Economic Outlook and Inflation Expectations

The FOMC noted that economic activity continues to expand at a moderate pace. Although employment growth has slowed, the unemployment rate remained low through September. Inflation has risen this year and remains somewhat elevated. The Committee reaffirmed its commitment to maximum employment and a long-term 2% inflation target.

Fed policymakers project core PCE inflation at 2.5% and overall PCE at 2.4% by the end of 2026, down from previous forecasts of 2.6% in both categories. Unemployment is projected at 4.5% for 2025 and 4.4% for 2026. According to the median projection, interest rates are expected to reach 3.1% by the end of 2028.

Securities and Reserves

The FOMC decided to end the reduction of total securities holdings as of December 1. Reserve balances are assessed to be ample, and the Fed indicated it may begin purchasing shorter-term Treasury securities if needed to maintain sufficient reserves. The Committee will continue monitoring incoming data to evaluate the appropriate stance of monetary policy.

Voting Results

The policy decision passed with a 9-3 vote. Schmid and Goolsbee voted to keep rates unchanged, while Miran favored a half-point rate cut. Additionally, four Fed officials forecast an additional two-quarter-point rate cut for 2026.

Bitcoin and U.S. Stock Market Reaction

Following the decision, Bitcoin briefly fell below $92,000 but quickly recovered above $93,000. U.S. stock indices moved higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.62%, S&P 500 up 0.26%, and Nasdaq up 0.03%. Investors are closely watching the Fed’s rate cut and Treasury purchases.

• The Fed will purchase $40 billion in Treasury securities over the next 30 days

• Treasury purchases will begin on December 12

• Policy decision passed with a 9-3 vote

• Schmid and Goolsbee voted to keep rates unchanged

• Miran supported a half-point rate cut

• Four Fed officials forecast two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026

• Reduction of securities holdings ended on December 1

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US Treasury Secretary: “All Options on the Table”

Answering questions in an interview with Fox Business, Besent was asked whether Chinese companies would continue to be traded on US stock exchanges. The Minister, who answered, “All options are on the table,” emphasized that such steps depend on President Donald Trump’s decision.

US-China Tensions Are Moving to Financial Dimensions

This statement by the Treasury Secretary was interpreted as indicating that the US-China tensions, which are currently escalating in the areas of technology, defense and trade, could also be reflected in financial markets. Restricting Chinese companies’ access to US capital markets could signal a new era in relations between the two countries.

Markets May React

A possible “delisting” process could have major effects on both Chinese technology giants and American investors. Such a development could lead to short-term fluctuations in stock market indices and shake investor confidence.

In the coming days, the official steps and details from the Trump administration will be closely monitored by the markets.

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Sharp Declines in U.S. Stock Markets Amid Trump’s Tariff Impact!

U.S. stock markets opened sharply lower as former President Donald Trump’s revived trade policies and newly imposed tariffs triggered a wave of sell-offs. The Nasdaq fell 4.58%, the Dow Jones dropped 2.93%, and the S&P 500 declined by 3.57%, fueling panic among investors. Concerns over market volatility and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s potential second-term trade policies continue to grow.

The renewed risk of a global trade war threatens to increase corporate costs and dampen growth expectations. Investors reacted swiftly to the announced tariffs, leading to aggressive sell-offs. This has heightened fears of disruptions in global supply chains and pressure on corporate profitability.

Additionally, uncertainty in trade policies could influence central bank decisions. The Federal Reserve (FED) is closely monitoring market turbulence to determine its response. Experts suggest that if trade conflicts weaken the economy, the FED may adopt a more accommodative monetary policy, though this could also stoke inflation concerns.

Trump’s trade policy announcements have significantly impacted investor sentiment, sparking major sell-offs across U.S. stock markets. Until greater clarity emerges regarding future economic strategies and trade policies, market volatility is expected to persist.

This content does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency and stock markets carry high risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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