Available open-source information does not verify a marketwide short bet. Public reports suggest that an investor believed to be close to Trump took large short positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum, reportedly generating significant profits thanks to exceptional timing. Yet none of these sources — including Yahoo Finance — confirm positions spanning equities or commodities.

In fact, during another move in October 2025, the trader allegedly opened billion-dollar short positions just 30 minutes before Bitcoin crashed from $122,000 to $102,000, reportedly earning around $200 million. That timing sparked a familiar question among analysts: Did someone know something in advance?

In other words: BTC and ETH trades are being discussed — but there’s no evidence supporting the claim of a “$150 million bet against the entire market.”

Why Do BTC and ETH Shorts Matter?

Heavy downside positioning in Bitcoin and Ethereum can tighten liquidity, especially in derivatives markets. This can lead to:

• widening spreads

• distorted funding rates

• cascading liquidations of leveraged positions

Because crypto assets move with high correlation, even a single large short wave can quickly spill over into other markets.

Insider trading allegations form a separate layer of concern. If trades were truly placed using non-public information, the impact could extend from token prices to options positioning. In such a scenario, regulatory penalties, fines, and trading restrictions could follow.

For investors, the key is separating rumor from verified positioning. The phrase “Trump insider trader” currently has no legal standing — it functions more as a media shorthand than a confirmed designation.

Where Verification Breaks Down: On-Chain Data and Official Records

To definitively attribute trades to a specific individual, the following evidence is typically required:

• wallet clustering and transfer paths

• links to known addresses

• exchange position histories

• margin records and liquidation logs

So far, none of this technical matching has been publicly released.

Some market commentators have pointed to timing patterns and raised the question of prior knowledge. The Kobeissi Letter is among those highlighting this possibility.

However, there is no official statement from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) addressing this specific claim. Silence does not confirm or deny an investigation — it simply means no verified documentation exists at this stage.

How Should Investors Evaluate This Without Falling Into Speculation?

A basic verification checklist helps:

• Which instruments? (BTC, ETH, or others?)

• Position size and leverage

• Entry and exit timing

• Realized profit

• Technical proof of ownership

Without clarity on these points, drawing definitive conclusions is premature.

At this point, two key claims remain unproven:

• That the $150 million position covered the entire market

• That the trader has a verified connection to Donald Trump

Neither is confirmed in current reporting.

Quick Q&A

Is there official proof linking the trader to Trump?
No. Media outlets use this framing for narrative simplicity. Regulators have provided no verified connection.

Have BTC and ETH shorts been confirmed via on-chain or exchange data?
Reports reference large BTC/ETH shorts and accurate timing, but no public wallet addresses or exchange accounts have been disclosed.

Bottom line: there are notable BTC and ETH trades. But the claim that a “Trump-linked trader shorted the entire market for $150 million” remains unverified — a strong allegation, not an established fact. Following confirmed data matters more than headline momentum.

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The post Did a Trump-Linked Trader Really Open a $150M Market Short? appeared first on Coin Engineer.

At first glance, the move resembles a standard bearish continuation. However, when participation, holder behavior, and derivatives positioning are examined together, the picture becomes far less straightforward. The sell-off appears driven more by disappearing spot interest than by panic liquidation.

Spot Participation Faded Before Price Did

The weakness began with activity rather than price. On January 6, Cardano’s decentralized exchange spot volume peaked near $1.49 million, coinciding with ADA’s highest price level of the year so far. From that point onward, both price and participation rolled over simultaneously.

By January 22, spot volume had fallen to roughly $68,000, marking a collapse of more than 95% in just over two weeks. Because this data reflects on-chain spot trades rather than leveraged positions, it points directly to retail traders stepping away from the market.

This drop in activity aligned closely with a technical shift. ADA slipped below its 20-day exponential moving average in mid-January. That level defines short-term trend direction, and in Cardano’s history, losing it has repeatedly triggered sharp corrective phases.

This time, spot demand failed to recover. With fewer organic buyers willing to step in, price slid more easily, opening the door for aggressive bearish positioning.

Whales Accumulated Into Visible Weakness

While retail participation faded, large holders moved in the opposite direction. Addresses holding more than one billion ADA began accumulating around January 14, even as price momentum remained negative. Their combined holdings rose by roughly one billion ADA during the correction, representing more than $350 million accumulated into weakness.

A second cohort followed shortly after. Wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million ADA added to their positions starting January 17, the same day ADA definitively lost its 20-day EMA. The timing is critical. These buyers did not chase strength. They stepped in after the trend broke and after spot interest collapsed.

That behavior suggests deliberate positioning during visible weakness rather than reactive momentum trading.

Derivatives Turned Heavily Bearish

As spot liquidity dried up, derivatives traders leaned aggressively to the short side. The loss of trend support and collapsing volume made the bearish narrative appear straightforward. As a result, short positions crowded into perpetual futures.

On Binance, ADA is now strongly short-biased, with short liquidation exposure roughly 2.5 times larger than long exposure. Total short leverage stands above $22 million. This imbalance matters because even modest buying pressure can force rapid position closures.

When spot traders leave and shorts pile in, price becomes increasingly sensitive to small shifts in demand.

Key Levels That Decide the Next Move

On the 12-hour chart, Cardano broke down from a head-and-shoulders structure around January 20, triggering the final wave of spot selling and encouraging additional short exposure. However, momentum no longer confirms continued downside.

The Money Flow Index has begun turning higher while price holds near recent lows. As MFI breaks its descending trend, it suggests dip buying rather than panic selling. That shift leaves short positions increasingly exposed if spot demand returns.

Short liquidation pressure begins near $0.37. A move above that level would start forcing closures, while strength above $0.39 could accelerate liquidations. A push toward $0.42 would place most near-term short exposure at risk.

The bearish scenario regains full control only if ADA breaks and holds below $0.34. Sustained trading under that level would invalidate the stabilization thesis and reopen downside risk toward prior lows.

Until then, Cardano remains caught between fading retail participation and growing whale conviction. Spot traders may have stepped aside, but positioning beneath the surface suggests the move is not finished yet.

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Bitcoin Fall: Long Positions Face Heavy Liquidations

Early in the week, selling pressure dragged BTC price down to $110,950. This move hit traders who had opened highly leveraged long positions, forcing them into losses.

According to data, a total of $840 million worth of positions were liquidated within 24 hours. Of this amount, $675.81 million came from longs, while $263.92 million were from short trades.

Reversal After Powell’s Speech

Last Friday, a dovish speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell briefly lifted Bitcoin, sparking a rally. However, a major whale took advantage of the move to sell, causing the price to reverse sharply. As a result, Bitcoin has now fallen 11% from its August 14 all-time high of $124,500.

Key Levels to Watch

The latest liquidation heatmap shows strong buy orders clustered between $110,500 – $109,700, with additional interest stretching down to $108,000.

Analyst Jelle noted that Bitcoin needs to hold above its monthly open at $111,900 to avoid a deeper pullback. Failure to do so could push BTC back into its previous trading range, opening the door for another retest of the $100K level.

“Bitcoin is still wiping out leveraged traders at range lows, and the sharks don’t look satisfied yet,” Jelle warned, urging caution in the short term.

This content does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market carries significant risks, and you should always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.

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Institutional Buying and Positive Market Drivers

This recent price surge is largely fueled by increased buying from institutional investors. Treasury strategies that adopt Ethereum (ETH) as a reserve asset are boosting confidence in the network, contributing positively to price momentum.

Moreover, recent announcements from U.S. pension funds and expectations of interest rate cuts in September have strengthened investor sentiment, further supporting ETH’s upward trajectory.

Impact of Short Position Liquidations on Market Dynamics

The large-scale liquidation of short positions has eased selling pressure on ETH, creating stronger buying momentum in the market. This shift could pave the way for further price appreciation in the short term.

ETH’s strong recent performance is not only significant for Ethereum itself but also helps to fuel optimism across the broader altcoin market.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Overview

A strong surge in Ethereum’s price triggered a wave of liquidations, sending ETH up 3.30% to $4,000. This was the highest level in the last eight months. At the time of writing, the ETH price was around $3,961.

This content does not constitute investment advice. Markets carry high risks, and it is important to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

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Details and Impact of the Liquidation 

According to data, $200 million of the total liquidation came from short positions. This indicates a bullish move contrary to the prevailing bearish expectations. A large portion of investors believed prices would drop, but unexpected price surges triggered the closure of short positions. 

Bitcoin’s rise to $116,466 and Ethereum reaching $3,810 accelerated this liquidation process. The largest single liquidation occurred in the HMX-ETH-USDT pair, resulting in a loss of $34.28 million in one transaction. 

Key Takeaways for Crypto Investors 

This event serves as a warning for crypto investors, highlighting the high volatility of the market once again. Excessive leverage usage is the primary cause of such large liquidations. Therefore, risk management is more crucial than ever. 

Long-term strategies are considered safer compared to short-term speculation, especially in leveraged trading. Following overall crypto market trends instead of reacting to instant price moves is a more rational approach. Carefully monitoring market developments is essential for making informed decisions. 

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Opening a Short Position

If you’re trading with leverage, it might be healthier to close your position rather than opening one during highly volatile and fluctuating nights. If you’ve made a profit, reducing your risk through profit-taking can be beneficial.

Additionally, some traders tend to open short positions based on a downturn. While this can be correct at times and the market might fall further, during high volatility, you should avoid assuming short-term upward moves won’t occur. This can confuse investor psychology and lead to misdirection.

If you’re considering opening a short position, ensure you have solid reasons for doing so. Perform your fundamental and technical analysis, and unless there’s a clear signal that the price will continue to decline, opening a short position just because the price has dropped can be risky.

Otherwise, your chances of being caught in a wrong position are high, and the “it dropped, it will drop more” mentality can trap traders with sudden reverse movements. These types of trades are often made based on the wrong psychological motivations, which could result in losses.

Opening a Long Position with All Your Money

It’s well known that the best time to buy in the market is during a downturn, and the best time to sell is during a rise. However, you should be cautious when opening long positions with leveraged trading. While declines bring prices to more favorable levels, committing all your capital to these positions is highly risky. The “it’s dropped this much, now it will rebound” mentality often leads to losses.

The key is not to open a long position with all your capital and instead adopt a more controlled strategy. While opening a long position during a drop can be advantageous, it’s best to open the position gradually. This way, you can limit your losses if the price declines further. Gradually opening your position with a small portion of your total capital (such as one-tenth or one-eighth) allows you to take advantage if the market continues to drop.

Remember, there’s a concept called “the bottom of the bottom,” meaning it’s difficult to predict the lowest point in the market. Therefore, the best way to control risk is not to enter long positions with all your capital during a drop. Always keep some funds aside to support your position and be prepared for possible market moves.

Random Additions

Another mistake is making random additions; the best time to open a long position or buy in spot or futures trading is typically during downturns. However, making these purchases randomly and without a plan often leads to getting caught in unfavorable positions.

Instead, utilizing technical indicators can be a much healthier strategy. You don’t need detailed technical knowledge; you can make successful buys with basic indicators and analysis. For example, you could use indicators like the Smart Money Concept or simply draw a line to analyze support levels.

As an example, someone looking to open a long position or buy in spot for Ethereum could take advantage of previous low points and open a position at these levels. When prices reach support levels during a drop, they usually move upwards. By purchasing at these low points, you create a more solid strategy. If you buy simply with the mindset of “it’s dropped this much, now it will go up,” the price could unexpectedly drop further. In this case, rather than relying on luck, you should act based on a strategy supported by technical analysis.

Another key point is to always use support levels as a reference when making purchases. For example, if you made a purchase, set your next buying point close to another support level. Acting with the mindset of “if it drops a little more, I’ll buy there” can be riskier. Instead, by buying gradually, you minimize the risk of your position.

Additionally, when making purchases, use only a portion of your budget to maintain flexibility and allow more room to maneuver in the market.

In conclusion, you should not leave things to chance. By carefully reviewing technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and news flow, you can base your trading strategies on a solid foundation. This way, you can reduce the role of luck and make more successful trades.

Random Selling

Making emotional decisions when selling and buying usually leads to undesirable outcomes. If support levels are rapidly dropping, selling might seem logical, but selling immediately after a drop often leads to regret. So, where should we sell? When should we stop trading a particular cryptocurrency? How can we avoid this mistake?

If you’ve made a spot purchase in large cryptocurrencies (such as Ethereum), there’s usually no need to worry. However, if you’re trading futures or dealing with meme coins or cryptocurrencies with small market caps, you need to be more cautious. Even in spot trading, sometimes it’s necessary to accept a loss and exit the position. For this, technical indicators, especially support or trend lines, can be helpful.

For example, if you want to exit a cryptocurrency and are unsure whether the market will recover, selling when the support level breaks, i.e., when the price continues to decline, can be a wise move. This way, you can accept the loss and exit the position. Later, you can buy at lower support levels to average down your position.

If you’re trading futures, setting stop losses at these levels is very important. You can set an automatic sell order with a loss limit, such as 1% below the support levels. In this way, even if your $100 drops to $90, you’ll still have the opportunity to buy again at the lower support levels. This way, even if you experience small losses, you avoid large losses.

In conclusion, basing your buying and selling decisions on technical analysis, rather than emotions, is much healthier. Support, resistance, and trend lines can help you determine where to buy and sell. These methods allow you to make more informed and controlled decisions, eliminating emotional impulses.

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Bitcoin dominance, a metric measuring how much of the crypto market’s total value belongs to BTC, recovered as the asset reached its six-figure all-time high on December 5. Meanwhile, most altcoins failed to match BTC’s gains.

According to TradingView, Bitcoin dominance rose by 4.4% over the past 24 hours, climbing to 57% as the asset hit a record $104,000 on December 5. Bitcoin’s market share had dropped from 61.8%, a three-and-a-half-year high on November 21, to a low of 54.7% on December 4, before staging its latest rebound.

Analyst Income Sharks, in a post on the X platform on December 5, commented: “It’s almost as if BTC was jealous that altcoins were getting all the attention and wanted to remind everyone that it’s still the king.”

Bitcoin Dominance

What is The Current Status of The Fear and Greed Index?

The Bitcoin Market Fear and Greed Index, which analyzes market sentiment, is currently at an “extreme greed” level of 84. However, this index spiked to 94 on November 22, when Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $99,000, marking the highest level since December 2020. Social sentiment has also increased; according to Google Trends, searches for Bitcoin on December 5 saw the biggest surge of the past week.

Worldwide searches for ‘Bitcoin’ on Google. Source: Google Trends

Short Positions

Meanwhile, according to CoinGlass, $132 million worth of short positions were liquidated over the past four hours. Industry executives and analysts are celebrating Bitcoin’s “100K Day.” Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said, “If you had bought $100 worth of Bitcoin when Coinbase was founded in June 2012, it would now be worth about $1,500,000.” Armstrong also added, “If you had kept your $100 in cash, you would only be able to purchase about $73 worth of goods today.”

“Bitcoin is the best-performing asset of the last 12 years, and it’s still early days.”

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