Israel-Iran Crisis Takes Center Stage

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer emphasized that all G7 leaders are aligned in their goal to de-escalate the Middle East conflict. “The risk of escalation is obvious. Its implications go far beyond the region,” he said. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated that Germany is preparing a joint statement that will underscore: “Iran must not be allowed to obtain nuclear weapons-capable material under any circumstances.”

Trump Pushes for Talks — And for Expansion

Donald Trump, arriving with a bold posture, called for immediate talks between Israel and Iran. “They should talk, and they should talk immediately,” he told reporters. Trump also reignited old debates, calling the removal of Russia from the group in 2014 a “mistake” and suggesting that China should be added to the G7. His focus, however, remained firmly on trade: “Our primary focus will be trade,” Trump asserted.

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Yet these statements contrast sharply with G7 principles. The U.S. president’s widespread tariffs — up to 25% on steel, aluminum, and autos — have frustrated allies like Japan, Mexico, and Canada. Many fear this protectionist approach undermines the cooperative spirit the G7 was built upon.

Trade Wars Cloud Diplomatic Efforts

While security concerns dominate headlines, Trump’s trade policy looms equally large. The administration’s unilateral tariffs have not only impacted allied economies but also strained trust. Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney warned that the U.S. could no longer be viewed as a reliable partner. With no joint communiqué expected from the summit, it’s clear this year’s G7 lacks consensus — and unity.

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Cipolaro noted that crypto perpetual futures funding rates have remained consistently positive. Despite a $480 million liquidation occurring on April 6–7 following Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2, this figure is considered minor compared to previous major sell-offs. Meanwhile, Tether (USDT) briefly dipped below its $1 peg but avoided a sharp depreciation.

Trump’s sweeping tariffs on all nations, introduced on April 2 and enforced on April 9, were delayed just hours later for 90 days. The U.S. imposed a 10% base tariff on countries excluding China, which still faces tariffs of up to 145%. These sudden shifts injected a new layer of uncertainty into both traditional and digital asset markets.

Bitcoin Resists Volatility, Gains Role as Safe Haven

While not entirely immune to volatility, Bitcoin has performed far better than many other asset classes in recent weeks. Cipolaro highlighted that BTC is down 22.5% from its mid-January high of $108,000, but has traded mostly flat over the past 24 hours — indicating a phase of relative stability.

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Cipolaro suggests that investors are increasingly seeking store-of-value assets not tied to fiat currencies or sovereign risk, driving further interest in Bitcoin. Notably, risk-parity portfolio funds are beginning to add Bitcoin into their asset mix, drawn by its decreasing volatility. This trend could help Bitcoin become even more stable, supporting wider institutional adoption over time.

Technical Indicators Flash Caution: Death Cross Ahead?

On the technical side, YouHodler’s Chief of Markets Ruslan Lienkha raised a red flag in an April 12 note. According to Lienkha, both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are potentially forming a “death cross” — a bearish chart pattern where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day average. This signal is often interpreted as a warning of medium-term downward pressure.

Lienkha warned that without a clear macroeconomic catalyst or positive momentum, markets may struggle to sustain upward movement in the coming weeks.

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