Although the report spans only six pages, it includes a direct reference to cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. This mention has been interpreted by many observers as an important indication that digital asset infrastructure is becoming part of broader national cybersecurity discussions.

Trump Cited Crypto and Blockchain as Secure Technologies

Within the strategy document, cryptocurrencies and blockchain systems are referenced as technologies whose security should be supported. The report highlights the need to develop secure technological frameworks and supply chains that protect user privacy from the earliest stages of design through full deployment.

Industry observers consider this reference notable because it places blockchain-based systems within the context of national security priorities. For many analysts, it signals that U.S. cybersecurity policy may increasingly recognize the importance of protecting digital financial infrastructure alongside other emerging technologies.

Strong Focus on Combating Illicit Financial Networks

Another section of the strategy emphasizes the need to dismantle criminal infrastructure and eliminate financial safe havens used by illicit networks. While the report does not specifically mention individual crypto tools or platforms, these statements have prompted discussion within the digital asset sector.

Some analysts believe the language could support stricter oversight of technologies that have been linked to financial anonymity. Services such as crypto mixing platforms, privacy-focused digital currencies, and unregulated financial off-ramps could potentially face greater scrutiny if authorities interpret the strategy in that direction.

As a result, the policy framework appears to balance technological support with stronger enforcement against illegal financial activity.

Quantum Computing Risks Enter the Discussion

The strategy also highlights concerns related to quantum computing, a topic that has been debated within the cryptocurrency community for years. Advances in quantum technology could eventually challenge current cryptographic systems, including those used in blockchain networks.

The growing attention to quantum capabilities suggests that governments are beginning to take potential long-term cybersecurity implications more seriously. Within the crypto sector, some investors have argued that large institutional holders may eventually demand faster progress in addressing these theoretical security risks.

Artificial Intelligence and the Future Cyber Workforce

Beyond digital assets, the strategy places strong emphasis on artificial intelligence as a key component of future cybersecurity infrastructure. Securing the AI technology stack, including data centers and computational systems, is presented as a major national priority.

The document also stresses the importance of developing the next generation of cybersecurity professionals. Expanding the cyber workforce is viewed as essential for designing and deploying advanced technological solutions capable of protecting national digital infrastructure.

Traditionally, U.S. administrations release a national cybersecurity framework during each presidential term to outline priorities related to emerging technologies. Trump’s strategy therefore provides insight into how the United States may approach cybersecurity challenges in an era increasingly defined by blockchain, artificial intelligence, and rapidly evolving digital threats.

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The reported conversation is believed to have taken place as policymakers and industry participants debate how to shape the regulatory framework governing cryptocurrencies in the United States. As lawmakers work toward defining rules for the sector, interactions between political leaders and crypto executives are becoming increasingly significant.

Trump And Armstrong Meeting?

According to the claims, Armstrong visited the White House alongside several Coinbase representatives and held a private discussion with President Trump. While specific details about the meeting have not been disclosed publicly, Trump’s subsequent comments on his social media platform, Truth Social, quickly drew attention.

In his post, Trump emphasized the need for the United States to finalize market structure legislation for digital assets as soon as possible. He also criticized the traditional banking sector, noting that banks are currently reporting record profits. Trump stated that the administration would not allow banks to weaken what he described as a strong pro-crypto agenda. These remarks were widely interpreted as a signal of support for the cryptocurrency industry.

Stablecoin Rewards at the Center of the Debate

One of the key disagreements between cryptocurrency firms and banking organizations revolves around how the proposed legislation could address stablecoin rewards. Certain draft amendments reportedly aim to limit or eliminate yield-generating mechanisms associated with stablecoins, a move that many industry participants oppose.

Brian Armstrong has previously indicated that Coinbase cannot support the bill in its current form. According to him, proposed changes could effectively eliminate rewards offered by stablecoins and potentially allow banks to restrict competition from crypto-based financial products.

Following these developments, Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott postponed a planned markup session for the legislation. As of now, no new timeline has been announced for when the committee will resume discussions on the bill.

Increasing Engagement Between the Crypto Sector and the Administration

Despite the presence of official crypto advisors within the administration, Armstrong has reportedly appeared alongside government officials on multiple occasions since Trump’s election victory in 2024. The Coinbase CEO was among the industry leaders invited to events surrounding the presidential inauguration in early 2025.

In addition, Coinbase has been linked to the America250 initiative, a nonpartisan effort associated with a military parade held in Washington, D.C., in July 2025.

As negotiations over the digital asset market structure bill continue in Congress, Armstrong has remained an active participant in the conversation. Earlier in the year, he spoke about the legislation at a cryptocurrency forum held at Mar-a-Lago in Florida.

Organizations representing the digital asset industry continue to argue that maintaining U.S. leadership in financial technology and blockchain innovation is a strategic priority. For this reason, many advocates are urging policymakers to finalize a clear regulatory framework for the crypto market without unnecessary delays.

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According to a notice from the White House, Warsh has been nominated to serve a four-year term as Chair of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. In addition, the nomination proposes a 14-year term for Warsh as a member of the Fed’s governing board. If confirmed by the Senate, he would replace current Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Debate Over a Potential New Era at the Fed with Warsh

Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair is scheduled to end on May 15. However, Powell’s position as a member of the Board of Governors extends until January 31, 2028. Although Trump has previously criticized Powell and even suggested removing him, current expectations indicate that Powell will complete his chairmanship term.

Warsh’s nomination has already sparked discussion about the future direction of U.S. monetary policy. Several Democratic lawmakers have expressed concerns about preserving the Federal Reserve’s institutional independence. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer emphasized that Warsh must clearly demonstrate his commitment to maintaining the Fed’s autonomy from political pressure before his nomination moves forward.

Kevin Warsh’s Perspective on Bitcoin

Kevin Warsh previously served as a Federal Reserve governor between 2006 and 2011 during the administrations of Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama. After leaving the central bank, he continued his work in economics as a fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution.

Warsh has drawn attention in recent years for his relatively open stance toward Bitcoin. In a 2021 interview with CNBC, he remarked that while gold has historically been the dominant store of value, younger generations increasingly view Bitcoin as a modern alternative. In a later discussion in 2025, he suggested that cryptocurrencies could contribute to market discipline by signaling when economic policies may require adjustment.

He has also indicated that Bitcoin can serve as a useful reference point for policymakers, potentially providing feedback about the effectiveness of monetary and economic decisions.

Senate Approval and Broader Regulatory Context

The timeline for a Senate vote on Warsh’s nomination has not yet been announced, but the process is expected to attract significant political scrutiny.

At the same time, developments within U.S. financial regulatory institutions are drawing attention. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission currently operates with only one confirmed leader, Chair Michael Selig, who took office in December. The agency normally has five commissioners, yet additional nominations have not been submitted.

As lawmakers in Washington continue debating comprehensive legislation on digital asset market structure, the CFTC could eventually gain broader authority over the regulation of crypto markets in the United States.

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According to Atkins, regulatory structures failed to keep pace with technological innovation, creating uncertainty for market participants. In his view, the gap between innovation and oversight weakened the country’s ability to lead in a rapidly developing sector.

The Gensler Era: Enforcement-First Oversight

Under former SEC Chair Gary Gensler, the agency adopted a cautious and enforcement-driven stance toward crypto. A substantial number of digital assets were treated as securities, and numerous enforcement actions were brought against firms—primarily over registration-related violations.

While this approach aimed to protect investors and enforce compliance, critics within the industry argued that regulatory clarity was lacking. Rather than establishing forward-looking frameworks, the SEC relied heavily on litigation, which many believed slowed innovation and discouraged institutional development in the sector.

A More Constructive Regulatory Direction

With the Trump administration in office, the SEC’s tone toward crypto has shifted. The agency has formed a dedicated crypto task force and withdrawn several high-profile enforcement cases initiated during the previous period. In addition, it launched “Project Crypto,” an initiative designed to modernize regulatory standards and adapt them to emerging financial technologies.

Atkins has acknowledged the volatility inherent in individual cryptocurrencies but has expressed strong support for the broader potential of distributed ledger technology (DLT). He highlighted its possible applications in payment infrastructure, clearing, and settlement systems—areas where blockchain-based efficiencies could significantly reshape financial operations.

Tokenization and the 24/7 Market Vision

A notable milestone came with the SEC granting exemptive relief to WisdomTree for its Treasury Money Market Digital Fund. The approval allows 24/7 trading and instant settlement—an unprecedented development in the U.S. market for tokenized money market products.

Atkins also indicated that tokenized bank deposits may be the next step. These developments suggest a broader transition toward on-chain financial infrastructure, signaling an effort to modernize U.S. markets and regain leadership in digital finance.

This content does not constitute investment advice.

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US Midterm Election: Liquidity Over Politics

The core of the emerging macro thesis is straightforward: asset prices and liquidity conditions may matter more than the election outcome itself. Some observers point to early signals from betting markets suggesting relative Republican weakness, which could create incentives for policymakers to foster more market-friendly economic conditions ahead of the vote.

Under this framework, a three-phase timeline unfolds. The first phase envisions a broader market correction in early 2026, accompanied by intensified criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The second phase anticipates mounting pressure by mid-2026 for a shift in monetary policy. Faced with economic and political constraints, policymakers could lean toward easing liquidity conditions. The final phase projects a recovery in asset markets during the second half of 2026, aligning with the election period.

“Structure First, Politics Later”

This perspective argues that rising asset prices tend to improve public sentiment rapidly. Dividend income, potential tax relief for small businesses, and an overall “feel-good” economic environment can reshape voter psychology. Conversely, during downturns, the Federal Reserve often becomes a focal point for blame, creating room for political narratives to evolve once liquidity conditions stabilize.

In this view, markets lead and politics follow. Structural liquidity trends shape economic momentum, which in turn influences political outcomes—not necessarily the other way around.

Lessons From 2024

A comparable pattern emerged after the 2024 election cycle. Following Donald Trump’s victory, cryptocurrencies rallied sharply, with Bitcoin reaching record highs amid expectations of a more crypto-friendly regulatory climate and supportive lawmakers. However, by early 2026, much of that post-election momentum had faded. Bitcoin retreated toward the $60,000 level as macroeconomic pressures mounted and initial optimism subsided.

Against this backdrop, the 2026 midterms are being watched not merely as a political event, but as a potential liquidity-driven catalyst that could redefine the trajectory of crypto markets.

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“Crypto Policies Remain a Priority”

Kristin Smith stated that Trump has not changed his stance on cryptocurrencies and that work in this area continues within the White House. According to Smith, crypto regulation remains among the administration’s priority topics. She noted that teams at the White House are working on crypto policy on an almost daily basis, with David Sacks and Patrick Witt reportedly playing active roles in regulatory efforts.

Smith commented:

“Trump’s lack of public remarks on crypto does not mean his support has diminished. Serious and ongoing work is being carried out at the White House on this issue.”

She also drew attention to the “Genius Act,” previously signed by Trump. In addition, U.S. financial regulatory agencies are said to be preparing comprehensive frameworks for the crypto sector. Under the “Project Crypto” initiative launched by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), authorities aim to provide clearer rules for the industry within the scope of existing legal powers. This step is considered critical for institutionalizing crypto regulation in the United States.

Why Is Trump Silent?

According to Smith, Trump’s occasional decision not to address cryptocurrencies directly should not be interpreted as reduced support. Given the intensity of U.S. domestic politics, global geopolitical developments, and economic priorities, it is not always possible for the president to speak publicly about every issue. Therefore, the limited mention of crypto in recent public statements does not necessarily indicate that policy efforts have slowed. Smith emphasized that regulatory and strategic work regarding the future of the crypto sector remains active within the White House. Efforts to clarify the regulatory framework are seen as part of a broader strategy to reinforce the United States’ leadership position in the global crypto ecosystem.

Support Continues, but the Agenda Is Crowded

Although Trump’s recent reduction in public crypto commentary has raised questions within the community, official assessments suggest that the administration’s crypto policies remain in place. Ongoing regulatory initiatives by the SEC and CFTC, legislative efforts such as the Genius Act, and the active involvement of White House advisors all indicate that the U.S. continues to shape its crypto regulatory landscape. In the coming period, concrete regulatory steps in the United States may provide clearer insight into the Trump administration’s long-term approach to the crypto industry.

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Trump: “We Will Not Allow Iran to Obtain Nuclear Weapons”

Speaking before members of Congress, Trump claimed that Iran’s nuclear capacity had previously been dismantled but alleged that Tehran intends to restart the program. He stated that all options remain on the table regarding Iran, stressing diplomacy as his preferred route while not ruling out military action.

In his speech, Trump said:

“Right now, all options are on the table… I will never allow Iran to obtain nuclear weapons. We completely destroyed Iran’s nuclear weapons program. But they want to restart it. My primary preference is diplomacy… But the world’s number one state sponsor of terrorism cannot possess nuclear weapons.”

Trump also claimed that Iran has been developing missile capabilities capable of reaching the United States and stated that Washington would take a firm stance on this matter. The former president also addressed the Russia-Ukraine war, which has been ongoing since 2022. Emphasizing efforts to end the conflict, Trump drew attention to the high monthly casualties. He said, “We are working very hard to end the war in Ukraine. Twenty-five thousand soldiers are dying every month. If I had been president at that time, this war would not have happened,” criticizing the current administration’s policies.

Emphasis on the Economy and Tariffs

Trump also evaluated the U.S. economy in his remarks. He argued that import tariffs have made a significant contribution to economic recovery, revitalized domestic production, and strengthened American industry. He described tariffs as a crucial tool for reducing the trade deficit and protecting the domestic market. Calling the Supreme Court’s decision to cancel certain tariffs “unfortunate,” Trump stressed that trade policy plays a vital role in economic growth. He stated:

“Tariffs brought our economy back to life. America’s golden age has begun. Modern income tax will, to a large extent, be replaced by tariffs.”

These remarks signaled a continued commitment to protectionist trade policies and were interpreted as an indication that more aggressive steps could be taken in U.S. trade and tax policy in the near future.

Assessment

Trump’s speech before Congress signaled that the United States intends to maintain a firm stance on global security issues, particularly regarding Iran’s nuclear program and the war in Ukraine. His message that “all options are on the table” concerning Iran has raised concerns about increasing geopolitical risks. Meanwhile, tariffs and trade policies remain central priorities in his economic approach moving forward.

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Market Pricing Signals a Pause

Current market-based expectations suggest that investors overwhelmingly anticipate no change in policy rates this month. According to pricing data from prediction platforms, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged stands at 96%. This near-consensus view indicates that market participants see little immediate justification for a shift in monetary policy.

The strong bias toward a pause reflects broader uncertainty around inflation trends and economic resilience. Rather than positioning for an imminent easing cycle, investors appear to be bracing for continuity.

Rate Cut and Hike Scenarios

While a hold is the dominant expectation, alternative outcomes are still being priced in—albeit at very low probabilities. A 50 basis point or larger rate cut is currently assigned just a 1% likelihood. Meanwhile, a more modest 25 basis point reduction carries a 2% implied probability.

On the tightening side, the outlook is similarly muted. The chance of a 25 basis point or greater rate hike is also estimated at 1%. In other words, markets see very limited risk of a surprise move in either direction at this meeting.

Fed Officials Emphasize Inflation Progress

Recent remarks from Federal Reserve officials reinforce the cautious stance reflected in market pricing. Voting member Austan Goolsbee has stated that it would be premature to lower interest rates without clearer evidence that inflation is sustainably moving lower.

In prepared remarks dated February 24 for the National Association for Business Economics annual conference, Goolsbee indicated that additional rate cuts later this year could be possible—provided there is concrete and sustained progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation target.

Taken together, current pricing and central bank commentary point to a high likelihood that rates will remain unchanged in March. Going forward, incoming inflation data and broader economic indicators will play a decisive role in shaping the Fed’s policy path in the months ahead.

This content is not investment advice. Financial markets involve significant risk, and individuals should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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Ahead of President Donald Trump’s Tuesday evening State of the Union address, Bitcoin climbed from around $64,000 to nearly $66,000, marking an intraday gain of more than $2,000. Prices later eased back toward $65,500, but the asset still closed the day roughly 3.5% higher.

What Drove the Move?

Market participants suggest the rally was not directly triggered by Trump’s speech. Instead, the upward momentum appears tied to renewed risk appetite before Nvidia’s quarterly results and a relief bounce following the prior week’s volatility surrounding tariffs and Supreme Court-related developments.

In his address, Trump highlighted what he described as economic progress, pointing to declining inflation, rising incomes, and strong stock market performance. He stated that core inflation had fallen by 1.7% over the past three months and noted that mortgage rates were at their lowest levels in four years. He also emphasized that the Dow Jones Industrial Average had reached 50,000 earlier than expected and recorded 53 record highs since the election.

However, some analysts caution that these milestones do not fully reflect the volatility experienced in between. After new tariff measures were introduced in April 2025, the Dow reportedly dropped below 37,000—about 18% off its peak. The 50,000 level also proved temporary, with the index falling back below that mark by mid-February.

Tariffs, Tech Stocks, and Market Correlation

Trump reaffirmed his commitment to tariffs despite a recent Supreme Court decision limiting certain executive authorities. He argued that tariffs have generated hundreds of billions of dollars in revenue and strengthened economic and national security agreements.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 gained 268 points, supported by advances in major technology stocks including Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, and Google. Investors appear to view Nvidia’s earnings as a key short-term catalyst for both equity and crypto markets.

Bitcoin’s latest move underscores its ongoing correlation with traditional risk assets. As macroeconomic developments and technology sector performance remain in focus, crypto markets are likely to continue reacting to broader shifts in investor sentiment.

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The recent pullback appears to be driven by two primary factors: renewed tariff announcements from United States President Donald Trump and a broader sell-off in artificial intelligence-related equities. The deterioration in risk appetite has not been confined to digital assets; traditional equity markets have also come under pressure.

Tariffs and Geopolitical Tension Weigh on Risk Assets

Following the Supreme Court’s rejection of his earlier tariff strategy, President Trump announced a temporary 15% tariff on imports, revising the previously stated 10% rate. The policy shift has intensified uncertainty around global trade conditions, injecting fresh volatility into financial markets.

At the same time, escalating geopolitical tensions are adding another layer of caution for investors. In this environment, Bitcoin is behaving similarly to other high-beta assets. Market observers highlight the $60,000 level as a critical technical support. A decisive break below that threshold could open the door to a deeper retracement toward the $50,000–$55,000 range.

What Historical Patterns Suggest

Looking at previous market cycles, one technical signal stands out: the so-called “bear cross,” which occurs when the 50-week moving average falls below the 100-week moving average. In both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, this crossover coincided with the final stages of the downturn.

Currently, however, the 50-week average remains above the 100-week average. From a historical perspective, that suggests the corrective phase may not yet be complete. It is important to remember that moving averages are lagging indicators; they confirm trends that have already unfolded rather than predict future turning points.

Short-Term Risks Remain

While no historical pattern guarantees future outcomes, the combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and the current technical structure indicates that additional downside cannot be ruled out. Whether Bitcoin can defend the $60,000 level will likely determine the market’s next directional move.

This content is not investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and individuals should conduct their own research before making financial decisions.

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