Trump told NBC News that Washington had “completely demolished” energy infrastructure on Kharg Island and added:
“We may hit it a few more times just for fun.”
He exceeded his previous limited-target statements. Furthermore, his administration rejected Middle Eastern allies’ attempts at mediation, three sources told Reuters.

Course of the War and Iran’s Response

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said they would retaliate against any attacks on energy facilities. Meanwhile, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards carried out missile and drone strikes on Israel and three U.S. bases, describing them as the first round of retaliation for worker deaths on Kharg Island. The Israeli military intercepted most of the attacks.

Saudi Arabia destroyed 10 drones over Riyadh and the eastern region. The semi-official Fars News Agency said Iran had no connection. One of the UAE’s major energy hubs was disrupted by a drone strike. The U.S. warned its citizens in Iraq to leave immediately. In other words, the war does not remain limited to Iran, the U.S., and Israel; regional energy infrastructure is also directly targeted.

Why the Strait of Hormuz Drives Oil Prices

About 20% of global oil shipments pass through this narrow corridor. Trump’s military signals threaten supply security, creating a “fear premium” in the market. Even the possibility of closure applies direct inflationary pressure on the global economy.

Deaths and Material Losses

Operations launched by Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on February 28 have killed over 2,000 people, mostly in Iran. Fars reported that at least 15 died when an airstrike hit a refrigerator and heater factory in Isfahan. Significant material and infrastructure losses have also occurred.

Strait of Hormuz and Allied Calls

Trump called on China, France, Japan, South Korea, and the UK to send warships to the Strait. So far, no country has responded officially. Japan can deploy its forces only if the government declares national survival at risk. France and the UK are actively reviewing options but have not taken any concrete steps yet.

On Saturday, Trump also wrote on social media:
“Countries receiving oil through the Strait of Hormuz must safeguard the passage, and we will help a lot! The U.S. will coordinate to ensure everything goes quickly, smoothly, and well.”

Iran’s new leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, whose father was slain, emphasized the Strait should remain closed. Meanwhile, energy markets remain uncertain, supply shocks and oil logistics problems continue, and prices keep rising.

Drone and Missile Attacks in the Region

Iran is using Shahed drones in the region, reportedly supplied by Russia. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy confirmed to CNN that some drones are linked to regional attacks, though manufacturers remain unclear. Actually, these developments highlight military risks and deepen geopolitical uncertainty.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE activated defense systems, and some operations were suspended. Oil and energy logistics remain blocked, supply shocks persist. In short, the global energy crisis does not appear to be ending soon.

Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our Telegram, YouTube and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Trump: “We May Strike Iran a Few More Times Just for Fun” appeared first on Coin Engineer.

US-Iran Tensions and the Oil Market

The US-Iran conflict has rapidly pushed Brent crude higher. According to Hayes, if prices remain at these levels, 10-year Treasury yields could spike in a volatile way, potentially driving the MOVE Index upward; this is considered a prerequisite for Fed money printing. It’s still early, but investors should watch this closely as an important indicator.

Similar past scenarios have prompted the Fed to expand its balance sheet and inject liquidity, supporting Bitcoin and other risk assets.

The Connection Between Oil, the Fed, and Bitcoin

When Middle East tensions push Brent crude higher, energy costs increase, creating inflationary pressure in the economy. Historically, the Fed has responded to economic stress or rising costs by providing liquidity through money printing or balance sheet expansion. While higher oil prices don’t directly force the Fed to print money, the chain reaction can boost liquidity and create upward pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets.

US Intervention and Oil Prices

US President Donald Trump previously confirmed that the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East could last for weeks. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has taken steps to keep oil prices in check. India was granted a 30-day waiver to buy Russian oil, temporarily stabilizing markets. Today, Brent crude is trading around $80, providing a fresh market signal for Google Discover.

Bitcoin and Crypto Market Reaction

Historically, Fed money printing has triggered sharp Bitcoin rallies. Currently, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are lagging due to low liquidity and bear market sentiment. Hayes notes that taking positions before confirmed Fed rate cuts or balance sheet expansions would be premature.

Crypto investors should also monitor rising inflation concerns, which could reduce the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, a potential rate cut may occur in September.

Micro Data and Analytical Notes

• Brent crude: $80 (down ~1% today)

• 10-year Treasury yield: rising, aligned with MOVE Index

• MOVE Index: potential upward movement

• Bitcoin: liquidity is low, but potential rallies may occur with Fed intervention

Also, in the comment section, you can freely share your comments and opinions about the topic. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on Telegram, YouTube and Twitter for the latest news and updates.

The post Arthur Hayes: Rising Oil Prices Could Force Fed to Print Money! appeared first on Coin Engineer.

The platform’s key advantage is speed: while traditional markets close on weekends, anyone with a crypto wallet can trade on regime change, US strikes, or ceasefire dates in real time. Investors are not only betting on whether the conflict escalates but also on weekly end dates, who replaces Khamenei, and whether US ground forces will enter Iran.

Market Movements and Insider Trading Questions

Onchain analysis identified six wallets that correctly predicted the February 28 US strike on Iran, netting about $1.2 million. Most were funded within 24 hours of the attack, bought “yes” shares on the specific date, and profited hours before the military operation. The largest wallet turned $61,000 into $493,000, while another gained $120,000 from $30,000.

Ceasefire markets price short-term resolutions: March 2 at 4%, March 6 at 15%, March 31 at 61%, and April 30 at 78%. “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?” trades at 54%, up from the low-20s for months. Ground invasion contracts also show significant volume: “Will the US enter Iran before 2027?” at 19% with $207,000, and “US forces enter Iran by March 7?” at 28% with $2 million.

Trader stories highlight market intensity: “Curseaaaaaaa” earned $757,000 on Khamenei’s death contract. Four other traders made six-figure profits. Prices hovered 25–50% in Jan–Feb, then jumped to 100% after confirmation.

Polymarket’s Difference and Future Outlook

The largest resolved contract was Khamenei’s death, which resolved at 100%. The US strike contract reached $529 million, making it the largest in the “World” and “Geopolitics” categories and fourth in overall politics behind 2024 Trump election contracts.

Polymarket provides speed traditional markets cannot: weekend trading, real-time crowd pricing, and immediate settlement. US-Iran bets saw record weekly volumes, traders price both regime change and strike timing. Bitcoin’s $68,000 jump reflects parallel short-term expectations.

You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don’t forget to follow us on our Telegram, YouTube, and Twitter channels for the latest news and updates.

The post Polymarket US-Iran Bets Reach Record Volume – $529M Traded appeared first on Coin Engineer.