“ETH Is Beginning the Same Path”: Lee Recalls 2017 Bitcoin Call

In a recent post on X, Lee reminded his followers that he first recommended Bitcoin to Fundstrat clients in 2017, when BTC was trading near $1,000. Despite experiencing several deep corrections of up to 75% over the years, Bitcoin has since risen roughly 100 times from that initial recommendation.

Lee now argues that Ethereum is entering a comparable long-term expansion phase, stating:
“We believe ETH is embarking on that same Supercycle.”

During the early months of 2025, Ethereum lagged behind Bitcoin as BTC surged to new record levels. ETH reached its all-time high of $4,946 in August, while Bitcoin climbed above $126,000 in October, marking the peak of its recent rally.

Market Pullback Tests Confidence, but Lee Remains Optimistic

The broader crypto market has since experienced a sharp correction. Bitcoin has dropped about 25% from its top, while Ethereum has declined more than 35% from its peak. Lee attributes this volatility to lingering uncertainty rather than a breakdown in long-term fundamentals.

He emphasized that major multi-year uptrends often require investors to endure intense downturns:
“To benefit from that 100x Supercycle, one had to stomach existential moments to HODL.”

Ethereum Approaches the Cost Basis of Long-Term Holders

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci noted that Ethereum is approaching the average cost basis of long-term accumulators. With ETH trading around $3,150, he said the asset is only about $200 away from reaching the level where seasoned holders have been building positions.

According to Kesmeci, ETH has dipped below this threshold only once—back in April, when global tariffs introduced by U.S. President Donald Trump came into effect.

Data also shows that accumulation has accelerated throughout 2025. Roughly 17 million ETH has flowed into long-term wallets this year, bringing total holdings in these addresses from 10 million ETH at the start of the year to 27 million ETH today.

Kesmeci added that if Ethereum slips below $2,900, history suggests it would not remain at that level for long, describing it as “one of the strongest long-term accumulation zones.”

ETH briefly fell to $3,023 over the past 24 hours but has since stabilized near $3,185.

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• Whales have attracted attention with DOGE purchases exceeding $1 billion in the past month. These massive buys have boosted market confidence and strengthened bullish expectations. 
• Trader Tardigrade states that Dogecoin is following a pattern similar to its 2014–2018 cycle. This similarity points to a super cycle where DOGE could reach $17–18. 
• DOGE has established strong support at $0.22. 

Whales Accumulated 1 Billion DOGE 

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez closely examined Dogecoin’s on-chain metrics. He highlighted noticeable increases in active addresses and transaction volume. The most striking data came from whales. In the past month, whales accumulated over 1 billion DOGE tokens. 

Such large-scale purchases typically signal market confidence. Therefore, many investors view whale movements as a signal. Currently, Dogecoin’s price has formed a solid support zone at $0.22. The first upward resistance level stands out at $0.27. 

Analysts Predict a New Super Cycle 

One of the prominent analysts in the crypto world, Trader Tardigrade, commented on Dogecoin’s price chart. He noted striking similarities between the 2014–2018 and 2021–2025 periods. According to the analyst, DOGE has entered a “Super Cycle” phase similar to its historical patterns. 

Thus, the current price levels present a significant opportunity for investors. Tardigrade states that past chart patterns are repeating, and DOGE could reach $17 to $18. He also mentions that the memecoin is currently in a strong accumulation phase, which is typically seen before a parabolic rally. The analyst suggests that if the price breaks above $0.27, DOGE could reach the $17–18 range by the end of 2025. Therefore, investors see the current levels as an opportunity. 

Dogecoin’s technical indicators and on-chain data are giving positive signals. Consequently, analysts and investors believe DOGE could reach significant price levels in 2025. Increasing whale purchases, rising active addresses, and chart similarities support this expectation. 

***NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE*** 

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Bullish Indicators

One of the key indicators fueling Davis’s bullish sentiment is the substantial inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over the past few weeks. This surge in inflows suggests growing confidence and interest among institutional investors. Additionally, on-chain data reveals that large cryptocurrency investors, often referred to as crypto whales, have significantly increased their accumulation rates. This trend is typically seen as a precursor to a major market rally.

Related: What is Fork? What are the differences between Hard Fork and Soft Fork?

For instance, Dogecoin (DOGE) whales, comprising transactions exceeding $1 million, have witnessed a surge of over 150% in the last 24 hours. This substantial increase highlights the rising interest and activity among large investors in the altcoin market. Furthermore, Franklin Templeton, a prominent investment firm, is considering a significant investment in altcoins, further bolstering the bullish outlook for the cryptocurrency market.

According to Davis, the rationale behind buying crypto now lies in the increasing global participation from institutions, asset management firms, and pension funds. These entities are reportedly following the lead of MicroStrategy, a company heavily invested in Bitcoin. As of this report, MicroStrategy holds over 214,400 BTC, representing more than 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply. The company’s success has inspired other firms like Semler Scientific to follow suit, with Semler Scientific investing $17 million in BTC in recent years and planning to raise $150 million to acquire more.

In addition to these developments, spot Bitcoin ETF issuers have purchased a staggering 56,150 BTC in the past two weeks alone. This amount is equivalent to four months’ supply of Bitcoin miners and signifies the strong demand from institutional investors.

Central Banks Pivot to Rate Cuts

Davis further highlights the recent interest rate cuts implemented by central banks in Europe and Canada. This move could have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market by making traditional investments less attractive compared to cryptocurrencies. This action comes over a month after the fourth Bitcoin block reward halving, an event historically associated with supply reductions and subsequent price increases.

Analyst’s Conclusion

Davis firmly believes that the confluence of these factors points towards a super cycle for cryptocurrencies. He assesses that the market is poised for a significant upward move driven by institutional adoption and favorable economic conditions.

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