Which Projects Will Experience Major Token Unlocks?

Several important blockchain and DeFi ecosystem projects are scheduled to unlock tokens next week. These events are closely monitored by investors because the new supply entering the market may influence prices. Market analysts typically keep a close eye on such schedules, especially when the unlock values are high. The projects with the largest upcoming unlock amounts are listed below:

Aster (ASTER)

Unlock value: $55.9 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 78.4 million ASTER
Approximately 0.98% of total supply
Date: March 17, 2026

LayerZero (ZRO)

Unlock value: $50.3 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 24.68 million ZRO
2.47% of total supply
Date: March 20, 2026

Lombard (BARD)

Unlock value: $34.8 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 30 million BARD
3% of total supply
Date: March 18, 2026

River (RIVER)

Unlock value: $27 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 1.36 million RIVER
1.36% of total supply
Date: March 22, 2026

STBL

Unlock value: $15.1 million
Tokens to be unlocked: 416.7 million STBL
4.17% of total supply
Date: March 16, 2026

Other Notable Token Unlocks

In addition to the major projects, several mid-sized projects will also have significant unlock events:

• ESPORTS (Yooldo): $12.6 million unlock – 41 million tokens (4.6%)
• RTX (RateX): $10.5 million unlock – 4.86 million tokens (4.86%)
• Arbitrum (ARB): $9.8 million unlock – 92.6 million tokens (0.93%)
• Bedrock (BR): $7.4 million unlock – 131.2 million tokens (13.1%)
• Kaito (KAITO): $6.3 million unlock – 17.6 million tokens (1.76%)

Why Are Token Unlocks Important?

Token unlock events usually involve tokens that were previously locked for early investors, team members, or funds being released into the market. This can create short-term selling pressure. According to crypto analytics platforms, unlocks with high percentages of total supply can significantly increase price volatility. Market analysts commented on the issue as follows:

“Token unlock processes can affect the supply balance in the market. Large unlocks may create serious price pressure, especially in projects with low liquidity.”

For this reason, investors often track unlock schedules closely and adjust their risk management strategies accordingly. The multi-million-dollar token unlock events scheduled for the week of March 16–22 are considered a significant development that could create short-term volatility in the crypto market. High-volume unlocks in projects such as LayerZero, Aster, and Lombard are particularly on investors’ radar. Monitoring token unlock schedules can help investors develop more informed strategies against potential price movements.

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Token Unlocks Between March 9–15

This week, several important token unlock events worth millions of dollars are expected to take place in the crypto market. These unlocks are closely monitored by investors because they increase the circulating supply. According to the announced schedule, the most notable projects with token unlocks this week are as follows:

Movement (MOVE)

• Date: March 9
• Tokens to be unlocked:84 million MOVE
• Percentage of max supply:62%
• Estimated value: $3.33 million

Linea

• Date: March 10
• Tokens to be unlocked:02 billion tokens
• Percentage of max supply:42%
• Estimated value: $3.17 million

Aptos (APT)

• Date: March 12
• Tokens to be unlocked:97 million APT
• Percentage of max supply:47%
• Estimated value: $9.39 million

Pump (PUMP)

• Date: March 14
• Tokens to be unlocked: 10 billion PUMP
• Percentage of max supply:00%
• Estimated value: $19.52 million

Starknet (STRK) and Sei (SEI)

• Date: March 15

STRK Unlock

• Tokens: 127.60 million
• Estimated value: $4.89 million

SEI Unlock

• Tokens: 95.15 million
• Estimated value: $6.02 million

These unlock events are attracting particular attention from investors who closely follow projects with strong ecosystems such as Starknet and Aptos. The token releases in these projects are being carefully monitored in terms of supply dynamics and short-term price movements.

Why Are Token Unlocks Important?

Token unlock events refer to the release of tokens that were previously locked for a certain period and are distributed according to a predefined schedule.

This process usually involves tokens allocated to:

• Project teams
• Early investors
• Advisors
• Ecosystem incentive programs

An increase in circulating supply can sometimes create selling pressure in the market, which may affect prices in the short term. According to crypto analytics platforms, it is extremely important for investors to regularly track token unlock schedules. When a large number of tokens enter the market, price volatility can increase—especially for altcoins with lower liquidity.

“Large token unlock events often create short-term volatility. However, if a project has strong fundamentals, the market may absorb the increased supply over the long term.”

For this reason, investors pay attention not only to the number of unlocked tokens, but also to who receives them. Whether tokens are distributed to the team, early investors, or ecosystem incentives can significantly influence the level of selling pressure and its impact on prices.

Possible Scenarios for the Altcoin Market

The token unlock events scheduled for March 9–15 could create short-term selling pressure in the altcoin market. Investor behavior will be particularly important for projects with larger unlock amounts. However, history has shown that in projects with strong ecosystems, prices can recover quickly after token unlock events. Investors are advised to evaluate token unlock schedules, market liquidity, and project developments together during this period. The new week in the crypto market is drawing attention due to the upcoming token unlocks in several major altcoin projects. With millions of dollars worth of tokens expected to enter circulation in projects such as Movement, Linea, Aptos, Pump, Starknet, and Sei, these developments could increase short-term volatility and create new opportunities for investors. Closely following the token unlock calendar can help crypto investors analyze market movements more accurately.

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Which Altcoins Have Token Unlocks This Week?

According to shared data, a substantial amount of tokens will be unlocked in the final days of February and the first days of March across multiple projects. The most notable ones include:

• SUI: 53.82 million SUI (approximately $49.9 million)
• Humanity (H): 133.5 million tokens (around $21.8 million)
• GRASS: 90.1 million tokens (about $16.3 million)
• EIGEN: 36.8 million tokens (approximately $6.73 million)
• Optimism (OP): 32.2 million OP tokens
• ZORA: 166.6 million ZORA tokens
• XPL and GUNZ: Additional unlocks worth millions of dollars

The total value of these unlocks reaches hundreds of millions of dollars, introducing new liquidity into the market.

Why Are Token Unlocks Important?

A token unlock refers to the scheduled release of tokens that were previously locked for project teams, investors, or early participants. When these tokens enter circulation, they can create selling pressure.

During major unlock weeks, the market may experience:

• Short-term price declines
• Increased volatility
• Higher trading volumes
• New opportunities for traders

However, in projects with strong ecosystems, post-unlock pullbacks can also be viewed as long-term investment opportunities.

How Will the Altcoin Market Be Affected?

The upcoming token unlocks are expected to increase price volatility, particularly among mid- and large-cap altcoins. In major ecosystems like SUI and Optimism, price reactions will likely be closely monitored by investors. The influx of new token supply could boost liquidity but may also intensify short-term selling pressure. During such periods, sharp price swings often create new trading opportunities while also increasing uncertainty about overall market direction. Historically, heightened volatility in the altcoin market is common during large-scale unlock events. Looking at the broader picture, the new week appears set to bring critical developments for the altcoin market. Major token unlocks in SUI, OP, ZORA, and several other projects could amplify market fluctuations. For this reason, closely tracking the token unlock schedule and adopting a strategic approach will be crucial for investors.

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Major One-Time Token Unlocks (Cliff Unlock)

Among the projects scheduled for one-time token unlocks exceeding $5 million in the coming week are several notable names. Because these unlocks release a large number of tokens into the market at once, they can significantly increase short-term volatility.

Key upcoming cliff unlocks include:

• CONX: Approximately $15.7 million worth of tokens unlocked
• AVAX: Tokens worth $21.5 million to be released
• APT: Around $13.3 million in token unlocks
• STRK: An unlock impacting more than 4% of total supply

These events are being closely monitored, especially for their potential short-term price impact.

Major Linear Token Unlocks

In addition to one-time releases, linear unlocks—where more than $1 million per day worth of tokens are unlocked—can create sustained supply pressure on the market.

Notable projects with linear unlocks over the next 7 days include:

• RAIN: Total unlock value exceeding $86 million
• SOL: Tokens worth $41.5 million to be released
• CC: Supply increase exceeding $32 million
• TRUMP, RIVER, WLD, and DOGE: Gradual but meaningful supply expansion

Because these unlocks are spread over time, their impact on price may be more controlled but longer-lasting.

Market Impact and Expert Commentary

In its assessment, Tokenomist highlighted the following:

“High-volume token unlocks can increase price volatility, especially during periods of low liquidity. Investors should take token unlock schedules into account as part of their risk management strategies.”

Assessment

With token unlocks exceeding $278 million set to occur in the coming days, the crypto market is entering a critical period. One-time unlocks in projects such as CONX, AVAX, APT, and STRK could trigger sudden price movements, while linear unlocks in projects like RAIN, SOL, DOGE, and WLD may create medium-term supply pressure. It is crucial for investors to evaluate unlock schedules alongside market liquidity and overall market trends during this period.

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What Is a Token Unlock and Why Is It Important?

A token unlock refers to the gradual or one-time release of previously locked crypto assets into the market according to a predetermined schedule. This mechanism is implemented to ensure the long-term sustainability of projects and to prevent sudden selling pressure. Locked tokens are typically allocated to the project team, early investors, advisors, ecosystem funds, and staking rewards. Since token unlocks increase the circulating supply, they have the potential to create short-term downward pressure on prices. However, the magnitude of this effect can vary depending on the amount of tokens unlocked, their proportion of the total supply, market conditions, and investor expectations. In some cases, since the unlock schedule has already been disclosed publicly, the market may have priced in this development in advance, resulting in limited volatility.

Tokens Unlocking Between February 2–8

The notable token unlocks for this week are as follows:

• ENA: On February 2, approximately $5.55 million worth of ENA tokens will enter circulation, corresponding to 0.55% of the total supply.
• IOTA: On February 4, IOTA tokens worth about $881,000 will be unlocked. This represents 0.33% of the supply and may have a limited impact.
• XDC: Also on the same day, the XDC token unlock stands out. Tokens worth approximately $30.55 million will be released, accounting for 5% of the total supply.
• HYPE: A token unlock worth around $304.84 million is planned. With a ratio of 2.79%, this is one of the largest unlocks of the week.
• AXS: On February 6, AXS tokens worth $1.12 million will enter circulation, representing 0.24% of the supply.

Assessment

The token unlocks scheduled for the week of February 2–8 may lead to short-term price movements, particularly for projects with higher unlock ratios such as XDC and HYPE. The new supply entering the market during this period could increase volatility. Investors should closely monitor supply growth, trading volume, and overall market sentiment. Token unlock schedules continue to serve as a critical indicator for risk management and strategic positioning.

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Macro Tailwinds Support the Market

Throughout the week, the crypto market maintained a bullish tone. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) gained approximately 5–6%, although BTC experienced a sharp drop early in the week, falling to $92,000. Despite this, most of the tokens with the highest supply increases over the past 30 days still managed to deliver positive returns.

Looking ahead, token unlocks scheduled for the coming week could increase short-term supply pressure, marking a period that investors should monitor closely. In dollar terms, PLUME, RIVER, and ZRO are set to see the largest unlocks, with the potential to generate significant market activity both in absolute size and as a percentage of circulating supply.

ZRO (LayerZero)

• Unlock Date: January 20, 2026
• Amount: $42.7 million
• Percentage of Circulating Supply:18%

ZRO is facing the largest dollar-denominated token unlock of the coming week. This event marks the beginning of a two-year vesting cycle, primarily allocated to internal stakeholders.

PLUME

• Unlock Date: January 2026
• Amount: $24 million
• Percentage of Circulating Supply:75%

PLUME is executing one of the most aggressive unlocks in terms of circulating supply percentage.

RIVER

• Market Capitalization: $537.63 million
• Unlocked Token Amount: $9.69 million (1.82% of market cap)
• Date: January 22, 2026

Although RIVER’s unlock represents a relatively small portion of circulating supply, its impact relative to total market capitalization, combined with other major unlocks, makes it an important indicator for short-term price action.

What Are Prices Telling Us?

Current price action suggests that much of the pressure has already been priced in. ZRO is down 50.9%, while PLUME has declined 88.5% since its TGE. This reflects a broader trend seen across many altcoins, where supply is gradually unlocked following high-valuation private rounds. While macro conditions may provide short-term support, large-scale token unlocks continue to keep supply pressure in focus. Buyback programs may help soften this pressure, but in the long run, sustainable tokenomics, fair distribution, and transparency remain the decisive factors.

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ONDO Will See the Largest Token Unlock

The most notable token unlock in January will occur in Ondo (ONDO). On January 18, a total of 1.94 billion ONDO tokens will be unlocked. This amount corresponds to a striking 57.23% of the circulating supply. In dollar terms, the unlock is valued at approximately $830 million at current prices, making ONDO the dominant contributor to January’s total token unlock volume.

Projects With Token Unlocks Exceeding $10 Million

Some of the projects expected to experience token unlocks above $10 million in January include:

• Hyperliquid (HYPE) – January 6:
  46 million HYPE tokens will enter circulation. The total value is around $308 million, representing 3.61% of the circulating supply.
• Official Trump (TRUMP) – January 18:
  50 million TRUMP tokens will be unlocked, worth approximately $245 million, equal to 95% of the circulating supply.
• Bitget Token (BGB) – January 26:
  140 million BGB tokens will be released into the market. Valued at around $488 million, this corresponds to a 5% increase in circulating supply.
• Plume (PLUME) – January 21:
  36 billion PLUME tokens will be unlocked, representing a very high 39.75% of the circulating supply.

Projects With Medium-Scale Token Unlocks

In January, projects such as Arbitrum (ARB), Starknet (STRK), LayerZero (ZRO), Aptos (APT), Jupiter (JUP), and Ethena (ENA) will also experience smaller but potentially market-relevant token unlocks. In these cases, the supply increase typically ranges between 1% and 6%. While token unlocks do not always result in sharp price declines, they do tend to increase short-term volatility. Investors are generally advised to be more cautious, particularly with projects facing high unlock-to-circulating-supply ratios.

“High-ratio token unlocks can create price pressure. However, a project’s long-term roadmap and the intended use of the unlocked tokens will be key determining factors.”

Assessment

The approximately $2 billion in token unlocks expected in January 2026 is seen as a critical test for the altcoin market. Projects like ONDO, with exceptionally high unlock ratios relative to circulating supply, will be closely monitored for potential selling pressure. At the same time, overall market conditions, investor risk appetite, and how teams manage the newly unlocked tokens will ultimately determine the price impact of this supply increase.

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Largest Unlock Comes from STABLE

At the top of the list is STABLE, which is set to unlock $566.38 million worth of tokens. This amount is not only the largest of the week but also higher than the entire market caps of many altcoins. An influx of supply of this magnitude could create short-term selling pressure on the price. Investors may expect a volatile week for STABLE.

Other Major Unlocks: PUMP, APT, LINEA, and MORE

Other notable unlocks scheduled for next week include:

• PUMP – $29.61 million
• APT (Aptos) – $19.88 million
• LINEA – $8.16 million
• MOVE (Movement) – $7.15 million
• MOCA (Mocaverse) – $4.43 million
• BB (BounceBit) – $4.04 million

Each of these projects may experience short-term price fluctuations within their ecosystems due to the increase in circulating supply. Investor behavior will be closely monitored, especially for APT and PUMP, which have higher liquidity.

Why Do Token Unlocks Matter for the Market?

Token unlocks can increase supply and therefore create downward pressure on prices. The possibility that large investors or project teams may sell unlocked tokens is one of the key factors that fuel short-term selling pressure. For this reason, investors tend to be cautious, especially during weeks with large unlock events.

Liquidity and community confidence play a major role in how a project reacts to unlocks. For example, in highly demanded projects, unlocks may have minimal impact on price. However, in altcoins with lower trading volume, selling pressure from unlocked tokens can be much more intense. Analysts explain:

“Unlock periods are critical moments when supply dynamics in the market change. Investors must closely monitor both project team behavior and overall market liquidity.”

Assessment

Next week, the crypto market will witness hundreds of millions of dollars in token unlocks. Price volatility is expected to increase particularly in STABLE, APT, and PUMP. During this period, investors should act carefully and analyze tokenomics and unlock schedules. Periods of heavy unlocks carry both risk and opportunity, making close market monitoring essential.

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A Legacy of the Massive Airdrop and Why This Unlock Matters

Pseudonymous developer iliensinc explained that the release was intentionally aligned with the first anniversary of Hyperliquid’s token generation event. He reminded the community that roughly 270 million tokens had already been fully unlocked on November 29, 2024. At current pricing, that historical unlock would be valued at around $9.5 billion, still regarded as the largest airdrop in the industry’s history.

One point the Hyperliquid community stresses repeatedly is that the project has never raised external capital. As a result, all unlocked tokens belong strictly to the team and internal contributors. With no investor allocations, Hyperliquid avoids the typical VC-related selling pressure that often disrupts token markets.

Price Reaction: Was the Unlock Already Priced In?

Following Saturday’s announcement, HYPE fell about 4.6 percent. Because the token has been in a months-long downtrend, traders are highly sensitive to timing. Investors are now watching closely to see whether any portion of the $60 million allocation will reach active liquidity during the coming days.

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes highlighted the core risk inherent in unlocks, stating that a team’s promise not to sell is never binding. The probability of ongoing sell pressure, he argued, is never zero. According to Hayes, current price behavior suggests the market has already factored this possibility into its outlook.

HYPE reached an all-time high of $59.40 in September but has fallen roughly 42 percent since then, dropping below its 200-day moving average and losing a significant long-term support zone.

The strong uptrend extending into mid-2025 began losing momentum after September 19. During the violent altcoin sell-off on October 10, several tokens dropped more than 95 percent in a single session. HYPE also plunged 54 percent that day before rebounding into the $40 range within two sessions.

Since then, price action has been defined by lower highs and weakening momentum. As a result, each new unlock is interpreted more cautiously, with traders searching for signs of potential supply inflows.

DEX Performance: Strong Throughput Despite Price Pressure

Industry analysts continue to cite Hyperliquid’s technical design and revenue engine as standout strengths. The DEX has managed nearly $330 billion in monthly volume with a relatively small team—an impressive operational footprint during a year marked by extreme volatility and repeated liquidity shocks.

Supporters argue that this level of volume, user growth and fee generation explains the token’s strong early-stage valuation. Critics, however, maintain that unlock cycles will continue to shape short-term market reactions regardless of fundamentals.

Has the Market Absorbed the Selling Pressure?

Because the unlock followed a transparent and well-known schedule, it did not create an unexpected information shock. Still, traders remain cautious, aware that the possibility of selling never disappears entirely.

The broader outlook suggests that while Hyperliquid maintains operational strength, investor psychology remains highly sensitive to token unlock events. This dynamic implies that HYPE may continue to experience elevated volatility in the near term.

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25 November 2025 — H (H Token)

Unlock Value: $5.95 million
New Circulating Supply: 2.74%

Although the total value is not large, the release of reserve and community-allocated tokens will increase liquidity. Unlocks of this size typically create mild but noticeable selling pressure.

25 November 2025 — SVL

Unlock Value: $10.17 million
New Circulating Supply: 12.18%

SVL is one of the week’s most critical tokens. A circulation increase above 12% significantly raises the likelihood of short-term volatility. Since this unlock comes from private investor allocations, the risk of sell-side pressure is particularly high.

25 November 2025 — XPL

Unlock Value: $17.14 million
New Circulating Supply: 4.71%

While XPL’s unlock value is in the mid-range, a 4.71% supply increase could boost trading volume and volatility. Community-allocated unlocks often lead to more short-term selling activity, so caution is warranted.

26 November 2025 — SAHARA

Unlock Value: $6.59 million
New Circulating Supply: 3.54%

SAHARA’s unlock ratio is moderate. Tokens coming from community reserves are often used for ecosystem growth, so the price impact may not be as strong as SVL. However, the level is still capable of creating short-term selling pressure.

28 November 2025 — JUP

Unlock Value: $12.78 million
New Circulating Supply: 1.66%

The unlocking of team and founder allocations for JUP is always closely monitored by investors. Even though the percentage is relatively small, team-allocated tokens can trigger cautious price behavior due to the possibility of selling.

28 November 2025 — HYPE (Week’s Largest Unlock)

Unlock Value: $314.56 million
New Circulating Supply: 3.66%

HYPE’s unlock is by far the largest of the week. At $314 million, it accounts for nearly the entire total weekly value. Unlocks of this magnitude often:

• sharply increase market liquidity
• trigger aggressive short-term selling
• cause strong intraday price swings

Since this unlock involves team allocations, investors tend to behave more cautiously.

30 November 2025 — ZORA

Unlock Value: $6.56 million
New Circulating Supply: 2.80%

ZORA’s unlock distribution spans four categories, indicating tokens being released for different purposes. Although the overall ratio is balanced, private investor allocations may contribute to short-term price pressure.

Overall Market Outlook

Most of this week’s unlocks originate from team, community, and private investor allocations, which increases the potential for short-term volatility. Unlocks from large allocations like HYPE, SVL, and XPL may expand supply and apply downward pressure on prices.

• HYPE is the most critical token because it dominates the weekly total.
• SVL’s high circulation increase brings elevated risk.
• JUP and ZORA unlocks involving team/investor tokens may create a cautious trading environment.
• Unlocks for H, SAHARA, and others will likely have milder effects.

Overall, the market outlook points to rising volatility, more short-term selling pressure, rapid price fluctuations, and increased trading volume during this period.

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