post Will Bitcoin Reach a New ATH? Technical Analysis appeared first on Coin Engineer.

Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $66,000, yet Bitfinex analysts’ recent report has sparked concerns among investors.

After Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania, Bitcoin took off, quickly surpassing $66,000. Rising from $53,500, BTC has instilled confidence in the market and its investors. However, the latest report from cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex advises caution.

“We believe the current progress in the cryptocurrency market is driven more by news headlines than fundamental factors,” said Bitfinex analysts. “Concerns about selling pressure have not been completely alleviated, as Mt. Gox creditors are expected to receive BTC payments in the coming weeks. We anticipate these developments will continue to impact the price before the situation is fully priced in,” they added.

Bitcoin’s recent surge from $58,000 to $66,000 occurred after a major event last weekend when Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt at a rally in Pennsylvania.

Bitget Research’s chief analyst, Ryan Lee, commented, “Trump survived an assassination attempt over the weekend, and the markets are interpreting this as a significant boost to his chances of winning future elections.”

Meanwhile, Germany’s crypto wallet was reset last Friday, with the government transferring all its Bitcoins to various exchanges and market makers. Mt. Gox continues to move billions of dollars’ worth of BTC in anticipation of creditor payments.

The post Analysts Confuse the Market: Caution Advised for Bitcoin (BTC) appeared first on Coin Engineer.

While Bitcoin dragged altcoin prices down with its sharp correction, a warning came from 10x Research on the subject.

Cryptocurrency analysis and research firm 10x Research, in its report published on May 8th, stated that approximately $2 billion worth of unlocks will occur over the next 10 weeks, which could pull the market down.

It is expected that approximately $97 million worth of Aptos (APT), $79 million worth of Starknet (STRK), $94 million worth of Arbitrum (ARB), $53 million worth of Immutable X (IMX), $330 million worth of Avalanche (AVAX), $64 million worth of Optimism (OP), $28 million worth of PRIME, $1 billion worth of Sui (SUI), $48 million worth of Ethena (ENA), $171 million worth of Altlayer (ALT) and $135 million worth of XAI tokens will be released and enter circulation in the next 2 months.

The report included the following statements regarding the selling pressure:

Venture capitalists may limit upside momentum and put downward pressure on prices when locks are unlocked.

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