We will keep the stock market at an all-time high.

With this promise, he once again gives hope to those already in the market or considering entering, possibly triggering another upward move. However, investors still hold one major doubt and one crucial question: How realistic are these words? Looking at today’s economic landscape, it is quite clear that there is a significant gap between what is being said and what is actually happening.

What Changed When Donald Trump Took Office?

In 2025, Donald Trump made numerous statements about the economy and initiated several actions—many of which, so to speak, backfired and painted markets in red. Despite the negative impact of his trade tariffs and policies on many sectors, he insisted that the U.S. stock market was “stronger” and that his intention was to keep it elevated. He even emphasized that everyone should remember how U.S. markets reached record highs earlier this year. While some investors criticize Trump’s approach, could the so-called “Trump effect” actually have had a positive influence?

However, despite these claims, the markets have frequently experienced major instability. Starting from the early months of 2025, U.S. indexes suffered sharp declines due to imposed tariffs, global trade tensions, and ongoing economic uncertainty. In fact, double-digit losses were not uncommon.

You may also be interested in this article: Silver Ounce Price Races Toward a Record!

Can Donald Trump Really Keep the Market at Its Peak?

High market prices are not sustained by statements alone. Although remarks can create short-term upward or downward movements, real market direction is driven by the following factors:

• Economic Data
• Global Balances
• Corporate Earnings Reports
• Interest – Inflation Rates
• Global Trade

These variables are the true determinants of market direction. Therefore, when a leader says “I will keep the stock market at its peak,” it naturally raises significant, and often unanswered, questions.

Recently, margin debt reached an all-time high. Margin debt represents the amount of money investors borrow from brokerage firms through margin accounts. This indicator is often used to evaluate potential market tops and bottoms. When margin debt hits a record level and the markets also reach record highs, the situation is commonly described as a “reflex” move or even a “bubble.” Under such circumstances, how convincing can Trump’s claim really be?

Periods like these offer the potential for high profits but carry equally high risks. They cannot be sustained by a single political statement.

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Prediction markets like Kalshi indicate declining bets on a 25-basis-point rate cut while wagers on unchanged rates are increasing. Currently, 68% of investors expect a 25-basis-point cut in September, though this share is decreasing. Conversely, 34% predict no change in Fed rates. This trend adds uncertainty to the markets. 

CME FedWatch shows a 79% chance for a 25-basis-point cut in September. Down from 99%, investors now expect two rate cuts this year instead of three. This shift encourages more cautious market behavior and delays investment decisions. 

Investors Await PCE Data While Bitcoin Holds Support 

Crypto investors closely monitor the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, PCE data. In June, U.S. PCE inflation rose 2.6% year-over-year, exceeding May’s upwardly revised 2.4% estimate. These figures will be crucial for the Fed’s September decisions, with results scheduled for August 29. 

Bitcoin finds support near $112,000, and analysts suggest buying on dips. Michael van de Poppe notes that BTC follows classical price movements. He recommends accumulating if prices fall below $110,000. Rekt Capital recalls Bitcoin fell 29% in 2017 and 25% in 2021. Over the last 24 hours, BTC dropped 0.31% to $112,892. Trading volume fell 10%, signaling reduced investor interest. 

This uncertainty and volatility affect global markets and encourage cautious investor behavior. All eyes remain on the August 29 PCE release. Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech and rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, alongside the DXY dollar index hitting 98.34, continue to influence market dynamics. 

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On Truth Social, Trump accused Powell of doing a “terrible and incompetent” job in renovating Fed buildings. He also claimed Powell committed perjury in this matter, adding that the Justice Department has made similar allegations. This further increased the political pressure on the Fed Chair. 

Last month, Trump visited the Federal Reserve to inspect the ongoing renovation projects. During his visit, he urged Powell to lower interest rates. The president stressed that the Fed was too late in taking action, causing significant harm to the U.S. economy. 

CPI Data and Tariff Debate 

Trump’s comments came after the release of July’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The report showed annual inflation at 2.7%, below the expected 2.8%, while monthly CPI fell from 0.3% to 0.2%. These results reinforced Trump’s view that tariffs had a limited impact on inflation. 

The president stated that tariffs brought large sums of money into the U.S. and that consumers did not bear the costs. Moreover, he argued that tariffs did not create price pressures as the Fed had anticipated. Powell, however, maintained that the best approach was to wait and assess the tariffs’ effects before making a rate cut decision. 

Stephen Miran, Trump’s nominee for the Fed Board of Governors, also commented positively on the CPI data. Miran said inflation was “performing well” and that there was no evidence of tariff-driven price increases. He also noted that since Trump took office, annual CPI inflation had averaged 1.9%. 

These developments indicate that the tension between the Fed and the White House over interest rate policy is set to continue. 

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The United States Has Transitioned to Daylight Saving Time

On Sunday, March 9th, at 2:00 AM, the United States transitioned to daylight saving time. Clocks were set forward by one hour, and daylight saving time officially began. This daylight saving time will last until November 2, 2025, at which point the clocks will revert to the standard time.

Canada has also adopted daylight saving time on the same dates as the U.S. This time change directly affects trading schedules and financial market timing.

Investors, particularly those engaged in international stock trading and global financial markets, should reconsider their trading strategies, taking into account the changes in time differences. Additionally, this time change will impact daily workflows and financial reporting processes.

For investors, the shift in time can create significant timing differences when trading in global markets. Specifically, the time difference between Europe, Asia, and the U.S. may affect trading hours and stock market openings. It is crucial to factor in these time changes to ensure smoother and more efficient trading. Daylight saving time may also play an important role in aligning with the global financial calendar.

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